Weekly reversal levels for over 1000 stocks and ETF. Covering stocks from Dow Composite, Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, S&P 400 mid caps and more than 100 ETF. To be used for market orientation and long term investing.
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Weekly Reversal Levels for January 31, 2015
1. Weekly Reversal Levels for January 31, 2015.
Quick intro:
Further instructions are in the final pages of this PDF, here is the quick start info:
Weekly reversal levels can be used for market orientation and long term investing. The color codes indicate
the current Mode of the market:
* Green: bullish with upward momentum (MoM). Market is above its reversal level and climbing higher.
Rallying.
* Pale Green: bullish with downward momentum (MoM). Market is above its reversal level and mean reverting
towards it. Sideways pause or correcting.
* Red: bearish with downward momentum (MoM). Market is below its reversal level and heading lower.
Declining
* Pink: bearish with upward momentum (MoM). Market is below its reversal level and mean reverting towards
it. Sideways pause or rebounding.
The tables below give the weekly Mode, the weekly reversal level (RevL) and the weekly MoM. You can see
how many weeks have passed since the last standard Buy or Sell signal and the % change since that signal
(blue = profitable and orange = loss).
The action column gives quick info for trading:
* Buy, Sell, weak Buy (wBuy) or weak Sell (wSell) -> regular buy and sell signal based on the reversal level.
* Speculative Buy (spBuy) -> MoM turning up, can give you a great entry point for stocks you want to buy on
weakness.
* Partial profits (pP) -> a chance to take some money off the table. You can always scale back in when the up
trend resumes (see: "Add").
* Add -> this is where you can add to positions.
* Add short (AddSh) -> good opportunity to add or initiate short positions.
* Watch (w) -> stock to watch, very close to reversal level. The reversal level tends to reject prices, which can
be used for special entry techniques (More on that later).
The MoM indicator shows the current "mood" tendency of the stock based on a proprietary formula. It is used
to detect speculative buy opportunities in stocks that have become very oversold.
The buy and sell signals generated by the reversal levels are a "trend following" method. The signals
generated by MoM indicator are a "mean reversal" method. By combining both we have a hybrid system.
Tip: Yellow boxes in the "MoM" or "Weeks" column help you to spot where the action is. These are stocks with
momentum changes or with new buy or sell signals.
Tip2: To find a certain stock quickly you can use the "Find" function in Acrobat Reader. Just click "Ctrl+F" and it
will bring up a little search box. Typing in the name or ticker of the stock you are looking for will locate it in the
list.
More details and strategies for use can be found at the end of this PDF. There is also a little FAQ.
2. Major indexes
Weekly Current Mode RevL (W) MoM (W) Weeks % Ch. Action
Nasdaq ^IXIC 4635.24 4554.90 ▼ 1.97 14 3.72 w
S&P 500 ^SPX 1994.99 1989.86 ▼ 1.41 14 1.63 w
Nikkei ^N225 17674.39 16401.03 ▼ 3.70 13 5.63
FTSE 100 ^FTSE 6749.40 6499.51 ▲ 0.52 1 -1.22
DAX ^DAX 10694.32 9664.12 ▲ 5.04 10 10.00
20+ Year Tr. Bond ETF TLT 138.28 123.12 ▲ 9.12 53 29.61
Gold (spot) $XAUUSD 1283.01 1202.08 ▲ 2.84 2 0.25
$EURUSD $EURUSD 1.1276 1.2654 ▼ -9.62 37 -17.63
Oil (CL) #CL 48.24 72.96 ▲ -9.81 29 -51.98
Dow Jones Composite stocks
Weekly Current Mode RevL (W) MoM (W) Weeks % Ch. Action
American Electric Power Co. AEP 62.81 57.32 ▲ 8.16 22 17.05
AES Corporation AES 12.22 13.92 ▼ -2.72 3 -5.05
Alaska Air Group ALK 67.87 53.45 ▲ 9.00 14 34.90
American Express AXP 80.69 90.81 ▼ -1.90 2 -6.67
Boeing Co. BA 145.37 126.66 ▲ 3.08 5 10.36
Caterpillar Inc. CAT 79.97 95.90 ▼ -7.10 8 -18.94
CH Robinson Worldwide CHRW 71.22 68.57 ▼ 2.77 41 25.19 w
CenterPoint Energy CNP 23.09 23.93 ▲ -2.38 8 -1.83 w
Con-way Inc. CNW 40.97 47.42 ▼ -2.49 3 -9.46
Cisco Systems, Inc. CSCO 26.36 25.33 ▼ 6.01 12 5.27
CSX Corp. CSX 33.30 35.27 ▼ -0.06 0 0.00 Sell
Chevron Corporation CVX 102.53 117.52 ▼ -4.89 20 -16.17
Dominion Resources D 76.89 73.27 ▼ 5.74 22 9.33 pP
Delta Air Lines Inc. DAL 47.31 43.17 ▼ 5.36 14 20.14
DuPont Co. DD 71.21 69.75 ▼ 3.44 19 -0.06 w
Walt Disney Co. DIS 90.96 89.25 ▼ 3.62 14 2.82 w
Duke Energy DUK 87.14 80.76 ▲ 7.54 42 22.27
Consolidated Edison ED 69.28 63.27 ▲ 8.51 32 21.87
3. Edison International EIX 68.15 62.91 ▲ 7.49 52 40.84
Exelon Corporation EXC 36.04 34.99 ▼ 2.49 21 6.60 w
Expeditors Intl. of Washington EXPD 43.68 42.40 ▼ 1.13 13 2.32 w
FedEx Corporation FDX 169.11 164.45 ▼ 3.05 81 65.93 w
FirstEnergy Corp. FE 40.33 36.86 ▲ 6.78 22 17.79
General Electric GE 23.89 25.58 ▼ -4.30 7 -4.48
GATX Corp. GMT 57.15 59.87 ▲ -3.62 8 0.04 w
Goldman Sachs Group GS 172.41 186.88 ▼ -1.24 2 -2.91
Home Depot, Inc. HD 104.42 94.78 ▼ 6.34 35 30.12
Intl Business Machines IBM 153.31 168.98 ▲ -5.53 16 -17.35
Intel Corporation INTC 33.04 34.94 ▼ 3.00 0 0.00 Sell
JB Hunt Transport Services JBHT 79.61 78.99 ▼ 2.01 14 3.06 w
JetBlue Airways JBLU 16.79 13.09 ▼ 8.18 13 46.00
Johnson & Johnson JNJ 100.14 105.56 ▼ -1.79 1 -1.63
JPMorgan Chase & Co. JPM 54.38 60.44 ▼ -2.14 2 -2.96
Kirby Corporation KEX 72.49 100.96 ▼ -8.93 16 -29.91
Coca Cola Co. KO 41.17 43.18 ▼ -0.14 0 0.00 Sell
Kansas City Southern KSU 110.09 118.25 ▼ -2.58 2 0.08
Landstar System Inc. LSTR 64.08 71.55 ▼ -4.87 3 -5.96
Southwest Airlines Co. LUV 45.18 35.75 ▼ 7.95 140 416.87
Matson, Inc. MATX 34.75 30.82 ▼ 7.18 13 23.75
McDonald's Corp. MCD 92.44 96.00 ▼ -2.83 28 -6.17
3M Co. MMM 162.30 151.38 ▼ 6.34 14 9.66
Merck & Co. Inc. MRK 60.28 58.54 ▲ 2.33 3 -4.47 w
Microsoft MSFT 40.40 46.37 ▼ -0.96 0 0.00 Sell
NextEra Energy, Inc. NEE 109.24 102.03 ▲ 5.79 14 11.20
NiSource Inc. NI 43.26 40.25 ▲ 4.05 110 80.77
Nike Inc. NKE 92.25 89.03 ▼ 2.41 36 20.60 w
Norfolk Southern NSC 101.97 109.19 ▼ -2.52 3 -0.24
PG&E Corp. PCG 58.81 51.62 ▲ 9.05 14 24.73
Public Service Enterprise Grou PEG 42.68 39.98 ▼ 4.73 19 13.30 pP
Pfizer Inc. PFE 31.25 30.71 ▼ 4.33 13 4.52 pP
Procter & Gamble Co. PG 84.29 88.74 ▼ 3.32 0 0.00 Sell
Ryder System, Inc. R 82.79 90.19 ▼ -0.18 0 0.00 Sell
Southern Company SO 50.72 47.43 ▲ 7.99 50 19.37
AT&T, Inc. T 32.92 34.51 ▼ -2.48 8 -3.12
4. The Travelers Companies TRV 102.82 99.44 ▼ 5.98 24 11.25
United Continental Holdings UAL 69.37 57.50 ▼ 8.07 14 39.75
Unitedhealth Group UNH 106.25 94.84 ▼ 8.36 96 88.80 pP
Union Pacific UNP 117.21 121.63 ▼ 0.40 33 16.79 w
United Parcel Service UPS 98.84 107.18 ▼ 1.73 1 -2.81
United Technologies UTX 114.78 110.53 ▼ 5.39 8 2.25
Visa, Inc. V 254.91 240.82 ▼ 6.11 13 5.78
Verizon Communications VZ 45.71 48.96 ▼ -3.53 8 -6.27
Williams Companies WMB 43.86 49.90 ▲ -7.44 8 -11.13
Wal-Mart Stores Inc. WMT 84.98 81.32 ▼ 6.96 12 8.12
Exxon Mobil XOM 87.42 96.28 ▼ -2.89 26 -11.46
Nasdaq 100 stocks
Weekly Current Mode RevL (W) MoM (W) Weeks % Ch. Action
Apple Inc. AAPL 117.16 100.59 ▼ 2.90 40 44.70
Adobe Systems Inc. ADBE 70.13 69.46 ▼ 1.31 13 0.29 w
Analog Devices Inc. ADI 52.10 51.77 ▼ 3.42 12 3.87 w
Automatic Data Processing ADP 82.53 77.57 ▼ 5.89 39 21.64
Autodesk, Inc. ADSK 54.01 58.84 ▼ -0.05 0 0.00 Sell
Akamai Technologies AKAM 58.15 62.50 ▼ -0.11 2 -2.68
Altera Corp. ALTR 32.92 36.49 ▼ -0.15 2 -5.81
Alexion Pharmaceuticals ALXN 183.24 175.90 ▼ -0.20 37 16.87 w
Applied Materials AMAT 22.84 22.78 ▼ 2.75 13 2.93 w
Amgen Inc. AMGN 152.26 145.07 ▼ 2.19 32 26.17 w
Amazon.com Inc. AMZN 354.53 301.76 ▲ -0.93 0 0.00 Buy
Activision Blizzard ATVI 20.90 21.35 ▲ -1.32 18 -0.95 w
Avago Technologies AVGO 102.88 91.31 ▼ 7.46 14 26.22
Bed Bath & Beyond BBBY 74.77 68.49 ▼ 6.38 23 16.01
Baidu, Inc. BIDU 217.92 212.11 ▼ -0.37 36 29.68 w
Biogen Idec Inc. BIIB 389.16 324.22 ▲ 4.21 8 13.96
Broadcom Corp. BRCM 42.44 39.86 ▼ 2.15 14 6.96
CA Technologies CA 30.30 29.15 ▼ 3.52 12 0.83 w
Celgene Corporation CELG 119.16 102.13 ▼ 7.33 34 47.12
Cerner Corporation CERN 66.35 60.96 ▼ 4.55 27 17.33 pP
Check Point Software Techn. CHKP 77.17 74.69 ▼ 5.36 14 6.35 w
5. CH Robinson Worldwide CHRW 71.22 68.57 ▼ 2.77 41 25.19 w
Charter Communications CHTR 151.12 160.82 ▼ 0.84 0 0.00 Sell
Comcast Corporation CMCSA 53.15 56.43 ▼ 1.61 0 0.00 Sell
Costco Wholesale COST 142.99 131.85 ▼ 5.66 35 23.44
Cisco Systems, Inc. CSCO 26.36 25.33 ▼ 6.01 12 5.27
Catamaran CTRX 49.91 47.48 ▼ 3.97 13 5.76
Cognizant Technology Solutions CTSH 54.13 50.12 ▼ 5.19 13 10.51 pP
Citrix Systems, Inc. CTXS 59.26 65.76 ▼ -4.17 16 -9.53
Discovery Communications DISCA 28.99 35.57 ▼ -4.74 20 -28.28
Discovery Communications DISCK 27.88 35.05 ▼ -5.26 20 -28.00
Dish Network Corp. DISH 70.35 67.53 ▼ 2.85 11 8.92 w
Dollar Tree, Inc. DLTR 71.10 63.02 ▼ 7.88 34 25.04
DIRECTV, Inc. DTV 85.28 84.44 ▼ -0.68 5 -1.71 w
eBay Inc. EBAY 53.00 55.79 ▼ 1.77 0 0.00 Sell
Equinix, Inc. EQIX 216.86 211.36 ▼ 2.16 12 1.58 w
Express Scripts Inc. ESRX 80.71 79.26 ▼ 5.77 24 10.26 w
Expeditors Intl. of Washington EXPD 43.68 42.40 ▼ 1.13 13 2.32 w
Expedia Inc. EXPE 85.93 82.31 ▼ 0.71 13 1.40 w
Fastenal Company FAST 44.40 46.84 ▼ 1.18 0 0.00 Sell
Facebook, Inc. FB 75.91 72.71 ▼ 0.92 79 122.81 w
F5 Networks, Inc. FFIV 111.62 126.68 ▼ -0.37 1 -2.69
Fiserv, Inc. FISV 72.53 67.35 ▼ 6.12 164 149.67 pP
Twenty-First Century Fox FOXA 33.16 36.53 ▼ 0.03 3 -6.59
Gilead Sciences Inc. GILD 104.83 96.52 ▲ -0.62 1 -0.23
Keurig Green Mountain GMCR 122.56 139.82 ▼ -2.35 4 -6.59
Google Inc. GOOG 534.52 546.20 ▲ -2.70 16 -1.92 w
Google Inc. GOOGL 537.55 553.14 ▲ -3.19 16 -3.17 w
Garmin Ltd. GRMN 52.36 55.15 ▼ -1.77 7 -0.23 w
Henry Schein, Inc. HSIC 138.07 130.90 ▼ 8.08 13 14.99
Illumina Inc. ILMN 195.19 178.67 ▲ 2.12 14 2.82
Intel Corporation INTC 33.04 34.94 ▼ 3.00 0 0.00 Sell
Intuit Inc. INTU 86.82 89.71 ▼ 0.51 2 -0.26 w
Intuitive Surgical ISRG 494.48 486.55 ▼ 2.70 31 17.34 w
KLA-Tencor KLAC 61.47 72.81 ▼ -4.60 9 -11.00
Kraft Foods Group KRFT 65.34 60.58 ▲ 8.27 12 12.85
Liberty Global Inc. LBTYA 46.72 46.05 ▼ 1.29 14 3.98 w
6. Linear Technology LLTC 44.94 44.10 ▼ 2.44 9 -2.30 w
Liberty Capital Group LMCA 34.05 35.94 ▼ -1.52 7 -1.90
Liberty Media C LMCK 34.12 36.08 ▼ -0.73 0 0.00 Sell
Liberty Ventures LVNTA 37.35 35.20 ▼ 1.66 11 3.87 w
Marriott International MAR 74.50 68.56 ▼ 4.76 72 73.18
Mattel Inc. MAT 26.90 32.06 ▼ -5.49 53 -36.84
Mondelez International MDLZ 35.24 37.17 ▼ 0.39 0 0.00 Sell
Monster Beverage MNST 116.95 100.51 ▲ 8.03 25 68.88
Microsoft MSFT 40.40 46.37 ▼ -0.96 0 0.00 Sell
Micron Technology MU 29.26 33.24 ▼ -1.39 2 -0.85
Maxim Integrated Products MXIM 33.09 30.50 ▲ 4.81 8 6.02
Mylan, Inc. MYL 53.15 52.32 ▼ 1.66 17 5.00 w
Netflix, Inc. NFLX 441.80 362.05 ▲ -0.88 1 0.87
NetApp, Inc. NTAP 37.80 41.17 ▼ -2.21 2 -2.80
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA 19.20 20.40 ▼ 1.35 0 0.00 Sell
NXP Semiconductors NV NXPI 79.34 70.93 ▼ 4.14 14 21.37
O'Reilly Automotive ORLY 187.36 173.34 ▼ 7.20 115 107.95
Paychex, Inc. PAYX 45.26 45.02 ▼ 2.54 28 7.48 w
PACCAR Inc. PCAR 60.11 66.35 ▼ 0.43 0 0.00 Sell
priceline.com Inc PCLN 1009.48 1138.37 ▼ -3.47 12 -7.63
QUALCOMM Inc QCOM 62.46 75.08 ▼ -1.76 2 -12.95
Liberty Interactive QVCA 27.36 27.04 ▼ 3.00 14 6.96 w
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals REGN 416.66 374.32 ▼ 2.97 30 33.51
Ross Stores Inc. ROST 91.71 83.74 ▼ 8.25 23 23.35
SBA Communications SBAC 116.70 109.20 ▲ 0.55 39 23.39
Starbucks SBUX 87.53 78.55 ▲ 5.00 12 12.74
Sigma-Aldrich Corp SIAL 137.52 124.79 ▼ 8.14 113 90.76
SIRIUS XM Radio Inc. SIRI 3.55 3.42 ▲ 1.12 11 0.85 w
SanDisk Corp. SNDK 75.91 94.53 ▼ -3.79 2 -3.13
Staples, Inc. SPLS 17.05 14.79 ▼ 9.19 21 33.20
Stericycle, Inc. SRCL 131.29 125.50 ▼ 6.55 14 7.33
Seagate Technology STX 56.44 64.21 ▼ 1.52 0 0.00 Sell
Symantec Corporation SYMC 24.77 24.20 ▼ 2.78 14 3.38 w
TripAdvisor Inc. TRIP 67.01 81.09 ▼ -3.56 18 -26.54
Tractor Supply Co TSCO 81.17 72.76 ▼ 5.41 14 13.41
Tesla Motors, Inc. TSLA 203.60 229.78 ▼ -4.12 8 -7.96
7. Texas Instruments TXN 53.45 51.49 ▼ 4.06 13 7.76 w
Viacom, Inc. VIAB 64.42 75.49 ▼ -3.45 26 -21.68
VimpelCom Ltd. VIP 3.60 5.61 ▲ -6.97 53 -68.78
Vodafone Group plc VOD 35.13 33.71 ▲ 1.50 11 -1.32 w
Verisk Analytics VRSK 64.35 62.13 ▲ 1.80 12 0.28
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc VRTX 110.14 107.87 ▼ 3.41 31 17.46 w
Western Digital WDC 97.23 104.68 ▼ 4.16 0 0.00 Sell
Whole Foods Market WFM 52.10 45.64 ▼ 8.23 12 11.73
Wynn Resorts Ltd. WYNN 147.95 171.51 ▲ -5.48 22 -21.76
Xilinx Inc. XLNX 38.58 43.90 ▼ -2.45 2 -6.92
Yahoo! Inc. YHOO 43.99 43.73 ▼ 2.21 24 19.64 w
Popular ETF
Weekly Current Mode RevL (W) MoM (W) Weeks % Ch. Action
All Country World Index ETF ACWI 57.73 59.39 ▼ -1.81 7 -0.55
Africa ETF AFK 25.11 28.44 ▲ -7.98 20 -19.54
Ultra Silver ETF AGQ 45.47 44.70 ▲ -0.06 1 -9.40 w
CSI300 China A shares ETF ASHR 33.90 29.71 ▲ 10.00 27 38.14
Ultra Nasdaq Biotech ETF BIB 139.99 115.32 ▼ 5.38 34 62.78
Ultrashort Nasdaq Biotech ETF BIS 40.37 54.61 ▲ -4.30 176 -95.14
Gaming ETF BJK 37.40 41.13 ▲ -6.60 25 -18.43 spBuy
Brazil Small-Cap ETF BRF 18.17 23.96 ▼ -8.08 19 -32.65
Central Europe & Russia Fund CEE 19.67 23.56 ▲ -8.27 26 -27.55
Healthcare Bull 3X ETF CURE 128.19 113.37 ▼ 5.07 14 18.15
DB Commodity Tracking ETF DBC 17.40 21.72 ▼ -10.00 29 -32.40
Gold Miners Bear 3x ETF DUST 12.11 27.06 ▼ -3.91 4 -44.96
Japan Hedged Equity ETF DXJ 49.22 51.83 ▼ -4.38 6 -2.13
Emerging Markets Bear 3X ETF EDZ 37.23 37.40 ▼ 1.49 1 11.80 w
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets EEM 39.02 41.65 ▲ -4.00 18 -5.68
JPM USD Emerging Markets Bonds EMB 111.76 112.63 ▲ -3.82 7 3.44 w
Ultrashort Euro ETF EUO 24.66 19.96 ▲ 10.00 36 43.04
MSCI Australia ETF EWA 21.92 23.85 ▲ -7.60 19 -11.43
MSCI Sweden ETF EWD 32.44 33.16 ▲ -3.85 29 -6.78 spBuy
MSCI Germany ETF EWG 28.05 28.32 ▲ -0.33 7 0.75 w
MSCI Hong Kong ETF EWH 21.67 20.76 ▲ -0.84 1 0.19
8. MSCI Italy ETF EWI 13.71 14.66 ▲ -4.94 26 -15.99
MSCI Japan ETF EWJ 11.49 11.70 ▲ -1.91 7 1.50 w
MSCI Switzerland ETF EWL 31.75 32.87 ▼ -1.18 7 -1.03
MSCI Spain ETF EWP 32.63 36.89 ▼ -6.96 18 -15.77
MSCI France ETF EWQ 24.95 26.06 ▲ -3.76 29 -12.58
MSCI Singapore ETF EWS 12.77 13.27 ▲ -4.20 17 -3.91
MSCI Taiwan ETF EWT 15.23 15.08 ▲ -1.77 1 -3.55 w
MSCI United Kingdom ETF EWU 18.04 19.10 ▲ -5.50 18 -7.30
Ultrashort Japan ETF EWV 62.19 65.67 ▼ 0.13 0 0.00 Sell
MSCI Mexico ETF EWW 56.25 64.51 ▲ -7.76 16 -15.48
MSCI Brazil ETF EWZ 34.31 42.20 ▲ -5.84 18 -21.25
MSCI South Africa ETF EZA 67.58 64.76 ▲ -0.85 1 -1.69 w
Ultra Japan ETF EZJ 80.39 83.32 ▲ -1.92 7 4.24 w
MSCI EMU ETF EZU 36.68 38.18 ▲ -3.30 26 -7.54 spBuy
Financial Bull 3X ETF FAS 106.76 121.40 ▼ 1.13 2 -6.04
Currencyshares Euro FXE 111.22 124.66 ▼ -10.00 37 -17.90
FTSE China 25 Index ETF FXI 41.24 39.60 ▼ 4.29 13 4.22 pP
Currencyshares Japanese Yen FXY 82.81 86.60 ▲ -7.56 119 -32.65
Gold Miners ETF GDX 22.29 20.04 ▲ 1.42 2 -1.68
Junior Gold Miners ETF GDXJ 27.74 31.92 ▲ -1.93 20 -26.61
SPDR Gold Shares GLD 123.45 115.92 ▲ 3.51 2 -0.15
Ultrashort Gold ETF GLL 84.22 97.88 ▼ -4.10 2 -0.12
FTSE Greece 20 ETF GREK 10.50 16.52 ▼ -6.61 29 -52.08
US$ High Yield HYG 90.23 91.18 ▲ -3.00 11 -1.36 w
Biotech ETF IBB 321.65 288.77 ▼ 5.38 34 30.66
Indonesia ETF IDX 23.66 25.09 ▲ -2.14 17 -2.79
7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF IEF 110.55 105.73 ▲ 7.39 53 10.89
Latin America 40 ETF ILF 30.10 35.78 ▲ -6.60 17 -22.20
India Bull 3X ETF INDL 97.40 86.41 ▲ -0.34 2 -0.97
S&P India Nifty 50 ETF INDY 32.28 30.07 ▲ 2.44 3 4.94
Israel ETF ISRA 28.86 29.83 ▼ -1.91 16 -0.93
US Home Construction ETF ITB 25.34 24.39 ▼ 2.12 14 5.72 w
Russell 1000 Value ETF IWD 100.28 103.58 ▼ 0.97 0 0.00 Sell
Russell 1000 Growth ETF IWF 94.21 92.79 ▼ 1.64 14 3.28 w
Russell 2000 ETF IWM 115.70 114.53 ▼ 1.83 13 -0.90 w
US Real Estate ETF IYR 81.23 74.75 ▲ 8.92 15 13.80
9. Korea ETF KEF 7.74 8.19 ▲ -2.65 18 -7.31
Coal ETF KOL 13.53 15.63 ▼ -8.07 20 -24.62
S&P Regional Banking ETF KRE 36.85 39.64 ▼ -1.66 3 -2.85
Gulf States ETF MES 26.00 28.90 ▲ -6.93 15 -14.93
Agribusiness ETF MOO 53.10 51.89 ▼ 1.95 6 0.51
Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF NUGT 18.56 22.88 ▲ -1.36 21 -49.77 w
Oil Services ETF OIH 33.20 43.90 ▲ -8.74 20 -35.91
UltraShort QQQ ETF QID 40.75 44.20 ▲ -2.66 113 -64.98
Ultra QQQ ETF QLD 130.79 125.63 ▼ 1.66 14 5.43 w
PowerShares QQQ QQQ 101.10 98.89 ▼ 1.67 14 2.74 w
Rare Earth Strat. Metals ETF REMX 23.78 27.72 ▲ -6.60 22 -31.58
Global Robotics & Automation E ROBO 24.85 26.22 ▼ -2.96 17 -4.64
Russia ETF RSX 14.62 19.60 ▲ -8.17 26 -39.08
Russia Small-Cap ETF RSXJ 18.88 24.54 ▲ -8.31 28 -40.92
India Small-Cap ETF SCIF 47.42 44.48 ▲ 0.81 2 -1.13
Japan Small-Cap ETF SCJ 53.41 51.99 ▲ -0.15 0 0.00 Buy
Ultrashort Crude Oil ETF SCO 91.00 54.71 ▲ 10.00 26 224.07
Ultrashort Utilities ETF SDP 45.32 53.35 ▲ -6.31 108 -59.26 spBuy
UltraShort S&P500 ETF SDS 23.28 24.00 ▲ -2.44 14 -6.13 w
Short S&P500 ETF SH 22.38 22.71 ▲ -2.38 14 -3.08 w
Silver ETF SLV 16.54 16.12 ▲ 0.69 1 -4.72 w
Semiconductor ETF SMH 52.73 51.95 ▼ 2.84 13 2.49 w
Social Media ETF SOCL 17.88 19.00 ▲ -2.84 8 -2.19
Semiconductor Bull 3X ETF SOXL 114.78 130.53 ▼ 2.29 0 0.00 Sell
S&P500 Bull 3X ETF SPXL 79.59 79.42 ▼ 1.22 13 -3.76 w
S&P500 Bear 3X ETF SPXS 22.27 23.63 ▲ -2.68 138 -80.35 w
SPDR S&P 500 SPY 199.45 198.86 ▼ 1.20 14 1.90 w
Ultra S&P 500 ETF SSO 120.42 119.76 ▼ 1.37 14 3.99 w
Solar ETF TAN 33.83 35.80 ▲ -2.63 17 -14.78 w
Ultrashort 20+ Year Treasury E TBT 38.26 50.66 ▼ -8.35 54 -48.17
Technology Bull 3X ETF TECL 124.10 120.85 ▼ 1.37 14 4.05 w
MSCI Thailand ETF THD 79.90 78.58 ▲ -2.57 1 -2.35 w
20+ Year Tr. Bond ETF TLT 138.28 123.12 ▲ 9.12 53 29.61
Daily 20+ Yr Treasury Bull 3X TMF 112.72 80.28 ▲ 10.00 53 122.24
Small Cap Bull 3X ETF TNA 72.49 71.30 ▼ 1.35 13 -4.61 w
Turkey ETF TUR 53.38 52.74 ▼ 2.11 11 -1.91 pP
35. Unit Corp. UNT 29.78 44.91 ▲ -8.51 20 -52.11
United Rentals, Inc. URI 82.85 106.14 ▼ -6.10 7 -17.82
United Therapeutics UTHR 141.13 123.86 ▲ 3.42 22 21.94
UTi Worldwide Inc. UTIW 11.87 10.89 ▼ 1.35 12 6.36
Valspar Corp. VAL 83.43 81.73 ▼ 3.34 14 4.48 w
Valley National Bancorp VLY 9.08 9.68 ▼ -2.43 7 -3.30
Valmont Industries VMI 120.12 136.35 ▼ -6.21 29 -19.45
Vishay Intertechnology VSH 13.62 14.24 ▼ -1.01 18 -4.69 w
Vectren Corporation VVC 47.92 44.44 ▲ 7.41 24 20.58
Westinghouse Air Brake Technol WAB 83.45 82.62 ▼ 0.22 13 -3.41 w
Westamerica Bancorp. WABC 40.68 47.80 ▼ -3.53 7 -13.04
Washington Federal WAFD 19.86 21.78 ▼ -1.47 3 -5.43
Webster Financial WBS 30.53 31.90 ▼ 0.04 2 2.59 w
WellCare Health Plans WCG 72.85 70.84 ▼ 5.06 13 7.13 w
Waste Connections WCN 43.22 46.34 ▲ -6.27 9 -8.41
Waddell & Reed Financial WDR 44.71 49.65 ▼ -2.92 38 -31.30
Wendy's Company WEN 10.54 8.79 ▲ 8.80 14 26.53
Werner Enterprises WERN 28.53 27.99 ▼ 5.57 14 11.14 w
Winland Electronics WEX 92.05 105.66 ▼ -5.15 8 -12.42
WGL Holdings Inc. WGL 56.50 50.17 ▼ 9.66 24 34.14 pP
Western Refining WNR 37.13 40.23 ▲ -4.14 11 -9.13 w
VCA Antech Inc. WOOF 52.10 43.57 ▲ 8.25 36 61.75
Worthington Industries WOR 29.93 34.16 ▲ -8.02 26 -24.11 spBuy
WPX Energy, Inc. WPX 10.66 15.97 ▲ -6.99 16 -43.24
Westar Energy, Inc. WR 42.72 38.64 ▲ 8.34 15 20.34
W.R. Berkley WRB 48.99 48.12 ▼ 0.19 40 13.64 w
Weingarten Realty Investors WRI 37.48 34.27 ▲ 4.90 15 13.23
Williams-Sonoma Inc. WSM 78.25 70.37 ▲ 6.77 11 12.40
Watsco Inc. WSO 108.86 99.89 ▼ 6.31 14 12.87
Aqua America Inc. WTR 27.05 25.85 ▲ 4.21 14 7.04
WhiteWave Foods Co. WWAV 32.97 35.45 ▼ -2.11 2 -0.42
Woodward, Inc. WWD 44.61 49.41 ▼ -3.77 7 -7.91
Cimarex Energy Co. XEC 103.20 119.19 ▲ -3.89 17 -14.77
Exelis, Inc. XLS 17.11 16.95 ▲ -0.52 1 -3.77 w
Alleghany Corp. Y 442.09 437.38 ▼ 2.05 47 9.52 w
Zebra Technologies ZBRA 83.46 73.57 ▲ 5.68 8 9.47
36. Investing approach for weekly reversal levels:
* Conservative investors can go with the normal buy and sell signals only and negate the info about
speculative buys and short selling. This is a trend following method, so you will not buy at the bottom and there
will be some “give-back” at the end of a trend. The aim is to participate in the bulk of a move with a minimum of
risk. When you see an "Add" signal you can increase the position by buying more. This means you build bigger
positions in stocks that are going up.
* Short selling can be done on regular sell signals or on "add to shorts" (AddSh). Short positions are best
covered as soon as you see MoM turn up or on the first regular buy signal (Buy or wBuy) that appears after
you went short. Short selling is not for everybody. Make sure you know what you are doing.
* Speculative buying opportunities appear when MoM starts going up for a stock that has been in bearish(red)
mode for a while. This can allow you to pick up stocks near a major low. But some care needs to be taken. Try
to buy near the recent low, and use a properly positioned stop-loss, e.g. just below the recent low, because not
all those speculative buys will work. Keep losers small and let the profits run. You can take some partial profits
when the stock comes close to its reversal level and let the rest run for a regular buy if the stock breaks out
above the reversal level, which triggers a normal buy signal. Note: struggling companies may never recover, so
this method is best used on ETFs or on stocks of companies that are in good financial shape.
The MoM indicator
The MoM indicator shows market momentum on a numeric scale between +10 and -10. You could compare it
to the Richter scale for earthquakes, or a market thermometer if you want.
Various levels in the MoM indicator correspond to market mood as follows:
* +8 to +10: very optimistic – euphoric
* +5 to +8: optimistic
* +3 to +5 : positive
* -3 to +3: neutral
* -3 to -5: negative
* -8 to -5: pessimistic
* -10 to -8: very pessimistic – depressed
Besides the level itself, we also pay attention to the direction. In a healthy bull market, the MoM will be rising
together with the market. When MoM starts going down in a bull market (green), it is an indication that the
market may have peaked out or has started a sideways pause, and that’s when market mode sets to light
green. In a rising market you will typically find MoM hovering between +3 and +10. Market pullbacks will
generally end with MoM bottoming out in the neutral zone ( -3 to +3) before turning back up. In a declining
market you will typically find MoM hovering between -3 and -10. Market rebounds will generally end with MoM
peaking out in the neutral zone ( -3 to +3) before turning back down.
Q & A
Q: I prefer swing trading and your weekly signals seem to be rather slow. Do you have something faster too?
A: Sure. We also publish daily reversal levels, which are tailored for swing trading. Check it out on the contact
addresses given below.
Q: Where can I find more information about these reversal levels and MoM indicator?
A: You can find more materials here: http://lunatictrader.wordpress.com/key-reversal-levels/. More will be
added in the near future as well as example trades.
37. Q: I am a fundamental investor, can I do anything with these reversal levels?
A: Well, even if you select stocks based on fundamentals it will make a difference *when* you buy (sell) them.
Better timing can make a big difference, even for a long term buy and hold investor. For example if your
analysis shows you that company XYZ is great value, then you can still wait until the reversal levels give a buy
signal ( or a speculative buy) to get in. Just try and see whether it improves your results.
Q: Your predictions for last week didn't work very well. But your table always shows a lot of blue (profits). Why
should I believe this?
A: The reversal levels are not a prediction, they are an approach to trading. All you can do is try it in your own
trading (even paper trading) and see how it works. It will naturally take more than one week to see if a method
is good or not. You are also not required to believe anything. You can verify the "%Ch." numbers if you want.
Just take the Open on the Monday after the buy (sell) signal was given and calculate the change to date. It
should match what you find in the table. If that is not the case, feel welcome to contact us with your question.
Q: A stock I own is already trading below its reversal level, so it will probably turn to bearish mode this week.
Do I need to wait for the next Monday's Open to sell this stock?
A: If going into the close on Friday you see that one of your stocks is almost certain to close below the weekly
reversal level then you can already sell it with a MOC (market on close) order. Sometimes this will give you a
slightly better exit than waiting for next Monday's open.
Q: Do I need to take all buy signals in the list?
A: No. Maybe you don like IBM, or the leveraged and reverse ETF in the list, that's up to you of course. Also,
whenever a buy signal appears we can always check how far the stock is above its reversal level. That gives
us an estimate how much risk is in this trade, because the stock will be sold if it drops and closes below the
reversal level. E.g. it is possible that a stock jumps 20% on good news and is already too far above the
reversal level when the buy signal appears. In that case you can wait until the price comes back to the reversal
level to pick it up. So, that's where you can always use some discretion.
Q: Do I need to take all sell signals for stocks I own? What if I am sure my stock will recover soon?
A: If you intend to use the reversal levels properly, then the answer is: yes, always sell when a stock has
closed below its reversal level. Take the profit (or loss) and move on to the next chance. True, sometimes a
stock will come right back after giving a sell signal, but many more times that doesn't happen and the stock just
keeps sinking for some reason that you may not hear about until weeks later (and maybe 20% lower). Then
you will be happy if you sold on the reversal sell signal. This is a discipline thing. Also remember, if the stock
happens to come right back then it will climb back above its reversal level and give a buy signal again. We can
then just buy it right back. That would costs us a few %, but that's a small price to pay for avoiding big losers.
What we try to do is get in on some big trending moves. We will take small losses on the trades that do not
work, and that's the price we pay to get in on big profitable moves.
Q: Shouldn't we buy more when a stock we own is down, in order to reduce our average cost basis?
A: With this method we do not add to losing positions. Only with the speculative buy signals we can decide in
advance to buy in up to 2 tranches, because we can have several speculative buy signals before a stock finally
gets into bullish Mode. A good strategy is to buy a half position on a speculative buy signal and then buy
another half postion on the next regular Buy signal. That gives us a full position and from then on we trade it
normally. The "Add" signals you see in the tables are always at subsequently higher prices, which is a
"doubling up" strategy (anti-Martingale). So, with reversal levels we do not double down on losers, we just sell
them and wait for the next buy signal. This has the advantage that we don't end up with overly big positions in
poorly performing stocks that may keep going nowhere for weeks or months.