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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                       29th March 2012
         Indices *              Close          % Chg.      Mirroring the negative global market cues the domestic
 BSE SENSEX                    17121.62          -0.79     markets witnessed a subdue opening. Selling pressure was
 S&P CNX NIFTY                  5194.75          -0.92     witnessed in the early morning trades. The markets managed
 NIFTY APRIL FUT.               5247.15          -0.09     to come off the lows for the day on back of short covering and
 India VIX                       24.87           -0.71     selective buying support. However, lack of follow up buying
                                                           support and sustained selling pressure at higher levels saw
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                     the markets move lower. The markets failed to show any
                     Level 1    Level 2         Level 3    resilience and breached the 5200 level. The markets ended
Support               5161       5037            4955      the day with moderate losses to close near the lows for the
Resistance            5400       5681            5728      day. The top losers for the day Caarn India, JP Associates,
                                                           Rel. Power, Sesa Goa, Kotak Bank, Rel. Comm., Sterlite,
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                      SBI, Hindalco and ICICI Bank.
50 Day SMA                      5301.74
100 Day SMA                     5072.47                    Technically, the market breadth remained negative
200 Day SMA                     5151.19        ◄ Crucial   amidst higher volumes, which is a negative sign for the
                                                           markets. The global market cues are negative. The
             Volume (Lacs Shares)          *               domestic markets are likely to witness a negative
                   28/03/12    27/03/12         % Chg.     opening and Nifty may breach its 200-day SMA on
BSE                  4981        3024            64.72     opening.      The prevailing few technical negatives
NSE                  6968        7879           -11.57     continued to weigh on the market sentiment. The
Total               11949       10903            9.59
                                                           Stochastic, MACD, RSI and KST are placed below their
                                                           respective averages. More so the KST is placed in the
             Turnover ( ` Crores)          *               negative territory and warns of an impending selling
                   28/03/12    27/03/12         % Chg.     pressure. These conditions would lead to intermediate
BSE                 3685.71     2906.29          26.82
                                                           bouts of selling pressure, especially at higher levels. The
                                                           Nifty is placed below its 50-day SMA, which is a short
NSE                10906.72    13131.70         -16.94
                                                           term negative. However, the markets are likely to witness
NSE F&O            189039.70   213297.71        -11.37
                                                           intermediate bouts of pull back rally as the Stochastic is
Total              203632.13   229335.70        -11.21     still placed in the over sold territory. The Nifty also
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)             *          remains placed above its 200-day SMA. Moreover, the
                                                           Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day
                   28/03/12    27/03/12         % Chg.
                                                           SMA and 200-day SMA. These conditions would help in
Index Fut.          740509     1002229          -26.11
                                                           witnessing short covering and selective buying support
Stock Fut.          897032      976899           -8.18     at lower levels. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line
Index Opt.         5374593     5916126           -9.15     continue to move sideways indicating a range bound
Stock Opt.          139334      150601           -7.48     trend. The market sentiment remains negative. Now, it is
Total              7151468     8045855           -6.87     important that the markets witness buying support at for
                                                           the Nifty to move higher and test the crucial 5400
             Market Breadth (NSE) *                        resistance level. The markets are likely to remain volatile
Advances                          366                      due to impending derivative segment expiry today. In the
Declines                         1144                      meanwhile the markets would take cues from the global
Same                              45                       markets and the crude prices in absence of domestic
Total                            1555                      cues. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5161, 5037
A/D Ratio                       0.32 : 1
                                                           and 4955. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5400, 5681, 5728
                                                           and 5885 levels.
NOTE -   *- Source – BSE & NSE
Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                     Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in

                                                                  Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              th
             4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                www.keynotecapitals.com
Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days)

                                                                                  Stop
                                                     Initiation        Stop       Loss                      Target
      Stock             Close         Action           Price          Loss *       (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Adani Ports              118.25      Sell Below             117        120.25        2.78          110           5.98
EKC                       30.10      Sell Below               30        32.25        8.40            25         15.97
HDIL                     82.55   Sell Below            82               85.25        3.96            75          8.54
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                               Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices             Close         Pivot Point           R1       R2         R3                 S1           S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                   17122                17136       17232      17342          17547         17026        16930         16724
S&P CNX NIFTY                 5195                 5200        5231        5267          5334            5164        5133         5066
NIFTY APRIL FUT.              5247                 5254        5288        5328          5402            5214        5181         5107




                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                           www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be
reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are
required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based
upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any
jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote
Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable
though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected
with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their
own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this
material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including
those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial
risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s
price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not
match with a report on a company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to
update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or
other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking
statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment
businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein.
We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short
positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other
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(ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and
opinions.
The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal
views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation
was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior
written consent.




                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
     th
    4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                     www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 290312

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 29th March 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Mirroring the negative global market cues the domestic BSE SENSEX 17121.62 -0.79 markets witnessed a subdue opening. Selling pressure was S&P CNX NIFTY 5194.75 -0.92 witnessed in the early morning trades. The markets managed NIFTY APRIL FUT. 5247.15 -0.09 to come off the lows for the day on back of short covering and India VIX 24.87 -0.71 selective buying support. However, lack of follow up buying support and sustained selling pressure at higher levels saw S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels the markets move lower. The markets failed to show any Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 resilience and breached the 5200 level. The markets ended Support 5161 5037 4955 the day with moderate losses to close near the lows for the Resistance 5400 5681 5728 day. The top losers for the day Caarn India, JP Associates, Rel. Power, Sesa Goa, Kotak Bank, Rel. Comm., Sterlite, Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY SBI, Hindalco and ICICI Bank. 50 Day SMA 5301.74 100 Day SMA 5072.47 Technically, the market breadth remained negative 200 Day SMA 5151.19 ◄ Crucial amidst higher volumes, which is a negative sign for the markets. The global market cues are negative. The Volume (Lacs Shares) * domestic markets are likely to witness a negative 28/03/12 27/03/12 % Chg. opening and Nifty may breach its 200-day SMA on BSE 4981 3024 64.72 opening. The prevailing few technical negatives NSE 6968 7879 -11.57 continued to weigh on the market sentiment. The Total 11949 10903 9.59 Stochastic, MACD, RSI and KST are placed below their respective averages. More so the KST is placed in the Turnover ( ` Crores) * negative territory and warns of an impending selling 28/03/12 27/03/12 % Chg. pressure. These conditions would lead to intermediate BSE 3685.71 2906.29 26.82 bouts of selling pressure, especially at higher levels. The Nifty is placed below its 50-day SMA, which is a short NSE 10906.72 13131.70 -16.94 term negative. However, the markets are likely to witness NSE F&O 189039.70 213297.71 -11.37 intermediate bouts of pull back rally as the Stochastic is Total 203632.13 229335.70 -11.21 still placed in the over sold territory. The Nifty also F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * remains placed above its 200-day SMA. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day 28/03/12 27/03/12 % Chg. SMA and 200-day SMA. These conditions would help in Index Fut. 740509 1002229 -26.11 witnessing short covering and selective buying support Stock Fut. 897032 976899 -8.18 at lower levels. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line Index Opt. 5374593 5916126 -9.15 continue to move sideways indicating a range bound Stock Opt. 139334 150601 -7.48 trend. The market sentiment remains negative. Now, it is Total 7151468 8045855 -6.87 important that the markets witness buying support at for the Nifty to move higher and test the crucial 5400 Market Breadth (NSE) * resistance level. The markets are likely to remain volatile Advances 366 due to impending derivative segment expiry today. In the Declines 1144 meanwhile the markets would take cues from the global Same 45 markets and the crude prices in absence of domestic Total 1555 cues. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5161, 5037 A/D Ratio 0.32 : 1 and 4955. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5400, 5681, 5728 and 5885 levels. NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Adani Ports 118.25 Sell Below 117 120.25 2.78 110 5.98 EKC 30.10 Sell Below 30 32.25 8.40 25 15.97 HDIL 82.55 Sell Below 82 85.25 3.96 75 8.54 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 17122 17136 17232 17342 17547 17026 16930 16724 S&P CNX NIFTY 5195 5200 5231 5267 5334 5164 5133 5066 NIFTY APRIL FUT. 5247 5254 5288 5328 5402 5214 5181 5107 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com