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Global oceanic and atmospheric
          circulation



           HON 305V
          Dr. Andersen
Atmospheric circulation: Simplistic
                 model
●   Assume:
    ●   Earth is not rotating
    ●   Earth's surface is
        uniform
●   Global influx of solar
    radiation and loss of
    longwave radiation
    creates a gradient of
    decreasing
    temperature from the
    equator to the poles
Atmospheric circulation: Spin the
                  planet
●   If you account for Earth's rotation, Coriolis
    forces cause the circulation pattern to break
    up into three cells (Hadley, Ferrel, and polar)
    and two jet streams (subtropical and polar) in
    each hemisphere
●   Notice the weirdness at the north edge of the
    Ferrel cell; this collision of warm and cold air
    masses produces weather fronts and cyclonic
    storms
●   Intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) follows
    equator exactly
Actual global circulation
●   Doesn't match up with 3-cell model for a couple of reasons
    ●   Air heats and cools differently over land and water
    ●   Elevation influences air flow, higher elevation often intensifies
        pressure gradients
●   Effects can be seen in global climate animations from the
    University of Oregon, and also in these animations from
    the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR).
    ●   Atmospheric circulation
    ●   Vertical velocities
    ●   Temperatures
Actual circulation: January
●   Southern hemisphere
    tilted toward sun
●   ITCZ south of the
    equator
●   Big dips of ITCZ
    toward the South
    Pole over major land
    masses because land
    heats up faster than
    ocean
Actual circulation: July
●   ITCZ shifts to the north by as much as 40 degrees
    latitude as northern hemisphere tilts toward the
    sun
●   Land areas of North Africa and Asia warm rapidly
    to form an Asiatic low-pressure zone (contrast with
    high pressure in that area in January) that
    becomes part of the ITCZ, drives Asian monsoon
●   Southern polar zone remains cold even during
    southern hemisphere summer because Antarctic
    ice sheet reflects most solar radiation
Oceanic circulation
●   Generated by:
    ●   Winds above surface waters (thus tied to atmospheric circulation)
    ●   Evaporation
    ●   Sinking of cold water at high latitudes
    ●   Coriolis forces
●   Flow patterns constrained by continents bordering the three ocean
    basins (Atlantic, Pacific, and Indian), forming large-scale gyres
●   Each gyre has two east-west currents (at top and bottom) and two
    north-south currents along edges of continents
●   Flow directions determined by prevailing winds and by Coriolis forces
●   Sometimes the Pacific Equatorial Counter
    Current intensifies, driving El Nino conditions
●   Western boundary currents flow from equator to
    high latitudes, tend to be narrow and fast-
    moving; the deepest oceanic surface currents
●   Eastern boundary currents flow from high
    latitudes to the equator, tend to be broad, slow-
    moving, and shallow
Subsurface circulation
●   Subsurface circulation much slower than surface
    currents
●   Driven by variation in the density of sea water
    ●   Temperature
    ●   Salinity
●   Cold saline water sinks in the North Atlantic, flows to
    (and then around) Antarctica, then northward into
    Indian and Pacific Oceans, where it rises and joins
    surface flow
●   One complete circuit estimated to take about 1000
    years
Video here
GCMs: Climate modeling
●   Components
    ●   Atmosphere
    ●   Ocean
    ●   Land surfaces
    ●   Cryosphere (ice and snow)
    ●   Associated biological and chemical processes
●   Simplest GCMs consider either only atmosphere
    (AGCM) or only ocean (OGCM)
●   Newer more sophisticated GCMs include coupled
    dynamics of most major systems (AOGCM), additional
    links and components added frequently
GCMs
●   U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
    Change (IPCC) predictions based on coupled
    models (AOGCM)
●   Overall uncertainty depends on uncertainty of
    component models
●   Based on Navier-Stokes equations for fluid flow
    with thermodynamic terms added
●   Solved numerically on computer by
    constructing a 3D grid over the Earth's surface
GCMs and climate change
●   AOGCMs used to predict future climate under
    various emissions scenarios
●   Atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations
    typically simply an input to the model, although
    it is possible to couple an AOGCM with a global
    carbon-cycle model (and possibly an economic
    model of global energy portfolios)
GCMs: Uncertainty
●   Interaction with global carbon cycle one source
    of uncertainty
●   Another is the role of convective processes,
    which generally take place at scales smaller
    than the resolution of the model grid
●   Major source of uncertainty is the role of
    clouds; cloud formation and response to
    changed climate not as well known as you
    might expect
GCMs: Confidence
●   Models are based both on physical law
    (conservation of mass, Navier-Stokes
    equations) and massive amounts of data
●   Ability to simulate current climate based on first
    principles
●   Ability to provide insight into past climates and
    climatic events (such as the climate impacts of
    historic volcanic eruptions)
●   What are the main similarities between
    atmospheric and oceanic circulation?
●   Are any of the results of large-scale
    atmospheric circulation apparent to the casual
    observer?
●   Why does it rain so much in the tropics?

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Global atmospheric and oceanic circulation

  • 1. Global oceanic and atmospheric circulation HON 305V Dr. Andersen
  • 2. Atmospheric circulation: Simplistic model ● Assume: ● Earth is not rotating ● Earth's surface is uniform ● Global influx of solar radiation and loss of longwave radiation creates a gradient of decreasing temperature from the equator to the poles
  • 3. Atmospheric circulation: Spin the planet ● If you account for Earth's rotation, Coriolis forces cause the circulation pattern to break up into three cells (Hadley, Ferrel, and polar) and two jet streams (subtropical and polar) in each hemisphere ● Notice the weirdness at the north edge of the Ferrel cell; this collision of warm and cold air masses produces weather fronts and cyclonic storms ● Intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) follows equator exactly
  • 4. Actual global circulation ● Doesn't match up with 3-cell model for a couple of reasons ● Air heats and cools differently over land and water ● Elevation influences air flow, higher elevation often intensifies pressure gradients ● Effects can be seen in global climate animations from the University of Oregon, and also in these animations from the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). ● Atmospheric circulation ● Vertical velocities ● Temperatures
  • 5. Actual circulation: January ● Southern hemisphere tilted toward sun ● ITCZ south of the equator ● Big dips of ITCZ toward the South Pole over major land masses because land heats up faster than ocean
  • 6. Actual circulation: July ● ITCZ shifts to the north by as much as 40 degrees latitude as northern hemisphere tilts toward the sun ● Land areas of North Africa and Asia warm rapidly to form an Asiatic low-pressure zone (contrast with high pressure in that area in January) that becomes part of the ITCZ, drives Asian monsoon ● Southern polar zone remains cold even during southern hemisphere summer because Antarctic ice sheet reflects most solar radiation
  • 7. Oceanic circulation ● Generated by: ● Winds above surface waters (thus tied to atmospheric circulation) ● Evaporation ● Sinking of cold water at high latitudes ● Coriolis forces ● Flow patterns constrained by continents bordering the three ocean basins (Atlantic, Pacific, and Indian), forming large-scale gyres ● Each gyre has two east-west currents (at top and bottom) and two north-south currents along edges of continents ● Flow directions determined by prevailing winds and by Coriolis forces
  • 8.
  • 9. Sometimes the Pacific Equatorial Counter Current intensifies, driving El Nino conditions ● Western boundary currents flow from equator to high latitudes, tend to be narrow and fast- moving; the deepest oceanic surface currents ● Eastern boundary currents flow from high latitudes to the equator, tend to be broad, slow- moving, and shallow
  • 10. Subsurface circulation ● Subsurface circulation much slower than surface currents ● Driven by variation in the density of sea water ● Temperature ● Salinity ● Cold saline water sinks in the North Atlantic, flows to (and then around) Antarctica, then northward into Indian and Pacific Oceans, where it rises and joins surface flow ● One complete circuit estimated to take about 1000 years
  • 12. GCMs: Climate modeling ● Components ● Atmosphere ● Ocean ● Land surfaces ● Cryosphere (ice and snow) ● Associated biological and chemical processes ● Simplest GCMs consider either only atmosphere (AGCM) or only ocean (OGCM) ● Newer more sophisticated GCMs include coupled dynamics of most major systems (AOGCM), additional links and components added frequently
  • 13. GCMs ● U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) predictions based on coupled models (AOGCM) ● Overall uncertainty depends on uncertainty of component models ● Based on Navier-Stokes equations for fluid flow with thermodynamic terms added ● Solved numerically on computer by constructing a 3D grid over the Earth's surface
  • 14. GCMs and climate change ● AOGCMs used to predict future climate under various emissions scenarios ● Atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations typically simply an input to the model, although it is possible to couple an AOGCM with a global carbon-cycle model (and possibly an economic model of global energy portfolios)
  • 15. GCMs: Uncertainty ● Interaction with global carbon cycle one source of uncertainty ● Another is the role of convective processes, which generally take place at scales smaller than the resolution of the model grid ● Major source of uncertainty is the role of clouds; cloud formation and response to changed climate not as well known as you might expect
  • 16. GCMs: Confidence ● Models are based both on physical law (conservation of mass, Navier-Stokes equations) and massive amounts of data ● Ability to simulate current climate based on first principles ● Ability to provide insight into past climates and climatic events (such as the climate impacts of historic volcanic eruptions)
  • 17. What are the main similarities between atmospheric and oceanic circulation? ● Are any of the results of large-scale atmospheric circulation apparent to the casual observer? ● Why does it rain so much in the tropics?