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Treasury and Research Division
NBO Egypt
Chart Book
September 2016
1
2
1. BUDGET
2. INTEREST RATE
3. POPULATION
4. GDP
5. FOREIGN TRADE
3
1. BUDGET
4
-56.1%
-58.1%
-81.2%
-79.8%
-89.8%
-90.0%
-85.0%
-80.0%
-75.0%
-70.0%
-65.0%
-60.0%
-55.0%
-50.0%
-600,000
-500,000
-400,000
-300,000
-200,000
-100,000
0
2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016 2016/2017
EGPMillion
Government Budget Deficit
Surplus/Deficit Budget Deficit as %
of Budget Revenue
5
-14.8%
-17.0%
-25.0%
-53.4%
-60.0%
-50.0%
-40.0%
-30.0%
-20.0%
-10.0%
0.0%
2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015 2015/2016
Actual Deficit as % of Nominal GDP
6
2. INTEREST RATE
7
9.25%
10.75% 10.75%
11.75%
10.25%
11.75% 11.75%
12.75%
8.50%
9.00%
9.50%
10.00%
10.50%
11.00%
11.50%
12.00%
12.50%
13.00%
1/1/2016 1/2/2016 1/3/2016 1/4/2016 1/5/2016 1/6/2016
EGP Corridor
CBE O/N Deposit CBE O/N Lending
2
.
I
n
t
e
r
e
s
t
R
a
t
e
8
8.80%
9.30%
9.80%
10.30%
10.80%
11.30%
11.80%
12.30%
12.80%
1/9/2015 1/10/2015 1/11/2015 1/12/2015 1/1/2016 1/2/2016 1/3/2016 1/4/2016 1/5/2016 1/6/2016
30/9/2015 30/12/2015 31/3/2016 30/6/2016
O/N 8.90% 8.90% 10.75% 11.75%
1 Week 9.10% 9.10% 11.75% 12.75%
1 Month 9.25% 9.25% 11.25% 12.25%
3 Months 9.30% 9.30% 10.90% 11.77%
CAIBOR
O/N 1 Week 1 Month 3 Months
9
3. POPULATION
10
- 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00
0-4
5-9
10-14
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70-74
75+
Population in Million
AgeGroup
Population Breakdown By Gender [Mid-Year 2016]
Male Female
11
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
1.9 1.9 2.3
6.7 5.7 6.3 9.1 7.3 5.3 6 6.8
69.3 70.7 72.2
73.6 75.2 76.9
78.7 80.5 82.5
84.6
86.8
MILLION
YEAR
EGYPT POPULATION
Total Population Abroad Total Population in A.R.E.
12
4. GDP
13
Agriculture, Forests & Fishing, 13.83%
Extractions, 9.22%
Manufacturing Industries, 28.80%
Electricity, 1.41%
Water, 0.24%Sanitation, 0.06%
Construction & Building, 6.03%
Transportation
& Storage, 4.05%
Communications, 2.29%
Information, 0.25%
Suez Canal, 1.33%
Wholesale
& Retail Trade, 9.64%
Finance, 2.81%
Insurance, 0.25%
Social Insurance, 1.99%
Tourism, 3.46%
Real Estate, 1.59% General Government, 8.32%
Total Domestic Production
By Economic Activity 2014/2015
14
48%
49%
4%
Domestic Production [Extractions]
Petroleum Gas Other Extractions
50.4%49.6%
Domestic Production [Real Estate]
Real Estate Ownership Business Services
9%
91%
Domestic Production [Manufacturing]
Petroleum Refining Other Manufacturing
22%
37%
41%
Domestic Production [Social Services]
Education Health Other Services
15
5. Inflation Rate
16
8.38%
7.88%
9.21%
9.70%
11.10% 11.10%
10.10%
9.14% 9.03%
10.30%
12.30%
14.00%
J U L - 1 5 A U G - 1 5 S E P - 1 5 O C T - 1 5 N O V - 1 5 D E C - 1 5 J A N - 1 6 F E B - 1 6 M A R - 1 6 A P R - 1 6 M A Y - 1 6 J U N - 1 6 J U L - 1 6
INFLATION RATE: TREND & FORECAST
17
Fuel, Mineral Oils & Products
34%
Raw Materials
8%
Semi-Finished Goods
9%
Finished Goods
49%
Proceeds of Exports by Degree of Processing
Fuel, Mineral Oils & Products Raw Materials Semi-Finished Goods Finished Goods
Proceeds of Exports
18
6. Foreign Trade
19
27,103
34,139
30,695
34,159
39,060
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
2010/2011 2011/2012 2012/2013 2013/2014 2014/2015
Balance of Payments
Export proceeds Import payments Trade Balance Dificit
20
20%
80%
2014/2015
Petroleum imports Other imports
47%
53%
2013/2014
Petroleum exports Other exports
40%
60%
2014/2015
Petroleum exports Other exports
22%
78%
2013/2014
Petroleum imports Other imports
Imports to Exports
Year on Year Comparison
21
60%
39%
1%
Fuel, Mineral Oils &
Products
Crude Oil
Petroleum Products
Coal & Types Thereof
4%
26%
12%6%
6%
45%
1%Raw Materials
Cotton
Potatoes
Citrus Fruits
Medicinal Plants
Spices & Vanilla
Dairy Eggs & Honey
Flax, Raw
28%
9%8%
12%
43%
Semi-Finished Goods
Carbon
Essential Oils & Resins
Aluminium, Unalloyed
Cotton Yarn
Organic & Inorganic
Chemicals
0.8%
9.9%
0.1%
7.5%
18.8%
6.7%
6.8%
5.8%
22.8%
20.8%
Finished Goods
Rice
Soap & Artificial Waxes
Dried Onion
Pharmaceuticals
Fertilizers
Carpets/Floor Coverings
Articles of Iron & Steel
Aluminium Articles
Ready-Made Clothes
Cotton Textiles
Proceeds of Exports
22
Payments for Imports
Fuel, Mineral Oils & Products
17%
Raw Materials
11%
Intermediate Goods
25%
Investment Goods
20%
Consumer Goods
25%
Undistributed Imports
2%Payments for Imports by Degree of Use
Fuel, Mineral Oils & Products Raw Materials Intermediate Goods Investment Goods Consumer Goods Undistributed Imports
23
6%
16%
16%
10%
9%
23%
4%
11%
5%Intermediate Goods
Animal & Veg. Fats,
Greases & Oils
Organic & Inorganic
Chemicals
Plastic & Articles Thereof
Wood & Articles and
Charcoal
Paper, Cardboard Paper
& Articles Thereof
Iron & Steel Products
Aluminium & Articles
99%
1%
Fuel, Mineral Oils &
Products
Petroleum Products
Coal & Types Thereof
24%
37%
22%
8%
7% 2%
Raw Materials
Crude Oil
Wheat
Maize
Tobacco
Iron Ore
Cotton
13.3%
21.5%
0.1%
40.8%
24.3%
Investment Goods
Computers
Motors, Generators &
Spare Parts
Vehicles for Passengers
Electric Appliances for Tel.
Optical Appliances
Payments for Imports
24
Payments for Imports - Consumer Goods
27.8%
72.2%
Consumer Goods Durable Goods Non-Durable Goods
6%
28%
66%
Durable Goods
Household Refrigerators
& Freezers
Televisions, Videos and
Computer Monitors
Cars
9.3% 1.7%
58.6%0.8%
16.0%
13.6%
Non-Durable Goods
Dairy Products, Eggs & Honey
Refined Sugar & Products
Pharmaceuticals
Insecticides
Ready-Made Clothes
Cotton Textiles
25
Exports & Imports By Geographical Distribution
31%
7%
5%
5%
20%
21%
2%
9%
Imports by Geographical
Distribution
EU
Other European Countries
Russian Federation & C.I.S.
USA
Arab Countries
Asian Countries
African Countries
Other Countries & Regions
33.4%
6.5%
1.2%
6.7%
30.7%
8.4%
3.1%
10.0%
Exports by Geographical
Distribution
EU
Other European Countries
Russian Federation & C.I.S.
USA
Arab Countries
Asian Countries
African Countries
Other Countries & Regions
49.9%
42.3%
46.8%
43.2%
36.3%
35.1%
31.5%
Merchandise Exports/Merchandise Imports
156.3%
136.5%
129.3%
106.1%
129.7%
118.0%
115.2%
Service Receipts/Service Payments Current
91.1%
86.4%
91.5%
96.4%
84.5%
80.1%
71.4%
Receipts/Current Payments
0.9%
1.4%
1.3%
1.4%
1.9%
0.4%
0.5%
FDI/GDP
26
Balance of Payments Indicators
-2.6%
-3.7%
-2.2%
-0.9%
-3.6%
-1.2%
-1.4%
-4.0%
-3.5%
-3.0%
-2.5%
-2.0%
-1.5%
-1.0%
-0.5%
0.0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
C u r r e n t A c c o u n t / G D P
27
Balance of Payments Indicators
-11.5%
-12.4%
-10.7%
-11.3% -11.7%
-2.9% -2.7%
-13.0%
-11.0%
-9.0%
-7.0%
-5.0%
-3.0%
-1.0%
1.0%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
T r a d e B a l a n c e / G D P
882.2
472.6
1283.2
416.1
595.1
1259.8
92.5
820.5
512.9
845.1
602.1
204.4
150.4
58
0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400
United Arab Emirates
China
Italy
Germany
Saudi Arabia
United States of America
Russia
United Kingdom
Turkey
India
France
Switzerland
The Netherlands
Kuwait
28
Egypt's Value of Exports with Main Trade Partners [US$ MN]
2053.6
2826.1
1080.6
1704.9
2715.8
1745.8
904.2
1003.8
1280.4
934.8
1213.9
1067.1
548.6
1381.2
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000
United Arab Emirates
China
Italy
Germany
Saudi Arabia
United States of America
Russia
United Kingdom
Turkey
India
France
Switzerland
The Netherlands
Kuwait
29
Egypt's Value of Imports with Main Trade Partners[US$ MN]
16%
84%
Free Zones Imports
Oil industrial imports
Non-oil commodity imports
30
Free Zones Transactions
8%
92%
Free Zones Exports
Oil industrial exports
Non-oil commodity exports
3,922
3,888
4,188
4,407
5,219
4,492
4,008
5,790
2012 2013 2014 2015
Free Zones Import & Export 2012-2015 (US$ MN)
Free Zones Exports Free Zones Imports
31
Main Exports by Commodity
& Geographical Distribution
25%
14%
32%
18%
11%
Ready-Made Clothes
E.U.
Oth. Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
51%
5%
2%
23%
19%
Crude Oil
E.U.
Oth. Eur.
Arab
Asia
Other
42%
5%17%
9%
9%
18%
Petroleum Products
E.U.
Oth. Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
14%
1%
71%
8%
6%
Machines &
Electric Appliances
E.U.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
32
Main Exports by Commodity
& Geographical Distribution
50%
15%
13%
15%
5%
2%
Fertilizers
E.U.
Oth. Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
27%
23%
32%
12%
6%
Cotton Textiles
E.U.
Oth. Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
3%
7%
7%
83%
Gold, Pearls
& Precious Stones
E.U.
USA
Arab
Other
23%
12%
2%
57%
2%
4% Plastic
E.U.
Oth. Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
33
Main Exports by Commodity
& Geographical Distribution
9%
9%
77%
2%
3%
Dairy Products, Eggs
& Honey
E.U.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
31%
3%
5%
40%
13%
8%
Frozen, Chilled or Fresh
Vegetables & Plants
E.U.
Oth. Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
28%
6%
9%
33%
8%
16%
Organic & Inorganic
Chemicals
E.U.
Oth. Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
12%
1%
70%
5%
12%
Cars, Bicycles
& Tractors
E.U.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
34
Main Imports by Commodity
& Geographical Distribution
16%
4%
5%
46%
28% 1%
Plastic
E.U.
Oth.
Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
33%
6%
2%
40%
2%
17%
Petroleum Products
E.U.
Oth. Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
60%
12%
6%
8%
12%
2%
Pharmaceuticals
E.U.
Oth. Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
19%
17%
2%
24%
19%
19%
Iron & Steel Products
E.U.
Oth.
Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
100%
Crude Oil
Arab
30%
1%
2%
30%
36%
1%
Cars
E.U.
Oth.
Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
17%
1%
1% 6%
0.57%
75%
Wheat
E.U.
Oth. Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
37%
9%
6%
17%
28%
3%
Organic & Inorganic Chemicals
E.U.
Oth.
Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
35
Main Imports by Commodity
& Geographical Distribution
16%
5%
14%
25%
1%
39%
Maize
E.U.
Oth. Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
12%
1%
1%
36%
49%
1%
Electric Appliances for Tel.
& Telegraph
E.U.
Oth. Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
79%
1%
5% 2%
12%
1%
Motors, Generators, Transformers
E.U.
Oth. Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
28%
3%
3%
7%
56%
3%
Spare Parts &
Accessories for Cars
E.U.
Oth. Eur.
USA
Arab
Asia
Other
36
Main Imports by Commodity
& Geographical Distribution
37
TREASURY AND RESEARCH
Khaled Ahmed Eid (+202) 2290 9301 KhaledEid@nbo.co.om
38
National Bank of Oman, Treasury and Research Division, 133/135 Abdel Aziz Fahmy Street, Egypt

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