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MEAT AND DAIRY EXPORTS TO THE MIDDLE EAST
How to make your mark
in a market on the move
MALACHY MITCHELL
Managing Director – Farrelly & Mitchell
Food Protein Vision 2018, Amsterdam – FoodNavigator.com
2
GLOBAL
Reach and
Experience
Farrelly & Mitchell
Global Specialist in Food & Agribusiness
200 PLUS
Sector
Specialists
CLIENTS
Corporate &
Government
ESTABLISHED
Over 15
Years
STRENGTH
Operational
& Strategic
VALUE CHAIN
Farm to Fork
3
POPULATION 55 million
FOOD MARKET $130 billion
ANNUAL AGRI-FOOD IMPORTS $48 billion
Strong Disposable Income
High spending population
Favourable Demographic
Profile young & growing
Changing Dietary Preferences
Western & ethnic Influences
Steadily Growing Tourism
Travel hub and rising tourism
Social & Cultural Changes
Convenience food popular as more
women enter job market
Growth in Modern Retail
Hypermarket, supermarket
& convenience
Follow the money
The Gulf’s rich economies and affluent demographic
4
Demographics trends
One of the fastest growing regions and youngest demographics in the world….
GCC EU
Population growth
(CAGR 2010-2015)
3.3% 0.2%
Average Age 2015 29 Years 42.6 Years
GDP / Capita 2015
(USD)
26,666 35,100
Consumer Spending /
Capita 2015 (USD)
11,307 17,585
Protein Consumption
per Capita 2013
90g /
capita / day
104g /
capita / day
Source: UN Population Division, World Bank, IMF, National Statistics Authorities, Farrelly & Mitchell
5
An increasing shift towards protein
Angola
Bermuda
Cyprus
Liberia
Lithuania
Luxemburg
Nigeria
NorwayPortugal
Ghana
Saudi Arabia
India
UAE
USA
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
- 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000
Oman
Kuwait
Per Capita Protein Consumption (g/Capita/Day)
STRONG RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN RISING INCOME AND DEMAND FOR PROTEIN
GDP Per Capita (USD)
Source: IMF, FAO, Farrelly & Mitchell (2013 data)
6
An increasing shift towards protein
GCC Meat & Dairy Consumption 2012 - 2015
POULTRY
Broiler Meat Market Volume ('000 Tonnes)
DAIRY
BEEF
Beef Market Volumes ('000 Tonnes)
SHEEP
Dairy Market Volumes ('000 Tonnes)
Sheep Meat Market Volumes ('000 Tonnes)
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Consumption Local production Imports Consumption Production Imports
-
100
200
300
400
500
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Consumption Production Imports Consumption Production Imports
-
100
200
300
400
500
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Source: FAO, USDA, AOAD and Farrelly & Mitchell
7
Increasing GCC dairy and meat consumption – Forecast 2025
GCC food consumption is expected to grow constantly due to strong demographic, social and macroeconomic trends
GCC FOOD CONSUMPTION
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
-
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Dairy & Meat Consumption ('000 Tonnes) Food Consumption ('000 Tonnes)
Dairy (LHS) Meat (LHS) Food (RHS)
Source: FAO, USDA, AOAD and Farrelly & Mitchell
CAGR annual growth rate
(2015-2025)
• Food (Total): 3.8%
• Dairy: 4.9%
• Meat: 4.6%
8
It is important to tune into the culture ….
Title Definition Saudi Arabia UK
Power Distance Accept and expect that power is distributed unequally High Low
Individualism
Degree to which people in a society are integrated
into groups
Low High
Masculinity –
Femininity
Preference in society for achievement and
assertiveness
Average
Masculine
High
Masculine
Uncertainty
Avoidance
Degree to which people avert the unexpected
or status quo
High Low
Long-term
Orientation
High: Adaptation and circumstantial, pragmatic
problem-solving as a necessity
Low: Traditions are honoured and kept
Low Average
9
Important to understand that demand is not homogenous
Significant expatriate population provides number of niche opportunities
BREAKDOWN OF GCC POPULATION BY NATIONALITY 2016
Population by Nationality (%)
63%
11%
46%
12%
54%
30%
37%
89%
54%
88%
46%
70%
KSA UAE Bahrain Qatar Oman Kuwait
Citizens Expatriates
Source: National Statistics Authorities
10
GCC food safety standards
GSO’s main role is to create a common set of food regulations and standards ….. but national standards also apply…. KSA and Dubai most influential & strict.
Gaining entry to Saudi Arabia or UAE will most likely mean access to other GCC markets ……
Emirates Authority
for Standardization
and Metrology
Standards
& Metrology
Directorate
(Bahrain)
Directorate General
of Specifications
& Standards
(Oman)
Saudi Standards,
Metrology and
Quality
Organization
Laboratories &
Standardization
Affairs (Qatar)
Specifications
& Industrial
Services Sector
(Kuwait)
GSO Regulatory Bodies
National Standards GSO Regulations Ongoing Development Inconsistent Application & Implementation
11
The dominance of halal meat and dairy
Import requirements are similar for meat & poultry….SFDA the most influential member of the GSO
• All food, ingredients and additives produced from animals which were not slaughtered according to Islamic rite or from
swine are Haram and not suitable for Halal consumption/use.
• Any food product, ingredient or additive containing alcohol or produced with the use of alcohol is Haram and unsuitable
for Halal consumption or use.
Halal
Certification
Certificate
of Islamic
Slaughter
Meet GSO
Quality
Standards
Hormone Free No Animal
Proteins
Feeding
Laboratory
Test
01 02 03 04 05 06
12
Product categories that are important in the GCC
Meat products frozen or chilled; (Imported) chicken is a frozen market ….. But must target customer specific requirements
MEAT
CHICKEN
• Whole Carcass
• Quarters
• Range of Other Cuts
• Frozen/Chilled
• Whole Chicken
• Chicken Parts
• Frozen
13
GCC Market Entry: Checklist
An extensive market needs analysis to be undertaken to fully understand market dynamics and opportunity …..
Clear strategy
Market contacts & cultural understanding
Formal contacts established
Halal registration & certification
Distributor in place
Localised product range
01
02
03
04
05
06
14
Fiscal balances driving necessity for economic reforms
Making it a good time to invest in the GCC
GCC FISCAL BALANCES, REVENUES AND EXPENDITURES 2012-2022
OPEC Oil Prices (USD/Barrel)
OPEC Oil Price (USD/Barrel) GCC Government Revenue
Source: World Bank, IMF, OPEC (Reference) Basket
Government Revenue & Expenditure (USD Billion)
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
GCC Government Expenditure
15
Economic reforms are also opening doors for in-country partnerships
and joint ventures
• GCC members plan to invest USD 968 billion over the next 10 years
• This investment includes 1,638 projects
• The oil-rich countries plan to direct from 2011 to 2020,
USD 79 billion for rail, including trains, subways and trams
• The most ambitious project, valued at USD 30 billion,
is the railroad that will connect all the countries of the GCC
• For roads construction, investments are put at $ 18 billion
16
Very significant inflow of investment into the region
by major global food companies
Kuwait $275m | FZ
Bahrain $282 | FZ 4
Qatar $774m | FZ 1 | IC 2
UAE $8,986m | FZ 24 | SEZ 2 | IZ 9
Oman $142m | FZ 4 | SEZ 5 | IZ 6
Saudi Arabia
$7,453m | IC 14 | EC4
Source: UN (2016 FDI Inflow)
17
GCC is also a major launchpad to the MEASA region
A catchment of 3.3 billion consumers and growing
• 84 Nations
• 3.3 billion consumers
• 47% of world population
• 67% of world population growth
• Median Age of 23.9
• Rapidly expanding Middle Class
23.9
29.6
37.9
41.4
0 10 20 30 40 50
MEASA
Global
North America
Europe
MIDDLE EAST AFRICA & SOUTH ASIA (MEASA) REGION
3.3 3.6 4.1
2014 2020 2030
586
969
2,537
2014 2020 2030
MEDIAN AGE
MEASA POPULATION (BILLION)
Sources: IMF, UN, Euromonitor, Farrelly & Mitchell. *Excludes alcoholic beverages.
PACKAGED FOOD & BEVERAGE RETAIL MARKET
VALUE (USD BILLION)*
18
Client case
Innovation driven investment from Europe in the GCC ….
EUROPEAN DAIRY
CORPORATE
DISTRIBUTOR
(GCC BASED)
RESULT
• Experienced partner with
key account relationships
• Shared vision of market and
growth objective
• Strong local value add &
import displacement
• Raw Ingrediants
• Innovation
• Systemisation
• Corporate Structure
• Management
Expertise
• Market Knowledge
• Key Relationships
• Local Infrastructure
and Distribution
Network
• Successful
Partnership/ Joint
Venture Enterprise
• Profitable & growing
business
19
Significant market opportunities for trade or local investment
xxx
Branding & private
label opportunity
Niche opportunities
& product innovation
Compelling
customer needs
Potential
investment support
Strong growing
market
Supply chain
driven
Establishing partnerships and
joint venture arrangements
Undertaking a concerted
marketing effort – long term
investment
20
Malachy Mitchell
Managing Director
Unit 5A Fingal Business Park
Balbriggan
Co. Dublin
Ireland K32 EH70
Tel: +353 1 690 6550
Fax: +353 1 883 4910
Mobile: +353 86 806 0843
Email: mmitchell@farrellymitchell.com
Middle East & Africa
Najeeb Alhumaid
Regional Manager
Al-Rusais Building
Suite 510
Olaya Main Road
6468 Al Ulaya - Al Ulaya
Riyadh 12211 - 3857
Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
Tel: +966 11 4634406
Mobile: +966 54 338 7199
Email: nalhumaid@farrellymitchell.com
www.farrellymitchell.com
Europe
Farrelly & Mitchell is a leading international agribusiness and food
management consulting firm with offices in Europe and the Middle East.
We help our clients to build and implement sustainable restructuring,
transformation or growth strategies across each link of the agribusiness
and food value chain - from large scale farmland crop and livestock
investments and agribusinesses to consumer food or beverage
manufacturing, distribution, retail and hospitality.
Headquartered in Ireland with an office in the Middle East, the firm
works with corporate, investment bank, private equity, family office and
government clients throughout Europe, Middle East, Africa and globally.
At Farrelly & Mitchell we help our clients to grow, invest and improve
efficiencies.
About Farrelly & Mitchell
© Farrelly & Mitchell 2018
Disclaimer: The information in this presentation is intended to give information in general nature, great efforts has been exerted to ensure the accuracy of this data at the time the presentation was drafted. Farrelly &
Mitchell Business Consultants Ltd. and its Branch offices or affiliates does not provide any implicit or explicit guarantees on the validity, timing or completeness of any data or information in this presentation. Also we
assume no responsibility on the appropriateness of the data and information for suiting any particular purpose or reliability in trading or investing. Please note: Unless provided otherwise and in writing from us, all
information contained in this presentation, including logo, pictures and drawings, are considered property of Farrelly & Mitchell Business Consultants Ltd.

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Meat and Dairy Exports to the Middle East

  • 1. MEAT AND DAIRY EXPORTS TO THE MIDDLE EAST How to make your mark in a market on the move MALACHY MITCHELL Managing Director – Farrelly & Mitchell Food Protein Vision 2018, Amsterdam – FoodNavigator.com
  • 2. 2 GLOBAL Reach and Experience Farrelly & Mitchell Global Specialist in Food & Agribusiness 200 PLUS Sector Specialists CLIENTS Corporate & Government ESTABLISHED Over 15 Years STRENGTH Operational & Strategic VALUE CHAIN Farm to Fork
  • 3. 3 POPULATION 55 million FOOD MARKET $130 billion ANNUAL AGRI-FOOD IMPORTS $48 billion Strong Disposable Income High spending population Favourable Demographic Profile young & growing Changing Dietary Preferences Western & ethnic Influences Steadily Growing Tourism Travel hub and rising tourism Social & Cultural Changes Convenience food popular as more women enter job market Growth in Modern Retail Hypermarket, supermarket & convenience Follow the money The Gulf’s rich economies and affluent demographic
  • 4. 4 Demographics trends One of the fastest growing regions and youngest demographics in the world…. GCC EU Population growth (CAGR 2010-2015) 3.3% 0.2% Average Age 2015 29 Years 42.6 Years GDP / Capita 2015 (USD) 26,666 35,100 Consumer Spending / Capita 2015 (USD) 11,307 17,585 Protein Consumption per Capita 2013 90g / capita / day 104g / capita / day Source: UN Population Division, World Bank, IMF, National Statistics Authorities, Farrelly & Mitchell
  • 5. 5 An increasing shift towards protein Angola Bermuda Cyprus Liberia Lithuania Luxemburg Nigeria NorwayPortugal Ghana Saudi Arabia India UAE USA 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 - 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 Oman Kuwait Per Capita Protein Consumption (g/Capita/Day) STRONG RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN RISING INCOME AND DEMAND FOR PROTEIN GDP Per Capita (USD) Source: IMF, FAO, Farrelly & Mitchell (2013 data)
  • 6. 6 An increasing shift towards protein GCC Meat & Dairy Consumption 2012 - 2015 POULTRY Broiler Meat Market Volume ('000 Tonnes) DAIRY BEEF Beef Market Volumes ('000 Tonnes) SHEEP Dairy Market Volumes ('000 Tonnes) Sheep Meat Market Volumes ('000 Tonnes) - 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Consumption Local production Imports Consumption Production Imports - 100 200 300 400 500 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Consumption Production Imports Consumption Production Imports - 100 200 300 400 500 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Source: FAO, USDA, AOAD and Farrelly & Mitchell
  • 7. 7 Increasing GCC dairy and meat consumption – Forecast 2025 GCC food consumption is expected to grow constantly due to strong demographic, social and macroeconomic trends GCC FOOD CONSUMPTION - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 - 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Dairy & Meat Consumption ('000 Tonnes) Food Consumption ('000 Tonnes) Dairy (LHS) Meat (LHS) Food (RHS) Source: FAO, USDA, AOAD and Farrelly & Mitchell CAGR annual growth rate (2015-2025) • Food (Total): 3.8% • Dairy: 4.9% • Meat: 4.6%
  • 8. 8 It is important to tune into the culture …. Title Definition Saudi Arabia UK Power Distance Accept and expect that power is distributed unequally High Low Individualism Degree to which people in a society are integrated into groups Low High Masculinity – Femininity Preference in society for achievement and assertiveness Average Masculine High Masculine Uncertainty Avoidance Degree to which people avert the unexpected or status quo High Low Long-term Orientation High: Adaptation and circumstantial, pragmatic problem-solving as a necessity Low: Traditions are honoured and kept Low Average
  • 9. 9 Important to understand that demand is not homogenous Significant expatriate population provides number of niche opportunities BREAKDOWN OF GCC POPULATION BY NATIONALITY 2016 Population by Nationality (%) 63% 11% 46% 12% 54% 30% 37% 89% 54% 88% 46% 70% KSA UAE Bahrain Qatar Oman Kuwait Citizens Expatriates Source: National Statistics Authorities
  • 10. 10 GCC food safety standards GSO’s main role is to create a common set of food regulations and standards ….. but national standards also apply…. KSA and Dubai most influential & strict. Gaining entry to Saudi Arabia or UAE will most likely mean access to other GCC markets …… Emirates Authority for Standardization and Metrology Standards & Metrology Directorate (Bahrain) Directorate General of Specifications & Standards (Oman) Saudi Standards, Metrology and Quality Organization Laboratories & Standardization Affairs (Qatar) Specifications & Industrial Services Sector (Kuwait) GSO Regulatory Bodies National Standards GSO Regulations Ongoing Development Inconsistent Application & Implementation
  • 11. 11 The dominance of halal meat and dairy Import requirements are similar for meat & poultry….SFDA the most influential member of the GSO • All food, ingredients and additives produced from animals which were not slaughtered according to Islamic rite or from swine are Haram and not suitable for Halal consumption/use. • Any food product, ingredient or additive containing alcohol or produced with the use of alcohol is Haram and unsuitable for Halal consumption or use. Halal Certification Certificate of Islamic Slaughter Meet GSO Quality Standards Hormone Free No Animal Proteins Feeding Laboratory Test 01 02 03 04 05 06
  • 12. 12 Product categories that are important in the GCC Meat products frozen or chilled; (Imported) chicken is a frozen market ….. But must target customer specific requirements MEAT CHICKEN • Whole Carcass • Quarters • Range of Other Cuts • Frozen/Chilled • Whole Chicken • Chicken Parts • Frozen
  • 13. 13 GCC Market Entry: Checklist An extensive market needs analysis to be undertaken to fully understand market dynamics and opportunity ….. Clear strategy Market contacts & cultural understanding Formal contacts established Halal registration & certification Distributor in place Localised product range 01 02 03 04 05 06
  • 14. 14 Fiscal balances driving necessity for economic reforms Making it a good time to invest in the GCC GCC FISCAL BALANCES, REVENUES AND EXPENDITURES 2012-2022 OPEC Oil Prices (USD/Barrel) OPEC Oil Price (USD/Barrel) GCC Government Revenue Source: World Bank, IMF, OPEC (Reference) Basket Government Revenue & Expenditure (USD Billion) 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 GCC Government Expenditure
  • 15. 15 Economic reforms are also opening doors for in-country partnerships and joint ventures • GCC members plan to invest USD 968 billion over the next 10 years • This investment includes 1,638 projects • The oil-rich countries plan to direct from 2011 to 2020, USD 79 billion for rail, including trains, subways and trams • The most ambitious project, valued at USD 30 billion, is the railroad that will connect all the countries of the GCC • For roads construction, investments are put at $ 18 billion
  • 16. 16 Very significant inflow of investment into the region by major global food companies Kuwait $275m | FZ Bahrain $282 | FZ 4 Qatar $774m | FZ 1 | IC 2 UAE $8,986m | FZ 24 | SEZ 2 | IZ 9 Oman $142m | FZ 4 | SEZ 5 | IZ 6 Saudi Arabia $7,453m | IC 14 | EC4 Source: UN (2016 FDI Inflow)
  • 17. 17 GCC is also a major launchpad to the MEASA region A catchment of 3.3 billion consumers and growing • 84 Nations • 3.3 billion consumers • 47% of world population • 67% of world population growth • Median Age of 23.9 • Rapidly expanding Middle Class 23.9 29.6 37.9 41.4 0 10 20 30 40 50 MEASA Global North America Europe MIDDLE EAST AFRICA & SOUTH ASIA (MEASA) REGION 3.3 3.6 4.1 2014 2020 2030 586 969 2,537 2014 2020 2030 MEDIAN AGE MEASA POPULATION (BILLION) Sources: IMF, UN, Euromonitor, Farrelly & Mitchell. *Excludes alcoholic beverages. PACKAGED FOOD & BEVERAGE RETAIL MARKET VALUE (USD BILLION)*
  • 18. 18 Client case Innovation driven investment from Europe in the GCC …. EUROPEAN DAIRY CORPORATE DISTRIBUTOR (GCC BASED) RESULT • Experienced partner with key account relationships • Shared vision of market and growth objective • Strong local value add & import displacement • Raw Ingrediants • Innovation • Systemisation • Corporate Structure • Management Expertise • Market Knowledge • Key Relationships • Local Infrastructure and Distribution Network • Successful Partnership/ Joint Venture Enterprise • Profitable & growing business
  • 19. 19 Significant market opportunities for trade or local investment xxx Branding & private label opportunity Niche opportunities & product innovation Compelling customer needs Potential investment support Strong growing market Supply chain driven Establishing partnerships and joint venture arrangements Undertaking a concerted marketing effort – long term investment
  • 20. 20 Malachy Mitchell Managing Director Unit 5A Fingal Business Park Balbriggan Co. Dublin Ireland K32 EH70 Tel: +353 1 690 6550 Fax: +353 1 883 4910 Mobile: +353 86 806 0843 Email: mmitchell@farrellymitchell.com Middle East & Africa Najeeb Alhumaid Regional Manager Al-Rusais Building Suite 510 Olaya Main Road 6468 Al Ulaya - Al Ulaya Riyadh 12211 - 3857 Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Tel: +966 11 4634406 Mobile: +966 54 338 7199 Email: nalhumaid@farrellymitchell.com www.farrellymitchell.com Europe Farrelly & Mitchell is a leading international agribusiness and food management consulting firm with offices in Europe and the Middle East. We help our clients to build and implement sustainable restructuring, transformation or growth strategies across each link of the agribusiness and food value chain - from large scale farmland crop and livestock investments and agribusinesses to consumer food or beverage manufacturing, distribution, retail and hospitality. Headquartered in Ireland with an office in the Middle East, the firm works with corporate, investment bank, private equity, family office and government clients throughout Europe, Middle East, Africa and globally. At Farrelly & Mitchell we help our clients to grow, invest and improve efficiencies. About Farrelly & Mitchell © Farrelly & Mitchell 2018 Disclaimer: The information in this presentation is intended to give information in general nature, great efforts has been exerted to ensure the accuracy of this data at the time the presentation was drafted. Farrelly & Mitchell Business Consultants Ltd. and its Branch offices or affiliates does not provide any implicit or explicit guarantees on the validity, timing or completeness of any data or information in this presentation. Also we assume no responsibility on the appropriateness of the data and information for suiting any particular purpose or reliability in trading or investing. Please note: Unless provided otherwise and in writing from us, all information contained in this presentation, including logo, pictures and drawings, are considered property of Farrelly & Mitchell Business Consultants Ltd.