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Effective energy efficiency policy implementation targeting
“New Modern Energy CONsumers” in the Greater Mekong Subregion
Funded by UK Research Councils’ Energy Program, the department for International Development (DFID) and the
Department for Energy and Climate Change (DECC), and managed by the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research
Council (EPSRC)
2nd Stakeholder meeting, FE/NUOL, Vientiane, Lao PDR
25 ກັ ນຍາ 2015
ການວິ ເຄາະຄວາມຄຸ້ ມຄ່ າຕ່ ການໃຊຸ້ ເຄ່ ອງໄຟຟຸ້ າ ໃນ
ຄົ ວເຮອນ ຢ່ ໃນ ສປປ ລາວ
ນາສະເໜີ ໂດຍ: ດຣ. ກິ ນນະເລດ ວົ ງຈັ ນ
ພາກວິ ຊາ ວິ ສະວະກາກົ ນຈັ ກ
ຄະນະວິ ສະວະກາສາດ
ມະຫາວິ ທະຍາໄລແຫ່ ງຊາດ, ສ. ປ. ປ. ລາວ
2. ສາລະບານ
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Effective energy efficiency policy implementation targeting
“New Modern Energy CONsumers” in the Greater Mekong Subregion
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• ການໃຊຸ້ ອປະກອນພາຍໃນຄົ ວເຮອນ
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• ຄວາມຕຸ້ ອງການທາງດຸ້ ານພະລັ ງງານໃນຄົ ວເຮອນ ໃນປີ 2030
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• ການວິ ເຄາະຄວາມຄມຄ່ າຂອງການໃຊຸ້ ອປະກອນປະຢັ ດ
ພະລັ ງງານ
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• ພາກສະຫບ
3. ສະພາບປະຊາກອນ ແລະ GDP ຢ່ ໃນ
ລາວ
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Effective energy efficiency policy implementation targeting
“New Modern Energy CONsumers” in the Greater Mekong Subregion
• 2013: 6.77 ລຸ້ ານ ຄົ ນ
• 2030: 9.33 ລຸ້ ານ ຄົ ນ
• ອັ ດຕາການເພີ່ ມຂຸ້ ນ ຕ່ ປີ : 1.9%
• 37.81% ຂອງຈານວນປະກອນໃນປີ
2030 ສງກວ່ າ 2013
• ຈານວນປະຊາກອນ MECON ກວມເອົ າ
ປະມານ 38% in 2013 and 47% in
2030 ຂອງຈານວນປະຊາກອນທັ ງໝົ ດ
4. ສະພາບປະຊາກອນ ແລະ GDP ຢ່ ໃນລາວ
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Effective energy efficiency policy implementation targeting
“New Modern Energy CONsumers” in the Greater Mekong Subregion
• ອັ ດຕາການເພີ່ ມຂຸ້ ນຂອງ GDP 7 to 8%. GDP ຕ່ ຫົ ວຄົ ນໄດຸ້ ເຖິ ງ US$ 1128 in 2010
(current market price) and US$ 2,292 (2005PPP)
• ແຕ່ ວ່ າ GDP ຍັ ງກວມອັ ດຕາສ່ ວນຫາຍສດໃນບັ ນດາຂະແໜງລາຍໄດຸ້ ອັ ນອ່ ນ (31% in
2010)
• 1993-2010 ສະແດງໃຫຸ້ ເຫັ ນວ່ າ ລາຍໄດຸ້ ຂອງປະເທດລາວໄດຸ້ ເລີ່ ມປ່ ຽນຈາກ ການກະສິ ກາ
ມາສ່ ການບລິ ການ ແລະ ອດສະຫະກາ
55.02
30.81
19.02
27.35
25.96
41.83
-
20.00
40.00
60.00
80.00
100.00
120.00
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
Contribution Shares in GDP
Agriculture
Industry
Services
2,292
1,128
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
2005
2007
2009
GDP, US$/capita
GDP (PPP2005) Market price
8. ສະພາບການໃຊຸ້ ອປະກອນພາຍໃນຄົ ວ
ເຮອນ
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Effective energy efficiency policy implementation targeting
“New Modern Energy CONsumers” in the Greater Mekong Subregion
Lighting
Fluorescent
Incandescent
Compact
fluorescent
LED
Cooking
Electric
cooking
Rice
cooker
Microwave
oven
LPG
cooking
stove
Charcoal
cooking
Wood
cooking
stove
Kerosene
cooking
stove
Cleaning
Washing
machine
Vacuum
cleaner
Entertainme
nt
TV
VDO
Radio
Computer
Hifi
system
Cooling
AC
Refrigerator
Fan
Heating
Electric
kettle
Water
heater
Solar
water
heater
Electric
heater
Other
Electric
iron
Water
pump
11. ຄວາມຕຸ້ ອງການທາງດຸ້ ານພະລັ ງງານໃນຄົ ວ
ເຮອນ ປີ 2030
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Effective energy efficiency policy implementation targeting
“New Modern Energy CONsumers” in the Greater Mekong Subregion
13. ຄວາມຕຸ້ ອງການທາງດຸ້ ານພະລັ ງງານໃນຄົ ວ
ເຮອນ ປີ 2030
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Effective energy efficiency policy implementation targeting
“New Modern Energy CONsumers” in the Greater Mekong Subregion
ສົ ມມດຖານຂອງແຕ່ ລະຮບແບບມີ ດັ່ ງນີ ຸ້ :
HEE HMEE MEE
• Assumes 100% penetration of
efficient appliances by 2030
• The share of efficient appliances
will increase gradually from the
current level to reach 100% by
2030.
• Incandescent, Fluorescent, LCD
will be phased out 100% by LED
• Other equipment like AC,
refrigerator, kettle, water heater,
electric winter heater, washing
machine, electric cooking stove,
rice cooker, microwave...
Traditional technologies will be
replaced by efficient ones
• Incandescent: 100%-> 20%
Replace by CFL: 60% and LED: 40%
• Fluorescent: 100%-> 20%
Replaced: 100% LED
• CFL: 100%-> 20%
Replaced:100% LED
• LED=>0%-> 20%
• Electric Cooking devices:
replaced by EE product to be
80%, LPG:80%, biomass and
charcoal cooking become 100%
• AC=> 80% EE, frig=> 80%,
fan=>80%
• Heating => 70%
• TV => 80%
• Cleaning=>80%
• Iron => 70%
• Incandescent: 100%-> 30%
Replace by CFL: 50% and LED: 50%
• Fluorescent: 100%-> 30%
Replaced: 100% LED
• CFL: 100%-> 40%
Replaced:100% LED
• Electric Cooking devices:
replaced by EE product to be
50%, LPG:50%, biomass and
charcoal cooking become 90%
• AC=> 60% EE, frig=> 70%,
fan=>60%
• Heating => 50%
• TV=>60%
• Cleaning=>60%
• Iron => 50%
14. ການວິ ເຄາະຄວາມຄມຄ່ າຂອງການໃຊຸ້ ອປະກອນ
ປະຢັ ດພະລັ ງງານ
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Effective energy efficiency policy implementation targeting
“New Modern Energy CONsumers” in the Greater Mekong Subregion
15. ການວິ ເຄາະຄວາມຄມຄ່ າຂອງການໃຊຸ້ ອປະກອນ
ປະຢັ ດພະລັ ງງານ
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Effective energy efficiency policy implementation targeting
“New Modern Energy CONsumers” in the Greater Mekong Subregion
16. ການວິ ເຄາະຄວາມຄມຄ່ າຂອງການໃຊຸ້ ອປະກອນ
ປະຢັ ດພະລັ ງງານ
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Effective energy efficiency policy implementation targeting
“New Modern Energy CONsumers” in the Greater Mekong Subregion