SlideShare une entreprise Scribd logo
1  sur  14
Télécharger pour lire hors ligne
Get more info on this report!


Dinner Trends in the U.S. Foodservice Market
November 1, 2010


Mired in what we’ve termed “entrenched pessimism,” the U.S. consumer’s penchant for
increasing savings and reducing debt at a time when incomes have stagnated only
serves to depress foodservice spending in the short run. For the dinner daypart, the
ramifications are dramatic: Packaged Facts estimates that dinner daypart restaurant
sales dropped 4.6% to $174.4 billion in 2009, and we forecast a 2.8% drop in 2010.

But during an era when consumers are viewed more than ever by their debt-to-income
ratios, we believe that a spending renaissance among consumers with stable household
balance sheets may already be underway. At the dinner hour, we expect full-service
dinner to benefit from the return of the fiscally confident—more affluent consumers with
strong household balance sheets. We expect limited-service restaurants, on the other
hand, to face the prospect of modest trading up in restaurant choices while weaning
extreme affordability customers from low-margin menu items intended to drive traffic but
not sales.

By combining investment-grade industry analysis with key trend analysis, Dinner Trends
in the U.S. Foodservice Market not only helps foodservice industry participants address
challenges unique to the dinner daypart but also helps participants contour their
strategies to meet consumers’ evolving needs. By providing insight on the dinnergoer’s
decision-making process, this report provides direction on how and why the consumer
decides on a specific restaurant from which to obtain dinner, and how and why that
consumer decides what to order from the menu. Selection factors are analyzed
according to the following categories: convenience; dinner menu items; meal cost
thresholds; dine-in partner; and takeout partner; menu positioning and advertising;
health positioning; and bundled offers.

Key coverage includes but is not limited to:

        “Share of stomach” restaurant dinner sales analysis, which includes 5-year sales
        trends for the fast food/quick-service restaurant and full-service restaurant
        segments, with forecasts for 2010 and 2011.
        Guest traffic frequency analysis of leading dinner-centric restaurant brands,
        giving a directional perspective on current sales trends.
Trended analysis of demographic dinner daypart expenditures, including 4-year
      sales historical sales trends and spending according to key demographics, such
      as age, income, region, and race/ethnicity.
      Thorough psychographic analysis of Budgeters, Alcohol Indulgers and Healthy
      Eaters, key psychographic groups shaping the dinner daypart.

The report also conducts trend analysis on key dinner-centric restaurant brands,
including menu strategies and new menu item introductions, core users; snacking
tendencies; food, diet and health attitudes; as well as trends sales metrics. We focus on
recession-driven responses and menu strategies taking the brands into 2011.
Coverage extends to fast food/QSR, coffeehouse, smoothie shop, ice cream shop,
family restaurant, casual restaurant, and fine dining restaurant segments; as well as
prepared foods segments at convenience stores/gas stations and grocery
stores/supermarkets.

Table of Contents
Chapter 1: Executive Summary
Scope and Methodology
        Scope
Methodology
        Consumer survey methodology
Macroeconomic Analysis
        Fast facts
Industry drivers, trackers, and sales trends
        Fast facts
Consumer outlook and restaurant tracker
        Fast facts
Share of stomach: dinner sales analysis
        Fast facts
Dinner trends and competitive climate
Dinner restaurant selection analysis
Dinner menu selection analysis
Alcohol Indulgers: usage, attitudes & behavior drilldrown
Budgeters, Alcohol Indulgers & Healthy Eaters: usage, attitudes & behavior drilldrown
        Fast facts
Dinner on the Menu: Restaurant Brand Analysis
Brinker International Inc
Chili’s Bar & Grill
Menu updates
Chili’s Consumer Universe
A middle-of-the-road range of food, health, and diet attitudes
Negative momentum
Maggiano’s Little Italy
Dinner strategy
Menu mix improvement
Buffalo Wild Wings, Inc.
Sales by daypart
       Expansion plans
       Menu diversity
       Menu additions
       Late night menu innovation
California Pizza Kitchen
Menu item innovation
       Small Cravings
       Tweaking wine strategy
California Pizza Kitchen consumer universe
       Sales declines led by guest declines
The Cheesecake Factory Inc
Menu and pricing
Off-premises push
Dinner strategy
       Menu price increases
       Category introductions
       Alcohol and dessert
       Promotional offers
Cheesecake Factory consumer universe
Guest interest in dieting, youthful aspiration, and exercise
Keeping the guests coming
Darden Restaurant Group
Olive Garden
Menu pricing
Sales and guest check trends
Dinner strategy: menu revitalization
Olive Garden consumer universe
LongHorn Steakhouse
Menu pricing
Dinner strategy: menu offerings/redesign
Longhorn Steakhouse consumer universe
Middle-of-pack health/diet attitudes; a penchant for fast food
Red Lobster
Menu pricing
Sales and guest check trends
Brand refresh
Red Lobster consumer universe
Morton’s Restaurant Group Inc
Daypart, food/beverage and boardroom sales
Dinner strategy: increasing wine sales
Bar 12-21 Initiative
Pummeling comes to an end

Chapter 2: Macroeconomic Analysis
Macroeconomic factors shaping restaurant sales
Oh, for a bit of confidence!
Analysis: Entrenched pessimism a very serious problem
      Present Situation Index decreases as perceptions of job prospects continue to
      darken
      Expectations Index weighed down by dimmer outlook on job prospects
Unemployment rate stagnates
      Some perspective: 7.7 million jobs still lost
Graph 2-1: Unemployment Rate, Savings Rate and Consumer Confidence: 2007-2010
By demographic, unemployment trends undergoing a shift
Graph 2-2: Unemployment Rate, Selected Demographics, 2007-2010
      Disparity in unemployment rates by education level is reversing
      Application
      Less educated making a comeback
Graph 2-3: Unemployment Rate, by Education Level, 2007-2010
      Gender gap closes and young adults get a reprieve
Graph 2-4: Unemployment Rate, by Age, 2007-2010
We’ve become a nation of savers again
      Saving swipes almost $500 billion from the economy
      But household balance sheets are on the mend
      Decade in review: quite a debt party
      Bottom line: bad timing
Graph 2-5: Consumer Income vs. Debt in Trillions, Quarterly Metrics, 2000-2010
      Ratios for debt junkies
      Analysis
      Trend continues
      A healthier consumer
Graph 2-6: Savings Rate & Debt Service Ratio, 2007-2010
Unemployment and GPD forecast: expect recovery to take several years
      Forecast
      Pace of hiring to remain low
      Quite a dilemma: skills mismatch
      Slow employment rebound to coincide with a slow rebound in consumer
      spending
      Adjusted projections
Graph 2-7: Unemployment and GDP Forecast, 2010-2012
Stock & housing declines deflate household wealth; rebound to record 2006 levels a
long way off
      Three quarters of relative stasis
Graph 2-8: Household Net Worth in Trillions, 2005-2010
      Case-Shiller and FOMC housing pessimism
      Bottom line: recent growth, but weakening trends
      What will tomorrow bring?
      Summary equities analysis
      Bottom line analysis
Graph 2-9: Wealth Effect: Wilshire 5000 and Case-Shiller Composite-20 Index: 2007-
2010
      Consumer prices too low?
Chapter 3: Industry Drivers, Trackers, and Sales Trends
Restaurant upturn hinges on strong household balance sheets
       Spending upturn to benefit casual restaurants; fast food/QSR may stagnate
       Analysis
       Supporting metrics
Table 3-1: Restaurant Usage in Last Month,
by Restaurant Type and Daypart, 2010
       Tendency toward non-discretionary spending a recession rule
       But affluent may help drive growth in discretionary spend
       Analysis: credit card trends
Packaged Facts’ Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Gloomy Near-Term Outlook
At-home breakfast and dinner trending remains significant
       Moving forward: Saving & grocery spending trumps limited service and full-
       service restaurant spend
Graph 3-1: Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Next 3 Months: A Top Line View
Food services & drinking places sales trends
       February to June food services & drinking places monthly sales sequentially
       improve
       2010 monthly foodservice growth outpaces year-earlier sales through August
       2010
       Catching up on food retail
       But August grocery sales growth closes gap
Graph 3-2: Monthly Adjusted Sales, 12-Month % Change, Grocery Stores
& Food Services & Drinking Places, 2009-2010
Full-service restaurant growth outpaces limited-service growth
Graph 3-3: Monthly Non-Adjusted Sales, 12-Month % Change, Grocery Stores, Food
Services
& Drinking Places, Full-Service Restaurants and Limited-Service Eating Places, 2009-
2010
Thank God for February
Graph 3-4: Monthly Adjusted Sales, Month-to-Month % Change,
Grocery Stores and Food Services & Drinking Places, 2009-2010
Restaurant Performance Index contracts for fourth straight month
Graph 3-5: Restaurant Performance Index, Monthly Metrics, 2006-2010
       Same-store sales trends
       Customer traffic trends
       Going forward
Food at home maintains pricing edge
Graph 3-6: CPI: Food at Home vs. Food Away from Home, 2005-2010
Graph 3-7: CPI: Food at Home vs. Food Away from Home, 2008-2010
Food inflation forecast remains muted
       A series of downward revisions, with an away-from-home caveat
       Latest analysis
Consumer food price trends
       Retail meat prices: beef and pork inflation a strong possibility
       Eggs and dairy: farm milk price increases to hit dairy sector
Fresh fruit and vegetable prices stable
    Cereals and bakery expected to rise 1% to 2%
    Other
Commodities pricing analysis
    Q2 1020 crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs decline wipes out Q1 2010 gain
    Finished consumer foods index also declines
    Intermediate foods and feeds ticks upward

Chapter 4: Restaurant Usage & Outlook Tracker
Note on reading charts
Packaged Facts’ Consumer Restaurant Tracker: at-home food spend trumps out-of-
home spend
      February 2010 trend continues in June 2010
Graph 4-1: Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Current Behavior: A Top Line View
      Looking ahead: Consumers more likely to save & spend on groceries than spend
      at restaurants
      An attempt to find a silver lining: saving and debt analysis
      But trickle-down spending may not land in restaurant cash registers
Graph 4-2: Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Next 3 Months: A Top Line View
Dinner-at-home trend stronger than that for breakfast
      Cost differential and share of food budget weighs against dinner
Table 4-1: Restaurant Breakfast, Lunch & Dinner: Dinner Cost Burden
      Practical versus aspiration
      Demographic impact
Graph 4-3: Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Present Behavior: Eating Dinner at Home
      Grocery store/supermarket prepared foods investment paying competitive
      dividends
      A growing threat driven by a confluence of events
      Serving two distinct populations
      A threat to both fast food and casual/fine dining
Graph 4-4: Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Present Behavior: Eating Dinner at Home,
Restaurant Dinner Users, by Restaurant Type
      Higher-income versus lower-income dinner users, by foodservice type
Graph 4-5: Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Present Behavior: Eating Dinner at Home,
Restaurant Dinner Users, by Restaurant Type, HH Income Splits
Planned foodservice spending
      Fast food picture appears grim
Graph 4-6: Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Future Behavior: Fast Food Restaurant
Spending
      Intended full-service spend lacks promise
Graph 4-7: Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Future Behavior: Full-Service Restaurant
Spending
      Intention to save money remains high
Graph 4-8: Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Future Behavior: Saving Money
Coffeehouse & smoothie shop users lead planned foodservice dinner spending
Graph 4-9: Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Future Behavior: Restaurant Spending,
by Restaurant Dinner Type
Restaurant usage and usage frequency
Overview
Graph 4-10: Restaurant Usage in Last Month, by Restaurant Type, 2010
Gender rules
Table 4-2: Mean Restaurant Usage in Last Month, by Restaurant Type, 2010, by
Gender
Graph 4-11: Restaurant Usage in Last Month, by Restaurant Type, 2010, by Gender
18-34s drive guest counts
Table 4-3: Mean Restaurant Usage in Last Month, by Restaurant Type, 2010, by Age
       And 18-34s exhibit higher usage
       Key smoothie shop and street stand users
Graph 4-12: Restaurant Usage in Last Month, by Restaurant Type, 2010, by Age
HH income
Table 4-4: Mean Restaurant Usage in Last Month, by Restaurant Type, 2010,
by HH Income
Graph 4-13: Restaurant Usage in Last Month, by Restaurant Type, 2010, by HH Income
Employment status
Employment status: having a job pays the bills but also fits restaurant lifestyle
Table 4-5: Mean Restaurant Usage in Last Month, by Restaurant Type, 2010,
by Employment Status
       Full-time workers and students also compare favorably regarding overall usage
Graph 4-14: Restaurant Usage in Last Month, by Restaurant Type, 2010, by
Employment Status
Restaurant dinner use
Dinner runs the show
Graph 4-15: Day Part Usage on Last Visit, 2010
Full-service a dinner stronghold
Graph 4-16: Restaurant Usage in Last Month for Dinner, 2010
Convenient foodservice solutions create gender differences
Graph 4-17: Restaurant Usage in Last Month for Dinner, 2010, by Gender
Quick pick-up and grab-and-go options have youthful appeal
Graph 4-18: Restaurant Usage in Last Month for Dinner, 2010, by Age
       HH income validates importance of disposable income to dinner choices
Graph 4-19: Restaurant Usage in Last Month for Dinner, 2010, by HH Income
       Employment status casts unique usage shadow
Graph 4-20: Restaurant Usage in Last Month for Dinner, 2010, by Employment Status

Chapter 5: Share of Stomach: Sales Analysis
Market size and overview
      A daypart in decline
      Near-term challenges
Dinner daypart sales peak in 2007, dip through 2010
      Full-service restaurant dinner takes it on the chin; growth possible
      Limited-service dinner sales to fall in 2010
      Rough going ahead
Graph 5-1: Dinner Daypart Sales: Limited-Service and Full-Service Restaurants, 2005-
2011
Graph 5-2: Dinner Daypart Sales: Limited-Service and Full-Service Restaurants, %
Growth, 2005-2011
      Terminology and sourcing note
Restaurant dinner a significant factor in HH food spend
Graph 5-3: Food at Home versus Food Away from Home Daypart Spend
Restaurants sales trends by daypart
Consumer food expenditure trends suggest migration to food at home spend
Table 5-1: Consumer Food Expenditures, 2005-2008
Dinner share of restaurant spend remains stable
Table 5-2: Meals Away From Home Expenditures, by Daypart, 2005-2008
Spending on dinner away from home, by restaurant segment
Table 5-3: Dinner Expenditures: Selected Metrics & Fast Food, Full-Service, Vending
Machines Cafeteria Spend, 2005-2008
Dinner restaurant expenditures lowest in Midwest
      Northeast a full-service spend stronghold
Table 5-4: Dinner Expenditures: Selected Metrics & Fast Food, Full-Service, Vending
Machines and Cafeteria Spend, by Region
Dinner out takes more out of younger consumers’ pockets
      Full-service trend
Table 5-6: Dinner Expenditures: Selected Metrics & Fast Food, Full-Service, Vending
Machines and Cafeteria Spend, by Age
Spending on dinner away from home, by income
Share of spend versus absolute spend
Table 5-7: Dinner Expenditures: Selected Metrics & Fast Food, Full-Service, Vending
Machines and Cafeteria Spend, by Income
Dinner share of wallet highest among Hispanics
      Full-service versus limited-service spending trends
Table 5-8: Dinner Expenditures: Selected Metrics & Fast Food, Full-Service, Vending
Machines and Cafeteria Spend, by Race/Ethnicity
Guest Traffic Analysis
Daypart traffic growth saved by breakfast
Frequency counts: definition
      Occasional users dominate casual restaurant guest traffic patterns
      Overall guest traffic declines among establishments where occasional use dips
      Outback Steakhouse and Red Lobster
Table 5-9: Guest Traffic: Casual Restaurants, Selected Dinner Players, 2008-2010
      Little Caesar’s engaged use rises while rivals falter
Table 5-10: Guest Traffic: Limited-Service Pizza Restaurants,
Selected Dinner Players, 2008-2010
Daypart meal spend analysis
Dinner meal spend leads all dayparts—at all restaurant types
Graph 5-4: Consumer Restaurant Meal Spend, by Daypart and Restaurant Type, 2010
Dinner meal spend, family versus casual restaurants
      35-44s and married respondents key spenders
Graph 5-5: Dinner Meal Spend, Family versus Casual Restaurants, Selected
Demographics
Dinner meal spend: casual versus fine dining
Graph 5-6: Dinner Meal Spend, Casual versus Fine Dining Restaurants,
Selected Demographics

Chapter 6: Dinner Trends and Competitive Climate
Consumers remain gun shy about restaurant dinner
Tales from the blogosphere
       Online advice to help consumers stay out of restaurants
Prepared foods flex muscle
At-home dinner satisfaction
The downscaling of upscale food retail
       Whole Foods injects brand with price/value message
The upscaling of traditional food retail
       Aiming squarely at restaurants
       Setting price according to restaurant segment counterpart
       Even social congregation
Whole Foods prepared foods store audit and observations
       12 restaurant/food kiosk options in one supermarket?
Convenience and price hold keys to competing with dinner at home
Convenience trends
       Drive thru and curbside pick-up
       Technology
       Chili’s pay-at-the table
       Upscale Next Restaurant leverages website
       Hand-held devices the mainstream wave of the future
       Pay with your smartphone
Restaurant Innovations - Value Pricing
Fast Food and value pricing
Casual dining and value pricing
Fine dining and value pricing

Chapter 7: Dinner Restaurant Selection Analysis
Note on reading charts
Dinner restaurant selection influencers
Graph 7-1: Dinner Restaurant Selection Influencers, 2010
Restaurant selection: convenience influencers
      Gender: routine and work play roles
Graph 7-2: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Convenience Influencers, by Gender, 2010
      Age: in deference to convenience
Graph 7-3: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Convenience Influencers, by Age, 2010
      HH income and routine
Graph 7-4: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Convenience Influencers, by HH Income, 2010
      Employment status and students
Graph 7-5: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Convenience Influencers,
by Employment Status, 2010
      Urban, Suburban, or Rural location
Graph 7-6: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Convenience Influencers,
Urban, Suburban, Rural, 2010
Restaurant selection: dinner menu item influencers
      Gender holds a health surprise
Graph 7-7: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Menu Influencers, by Gender, 2010
      Age and small portion question
Graph 7-8: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Menu Influencers, by Age, 2010
      HH income
Graph 7-9: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Menu Influencers, by HH Income, 2010
      Employment status - small portions to save on cost
Graph 7-10: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Menu Influencers, by Employment Status,
2010
Restaurant selection: dinner cost threshold influencers
      Age and bundled meals
Graph 7-11: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Cost Threshold Influencers, by Age, 2010
      HH income - meals under $3
Graph 7-12: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Cost Threshold Influencers, by HH Income,
2010
      Employment status - thrifty students
Graph 7-13: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Cost Threshold Influencers,
by Employment Status, 2010
Restaurant selection: dinner dine-in partner influencers
      Age
Graph 7-14: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Dine-in Partner Influencers, by Age, 2010
      HH income
Graph 7-15: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Dine-in Partner Influencers, by Income, 2010
Restaurant selection: dinner takeout partner influencers
      HH income
Graph 7-16: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Takeout Partner Influencers, by Income, 2010

Chapter 8: Dinner Menu Selection Analysis
Note on reading charts
Dinner menu selection influencers
Graph 8-1: Dinner Menu Selection Influencers, 2010
      Healthful menu positioning and bundles attract youth
Graph 8-2: Dinner Menu Selection Influencers, by Age, 2010
      HH income
Graph 8-3: Dinner Menu Selection Influencers, by HH Income, 2010
      Employment status
Graph 8-4: Dinner Menu Selection Influencers, by Employment Status, 2010
      Urban, suburban, or rural location
Graph 8-5: Dinner Menu Selection Influencers, by Rural/Urban/Suburban, 2010

Chapter 9: Alcohol Indulgers: Usage, Attitudes & Behavior Drilldrown
Alcohol Indulgers
Overview
Note on trending feature
Casual and fine dining dinner usage and spend, by gender and HH income
Male Alcohol Indulgers versus Non-Indulgers, by HH income
      Female Alcohol Indulgers versus Non-Indulgers, by HH income
Table 9-1: Alcohol Indulgers: Casual and Fine Dining Dinner Use and Spend, by
Gender & HH Income
Casual and fine dining dinner usage and spend, by age
Table 9-2: Alcohol Indulgers: Casual and Fine Dining Dinner Use and Spend, by Age
Menu selection influencers among female Alcohol Indulgers, by HH income
Table 9-3: Female Alcohol Indulgers: Menu Selection Influencers, by HH Income
Menu selection influencers among female Alcohol Indulgers, by HH income
Table 9-4: Male Alcohol Indulgers: Menu Selection Influencers, by HH Income
Menu selection influencers among Alcohol Indulgers, by age
Table 9-5: Alcohol Indulgers: Menu Selection Influencers, by Age

Chapter 10: Budgeters, Alcohol Indulgers & Healthy Eaters: Usage, Attitudes &
Behavior Drilldrown
Meet the Psychographic Groups
Note on trending feature
Restaurant selection factors
      Overview
      Psychographic analysis
Table 10-1: Restaurant Selection Factors: Psychographic Groups, Selected Responses
Menu selection factors
      Overview
      Psychographic analysis
Table 10-2: Menu Selection Factors: Psychographic Groups, Selected Responses
Average dinner meal spend
Table 10-3: Mean Dinner Spend, Per Restaurant Type, Psychographic Groups

Chapter 11: Dinner on the Menu: Restaurant Brand Analysis
Brinker International Inc
Company growth strategy
        Franchising/joint ventures
        International expansion
        Marketing
Chili’s Bar & Grill restaurant operations
        On the menu
        Entrée pricing
Chili’s dinner strategy
        Menu updates
        Negative momentum
        Internet initiatives
        Chili’s Consumer Universe
Table 11-1: Chili’s Users: Selected Demographics
        A middle-of-the-road range of food, health, and diet attitudes
Table 11-2: Chili’s Users: Food, Health and Diet Attitudes
Maggiano’s Little Italy restaurant operations
        On the menu
Pricing
Dinner strategy
       National & local promotions
       Increased alcohol sales
       Menu mix improvement
Table 11-3: Brinker International, Selected Metrics, 2007-2009
Table 11-4: Brinker International, Selected Quarterly Metrics, 2009-2010
Buffalo Wild Wings, Inc.
       Layout, clientele, service and pricing
Restaurant operations
       Sales by daypart
2009-10 strategy
       Expansion plans
       Marketing/promotions
Dinner & late night strategy
       Menu diversity
       Menu additions
       Late night menu innovation
Positive sale momentum tapers
Table 11-5: Buffalo Wild Wings, Selected Metrics, 2007-2009
Table 11-6: Buffalo Wild Wings, Selected Quarterly Metrics, 2009-2010
California Pizza Kitchen
       Pizza, of course
       Limited-service innovation
Restaurant operations
Licensing and franchising operations
2009-10 strategy
       Thank You Card affects sales
       Store expansion
       Takeout and delivery options
2010 Dinner strategy
Menu item innovation
       Small Cravings
       Tweaking wine strategy
California Pizza Kitchen consumer universe
Table 11-7: California Pizza Kitchen Users: Selected Demographics
       Users inclined to hold active interest in personal health and diet
Table 11-8: California Pizza Kitchen Users: Health and Food Attitudes
Sales declines led by guest declines
Table 11-9: California Pizza Kitchen, Selected Metrics, 2007-09
A silver lining
Table 11-10: California Pizza Kitchen, Selected Quarterly Metrics, 2009-10
The Cheesecake Factory Inc
Restaurant operations
       Menu and pricing
       Off-premises push
Grand Lux Cafe & RockSugar Pan Asian Kitchen
Bakery operations
2009-10 strategy
       Restaurant growth
       Guest satisfaction
       Marketing efforts
Dinner strategy
       Menu price increases
       Category introductions
       Alcohol and dessert
       Promotional offers
       Cheesecake Factory consumer universe
Table 11-11: Cheesecake Factory Users: Selected Demographics
Table 11-12: Cheesecake Factory Users: Health and Food Attitudes
Keeping the guests coming
Table 11-13: Cheesecake Factory, Selected Metrics, 2007-2009
Headed in the right direction
Table 11-14: Cheesecake Factory, Selected Quarterly Metrics, 2009-2010
Darden Restaurant Group
Olive Garden overview & operations
       Menu pricing
       Sales and guest check trends
2009-10 strategy
       Marketing
       Restaurant expansion
Dinner strategy
       Menu revitalization
       Wine tasting service
       Olive Garden consumer universe
Table 11-15: Olive Garden Users: Selected Demographics
       A middle-of-the-road consumer perspective on food, diet and health
Table 11-16: Olive Garden Users: Food Attitudes
LongHorn Steakhouse overview & operations
       Menu pricing
       Sales and guest check trends
2009-10 strategy
       Restaurant redesign
Dinner strategy
       Menu offerings/redesign
       Marketing
Longhorn Steakhouse Consumer Universe
Table 11-17: Longhorn Steakhouse Users: Selected Demographics
       Middle-of-pack health/diet attitudes; a penchant for fast food
Table 11-18: Longhorn Steakhouse Users: Food Attitudes
Red Lobster overview & operations
       Menu pricing
Sales and guest check trends
Dinner strategy
       Marketing
       Brand refresh
       Chef certification
       Red Lobster consumer universe
Table 11-19: Red Lobster Users: Selected Demographics
       Peas in a pod
Table 11-20: Red Lobster Users: Food Attitudes
History: Olive Garden sales lead those at Longhorn Steakhouse and Red Lobster
Table 11-21: Darden Restaurant Group, Selected Metrics, 2007-2009
But Longhorn emerges as bright spot
Table 11-22: Darden Restaurant Group, Selected Quarterly Metrics, 2009-2010
Morton’s Restaurant Group Inc
Restaurant operations
       Daypart, food/beverage and boardroom sales
2009-10 strategy
       Business relationships
       Incremental growth
Dinner Strategy
       Increasing wine sales
       Bar 12-21 Initiative
Pummeled in 2009
Table 11-23: Morton’s, Selected Metrics, 2007-2009
Did you hear that? A sigh of relief!
Table 11-24: Darden Restaurant Group, Selected Quarterly Metrics, 2009-2010



Available immediately for Online Download at
http://www.marketresearch.com/product/display.asp?productid=2756366



US: 800.298.5699

UK +44.207.256.3920

Int'l: +1.240.747.3093

Fax: 240.747.3004

Contenu connexe

Plus de MarketResearch.com

Smart Clothing and Body Sensors
Smart Clothing and Body SensorsSmart Clothing and Body Sensors
Smart Clothing and Body Sensors
MarketResearch.com
 

Plus de MarketResearch.com (20)

Cuba - Telecoms, Mobile, Broadband and Digital Media - Statistics and Analyses
Cuba - Telecoms, Mobile, Broadband and Digital Media - Statistics and AnalysesCuba - Telecoms, Mobile, Broadband and Digital Media - Statistics and Analyses
Cuba - Telecoms, Mobile, Broadband and Digital Media - Statistics and Analyses
 
Circulating Tumor Cell, Cell Free DNA, Exosome and Vesicle Cancer Diagnostic ...
Circulating Tumor Cell, Cell Free DNA, Exosome and Vesicle Cancer Diagnostic ...Circulating Tumor Cell, Cell Free DNA, Exosome and Vesicle Cancer Diagnostic ...
Circulating Tumor Cell, Cell Free DNA, Exosome and Vesicle Cancer Diagnostic ...
 
Global Connected Car Market (2016 - 2022)
Global Connected Car Market (2016 - 2022)Global Connected Car Market (2016 - 2022)
Global Connected Car Market (2016 - 2022)
 
Global In-flight Wifi Market Outlook 2021
Global In-flight Wifi Market Outlook 2021Global In-flight Wifi Market Outlook 2021
Global In-flight Wifi Market Outlook 2021
 
Global Internet of Nano Things Market 2016-2020
Global Internet of Nano Things Market 2016-2020Global Internet of Nano Things Market 2016-2020
Global Internet of Nano Things Market 2016-2020
 
Customer Experience (CX) in Physician and HCP Engagement
Customer Experience (CX) in Physician and HCP EngagementCustomer Experience (CX) in Physician and HCP Engagement
Customer Experience (CX) in Physician and HCP Engagement
 
Global Open Loop Prepaid Cards Market Intelligence, Innovation, Strategy, and...
Global Open Loop Prepaid Cards Market Intelligence, Innovation, Strategy, and...Global Open Loop Prepaid Cards Market Intelligence, Innovation, Strategy, and...
Global Open Loop Prepaid Cards Market Intelligence, Innovation, Strategy, and...
 
Smart Clothing and Body Sensors
Smart Clothing and Body SensorsSmart Clothing and Body Sensors
Smart Clothing and Body Sensors
 
Global Telecoms - The Big Picture 2016 and Key Industry Statistics
Global Telecoms - The Big Picture 2016 and Key Industry StatisticsGlobal Telecoms - The Big Picture 2016 and Key Industry Statistics
Global Telecoms - The Big Picture 2016 and Key Industry Statistics
 
Computer Software
Computer SoftwareComputer Software
Computer Software
 
Investigator Initiated Trial Management Expedite Approval Timelines and Estab...
Investigator Initiated Trial Management Expedite Approval Timelines and Estab...Investigator Initiated Trial Management Expedite Approval Timelines and Estab...
Investigator Initiated Trial Management Expedite Approval Timelines and Estab...
 
Green Household Cleaning and Laundry Products
Green Household Cleaning and Laundry ProductsGreen Household Cleaning and Laundry Products
Green Household Cleaning and Laundry Products
 
Functional Foods: Key Trends by Product Categories and Benefits
Functional Foods: Key Trends by Product Categories and BenefitsFunctional Foods: Key Trends by Product Categories and Benefits
Functional Foods: Key Trends by Product Categories and Benefits
 
Human Capital Management Market by Solution
Human Capital Management Market by SolutionHuman Capital Management Market by Solution
Human Capital Management Market by Solution
 
Power Packaging Technology Trends and Market Expectations
Power Packaging Technology Trends and Market ExpectationsPower Packaging Technology Trends and Market Expectations
Power Packaging Technology Trends and Market Expectations
 
Natural and Organic Foods and Beverages in the U.S., 4th Edition
Natural and Organic Foods and Beverages in the U.S., 4th EditionNatural and Organic Foods and Beverages in the U.S., 4th Edition
Natural and Organic Foods and Beverages in the U.S., 4th Edition
 
Weight Management: U.S. Consumer Mindsets by Packaged Facts
Weight Management: U.S. Consumer Mindsets by Packaged FactsWeight Management: U.S. Consumer Mindsets by Packaged Facts
Weight Management: U.S. Consumer Mindsets by Packaged Facts
 
Coffee and Ready-to-Drink Coffee in the U.S.: Retail & Food Service, 8th Edit...
Coffee and Ready-to-Drink Coffee in the U.S.: Retail & Food Service, 8th Edit...Coffee and Ready-to-Drink Coffee in the U.S.: Retail & Food Service, 8th Edit...
Coffee and Ready-to-Drink Coffee in the U.S.: Retail & Food Service, 8th Edit...
 
Sizzlin Stats Food & Beverage
Sizzlin Stats Food & BeverageSizzlin Stats Food & Beverage
Sizzlin Stats Food & Beverage
 
Sizzlin' Stats Pet Industry Trends
Sizzlin' Stats Pet Industry TrendsSizzlin' Stats Pet Industry Trends
Sizzlin' Stats Pet Industry Trends
 

Dinner Trends in the U.S. Foodservice Market

  • 1. Get more info on this report! Dinner Trends in the U.S. Foodservice Market November 1, 2010 Mired in what we’ve termed “entrenched pessimism,” the U.S. consumer’s penchant for increasing savings and reducing debt at a time when incomes have stagnated only serves to depress foodservice spending in the short run. For the dinner daypart, the ramifications are dramatic: Packaged Facts estimates that dinner daypart restaurant sales dropped 4.6% to $174.4 billion in 2009, and we forecast a 2.8% drop in 2010. But during an era when consumers are viewed more than ever by their debt-to-income ratios, we believe that a spending renaissance among consumers with stable household balance sheets may already be underway. At the dinner hour, we expect full-service dinner to benefit from the return of the fiscally confident—more affluent consumers with strong household balance sheets. We expect limited-service restaurants, on the other hand, to face the prospect of modest trading up in restaurant choices while weaning extreme affordability customers from low-margin menu items intended to drive traffic but not sales. By combining investment-grade industry analysis with key trend analysis, Dinner Trends in the U.S. Foodservice Market not only helps foodservice industry participants address challenges unique to the dinner daypart but also helps participants contour their strategies to meet consumers’ evolving needs. By providing insight on the dinnergoer’s decision-making process, this report provides direction on how and why the consumer decides on a specific restaurant from which to obtain dinner, and how and why that consumer decides what to order from the menu. Selection factors are analyzed according to the following categories: convenience; dinner menu items; meal cost thresholds; dine-in partner; and takeout partner; menu positioning and advertising; health positioning; and bundled offers. Key coverage includes but is not limited to: “Share of stomach” restaurant dinner sales analysis, which includes 5-year sales trends for the fast food/quick-service restaurant and full-service restaurant segments, with forecasts for 2010 and 2011. Guest traffic frequency analysis of leading dinner-centric restaurant brands, giving a directional perspective on current sales trends.
  • 2. Trended analysis of demographic dinner daypart expenditures, including 4-year sales historical sales trends and spending according to key demographics, such as age, income, region, and race/ethnicity. Thorough psychographic analysis of Budgeters, Alcohol Indulgers and Healthy Eaters, key psychographic groups shaping the dinner daypart. The report also conducts trend analysis on key dinner-centric restaurant brands, including menu strategies and new menu item introductions, core users; snacking tendencies; food, diet and health attitudes; as well as trends sales metrics. We focus on recession-driven responses and menu strategies taking the brands into 2011. Coverage extends to fast food/QSR, coffeehouse, smoothie shop, ice cream shop, family restaurant, casual restaurant, and fine dining restaurant segments; as well as prepared foods segments at convenience stores/gas stations and grocery stores/supermarkets. Table of Contents Chapter 1: Executive Summary Scope and Methodology Scope Methodology Consumer survey methodology Macroeconomic Analysis Fast facts Industry drivers, trackers, and sales trends Fast facts Consumer outlook and restaurant tracker Fast facts Share of stomach: dinner sales analysis Fast facts Dinner trends and competitive climate Dinner restaurant selection analysis Dinner menu selection analysis Alcohol Indulgers: usage, attitudes & behavior drilldrown Budgeters, Alcohol Indulgers & Healthy Eaters: usage, attitudes & behavior drilldrown Fast facts Dinner on the Menu: Restaurant Brand Analysis Brinker International Inc Chili’s Bar & Grill Menu updates Chili’s Consumer Universe A middle-of-the-road range of food, health, and diet attitudes Negative momentum Maggiano’s Little Italy Dinner strategy Menu mix improvement Buffalo Wild Wings, Inc.
  • 3. Sales by daypart Expansion plans Menu diversity Menu additions Late night menu innovation California Pizza Kitchen Menu item innovation Small Cravings Tweaking wine strategy California Pizza Kitchen consumer universe Sales declines led by guest declines The Cheesecake Factory Inc Menu and pricing Off-premises push Dinner strategy Menu price increases Category introductions Alcohol and dessert Promotional offers Cheesecake Factory consumer universe Guest interest in dieting, youthful aspiration, and exercise Keeping the guests coming Darden Restaurant Group Olive Garden Menu pricing Sales and guest check trends Dinner strategy: menu revitalization Olive Garden consumer universe LongHorn Steakhouse Menu pricing Dinner strategy: menu offerings/redesign Longhorn Steakhouse consumer universe Middle-of-pack health/diet attitudes; a penchant for fast food Red Lobster Menu pricing Sales and guest check trends Brand refresh Red Lobster consumer universe Morton’s Restaurant Group Inc Daypart, food/beverage and boardroom sales Dinner strategy: increasing wine sales Bar 12-21 Initiative Pummeling comes to an end Chapter 2: Macroeconomic Analysis Macroeconomic factors shaping restaurant sales Oh, for a bit of confidence!
  • 4. Analysis: Entrenched pessimism a very serious problem Present Situation Index decreases as perceptions of job prospects continue to darken Expectations Index weighed down by dimmer outlook on job prospects Unemployment rate stagnates Some perspective: 7.7 million jobs still lost Graph 2-1: Unemployment Rate, Savings Rate and Consumer Confidence: 2007-2010 By demographic, unemployment trends undergoing a shift Graph 2-2: Unemployment Rate, Selected Demographics, 2007-2010 Disparity in unemployment rates by education level is reversing Application Less educated making a comeback Graph 2-3: Unemployment Rate, by Education Level, 2007-2010 Gender gap closes and young adults get a reprieve Graph 2-4: Unemployment Rate, by Age, 2007-2010 We’ve become a nation of savers again Saving swipes almost $500 billion from the economy But household balance sheets are on the mend Decade in review: quite a debt party Bottom line: bad timing Graph 2-5: Consumer Income vs. Debt in Trillions, Quarterly Metrics, 2000-2010 Ratios for debt junkies Analysis Trend continues A healthier consumer Graph 2-6: Savings Rate & Debt Service Ratio, 2007-2010 Unemployment and GPD forecast: expect recovery to take several years Forecast Pace of hiring to remain low Quite a dilemma: skills mismatch Slow employment rebound to coincide with a slow rebound in consumer spending Adjusted projections Graph 2-7: Unemployment and GDP Forecast, 2010-2012 Stock & housing declines deflate household wealth; rebound to record 2006 levels a long way off Three quarters of relative stasis Graph 2-8: Household Net Worth in Trillions, 2005-2010 Case-Shiller and FOMC housing pessimism Bottom line: recent growth, but weakening trends What will tomorrow bring? Summary equities analysis Bottom line analysis Graph 2-9: Wealth Effect: Wilshire 5000 and Case-Shiller Composite-20 Index: 2007- 2010 Consumer prices too low?
  • 5. Chapter 3: Industry Drivers, Trackers, and Sales Trends Restaurant upturn hinges on strong household balance sheets Spending upturn to benefit casual restaurants; fast food/QSR may stagnate Analysis Supporting metrics Table 3-1: Restaurant Usage in Last Month, by Restaurant Type and Daypart, 2010 Tendency toward non-discretionary spending a recession rule But affluent may help drive growth in discretionary spend Analysis: credit card trends Packaged Facts’ Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Gloomy Near-Term Outlook At-home breakfast and dinner trending remains significant Moving forward: Saving & grocery spending trumps limited service and full- service restaurant spend Graph 3-1: Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Next 3 Months: A Top Line View Food services & drinking places sales trends February to June food services & drinking places monthly sales sequentially improve 2010 monthly foodservice growth outpaces year-earlier sales through August 2010 Catching up on food retail But August grocery sales growth closes gap Graph 3-2: Monthly Adjusted Sales, 12-Month % Change, Grocery Stores & Food Services & Drinking Places, 2009-2010 Full-service restaurant growth outpaces limited-service growth Graph 3-3: Monthly Non-Adjusted Sales, 12-Month % Change, Grocery Stores, Food Services & Drinking Places, Full-Service Restaurants and Limited-Service Eating Places, 2009- 2010 Thank God for February Graph 3-4: Monthly Adjusted Sales, Month-to-Month % Change, Grocery Stores and Food Services & Drinking Places, 2009-2010 Restaurant Performance Index contracts for fourth straight month Graph 3-5: Restaurant Performance Index, Monthly Metrics, 2006-2010 Same-store sales trends Customer traffic trends Going forward Food at home maintains pricing edge Graph 3-6: CPI: Food at Home vs. Food Away from Home, 2005-2010 Graph 3-7: CPI: Food at Home vs. Food Away from Home, 2008-2010 Food inflation forecast remains muted A series of downward revisions, with an away-from-home caveat Latest analysis Consumer food price trends Retail meat prices: beef and pork inflation a strong possibility Eggs and dairy: farm milk price increases to hit dairy sector
  • 6. Fresh fruit and vegetable prices stable Cereals and bakery expected to rise 1% to 2% Other Commodities pricing analysis Q2 1020 crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs decline wipes out Q1 2010 gain Finished consumer foods index also declines Intermediate foods and feeds ticks upward Chapter 4: Restaurant Usage & Outlook Tracker Note on reading charts Packaged Facts’ Consumer Restaurant Tracker: at-home food spend trumps out-of- home spend February 2010 trend continues in June 2010 Graph 4-1: Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Current Behavior: A Top Line View Looking ahead: Consumers more likely to save & spend on groceries than spend at restaurants An attempt to find a silver lining: saving and debt analysis But trickle-down spending may not land in restaurant cash registers Graph 4-2: Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Next 3 Months: A Top Line View Dinner-at-home trend stronger than that for breakfast Cost differential and share of food budget weighs against dinner Table 4-1: Restaurant Breakfast, Lunch & Dinner: Dinner Cost Burden Practical versus aspiration Demographic impact Graph 4-3: Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Present Behavior: Eating Dinner at Home Grocery store/supermarket prepared foods investment paying competitive dividends A growing threat driven by a confluence of events Serving two distinct populations A threat to both fast food and casual/fine dining Graph 4-4: Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Present Behavior: Eating Dinner at Home, Restaurant Dinner Users, by Restaurant Type Higher-income versus lower-income dinner users, by foodservice type Graph 4-5: Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Present Behavior: Eating Dinner at Home, Restaurant Dinner Users, by Restaurant Type, HH Income Splits Planned foodservice spending Fast food picture appears grim Graph 4-6: Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Future Behavior: Fast Food Restaurant Spending Intended full-service spend lacks promise Graph 4-7: Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Future Behavior: Full-Service Restaurant Spending Intention to save money remains high Graph 4-8: Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Future Behavior: Saving Money Coffeehouse & smoothie shop users lead planned foodservice dinner spending Graph 4-9: Consumer Restaurant Tracker: Future Behavior: Restaurant Spending, by Restaurant Dinner Type
  • 7. Restaurant usage and usage frequency Overview Graph 4-10: Restaurant Usage in Last Month, by Restaurant Type, 2010 Gender rules Table 4-2: Mean Restaurant Usage in Last Month, by Restaurant Type, 2010, by Gender Graph 4-11: Restaurant Usage in Last Month, by Restaurant Type, 2010, by Gender 18-34s drive guest counts Table 4-3: Mean Restaurant Usage in Last Month, by Restaurant Type, 2010, by Age And 18-34s exhibit higher usage Key smoothie shop and street stand users Graph 4-12: Restaurant Usage in Last Month, by Restaurant Type, 2010, by Age HH income Table 4-4: Mean Restaurant Usage in Last Month, by Restaurant Type, 2010, by HH Income Graph 4-13: Restaurant Usage in Last Month, by Restaurant Type, 2010, by HH Income Employment status Employment status: having a job pays the bills but also fits restaurant lifestyle Table 4-5: Mean Restaurant Usage in Last Month, by Restaurant Type, 2010, by Employment Status Full-time workers and students also compare favorably regarding overall usage Graph 4-14: Restaurant Usage in Last Month, by Restaurant Type, 2010, by Employment Status Restaurant dinner use Dinner runs the show Graph 4-15: Day Part Usage on Last Visit, 2010 Full-service a dinner stronghold Graph 4-16: Restaurant Usage in Last Month for Dinner, 2010 Convenient foodservice solutions create gender differences Graph 4-17: Restaurant Usage in Last Month for Dinner, 2010, by Gender Quick pick-up and grab-and-go options have youthful appeal Graph 4-18: Restaurant Usage in Last Month for Dinner, 2010, by Age HH income validates importance of disposable income to dinner choices Graph 4-19: Restaurant Usage in Last Month for Dinner, 2010, by HH Income Employment status casts unique usage shadow Graph 4-20: Restaurant Usage in Last Month for Dinner, 2010, by Employment Status Chapter 5: Share of Stomach: Sales Analysis Market size and overview A daypart in decline Near-term challenges Dinner daypart sales peak in 2007, dip through 2010 Full-service restaurant dinner takes it on the chin; growth possible Limited-service dinner sales to fall in 2010 Rough going ahead Graph 5-1: Dinner Daypart Sales: Limited-Service and Full-Service Restaurants, 2005- 2011
  • 8. Graph 5-2: Dinner Daypart Sales: Limited-Service and Full-Service Restaurants, % Growth, 2005-2011 Terminology and sourcing note Restaurant dinner a significant factor in HH food spend Graph 5-3: Food at Home versus Food Away from Home Daypart Spend Restaurants sales trends by daypart Consumer food expenditure trends suggest migration to food at home spend Table 5-1: Consumer Food Expenditures, 2005-2008 Dinner share of restaurant spend remains stable Table 5-2: Meals Away From Home Expenditures, by Daypart, 2005-2008 Spending on dinner away from home, by restaurant segment Table 5-3: Dinner Expenditures: Selected Metrics & Fast Food, Full-Service, Vending Machines Cafeteria Spend, 2005-2008 Dinner restaurant expenditures lowest in Midwest Northeast a full-service spend stronghold Table 5-4: Dinner Expenditures: Selected Metrics & Fast Food, Full-Service, Vending Machines and Cafeteria Spend, by Region Dinner out takes more out of younger consumers’ pockets Full-service trend Table 5-6: Dinner Expenditures: Selected Metrics & Fast Food, Full-Service, Vending Machines and Cafeteria Spend, by Age Spending on dinner away from home, by income Share of spend versus absolute spend Table 5-7: Dinner Expenditures: Selected Metrics & Fast Food, Full-Service, Vending Machines and Cafeteria Spend, by Income Dinner share of wallet highest among Hispanics Full-service versus limited-service spending trends Table 5-8: Dinner Expenditures: Selected Metrics & Fast Food, Full-Service, Vending Machines and Cafeteria Spend, by Race/Ethnicity Guest Traffic Analysis Daypart traffic growth saved by breakfast Frequency counts: definition Occasional users dominate casual restaurant guest traffic patterns Overall guest traffic declines among establishments where occasional use dips Outback Steakhouse and Red Lobster Table 5-9: Guest Traffic: Casual Restaurants, Selected Dinner Players, 2008-2010 Little Caesar’s engaged use rises while rivals falter Table 5-10: Guest Traffic: Limited-Service Pizza Restaurants, Selected Dinner Players, 2008-2010 Daypart meal spend analysis Dinner meal spend leads all dayparts—at all restaurant types Graph 5-4: Consumer Restaurant Meal Spend, by Daypart and Restaurant Type, 2010 Dinner meal spend, family versus casual restaurants 35-44s and married respondents key spenders Graph 5-5: Dinner Meal Spend, Family versus Casual Restaurants, Selected Demographics
  • 9. Dinner meal spend: casual versus fine dining Graph 5-6: Dinner Meal Spend, Casual versus Fine Dining Restaurants, Selected Demographics Chapter 6: Dinner Trends and Competitive Climate Consumers remain gun shy about restaurant dinner Tales from the blogosphere Online advice to help consumers stay out of restaurants Prepared foods flex muscle At-home dinner satisfaction The downscaling of upscale food retail Whole Foods injects brand with price/value message The upscaling of traditional food retail Aiming squarely at restaurants Setting price according to restaurant segment counterpart Even social congregation Whole Foods prepared foods store audit and observations 12 restaurant/food kiosk options in one supermarket? Convenience and price hold keys to competing with dinner at home Convenience trends Drive thru and curbside pick-up Technology Chili’s pay-at-the table Upscale Next Restaurant leverages website Hand-held devices the mainstream wave of the future Pay with your smartphone Restaurant Innovations - Value Pricing Fast Food and value pricing Casual dining and value pricing Fine dining and value pricing Chapter 7: Dinner Restaurant Selection Analysis Note on reading charts Dinner restaurant selection influencers Graph 7-1: Dinner Restaurant Selection Influencers, 2010 Restaurant selection: convenience influencers Gender: routine and work play roles Graph 7-2: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Convenience Influencers, by Gender, 2010 Age: in deference to convenience Graph 7-3: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Convenience Influencers, by Age, 2010 HH income and routine Graph 7-4: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Convenience Influencers, by HH Income, 2010 Employment status and students Graph 7-5: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Convenience Influencers, by Employment Status, 2010 Urban, Suburban, or Rural location Graph 7-6: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Convenience Influencers,
  • 10. Urban, Suburban, Rural, 2010 Restaurant selection: dinner menu item influencers Gender holds a health surprise Graph 7-7: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Menu Influencers, by Gender, 2010 Age and small portion question Graph 7-8: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Menu Influencers, by Age, 2010 HH income Graph 7-9: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Menu Influencers, by HH Income, 2010 Employment status - small portions to save on cost Graph 7-10: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Menu Influencers, by Employment Status, 2010 Restaurant selection: dinner cost threshold influencers Age and bundled meals Graph 7-11: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Cost Threshold Influencers, by Age, 2010 HH income - meals under $3 Graph 7-12: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Cost Threshold Influencers, by HH Income, 2010 Employment status - thrifty students Graph 7-13: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Cost Threshold Influencers, by Employment Status, 2010 Restaurant selection: dinner dine-in partner influencers Age Graph 7-14: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Dine-in Partner Influencers, by Age, 2010 HH income Graph 7-15: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Dine-in Partner Influencers, by Income, 2010 Restaurant selection: dinner takeout partner influencers HH income Graph 7-16: Restaurant Selection: Dinner Takeout Partner Influencers, by Income, 2010 Chapter 8: Dinner Menu Selection Analysis Note on reading charts Dinner menu selection influencers Graph 8-1: Dinner Menu Selection Influencers, 2010 Healthful menu positioning and bundles attract youth Graph 8-2: Dinner Menu Selection Influencers, by Age, 2010 HH income Graph 8-3: Dinner Menu Selection Influencers, by HH Income, 2010 Employment status Graph 8-4: Dinner Menu Selection Influencers, by Employment Status, 2010 Urban, suburban, or rural location Graph 8-5: Dinner Menu Selection Influencers, by Rural/Urban/Suburban, 2010 Chapter 9: Alcohol Indulgers: Usage, Attitudes & Behavior Drilldrown Alcohol Indulgers Overview Note on trending feature Casual and fine dining dinner usage and spend, by gender and HH income
  • 11. Male Alcohol Indulgers versus Non-Indulgers, by HH income Female Alcohol Indulgers versus Non-Indulgers, by HH income Table 9-1: Alcohol Indulgers: Casual and Fine Dining Dinner Use and Spend, by Gender & HH Income Casual and fine dining dinner usage and spend, by age Table 9-2: Alcohol Indulgers: Casual and Fine Dining Dinner Use and Spend, by Age Menu selection influencers among female Alcohol Indulgers, by HH income Table 9-3: Female Alcohol Indulgers: Menu Selection Influencers, by HH Income Menu selection influencers among female Alcohol Indulgers, by HH income Table 9-4: Male Alcohol Indulgers: Menu Selection Influencers, by HH Income Menu selection influencers among Alcohol Indulgers, by age Table 9-5: Alcohol Indulgers: Menu Selection Influencers, by Age Chapter 10: Budgeters, Alcohol Indulgers & Healthy Eaters: Usage, Attitudes & Behavior Drilldrown Meet the Psychographic Groups Note on trending feature Restaurant selection factors Overview Psychographic analysis Table 10-1: Restaurant Selection Factors: Psychographic Groups, Selected Responses Menu selection factors Overview Psychographic analysis Table 10-2: Menu Selection Factors: Psychographic Groups, Selected Responses Average dinner meal spend Table 10-3: Mean Dinner Spend, Per Restaurant Type, Psychographic Groups Chapter 11: Dinner on the Menu: Restaurant Brand Analysis Brinker International Inc Company growth strategy Franchising/joint ventures International expansion Marketing Chili’s Bar & Grill restaurant operations On the menu Entrée pricing Chili’s dinner strategy Menu updates Negative momentum Internet initiatives Chili’s Consumer Universe Table 11-1: Chili’s Users: Selected Demographics A middle-of-the-road range of food, health, and diet attitudes Table 11-2: Chili’s Users: Food, Health and Diet Attitudes Maggiano’s Little Italy restaurant operations On the menu
  • 12. Pricing Dinner strategy National & local promotions Increased alcohol sales Menu mix improvement Table 11-3: Brinker International, Selected Metrics, 2007-2009 Table 11-4: Brinker International, Selected Quarterly Metrics, 2009-2010 Buffalo Wild Wings, Inc. Layout, clientele, service and pricing Restaurant operations Sales by daypart 2009-10 strategy Expansion plans Marketing/promotions Dinner & late night strategy Menu diversity Menu additions Late night menu innovation Positive sale momentum tapers Table 11-5: Buffalo Wild Wings, Selected Metrics, 2007-2009 Table 11-6: Buffalo Wild Wings, Selected Quarterly Metrics, 2009-2010 California Pizza Kitchen Pizza, of course Limited-service innovation Restaurant operations Licensing and franchising operations 2009-10 strategy Thank You Card affects sales Store expansion Takeout and delivery options 2010 Dinner strategy Menu item innovation Small Cravings Tweaking wine strategy California Pizza Kitchen consumer universe Table 11-7: California Pizza Kitchen Users: Selected Demographics Users inclined to hold active interest in personal health and diet Table 11-8: California Pizza Kitchen Users: Health and Food Attitudes Sales declines led by guest declines Table 11-9: California Pizza Kitchen, Selected Metrics, 2007-09 A silver lining Table 11-10: California Pizza Kitchen, Selected Quarterly Metrics, 2009-10 The Cheesecake Factory Inc Restaurant operations Menu and pricing Off-premises push
  • 13. Grand Lux Cafe & RockSugar Pan Asian Kitchen Bakery operations 2009-10 strategy Restaurant growth Guest satisfaction Marketing efforts Dinner strategy Menu price increases Category introductions Alcohol and dessert Promotional offers Cheesecake Factory consumer universe Table 11-11: Cheesecake Factory Users: Selected Demographics Table 11-12: Cheesecake Factory Users: Health and Food Attitudes Keeping the guests coming Table 11-13: Cheesecake Factory, Selected Metrics, 2007-2009 Headed in the right direction Table 11-14: Cheesecake Factory, Selected Quarterly Metrics, 2009-2010 Darden Restaurant Group Olive Garden overview & operations Menu pricing Sales and guest check trends 2009-10 strategy Marketing Restaurant expansion Dinner strategy Menu revitalization Wine tasting service Olive Garden consumer universe Table 11-15: Olive Garden Users: Selected Demographics A middle-of-the-road consumer perspective on food, diet and health Table 11-16: Olive Garden Users: Food Attitudes LongHorn Steakhouse overview & operations Menu pricing Sales and guest check trends 2009-10 strategy Restaurant redesign Dinner strategy Menu offerings/redesign Marketing Longhorn Steakhouse Consumer Universe Table 11-17: Longhorn Steakhouse Users: Selected Demographics Middle-of-pack health/diet attitudes; a penchant for fast food Table 11-18: Longhorn Steakhouse Users: Food Attitudes Red Lobster overview & operations Menu pricing
  • 14. Sales and guest check trends Dinner strategy Marketing Brand refresh Chef certification Red Lobster consumer universe Table 11-19: Red Lobster Users: Selected Demographics Peas in a pod Table 11-20: Red Lobster Users: Food Attitudes History: Olive Garden sales lead those at Longhorn Steakhouse and Red Lobster Table 11-21: Darden Restaurant Group, Selected Metrics, 2007-2009 But Longhorn emerges as bright spot Table 11-22: Darden Restaurant Group, Selected Quarterly Metrics, 2009-2010 Morton’s Restaurant Group Inc Restaurant operations Daypart, food/beverage and boardroom sales 2009-10 strategy Business relationships Incremental growth Dinner Strategy Increasing wine sales Bar 12-21 Initiative Pummeled in 2009 Table 11-23: Morton’s, Selected Metrics, 2007-2009 Did you hear that? A sigh of relief! Table 11-24: Darden Restaurant Group, Selected Quarterly Metrics, 2009-2010 Available immediately for Online Download at http://www.marketresearch.com/product/display.asp?productid=2756366 US: 800.298.5699 UK +44.207.256.3920 Int'l: +1.240.747.3093 Fax: 240.747.3004