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Data Science 101

Ofer Ron | DevCon – October 2013
Just what is data science anyway?

Data science has many different
manifestations:
• BI

–find new markets and niches to target.

• Information
• Predictive

retrieval – search engines.

modeling –personalization of the

user experience.
Building data driven products

Increase each user’s
exposure to the social
network by easing him
in.
Building data driven products

Increase revenues through
recommendations.
Building data driven products
Building data driven products

Targeting visitors
needing assistance.
Toys, beautiful toys

What is the right question to ask?
Data science is not about technology.

It is about using data to solve business
needs.
That BIG DATA thing

What is Big Data?

“Big data” is when the size of the
data itself becomes part of the
problem.
Small social graph

Large distributed
social graphs
Hypothesize – test - iterate

The basics of data science
• Examine the data

• Perform basic analysis
• Formulate a hypothesis
• Validate the hypothesis
• Productize
Hypothesize – test - iterate - cnt’d

The principles of data science
• Iterate quickly – know your tools
• Don’t be afraid of statistics

• Don’t fall in love with your ideas
Practical Examples

When should I tweet?
The problem: Give the tweeter user an indication
when he is most likely to get a retweet.
The input: The users tweet stream, with all
features.
Practical Example – the workflow

• Choose features

• Split data into training and evaluation
• Model the training data

• Validate the hypothesis
• What now?
Practical Example – features – the simple choice

October

th,
8

2013 16:43
hour of day = 16

day of week = Tuesday
Practical Example – the modeling (on training)

A decision tree using the features
28.2% (259)
Hour
37.2% (145)
Day

16.7% (114)

34.1% (132)

30.8% (104)

69.2% (13)

Hour

Day

33.3% (18)

46.4% (28)

70.0% (10)
Practical Example – evaluation

On Training

AUC=.667

On Evaluation

AUC=.576
Practical Example – what now?

• More features – #,NLP on tweets?

• More data
• Validate across users, cluster users?
Etc. etc.
LivePerson’s Ecosystem

developer.liveperson.com

apps.liveperson.com
LivePerson’s Ecosystem

YouTube.com/LivePersonDev
Twitter.com/LivePersonDev

Facebook.com/LivePersonDev
Thank You

And we’re hiring!

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Introduction to Data Science

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Global research of 600 consumers’ expectation of help – when purchasing online, 1/3 expect to be helped immediately, whilewhen purchasing online, ¾ expect to be able to access help within 5 minutesif a response is not delivered in the expected timeframe 50% will shop elsewhere online, or abandon altogether
  2. Global research of 600 consumers’ expectation of help – when purchasing online, 1/3 expect to be helped immediately, whilewhen purchasing online, ¾ expect to be able to access help within 5 minutesif a response is not delivered in the expected timeframe 50% will shop elsewhere online, or abandon altogether
  3. Global research of 600 consumers’ expectation of help – when purchasing online, 1/3 expect to be helped immediately, whilewhen purchasing online, ¾ expect to be able to access help within 5 minutesif a response is not delivered in the expected timeframe 50% will shop elsewhere online, or abandon altogether
  4. Global research of 600 consumers’ expectation of help – when purchasing online, 1/3 expect to be helped immediately, whilewhen purchasing online, ¾ expect to be able to access help within 5 minutesif a response is not delivered in the expected timeframe 50% will shop elsewhere online, or abandon altogether
  5. Global research of 600 consumers’ expectation of help – when purchasing online, 1/3 expect to be helped immediately, whilewhen purchasing online, ¾ expect to be able to access help within 5 minutesif a response is not delivered in the expected timeframe 50% will shop elsewhere online, or abandon altogether
  6. Global research of 600 consumers’ expectation of help – when purchasing online, 1/3 expect to be helped immediately, whilewhen purchasing online, ¾ expect to be able to access help within 5 minutesif a response is not delivered in the expected timeframe 50% will shop elsewhere online, or abandon altogether
  7. Global research of 600 consumers’ expectation of help – when purchasing online, 1/3 expect to be helped immediately, whilewhen purchasing online, ¾ expect to be able to access help within 5 minutesif a response is not delivered in the expected timeframe 50% will shop elsewhere online, or abandon altogether
  8. Global research of 600 consumers’ expectation of help – when purchasing online, 1/3 expect to be helped immediately, whilewhen purchasing online, ¾ expect to be able to access help within 5 minutesif a response is not delivered in the expected timeframe 50% will shop elsewhere online, or abandon altogether
  9. Global research of 600 consumers’ expectation of help – when purchasing online, 1/3 expect to be helped immediately, whilewhen purchasing online, ¾ expect to be able to access help within 5 minutesif a response is not delivered in the expected timeframe 50% will shop elsewhere online, or abandon altogether
  10. Global research of 600 consumers’ expectation of help – when purchasing online, 1/3 expect to be helped immediately, whilewhen purchasing online, ¾ expect to be able to access help within 5 minutesif a response is not delivered in the expected timeframe 50% will shop elsewhere online, or abandon altogether
  11. Global research of 600 consumers’ expectation of help – when purchasing online, 1/3 expect to be helped immediately, whilewhen purchasing online, ¾ expect to be able to access help within 5 minutesif a response is not delivered in the expected timeframe 50% will shop elsewhere online, or abandon altogether
  12. Global research of 600 consumers’ expectation of help – when purchasing online, 1/3 expect to be helped immediately, whilewhen purchasing online, ¾ expect to be able to access help within 5 minutesif a response is not delivered in the expected timeframe 50% will shop elsewhere online, or abandon altogether
  13. Global research of 600 consumers’ expectation of help – when purchasing online, 1/3 expect to be helped immediately, whilewhen purchasing online, ¾ expect to be able to access help within 5 minutesif a response is not delivered in the expected timeframe 50% will shop elsewhere online, or abandon altogether
  14. Global research of 600 consumers’ expectation of help – when purchasing online, 1/3 expect to be helped immediately, whilewhen purchasing online, ¾ expect to be able to access help within 5 minutesif a response is not delivered in the expected timeframe 50% will shop elsewhere online, or abandon altogether
  15. Global research of 600 consumers’ expectation of help – when purchasing online, 1/3 expect to be helped immediately, whilewhen purchasing online, ¾ expect to be able to access help within 5 minutesif a response is not delivered in the expected timeframe 50% will shop elsewhere online, or abandon altogether
  16. Global research of 600 consumers’ expectation of help – when purchasing online, 1/3 expect to be helped immediately, whilewhen purchasing online, ¾ expect to be able to access help within 5 minutesif a response is not delivered in the expected timeframe 50% will shop elsewhere online, or abandon altogether
  17. Global research of 600 consumers’ expectation of help – when purchasing online, 1/3 expect to be helped immediately, whilewhen purchasing online, ¾ expect to be able to access help within 5 minutesif a response is not delivered in the expected timeframe 50% will shop elsewhere online, or abandon altogether