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Climate tech
🌲🌲🌲
AGENDA
2
Intro to Climate
Tech
10min 15min 10min 10min
Let’s start with the
basics
What’s the investor’s
point of view?
👨🎓‍‍ 🕵
Investments /
Investors
Let’s dig deeper #1 Let’s dig deeper #2
🛒
🚚
Supply Chain
Transparency
Voluntary
Carbon Market
Part 1
Intro to
Climate Tech.
3
Climate disasters abound
4
If nothing changes to reduce emissions –
global temperature is on track to rise by
2.5’C to 4.5’C by 2100
Source: Nasa
Halting climate change will be costly 💸💸
5
$4Tr yearly investment by 2030 in clean
energy is needed to restore and adapt to
the impact of climate change
Source: Sustainable Markets Initiative, International Energy Agency
“It is my belief that the next 1,000
unicorns won’t be a search engine,
won’t be a media company, they’ll be
businesses developing green hydrogen,
green agriculture, green steel and green
cement”
Larry Fink CEO & Chairman of Blackrock
“there will be eight Teslas, ten Teslas, but
only one of them is well-known today”
Bill Gates on Climate Tech
What can we do as a VC? … well there’s something called
Climate Tech that brings along some nice Xs🤑 🤑
7
/ˈklʌɪmət/tɛk/ : Technologies explicitly focused on reducing GHG emissions /
addressing the impacts of climate change
Climate Tech - not just a buzzword
🐝
Source: PwC, dealroom
8
1. Directly mitigate /
remove emissions
2. Help adapt to the
impacts of climate
change
3. Enhance our
understanding of
the climate
OR OR
E.g. Renewables,
alternative protein, clean
industry, carbon capture &
removal
E.g. Crop protection, water
recycling, climate
insurance, nature
conserve
E.g. Carbon tracking,
monitoring
Climate Tech - not just a buzzword
🐝
Source: PwC, dealroom
Climate Tech subsectors
9
Source: TechFounders, Unep, CTVC
• Smart mobility & micromobility
• EVs & infrastructure
• 0 emission aviation & shipping
• Alternative fuels
• Recycling & efficient
manufacturing
• Steel, cement, chemicals
• Metals and mining
• Sustainable finance and
investment
• Climate risk & reporting
• Carbon offsets/marketplaces
• Energy and resource-efficient
building and renovating
• Heating and cooling
• Construction
• Clean and secure energy
• Grid management
• Energy storage
• Healthy and sustainable food
system
• Alternative proteins
• Farming methods
MOBILITY
BUILDINGS
INDUSTRY FINANCE
INSURANCE
& ANALYTICS
FOOD &
AGRICULTURE
ENERGY
No clear line – other vertical
divisions include: climate
mgmt, carbon.
Maturity of Climate Tech
Sub-headline
10
Source: CTVC
Specific sectors & subsectors (mobility, energy, food) have experienced more
innovation activity and development in the past 2 years
11
Prototype stage
- R&D
Demonstration
stage – full scale
demo /pilot
Commercial
adoption – proven
commercial BMs
• Direct air carbon
capture and storage
• Low GHG iron and steel
• Low GHG shipping
• Alternative foods
• Food waste technology
• Green hydrogen
• Sustainable aviation
fuel
• Light-duty battery EVs
• Solar & wind power
• Micro mobility
Source: PwC
Classifying the maturity of Climate Tech
Some energy & mobility climate tech solutions are already commercially adopted
Source: CTVC
12
Mobility & transport deepdive
Key trends & innovations Maturity
Unicorns 🦄
• Innovations & focus areas: EVs, electrifying transport
systems, micro mobility, low GHG shipping, new
mobility models
• Uber, Lime and Arrival committed to net zero
emissions by 2035
• Most funded sector
• Commercial adoption of: light-duty batter EVs, micro
mobility
• Demonstration: Sustainable aviation fuels
• Prototype: Low GHG shipping
∼55%
of
🦄s
⚠ Out of 78 total (according to PwC), 47 total
(HolonIQ)
Source: PwC, HolonIQ, Cavalry Analysis
13
Food, agriculture & land use deepdive
Key trends & innovations Maturity
Unicorns 🦄
• Plant-based meat and dairy alternatives
• New pressure to reduced food loss and waste
• New farming methods (e.g. vertical and urban
farming)
• Demonstration stage of alternative foods
∼15% of
🦄s
Source: PwC, HolonIQ, Cavalry Analysis
14
Energy
Key trends & innovations Maturity
Unicorns 🦄
• Current investor interest is driven by hydrogen and
energy storage – further fuelled by several national
hydrogen strategies
• ReFUelEU Aviation initiative aims to reach 5%
sustainable fuel in EU by 2030, 63% by 2050
• Commercial adoption: renewables(solar & wind)
• Demonstration of CCUS in power and sustainable
aviation fuels
• Prototype of ocean and tidal power and direct air
carbon capture and storage
∼10% of
🦄s
Source: PwC, HolonIQ, Cavalry Analysis
15
Industry, manufacturing & resource mgmt deepdive
Key trends & innovations Maturity
Unicorns 🦄
• Fastest growing lever is low GHG iron, steel and
aluminium
• Initiatives such as SteelZero commit to procure 50%
net zerp steel by 2030 and 100% by 2050
• Most developed subsectors are circularity recycling
/ material efficiency and energy/resource efficient
manufacturing
∼10% of
🦄s
Source: PwC, HolonIQ, Cavalry Analysis
16
Finance, insurance and analytics
Key trends & innovations Maturity
Unicorns 🦄
• Often separated/including carbon & climate
management
• Creation of green & new products, assessment of
climate risk
• Fastest growing lever is climate risk and resilience
management
• Most funded levels are climate/earth data
generation
∼ 5% of
🦄s
Source: PwC, HolonIQ, Cavalry Analysis
17
Buildings
Key trends & innovations Maturity
Unicorns 🦄
• Buildings and materials move towards becoming
more efficient, smarter and cheaper
• Global Cement and Concrete Association is set out
to achieve net zero by 2050
• Fastest growing lever is building level electricity and
thermal storage
• Most funded lever is smart management of devices
<5% of
🦄s *soonicorn
Source: PwC, HolonIQ, Cavalry Analysis
Part 2
Venture Capital
in Climate Tech
18
Investments
Venture Capital in climate tech 🤠
14
20
Climate tech investment now accounts
for 14 cents of every VC dollar
Where are we today? - Size & Volume 🌍
21
Source: PwC State of Climate Tech 2021
Climate tech startup funding is booming…
… however numbers of early stage rounds
have stagnated since 2018.
Where are we today? - Geographies
22
💸
💸
💸 💸
💸 💸
💸 💸
💸
💸
Start-up HQ
San Francisco
London
Berlin
New York
Boston
Stockholm
Amsterdam
Paris
Seattle
Los Angeles
65%
NA
10%
CHN
21%
EU
4%
other
North America has been the most prominent region for
attracting climate tech investments.
Source: PwC State of Climate Tech 2021
Where are we today? - Size & Volume
🇪🇺
‍
23
Source: Dealroom
The European climate tech ecosystem is
following the same trend, doubling down
in value since 2020…
… while early-stage investment has
increased 2.5x since 2017.
How has climate tech investment performed?
24
The EIP Climate Tech Index tracks the
performance of public companies that
support global decarbonization.
Source: Energy Impact Partners
Climate tech companies have
outperformed the Nasdaq since 2018.
Climate tech investments vs. other verticals
25
Since 2017, climate tech is the fastest-
growing investment vertical in Europe
(10x).
Only fintech startups have attracted more
investment in Europe ($24B vs $12B).
Source: Dealroom
🇪🇺
‍
What’s
🔥
right now?
26
Source: Pitchbook
Company Hq Focus Deal size ($m) Close date (2022)
Climeworks 🇨🇭‍ Direct Air Capture 650 April 5
Crusoe Energy Systems 🇺🇸‍ Gas & Oil 505 April 20
Group14 Technologies 🇺🇸‍ Battery 400 May 4
Upside Foods 🇺🇸‍ Food 400 March 22
Plenty 🇺🇸‍ Vertical Farming 400 Jan 25
Palmetto 🇺🇸‍ Solar 375 Feb 24
Beta Technologies 🇺🇸‍ Electric aerospace 375 April 4
Hozon 🇨🇳‍ Electric vehicles 315 Feb 20
Volta Trucks 🇸🇪‍ Electrics trucks 261 Feb 21
Sunfire 🇩🇪‍ Green Hydrogen 216 March 24
Notable deals in 2022
27
Source: Holon IQ, CTVC
Though still small, the number of climate tech
unicorns is growing. Of the 1,000 Unicorns today,
the 78 in climate tech make up 7.8% of the overall
herd (29 new in 2021).
Younger climate tech companies are taking less
time to become unicorns. Almost 60% of the
climate tech unicorns in 2021 reached the
coveted $1B status in less than 7 years (industry
baseline).
Watershed brings more software+carbon to
the climate tech mix.
What’s
🔥
right now?
What about
🦄
?
28
Source: Dealroom
There are now 16 European climate tech
unicorns, 11 of which were created in 2021.
A majority of these unicorns are deep tech
companies, but an emerging class of non
deep tech unicorns can be observed.
What about
🇪🇺🦄
‍ ?
What’s
🔥
right now?
What’s next?
29
How will the current market environment impact climate tech fundings ?
Source: CTVC
There’s ample climate capital to keep
investing despite economic downturns.
Capital will likely flow towards earlier
stage companies with a return curve
further out, and into quality later-stage
companies that have more traditional
revenue return profiles.
Dry powder indicates how the sector
would still be able to support growth.
What’s next?
30
Where will we find the next gigacorns?
Gigacorns: a company that has achieved lowering or sequestering CO2 emissions by
1GT/year while being commercially viable.
❓
Source: PwC State of Climate Tech 2021
Investors
Venture Capital in climate tech 🤠
Who are they?
32
Source: CTVC
Overview of the 170+ climate tech investors 🌍
33
Source: CTVC
Fund size is usually between $100-499m,
with a majority of climate-sector specific,
climate first, and generalist VCs.
North America and Europe VCs lead the
race, with 80% of the investors focusing on
early stage rounds (pre-seed, seed, early).
Who are they?
Climate tech VCs by size, strategy, stage, and geography
34
Who are they?
The line between generalist and climate tech specialist VCs is blurring.
Climate tech specialist VCs vs Generalist VCs
Source: Dealroom & Talis
35
Who are they?
Dedicated European climate tech funds raised in 2021
More than $2.6bn was raised in Europe in 2021 to fuel climate tech investments.
Source: CTVC
What’s next?
36
What regulations will catalyse climate tech investments? 👨⚖‍‍ 👩⚖‍‍
Source: EU Green Deal
REPower EU
Fit for 55: reach 2030 targets of 55% GHG
reduction(focus on energy, building, mobility)
Environmental and resource package
(focus on resources, environment, biodiversity)
2019 EU Green Deal
Packages
Strategies & legislative proposals
Goal
Independence
from Russian
energy imports
by 2027 (coal, oil,
gas)
CBAM
Renewable
Energy
Directive
LULUCF
Energy
Tayation
Directive
Refuel
Aviation
Alternative
Fuel Infra
FuelEU
Maritime
TEN-T
Policy
EU ETS I & II
Energy
Efficiency
Directive
Energy Perf.
Of buildings
Hydrogen &
decarboniz
ed gas
package
Zero
Pollution
Action Plan
Farm to
Fork
Strategy
Biodiversity
Strategy
Soil
Strategy
Circular Economy Action Plan II
EU taxonomy for investments in sustainable activities
Part 3
Deep Dives
37
38
Don’t worry! It is not all hardware 😎
Source: pinver
Supply Chain Transparency
Deep Dive #1 🤠
40
Pain points
⭐
⭐
⭐
Supply chains are a pain for decision makers
Source: IOT Analytics
⭐
41
How are pain points related to climate?
Upstream
shortages
Global
dependencies
Downstream
demand meeting
8 highly
polluting supply
chains account
for 50% total
global
emissions
⚠ Automotive & electronics are 2 of the dirtiest
supply chains driven primarily by batteries (ironic)
Disruption due to
extreme weather
events
Contributors to climate change Impacted by climate change
Materials
Others
Security of supply
Waste
We need decarbonized and resilient supply chains.
Source: Linkedin, accenture, gartner
42
🛑✋Supply chain 101 before diving deeper
Supply chains are actually supply networks Supply chain emissions scope terminology
🏭Scope 1: GHG emissions created by a company
directly (e.g. machine running, own
transportation)
⚡Scope 2: indirect emissions, (e.g. electricity
from power companies)
🛍Scope 3: all emissions that a company is
indirectly responsible for (e.g. 3rd party suppliers,
partners and customers)
Though the term might be misleading, supply chains
have little resemblance to chains.
The efficiency and cost optimization objective of
supply network does not enable easy transparency and
resilience.
Source: CTVC, FT
43
How big is the problem?
Ratio of scope 2 & 3 emissions to scope 1 (2019)
Scope 3 generally accounts for 60% of total emissions - and is extremely
complicated to monitor
Source: CTVC, FT, CDP
44
What is the solution?
Transparency Traceability
A value chain is only as strong as its weakest link
Source: CTVC, accenture
Ability to broadly map the entire
supply chain
Ability to trace the impact of
individual components within a
supply chain
+
Visibility on decarbonization (quantify emissions) and resilience (qualify risks)
45
What is the solution?
Supply chain transparency – traceability spectrum
Source: CTVC
Players are tapping into the whole spectrum of transparency - traceability
solutions
46
What’s
🔥
in supply chain transparency?
Source: CTVC
Supply chain intelligence market map
47
Ratings & risk analytics tools
Enable companies to identify,
map, and engage with their
supply chain network, in a
broad form. They allow for
assessment of concentrations
of risk (e.g. regulatory
disruptions, climate-related
events), and facilitate real-time
monitoring within a single
platform
Provider of business sustainability ratings.
Monitor and improve the sustainability
performance of their business and trading
partners. Evidence-based ratings are validated
by a global team of experts. Its actionable
scorecards provide benchmarks, insights, and a
guided improvement journey for environmental,
social and ethical practices.
Founded in 2007, now raised USD700M & became
a unicorn
What’s
🔥
in supply chain transparency?
Source: CTVC, crunchbase
48
What’s
🔥
in supply chain transparency?
Source: CTVC
Supply chain intelligence market map
49
Sustainability & quality control platforms
Help companies meet
compliance, quality, and
sustainability requirements
across their products’ lifecycle
by establishing a complete
overview of multi-tier supply
chains
Offers its customers a global network of
responsible and carefully monitored suppliers
so companies can better source environmentally
conscious inputs with the ability to offset the rest
through carbon removal projects
Founded in 2020, series A USD32,2M
Backed by
What’s
🔥
in supply chain transparency?
Source: CTVC, crunchbase
50
What’s
🔥
in supply chain transparency?
Source: CTVC
Supply chain intelligence market map
51
Product & commodity-level emission quantification
Automate carbon accounting
of supply chains, at a product /
commission level. This is very
different depending on
industries, as many tackle the
issue vertically.
Fast, scalable life-cycle assessments of
materials and products to help fashion brands
lower their carbon emissions.
Founded in 2021, series A USD2,1M
Backed by
What’s
🔥
in supply chain transparency?
Source: CTVC, crunchbase
What’s next in supply chain transparency?
52
What is next
Prepare for when regulation gets serious
As SEC climate disclosure momentum grows,
anticipate more homegrown US supply
chain solutions.
Not forgetting Scope 3! Net zero will never be
reached by targeting Scope 1 & 2 alone
As an investor you should look out for…
Source: CTVC, accenture
Verticalization first - supply chains are
industry specific… it makes sense to land 1
and then expand
It’s not only about the GHG - weakest links in
supply chains related to other ESG must also
be addressed
Voluntary Carbon Market (VCM)
Deep Dive #2 🤠
What’s wrong right now? 🤯
54
Source: SwissRe
For most 1.5ºC pathways, even with
drastic decarbonization, 6-10 Gt of CO2
will need to be removed yearly by
2050 (10-15x Germany’s yearly CO2
emissions).
2500 Gt tons of CO2 have been sent
into the atmosphere since 1850 – half
in the last 30 years - and additionally
50bn tons of CO2 are dumped yearly.
We need to drain the bathtub in addition to turning off the tap
How does the VCM differentiate from the mandatory market?
55
Mandatory vs Voluntary Carbon Market
Carbon Offsetting: is financing the reduction of expected greenhouse gas (GHG)
emissions elsewhere for an amount that equals your own realized GHG emissions.
❓
Source: Sustainalize
CO2 Cap Net Zero
How does the VCM differentiate from the mandatory market?
56
Emission Reductions vs Carbon Removals
Source: SwissRe
Traditional carbon offsets result in
emitted carbon staying in the system.
Carbon removals actually take
carbon out from the system.
Mandatory market Voluntary market
How can we gauge the quality of a carbon offset?
57
4 essential criteria to consider
Additionality
Would that carbon be offset if the credit wasn’t
generated?
● If an offset is issued from a forest preserve
protected in perpetuity, that offset is not
“additional.”
Leakage
What is the risk of displacing activities that
cause greenhouse gas emissions from the
project site to another site?
● If an offset is meant to protect a patch of
the Amazon from deforestation from soy
cultivation, but a separate patch of the
Amazon is cut down for soy instead, then
that offset resulted in “leakage.”
Permanence
What is the risk of stored carbon being re-
released into the atmosphere?
● How do you account for the flux in
durability of storage either through
voluntary (intentional) or involuntary
(extreme weather, exogenous biotic or
abiotic factors) reversal events?
Verification
Can the offset be verified through a registry and
science-based methodology?
● New methodologies for removals (e.g.,
sinking carbon-dense kelp to the ocean
floor, etc.) can be difficult and time
consuming to verify, delaying actual
removals.
Source: Oxford
How can we gauge the quality of a carbon offset?
58
Taxonomy of Carbon Offsets
Source: Oxford
How was originally the VCM?
59
The Legacy Voluntary Carbon Market
Source: CTVC
🤯
🤑
🤑
60
The
🔥
segments of the VCM market
Source: CTVC
How does the VCM function?
What’s
🔥
in the VCM?
61
Direct Procurement
Source: CTVC
62
Direct Procurement
Source: CTVC, Stripe Climate, Stripe
New players enable companies
to directly procure carbon
credits without brokers and
middlemen.
Carbon removals are sold as
“future vintages”, that means,
commitments to support
projects that will remove carbon
in the future. This also enables
more ambitious projects to be
developed.
Via Stripe Climate, Stripe allows its clients to
direct part of their revenue to help scale
emerging carbon technologies easily.
By doing this, more demand is created and
carbon removal technologies can get down the
cost curve and up the volume curve.
Stripe portfolio includes Climeworks, Project
Vesta, Charm Industrial and Carbon Cure
ranging from $75-$750 per ton of carbon
removed.
Now, over 10,000 of Stripe’s own customers now
contribute to purchase carbon removal through
the platform.
What’s
🔥
in the VCM?
63
Source: CTVC
What’s
🔥
in the VCM?
Independent Quality Enablers, Marketplace, Web3
64
Independent Quality Enablers, Marketplace, Web3
Source: CTVC
Independent Quality
Enablers
Carbon Removal
Marketplaces
Web3
Operate as third party
orgs with no direct link
with carbon projects.
Ensure better quality
carbon projects using high
quality data, machine
learning and AI methods.
Create marketplaces and
bundling services to supply
high quality removal
credits (e.g. Patch, Pledge).
Integrate vertically to
combine marketplaces
with verification and
ratings (Puro Earth, Sylvera,
BeZero).
Help with market
transparency and liquidity.
Examples of applications:
tokenization of carbon
credits (Toucan,
Flowcarbon) and ecosystem
protection (Single.earth)
Non-profit organization
n/a
Series A, 26.5m Seed, 4.5m
Acquired by Nasdaq
Series A, 38.4m
n/a
n/a
Seed, 7.9m
Series A, 70m
What’s
🔥
in the VCM?
What’s next in the VCM?
65
Trends
Source: CTVC, SouthPole
Increase in demand of carbon credits is
leading to a rise in prices, enabling more
ambitious carbon projects to be developed.
From an investor’s perspective, you should
anticipate startups that will vertically
integrate:
Anticipate startups with business models
covering the entire value chain (from
originating the project to selling offset
packages directly to corporates)...
… in a specific niche (e.g forestry, soil
carbon)...
…. through high performing verification and
accounting.
The End.
Thank you for
your attention!
66
67
Want to learn more about climate tech?
Useful resources
Newsletter Blog/Website Podcast
www.cavalry.vc

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Cavalry Ventures | Deep Dive: Climate Tech

  • 2. AGENDA 2 Intro to Climate Tech 10min 15min 10min 10min Let’s start with the basics What’s the investor’s point of view? 👨🎓‍‍ 🕵 Investments / Investors Let’s dig deeper #1 Let’s dig deeper #2 🛒 🚚 Supply Chain Transparency Voluntary Carbon Market
  • 4. Climate disasters abound 4 If nothing changes to reduce emissions – global temperature is on track to rise by 2.5’C to 4.5’C by 2100 Source: Nasa
  • 5. Halting climate change will be costly 💸💸 5 $4Tr yearly investment by 2030 in clean energy is needed to restore and adapt to the impact of climate change Source: Sustainable Markets Initiative, International Energy Agency
  • 6. “It is my belief that the next 1,000 unicorns won’t be a search engine, won’t be a media company, they’ll be businesses developing green hydrogen, green agriculture, green steel and green cement” Larry Fink CEO & Chairman of Blackrock “there will be eight Teslas, ten Teslas, but only one of them is well-known today” Bill Gates on Climate Tech What can we do as a VC? … well there’s something called Climate Tech that brings along some nice Xs🤑 🤑
  • 7. 7 /ˈklʌɪmət/tɛk/ : Technologies explicitly focused on reducing GHG emissions / addressing the impacts of climate change Climate Tech - not just a buzzword 🐝 Source: PwC, dealroom
  • 8. 8 1. Directly mitigate / remove emissions 2. Help adapt to the impacts of climate change 3. Enhance our understanding of the climate OR OR E.g. Renewables, alternative protein, clean industry, carbon capture & removal E.g. Crop protection, water recycling, climate insurance, nature conserve E.g. Carbon tracking, monitoring Climate Tech - not just a buzzword 🐝 Source: PwC, dealroom
  • 9. Climate Tech subsectors 9 Source: TechFounders, Unep, CTVC • Smart mobility & micromobility • EVs & infrastructure • 0 emission aviation & shipping • Alternative fuels • Recycling & efficient manufacturing • Steel, cement, chemicals • Metals and mining • Sustainable finance and investment • Climate risk & reporting • Carbon offsets/marketplaces • Energy and resource-efficient building and renovating • Heating and cooling • Construction • Clean and secure energy • Grid management • Energy storage • Healthy and sustainable food system • Alternative proteins • Farming methods MOBILITY BUILDINGS INDUSTRY FINANCE INSURANCE & ANALYTICS FOOD & AGRICULTURE ENERGY No clear line – other vertical divisions include: climate mgmt, carbon.
  • 10. Maturity of Climate Tech Sub-headline 10 Source: CTVC Specific sectors & subsectors (mobility, energy, food) have experienced more innovation activity and development in the past 2 years
  • 11. 11 Prototype stage - R&D Demonstration stage – full scale demo /pilot Commercial adoption – proven commercial BMs • Direct air carbon capture and storage • Low GHG iron and steel • Low GHG shipping • Alternative foods • Food waste technology • Green hydrogen • Sustainable aviation fuel • Light-duty battery EVs • Solar & wind power • Micro mobility Source: PwC Classifying the maturity of Climate Tech Some energy & mobility climate tech solutions are already commercially adopted Source: CTVC
  • 12. 12 Mobility & transport deepdive Key trends & innovations Maturity Unicorns 🦄 • Innovations & focus areas: EVs, electrifying transport systems, micro mobility, low GHG shipping, new mobility models • Uber, Lime and Arrival committed to net zero emissions by 2035 • Most funded sector • Commercial adoption of: light-duty batter EVs, micro mobility • Demonstration: Sustainable aviation fuels • Prototype: Low GHG shipping ∼55% of 🦄s ⚠ Out of 78 total (according to PwC), 47 total (HolonIQ) Source: PwC, HolonIQ, Cavalry Analysis
  • 13. 13 Food, agriculture & land use deepdive Key trends & innovations Maturity Unicorns 🦄 • Plant-based meat and dairy alternatives • New pressure to reduced food loss and waste • New farming methods (e.g. vertical and urban farming) • Demonstration stage of alternative foods ∼15% of 🦄s Source: PwC, HolonIQ, Cavalry Analysis
  • 14. 14 Energy Key trends & innovations Maturity Unicorns 🦄 • Current investor interest is driven by hydrogen and energy storage – further fuelled by several national hydrogen strategies • ReFUelEU Aviation initiative aims to reach 5% sustainable fuel in EU by 2030, 63% by 2050 • Commercial adoption: renewables(solar & wind) • Demonstration of CCUS in power and sustainable aviation fuels • Prototype of ocean and tidal power and direct air carbon capture and storage ∼10% of 🦄s Source: PwC, HolonIQ, Cavalry Analysis
  • 15. 15 Industry, manufacturing & resource mgmt deepdive Key trends & innovations Maturity Unicorns 🦄 • Fastest growing lever is low GHG iron, steel and aluminium • Initiatives such as SteelZero commit to procure 50% net zerp steel by 2030 and 100% by 2050 • Most developed subsectors are circularity recycling / material efficiency and energy/resource efficient manufacturing ∼10% of 🦄s Source: PwC, HolonIQ, Cavalry Analysis
  • 16. 16 Finance, insurance and analytics Key trends & innovations Maturity Unicorns 🦄 • Often separated/including carbon & climate management • Creation of green & new products, assessment of climate risk • Fastest growing lever is climate risk and resilience management • Most funded levels are climate/earth data generation ∼ 5% of 🦄s Source: PwC, HolonIQ, Cavalry Analysis
  • 17. 17 Buildings Key trends & innovations Maturity Unicorns 🦄 • Buildings and materials move towards becoming more efficient, smarter and cheaper • Global Cement and Concrete Association is set out to achieve net zero by 2050 • Fastest growing lever is building level electricity and thermal storage • Most funded lever is smart management of devices <5% of 🦄s *soonicorn Source: PwC, HolonIQ, Cavalry Analysis
  • 18. Part 2 Venture Capital in Climate Tech 18
  • 19. Investments Venture Capital in climate tech 🤠
  • 20. 14 20 Climate tech investment now accounts for 14 cents of every VC dollar
  • 21. Where are we today? - Size & Volume 🌍 21 Source: PwC State of Climate Tech 2021 Climate tech startup funding is booming… … however numbers of early stage rounds have stagnated since 2018.
  • 22. Where are we today? - Geographies 22 💸 💸 💸 💸 💸 💸 💸 💸 💸 💸 Start-up HQ San Francisco London Berlin New York Boston Stockholm Amsterdam Paris Seattle Los Angeles 65% NA 10% CHN 21% EU 4% other North America has been the most prominent region for attracting climate tech investments. Source: PwC State of Climate Tech 2021
  • 23. Where are we today? - Size & Volume 🇪🇺 ‍ 23 Source: Dealroom The European climate tech ecosystem is following the same trend, doubling down in value since 2020… … while early-stage investment has increased 2.5x since 2017.
  • 24. How has climate tech investment performed? 24 The EIP Climate Tech Index tracks the performance of public companies that support global decarbonization. Source: Energy Impact Partners Climate tech companies have outperformed the Nasdaq since 2018.
  • 25. Climate tech investments vs. other verticals 25 Since 2017, climate tech is the fastest- growing investment vertical in Europe (10x). Only fintech startups have attracted more investment in Europe ($24B vs $12B). Source: Dealroom 🇪🇺 ‍
  • 26. What’s 🔥 right now? 26 Source: Pitchbook Company Hq Focus Deal size ($m) Close date (2022) Climeworks 🇨🇭‍ Direct Air Capture 650 April 5 Crusoe Energy Systems 🇺🇸‍ Gas & Oil 505 April 20 Group14 Technologies 🇺🇸‍ Battery 400 May 4 Upside Foods 🇺🇸‍ Food 400 March 22 Plenty 🇺🇸‍ Vertical Farming 400 Jan 25 Palmetto 🇺🇸‍ Solar 375 Feb 24 Beta Technologies 🇺🇸‍ Electric aerospace 375 April 4 Hozon 🇨🇳‍ Electric vehicles 315 Feb 20 Volta Trucks 🇸🇪‍ Electrics trucks 261 Feb 21 Sunfire 🇩🇪‍ Green Hydrogen 216 March 24 Notable deals in 2022
  • 27. 27 Source: Holon IQ, CTVC Though still small, the number of climate tech unicorns is growing. Of the 1,000 Unicorns today, the 78 in climate tech make up 7.8% of the overall herd (29 new in 2021). Younger climate tech companies are taking less time to become unicorns. Almost 60% of the climate tech unicorns in 2021 reached the coveted $1B status in less than 7 years (industry baseline). Watershed brings more software+carbon to the climate tech mix. What’s 🔥 right now? What about 🦄 ?
  • 28. 28 Source: Dealroom There are now 16 European climate tech unicorns, 11 of which were created in 2021. A majority of these unicorns are deep tech companies, but an emerging class of non deep tech unicorns can be observed. What about 🇪🇺🦄 ‍ ? What’s 🔥 right now?
  • 29. What’s next? 29 How will the current market environment impact climate tech fundings ? Source: CTVC There’s ample climate capital to keep investing despite economic downturns. Capital will likely flow towards earlier stage companies with a return curve further out, and into quality later-stage companies that have more traditional revenue return profiles. Dry powder indicates how the sector would still be able to support growth.
  • 30. What’s next? 30 Where will we find the next gigacorns? Gigacorns: a company that has achieved lowering or sequestering CO2 emissions by 1GT/year while being commercially viable. ❓ Source: PwC State of Climate Tech 2021
  • 31. Investors Venture Capital in climate tech 🤠
  • 32. Who are they? 32 Source: CTVC Overview of the 170+ climate tech investors 🌍
  • 33. 33 Source: CTVC Fund size is usually between $100-499m, with a majority of climate-sector specific, climate first, and generalist VCs. North America and Europe VCs lead the race, with 80% of the investors focusing on early stage rounds (pre-seed, seed, early). Who are they? Climate tech VCs by size, strategy, stage, and geography
  • 34. 34 Who are they? The line between generalist and climate tech specialist VCs is blurring. Climate tech specialist VCs vs Generalist VCs Source: Dealroom & Talis
  • 35. 35 Who are they? Dedicated European climate tech funds raised in 2021 More than $2.6bn was raised in Europe in 2021 to fuel climate tech investments. Source: CTVC
  • 36. What’s next? 36 What regulations will catalyse climate tech investments? 👨⚖‍‍ 👩⚖‍‍ Source: EU Green Deal REPower EU Fit for 55: reach 2030 targets of 55% GHG reduction(focus on energy, building, mobility) Environmental and resource package (focus on resources, environment, biodiversity) 2019 EU Green Deal Packages Strategies & legislative proposals Goal Independence from Russian energy imports by 2027 (coal, oil, gas) CBAM Renewable Energy Directive LULUCF Energy Tayation Directive Refuel Aviation Alternative Fuel Infra FuelEU Maritime TEN-T Policy EU ETS I & II Energy Efficiency Directive Energy Perf. Of buildings Hydrogen & decarboniz ed gas package Zero Pollution Action Plan Farm to Fork Strategy Biodiversity Strategy Soil Strategy Circular Economy Action Plan II EU taxonomy for investments in sustainable activities
  • 38. 38 Don’t worry! It is not all hardware 😎 Source: pinver
  • 40. 40 Pain points ⭐ ⭐ ⭐ Supply chains are a pain for decision makers Source: IOT Analytics ⭐
  • 41. 41 How are pain points related to climate? Upstream shortages Global dependencies Downstream demand meeting 8 highly polluting supply chains account for 50% total global emissions ⚠ Automotive & electronics are 2 of the dirtiest supply chains driven primarily by batteries (ironic) Disruption due to extreme weather events Contributors to climate change Impacted by climate change Materials Others Security of supply Waste We need decarbonized and resilient supply chains. Source: Linkedin, accenture, gartner
  • 42. 42 🛑✋Supply chain 101 before diving deeper Supply chains are actually supply networks Supply chain emissions scope terminology 🏭Scope 1: GHG emissions created by a company directly (e.g. machine running, own transportation) ⚡Scope 2: indirect emissions, (e.g. electricity from power companies) 🛍Scope 3: all emissions that a company is indirectly responsible for (e.g. 3rd party suppliers, partners and customers) Though the term might be misleading, supply chains have little resemblance to chains. The efficiency and cost optimization objective of supply network does not enable easy transparency and resilience. Source: CTVC, FT
  • 43. 43 How big is the problem? Ratio of scope 2 & 3 emissions to scope 1 (2019) Scope 3 generally accounts for 60% of total emissions - and is extremely complicated to monitor Source: CTVC, FT, CDP
  • 44. 44 What is the solution? Transparency Traceability A value chain is only as strong as its weakest link Source: CTVC, accenture Ability to broadly map the entire supply chain Ability to trace the impact of individual components within a supply chain + Visibility on decarbonization (quantify emissions) and resilience (qualify risks)
  • 45. 45 What is the solution? Supply chain transparency – traceability spectrum Source: CTVC Players are tapping into the whole spectrum of transparency - traceability solutions
  • 46. 46 What’s 🔥 in supply chain transparency? Source: CTVC Supply chain intelligence market map
  • 47. 47 Ratings & risk analytics tools Enable companies to identify, map, and engage with their supply chain network, in a broad form. They allow for assessment of concentrations of risk (e.g. regulatory disruptions, climate-related events), and facilitate real-time monitoring within a single platform Provider of business sustainability ratings. Monitor and improve the sustainability performance of their business and trading partners. Evidence-based ratings are validated by a global team of experts. Its actionable scorecards provide benchmarks, insights, and a guided improvement journey for environmental, social and ethical practices. Founded in 2007, now raised USD700M & became a unicorn What’s 🔥 in supply chain transparency? Source: CTVC, crunchbase
  • 48. 48 What’s 🔥 in supply chain transparency? Source: CTVC Supply chain intelligence market map
  • 49. 49 Sustainability & quality control platforms Help companies meet compliance, quality, and sustainability requirements across their products’ lifecycle by establishing a complete overview of multi-tier supply chains Offers its customers a global network of responsible and carefully monitored suppliers so companies can better source environmentally conscious inputs with the ability to offset the rest through carbon removal projects Founded in 2020, series A USD32,2M Backed by What’s 🔥 in supply chain transparency? Source: CTVC, crunchbase
  • 50. 50 What’s 🔥 in supply chain transparency? Source: CTVC Supply chain intelligence market map
  • 51. 51 Product & commodity-level emission quantification Automate carbon accounting of supply chains, at a product / commission level. This is very different depending on industries, as many tackle the issue vertically. Fast, scalable life-cycle assessments of materials and products to help fashion brands lower their carbon emissions. Founded in 2021, series A USD2,1M Backed by What’s 🔥 in supply chain transparency? Source: CTVC, crunchbase
  • 52. What’s next in supply chain transparency? 52 What is next Prepare for when regulation gets serious As SEC climate disclosure momentum grows, anticipate more homegrown US supply chain solutions. Not forgetting Scope 3! Net zero will never be reached by targeting Scope 1 & 2 alone As an investor you should look out for… Source: CTVC, accenture Verticalization first - supply chains are industry specific… it makes sense to land 1 and then expand It’s not only about the GHG - weakest links in supply chains related to other ESG must also be addressed
  • 53. Voluntary Carbon Market (VCM) Deep Dive #2 🤠
  • 54. What’s wrong right now? 🤯 54 Source: SwissRe For most 1.5ºC pathways, even with drastic decarbonization, 6-10 Gt of CO2 will need to be removed yearly by 2050 (10-15x Germany’s yearly CO2 emissions). 2500 Gt tons of CO2 have been sent into the atmosphere since 1850 – half in the last 30 years - and additionally 50bn tons of CO2 are dumped yearly. We need to drain the bathtub in addition to turning off the tap
  • 55. How does the VCM differentiate from the mandatory market? 55 Mandatory vs Voluntary Carbon Market Carbon Offsetting: is financing the reduction of expected greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions elsewhere for an amount that equals your own realized GHG emissions. ❓ Source: Sustainalize CO2 Cap Net Zero
  • 56. How does the VCM differentiate from the mandatory market? 56 Emission Reductions vs Carbon Removals Source: SwissRe Traditional carbon offsets result in emitted carbon staying in the system. Carbon removals actually take carbon out from the system. Mandatory market Voluntary market
  • 57. How can we gauge the quality of a carbon offset? 57 4 essential criteria to consider Additionality Would that carbon be offset if the credit wasn’t generated? ● If an offset is issued from a forest preserve protected in perpetuity, that offset is not “additional.” Leakage What is the risk of displacing activities that cause greenhouse gas emissions from the project site to another site? ● If an offset is meant to protect a patch of the Amazon from deforestation from soy cultivation, but a separate patch of the Amazon is cut down for soy instead, then that offset resulted in “leakage.” Permanence What is the risk of stored carbon being re- released into the atmosphere? ● How do you account for the flux in durability of storage either through voluntary (intentional) or involuntary (extreme weather, exogenous biotic or abiotic factors) reversal events? Verification Can the offset be verified through a registry and science-based methodology? ● New methodologies for removals (e.g., sinking carbon-dense kelp to the ocean floor, etc.) can be difficult and time consuming to verify, delaying actual removals. Source: Oxford
  • 58. How can we gauge the quality of a carbon offset? 58 Taxonomy of Carbon Offsets Source: Oxford
  • 59. How was originally the VCM? 59 The Legacy Voluntary Carbon Market Source: CTVC 🤯 🤑 🤑
  • 60. 60 The 🔥 segments of the VCM market Source: CTVC How does the VCM function?
  • 61. What’s 🔥 in the VCM? 61 Direct Procurement Source: CTVC
  • 62. 62 Direct Procurement Source: CTVC, Stripe Climate, Stripe New players enable companies to directly procure carbon credits without brokers and middlemen. Carbon removals are sold as “future vintages”, that means, commitments to support projects that will remove carbon in the future. This also enables more ambitious projects to be developed. Via Stripe Climate, Stripe allows its clients to direct part of their revenue to help scale emerging carbon technologies easily. By doing this, more demand is created and carbon removal technologies can get down the cost curve and up the volume curve. Stripe portfolio includes Climeworks, Project Vesta, Charm Industrial and Carbon Cure ranging from $75-$750 per ton of carbon removed. Now, over 10,000 of Stripe’s own customers now contribute to purchase carbon removal through the platform. What’s 🔥 in the VCM?
  • 63. 63 Source: CTVC What’s 🔥 in the VCM? Independent Quality Enablers, Marketplace, Web3
  • 64. 64 Independent Quality Enablers, Marketplace, Web3 Source: CTVC Independent Quality Enablers Carbon Removal Marketplaces Web3 Operate as third party orgs with no direct link with carbon projects. Ensure better quality carbon projects using high quality data, machine learning and AI methods. Create marketplaces and bundling services to supply high quality removal credits (e.g. Patch, Pledge). Integrate vertically to combine marketplaces with verification and ratings (Puro Earth, Sylvera, BeZero). Help with market transparency and liquidity. Examples of applications: tokenization of carbon credits (Toucan, Flowcarbon) and ecosystem protection (Single.earth) Non-profit organization n/a Series A, 26.5m Seed, 4.5m Acquired by Nasdaq Series A, 38.4m n/a n/a Seed, 7.9m Series A, 70m What’s 🔥 in the VCM?
  • 65. What’s next in the VCM? 65 Trends Source: CTVC, SouthPole Increase in demand of carbon credits is leading to a rise in prices, enabling more ambitious carbon projects to be developed. From an investor’s perspective, you should anticipate startups that will vertically integrate: Anticipate startups with business models covering the entire value chain (from originating the project to selling offset packages directly to corporates)... … in a specific niche (e.g forestry, soil carbon)... …. through high performing verification and accounting.
  • 66. The End. Thank you for your attention! 66
  • 67. 67 Want to learn more about climate tech? Useful resources Newsletter Blog/Website Podcast