A detailed analysis of Performance levels amongst 25 of Europe's top 25 teams

1. The Future Game??

2. Content!
A 6 year revolution
Hot Zone ratio’s
Possession
Position profiling

3. The distant past?
Charles Reep
First meaningful analysis of football
1950-1967
• 90% of all possessions
end in less than 4 passes

4. Comparing Charles Reep’s Analysis
to the modern game
Number of passes before possession is lost
50.0%
Frequency
37.5%
25.0%
12.5%
0.0%
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Number of passes
1953-67
Prem league 2012
Spain u21s
7+

5. Premier League Long passing
% long passes - Over 35m
18%
17.3%
16%
16.6%
15%
14%
15.3%
14.2%
12.9%
12%
12.1%
11.9%
10%
8%
2006-7
2007-8
2008-9
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14

6. World Cup 2006

7. Spain’s Journey
Successful Pass Count
700
626
525
527
481
454
350
175
0
World Cup 2006
Euro 2008
World Cup 2010
Euro 2012

8. Spain’s Journey
Pass Accuracy
90%
90%
89%
88%
88%
88%
Euro 2008
World Cup 2010
87%
87%
86%
World Cup 2006
Euro 2012

9. Spain’s Journey
Possession in oppositions half
Euro 2008
46.8%
54%
World Cup 2010
59%
Euro 2012
40%
45%
50%
55%
60%
65%

10. Spain’s Journey
Defensive
100
100
96
95
86
80
83
80
60
60
40
40
20
20
0
0
World Cup 2006
Euro 2008
Tackles
World Cup 2010
Interceptions
Euro 2012

11. Spain’s Journey
Other Changes
Less Shots -19 to 15
More shots in the area - up to 58%
Less Crosses per game - 12.75 to 9.17
Shot/goal ratio up to 12.6%

12. The Hot Zone

13. The Hot Zone

14. Ratio of Shots attempted in hot zone v shots conceded
in hot Zone
Season to 23/11/13
Hot zone shot analysis
3
Goal
Difference
Bayern
Athletico M
Man City
20+
Dortmund
Arsenal
Real
2
WBA
Stoke
West Ham
1
0
Barca
10+
Southampton
Chelsea
Spurs
Liverpool
Everton
Man U
Swansea
0+
Newcastle
Aston V Norwich
Cardiff
C.PalaceHull
Sunderland
Fulham
0
100
200
300
400
passes per game
30+
-10
500
600
700
-20

15. Ratio of Shots attempted in hot zone v shots conceded
in hot Zone
Season to 23/11/13
80% shot zone analysis
3
Goal
Difference
Bayern
Athletico M
Man City
20+
Dortmund
Arsenal
Real
2
WBA
Stoke
West Ham
1
0
30+
Barca
10+
Southampton
Chelsea
Spurs
Liverpool
Everton
Man U
Swansea
0+
Teams with a Ratio in excess of 2
Newcastle
Aston V Norwich
Cardiff
C.PalaceHull
Sunderland
Fulham
0
100
200
300
400
passes per game
-10
500
600
700
-20

16. Most prolific Creators in the Hot Zone
9
8.7
8.7
8.6
8.3
7.9
7.8
6
3.8
3
0
Bayern
Dortmund
Man City Real Madrid Athletico
Hot Zone shots
Barca
CCFC 18s

17. Bayern 3 v 0 Augsburg
Overall analysis

18. Bayern 3 v 0 Augsburg
Hot Zone shots

19. Bayern 3 v 0 Augsburg
Shot assists

20. Least prolific Creators in the
Hot Zone
3.9
4
3.1
3
3.1
Sunderland
C.Palace
Hot Zone shots
4
2.8
2
1
0
Fulham
CCFC
Aston Villa

21. Meanest Hot Zone Defences
4
3.75
3.75
Dortmund
Spurs
3.42
3
2.92
3
Bayern
Athletico
3.08
2
1
0
Man City
Arsenal
Hot Zone shots

22. Bayern 3 v 0 Augsburg
Augsburg Hot Zone shots

23. Bayern 3 v 0 Augsburg
Augsburg Shot assists

24. Hot Zone Data!
Implications for us!
Performance analysis measure
Hot Zone coaching - Creativity
Coaching Defending the Hot Zone
Scoring Conversion rate

25. Possession

26. % Wins
100%
100%
% wins
75%
80%
81%
50%
48%
46%
35%
25%
23%
0%
200-299
300-399
400-499
500-599
Pass Count
600-699
700-799
800-899

27. % Loses
48%
50%
38%
37.5%
35%
% loses
29%
25%
10%
12.5%
0%
0%
200-299
300-399
400-499
500-599
Pass Count
600-699
700-799
0%
800-899

28. Forward Passes
65%
A.Madrid
C.Palace
% Forward
60%
Aston Villa
Stoke
Dortmund
WBA Hull Newcastle
Norwich
Man Utd
Spurs
Fulham
Sunderland
Arsenal
Swansea
Southampton
West Ham
Everton
Cardiff Real
Barca
Chelsea
55%
50%
Liverpool
Bayern
Man City
45%
40%
0
100
200
300
400
500
Pass Count
600
700
800

29. Pass Accuracy
No of players over 90%
60
57
48
42
36
24
12
0
2012-13
2013-14

30. Pass Accuracy
Jaeson Rosenfeld study (StatDna)
Studied 100,000 passes in Brazilian Serie A
Calibrated passes by Difficulty rating
including
• Pass Distance
• Pressure on receiver
• Forward Pass
• Air Pass
• Head Pass
• One Touch pass

31. Pass Accuracy
No discernable difference on the pass quality
Most accurate passers will:
✓ Get in right place to receive
✓ Find pockets with limited pressure
✓ Engineer easier passes by virtue of their
position on the pitch
✓ Accuracy dominated by simplification

32. Pass Accuracy
No discernable difference on
the pass quality
Least accurate passers will:
✓ Be position poor
✓ Dwell on the ball
✓ Poor body shape on
receipt
✓ Over complicate

33. Possession!
Implications for us!
How do we measure it! !
Pass accuracy!
Movement patterns -Support or hurt!
Pitch geography!
Pass profiles!

34. Position profiling - Jerome Boateng
Champions League - Man City v Bayern Munich

35. Position profiling - Jerome Boateng
Man City v Bayern Munich - Overall dashboard

36. Position profiling - Jerome Boateng
Man City v Bayern Munich - Passes

37. Position profiling - Jerome Boateng
Man City v Bayern Munich - Attacking third passes

38. Position profiling - Jerome Boateng
Man City v Bayern Munich - Middle third passes

39. Position profiling - Jerome Boateng
Man City v Bayern Munich - Defensive third passes

40. Position profiling - Jerome Boateng
Man City v Bayern Munich - Short passing dashboard

41. Position profiling - Jerome Boateng
Man City v Bayern Munich - Long passing dashboard

42. Position profiling - Jerome Boateng
Man City v Bayern Munich - Passes received

43. Position profiling - Jerome Boateng
Man City v Bayern Munich - Defensive dashboard

44. Position profiling - Marc Bartra
Centre Back

45. Position profiling - Marc Bartra
Centre Back

46. Position profiling - Dani Alves
Champions League - AC Milan v Barcelona

47. Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves
AC Milan v Barcelona - Overall dashboard

48. Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves
AC Milan v Barcelona - Overall Passing dashboard

49. Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves
AC Milan v Barcelona - Attacking third Passing dashboard

50. Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves
AC Milan v Barcelona - Middle third Passing dashboard

51. Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves
AC Milan v Barcelona - Defensive third Passing dashboard

52. Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves
AC Milan v Barcelona - Long Passing dashboard

53. Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves
AC Milan v Barcelona - Short Passing dashboard

54. Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves
AC Milan v Barcelona - Chances created dashboard

55. Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves
AC Milan v Barcelona - Passes received dashboard

56. Position profiling - Right Back Dani Alves
AC Milan v Barcelona - Defensive dashboard