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Incubating Development Impact
Source: Nesta
1. Research and analysis
- Micro-narratives
- Ethnography
- Big data: smoke signals
- Evidence mapping
- Horizon scanning
- Market intelligence
- Systems mapping
- Service safaris

7. Systemic impact
- Changing behaviour
- Changing laws and regulations
- Calibrating markets
- Understanding interaction of
technologies

2. Ideation and fostering creative
thinking
- Crowdsourcing
- Challenges
- Design tools
- Creativity methods
- Open innovation

6. Scale-up
- Organisational growth
- Spreading ideas
- Transferring practice
- Legislation
- Licensing
- Franchising

3. Experiment
- Rapid prototyping
- Service and process design
- User-design
- Co-design
- Behavioural insights
- Light-touch evaluation
- Randomised Control Trials
- Cost-benefit modelling

4. Business case development
- Market sizing and validation
- Business case analysis
- Independent replication of
evaluation

5. Replication of impact
- Policy design
- Programme design
- Business modelling
- Organisational design

Source: Nesta
Source: Nesta
Source: Nesta
Theory of
change
Correlation

Challenges

Experiments

Alpha

Filter

Prototype

Filter

Ideas

Filter

Causation

Beta

Small Real-World Evaluations

Government
Graduation Enterprise
NGO
UNDP Project
Before and after
Who
• 3 staff
• few phone calls?

Where
• Office

Evidence
• Secondary
research
• No precedents
• No feedback loops

When
Solution identified
ex ante

How
• 1 solution preidentified
• Internal
process
• Top-down
• Linear

• Staff
• Universities
• Private sector
• Local Partners
• Start ups
• Individuals
• Int. networks

• Field
• Local
partners

• Gained through
experimentation
• Precedents
• Continuous
feedback loops

Solution identified
ex post

• Portfolio
approach
• Number of
hypothesis
tested
concurrently

• Co-design
• Open, public
process
• Continuous
improvement
ANNEX
Kolba concept
Kolba concept
Kolba concept
Kolba concept

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Kolba concept

  • 3. 1. Research and analysis - Micro-narratives - Ethnography - Big data: smoke signals - Evidence mapping - Horizon scanning - Market intelligence - Systems mapping - Service safaris 7. Systemic impact - Changing behaviour - Changing laws and regulations - Calibrating markets - Understanding interaction of technologies 2. Ideation and fostering creative thinking - Crowdsourcing - Challenges - Design tools - Creativity methods - Open innovation 6. Scale-up - Organisational growth - Spreading ideas - Transferring practice - Legislation - Licensing - Franchising 3. Experiment - Rapid prototyping - Service and process design - User-design - Co-design - Behavioural insights - Light-touch evaluation - Randomised Control Trials - Cost-benefit modelling 4. Business case development - Market sizing and validation - Business case analysis - Independent replication of evaluation 5. Replication of impact - Policy design - Programme design - Business modelling - Organisational design Source: Nesta
  • 4.
  • 8. Before and after Who • 3 staff • few phone calls? Where • Office Evidence • Secondary research • No precedents • No feedback loops When Solution identified ex ante How • 1 solution preidentified • Internal process • Top-down • Linear • Staff • Universities • Private sector • Local Partners • Start ups • Individuals • Int. networks • Field • Local partners • Gained through experimentation • Precedents • Continuous feedback loops Solution identified ex post • Portfolio approach • Number of hypothesis tested concurrently • Co-design • Open, public process • Continuous improvement