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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                   27th April 2012
     Indices *        Close                Chg.         Mirroring the positive global market cues, the domestic
 BSE SENSEX         17130.67           -0.12     %      markets opened on a positive note. However, selling pressure
 S&P CNX NIFTY       5189.00           -0.25     %      was witnessed in the morning session. The markets struggled
 NIFTY May FUT.      5214.70           -0.38     %      to move higher on lack of buying support. The over all trend
 India VIX            18.74            -1.05     %      remain ed range bound amidst lackluster volumes. The 5200
 Nifty May Basis (Spot-Fut)          -25.70      Abs.   level remained a sticky point for the markets struggling to
                                                        sustain above it. The markets ended the day flat to close near
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                  the lows for the day. The top losers for the day were BPCL,
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3     Hero Motocorp, Bajaj Auto, GAIL, PNB, JP Associates, IDFC,
Support           5161       5037              4955     Rel. Comm; DLF and Rel. Power.
Resistance        5400       5681              5728
                                                        Technically, the market breadth remained negative
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                   amidst higher volumes. The global market cues are
50 Day SMA                  5322.19                     divergent. The domestic markets are likely to witness a
100 Day SMA                 5128.73                     flat opening. The prevailing technical negatives
200 Day SMA                 5130.08        ◄ Crucial    continued to weigh on market sentiment. The KST has
                                                        again slipped below its average. More so the Stochastic
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *                and RSI are still placed below their respective averages.
               26/04/12     25/04/12        % Chg.      These conditions would lead to selling pressure.
BSE              1878        1776              5.74     However, positive technical conditions still hold good
NSE              7273        5788             25.67     and would help the markets take support at lower levels.
Total            9151        7564            20.99
                                                        The MACD remains placed above its average. The Nifty
                                                        continues to sustain above its long-term moving average
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *                the 200-day SMA. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA
               26/04/12     25/04/12        % Chg.      remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day
BSE             2401.97     2076.55            15.67
                                                        SMA, the later being called the “Golden Cross” breakout.
                                                        These positive technical conditions would prompt buying
NSE            12258.34    10478.13            16.99
                                                        support at lower levels. Further the Nifty’s 100-day SMA
NSE F&O        190370.21   198860.07           -4.27
                                                        is on verge of moving above Nifty’s 200-day SMA. As and
Total          205030.52   211414.75           -3.02    when this happens buying support is likely to gain
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *           momentum. However, The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line
                                                        continue to move sideways, indicating that markets
               26/04/12     25/04/12        % Chg.
                                                        would continue to remain range bound. The market
Index Fut.      637675      862984          -26.11
                                                        sentiment remains cautious. Now, it is important that the
Stock Fut.     1080432      1075788            0.43     markets witness buying support at lower levels for the
Index Opt.     5323510      5420962            -1.80    Nifty to take support. The 200-day SMA remains a crucial
Stock Opt.      193415      191376             1.07     support level for the markets. In the meanwhile the
Total          7235032      7551110            -1.26    markets would take cues from the forthcoming Q4
                                                        results along with global markets and the crude prices.
             Market Breadth (NSE) *                     The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5161, 5037 and
Advances                      555                       4955. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5400, 5681, 5728 and
Declines                      904                       5885 levels.
Same                           81
Total                        1540
A/D Ratio                   0.61 : 1
NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE

Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in

                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days)

                                                                               Stop
                                                   Initiation        Stop      Loss                      Target
      Stock            Close         Action          Price          Loss *      (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Adani Enterp.           272.75      Sell Below            270        277.00        2.59         255          5.56
Adani Ports             124.60      Sell Below            124        126.75        2.22         118          4.84
Allahabad Bank          164.45      Sell Below            164        169.00        3.36         155          5.20
NTPC                   161.15    Sell Below           160     163.25               2.03         153          4.38
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                            Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices            Close         Pivot Point         R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                  17131                17136     17188       17245         17354        17079        17027        16918
S&P CNX NIFTY                5189                 5195       5210       5231          5268            5174        5158       5121
NIFTY MAY FUT.               5215                 5223       5238       5262          5302            5199        5183       5143




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                               th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

AB Nuvo, Andhra Bk; BOI, Biocon, BPCL, Canara Bk; CBI, CESC, Cipla, Delta Corp; DLF, FT, Fortis, GAIL, JSW
Grasim, HDFC, Hexaware, Hindalco, HPCL, IDFC, India Cement, India Infoline, Indian Bk; IOB, IRB, JP Assoc;
JSW Ispat, Karnataka Bk; LITL, MLL, NHPC, NTPC, OFSS, Onmobile, OBC, Patel Engg; Petronet, PFC, Piramal
Health; PNB, Polaris, Powergrid, Praj, PTC, Ranbaxy, RComm; Rel. Power, Sintex, Syndicate Bk; Tata Chem;
TTML, Uco Bank, Uniphos, Unitech, Vijaya Bk, Welcorp; Wipro
APIL, Asian Paints, Bajaj Holdings, Idea, ITC, McDowell, McLeod Russel, Opto Circuit, Reliance




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                                                          Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                        www.keynotecapitals.com

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Daily Technical Outlook for Indian Markets

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 27th April 2012 Indices * Close Chg. Mirroring the positive global market cues, the domestic BSE SENSEX 17130.67 -0.12 % markets opened on a positive note. However, selling pressure S&P CNX NIFTY 5189.00 -0.25 % was witnessed in the morning session. The markets struggled NIFTY May FUT. 5214.70 -0.38 % to move higher on lack of buying support. The over all trend India VIX 18.74 -1.05 % remain ed range bound amidst lackluster volumes. The 5200 Nifty May Basis (Spot-Fut) -25.70 Abs. level remained a sticky point for the markets struggling to sustain above it. The markets ended the day flat to close near S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels the lows for the day. The top losers for the day were BPCL, Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Hero Motocorp, Bajaj Auto, GAIL, PNB, JP Associates, IDFC, Support 5161 5037 4955 Rel. Comm; DLF and Rel. Power. Resistance 5400 5681 5728 Technically, the market breadth remained negative Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY amidst higher volumes. The global market cues are 50 Day SMA 5322.19 divergent. The domestic markets are likely to witness a 100 Day SMA 5128.73 flat opening. The prevailing technical negatives 200 Day SMA 5130.08 ◄ Crucial continued to weigh on market sentiment. The KST has again slipped below its average. More so the Stochastic Volume (Lacs Shares) * and RSI are still placed below their respective averages. 26/04/12 25/04/12 % Chg. These conditions would lead to selling pressure. BSE 1878 1776 5.74 However, positive technical conditions still hold good NSE 7273 5788 25.67 and would help the markets take support at lower levels. Total 9151 7564 20.99 The MACD remains placed above its average. The Nifty continues to sustain above its long-term moving average Turnover ( ` Crores) * the 200-day SMA. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA 26/04/12 25/04/12 % Chg. remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and 200-day BSE 2401.97 2076.55 15.67 SMA, the later being called the “Golden Cross” breakout. These positive technical conditions would prompt buying NSE 12258.34 10478.13 16.99 support at lower levels. Further the Nifty’s 100-day SMA NSE F&O 190370.21 198860.07 -4.27 is on verge of moving above Nifty’s 200-day SMA. As and Total 205030.52 211414.75 -3.02 when this happens buying support is likely to gain F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * momentum. However, The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line continue to move sideways, indicating that markets 26/04/12 25/04/12 % Chg. would continue to remain range bound. The market Index Fut. 637675 862984 -26.11 sentiment remains cautious. Now, it is important that the Stock Fut. 1080432 1075788 0.43 markets witness buying support at lower levels for the Index Opt. 5323510 5420962 -1.80 Nifty to take support. The 200-day SMA remains a crucial Stock Opt. 193415 191376 1.07 support level for the markets. In the meanwhile the Total 7235032 7551110 -1.26 markets would take cues from the forthcoming Q4 results along with global markets and the crude prices. Market Breadth (NSE) * The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5161, 5037 and Advances 555 4955. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5400, 5681, 5728 and Declines 904 5885 levels. Same 81 Total 1540 A/D Ratio 0.61 : 1 NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Adani Enterp. 272.75 Sell Below 270 277.00 2.59 255 5.56 Adani Ports 124.60 Sell Below 124 126.75 2.22 118 4.84 Allahabad Bank 164.45 Sell Below 164 169.00 3.36 155 5.20 NTPC 161.15 Sell Below 160 163.25 2.03 153 4.38 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17131 17136 17188 17245 17354 17079 17027 16918 S&P CNX NIFTY 5189 5195 5210 5231 5268 5174 5158 5121 NIFTY MAY FUT. 5215 5223 5238 5262 5302 5199 5183 5143 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today AB Nuvo, Andhra Bk; BOI, Biocon, BPCL, Canara Bk; CBI, CESC, Cipla, Delta Corp; DLF, FT, Fortis, GAIL, JSW Grasim, HDFC, Hexaware, Hindalco, HPCL, IDFC, India Cement, India Infoline, Indian Bk; IOB, IRB, JP Assoc; JSW Ispat, Karnataka Bk; LITL, MLL, NHPC, NTPC, OFSS, Onmobile, OBC, Patel Engg; Petronet, PFC, Piramal Health; PNB, Polaris, Powergrid, Praj, PTC, Ranbaxy, RComm; Rel. Power, Sintex, Syndicate Bk; Tata Chem; TTML, Uco Bank, Uniphos, Unitech, Vijaya Bk, Welcorp; Wipro APIL, Asian Paints, Bajaj Holdings, Idea, ITC, McDowell, McLeod Russel, Opto Circuit, Reliance Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com