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McKinsey & Company 1
Pessimism has grown in Argentina, while uncertainty remains the
dominant sentiment
21% 23%
35%
54% 52%
45%
25% 25% 21%
Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-191
% of respondents
Unsure: The economy will be impacted
for 6–12 months or longer and will
stagnate or show slow growth thereafter
Pessimistic: COVID-19 will have lasting
impact on the economy and show
regression/fall into lengthy recession
Optimistic: The economy will rebound
within 2–3 months and grow just as strong
as or stronger than before COVID-19
1 Q: How is your overall confidence level in economic conditions after the COVID-19 situation? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic”; figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Argentina Consumer Pulse Survey 9/1–9/11/2020, n = 1,007; 4/29–5/3/2020, n = 1,014; 4/7–4/12/2020, n = 1,014, sampled and weighted to match Argentina’s general
population 18+ years
Apr 7–13
Argentina
May 1–4 Sep 1–11
McKinsey & Company 2
Consumers remain careful about spending, with most consumers
delaying purchases and cutting back
Overall sentiment in the general population in Argentina1
% of respondents
1 Q: Please indicate how strongly you agree or disagree with each of the following statements. Please select only one response for each statement; figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
2 Measures difference in “strongly agree / agree” between current and last pulse survey.
47%
25%
21%
16%
15%
27%
39%
36%
38%
36%
37%
33%
29%
26%
36%
43%
46%
49%
57%
60%
67%
7%
6%
3%
Strongly disagree / disagree Somewhat disagree / agree Strongly agree / agree
Strongly agree/
agree difference
since last survey2
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Argentina Consumer Pulse Survey 9/1–9/11/2020, n = 1,007; 4/29–5/3/2020, n = 1,014, sampled and weighted to match Argentina’s general population 18+ years
I have been personally affected by the coronavirus or COVID-19
I am very concerned about losing my job
My ability to work has been reduced by coronavirus or COVID-19
My ability to make financial ends meet has been negatively impacted
by coronavirus or COVID-19
My income has been negatively impacted by coronavirus or COVID-19
Uncertainty about the economy is preventing me from making
purchases or investments that I would otherwise make
Given the economy and my personal finances,
I have to be very careful how I spend my money
I am cutting back on my spending
-1
-12
-15
-12
-9
-3
-7
-11
McKinsey & Company 3
Household income1,2
% of respondents
Reduce slightly / reduce a lot About the same Increase slightly / increase a lot
Past 2 weeks Past 2 weeks
4% 6%
24%
51%
72%
43%
10%
57%
33%
Next 2 weeks
1 Q: How has the COVID-19 situation affected your (family’s) overall available income, spending, and savings in the past two weeks? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
2 Q: How do you think your overall available income, spending, and savings may change in the next two weeks? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
While consumers see more stabilization in their personal finances
compared to May, most experienced reduction in income and savings
Household spending1,2
% of respondents
44%
36%
29%
22%
42%
28%
Past 2 weeks Past 2 weeks
35%
46%
19%
Next 2 weeks
May 1–4 September 1–11 May 1–4 September 1–11
Household savings1,2
% of respondents
54%
77%
Past 2 weeks
9%
67%
15%
11%
22%
Past 2 weeks
10%
36%
Next 2 weeks
May 1–4 September 1–11
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Argentina Consumer Pulse Survey 9/1–9/11/2020, n = 1,007; 4/29–5/3/2020, n = 1,014, sampled and weighted to match Argentina’s general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 4
Purchase intent remains negative across most categories, except for
groceries, household supplies, personal-care, and home entertainment
8
29
24
29
33
44
48
78
47
62
54
18
8
10
35
59
20
8
13
18
11
9
10
11
6
8
16
18
13
9
11
2
Groceries
Snacks
Non-food child products
Tobacco products
Food takeout & delivery
Quick-service restaurant
Alcohol
Restaurant
Footwear
Apparel
Personal-care products
Jewelry
Accessories
Household supplies
Skin care & makeup
Furnishings & appliances
Expected spending per category over the next two weeks compared to usual1
% of respondents
Decrease Stay the same Increase
9
40
54
64
29
36
39
28
50
46
55
57
69
58
70
71
19
10
10
9
9
15
8
15
14
11
8
14
9
9
6
5
Entertainment at home
Out-of-home entertainment
Hotel/resort stays
Books/magazines/newspapers
Fitness & wellness
Consumer electronics
Pet-care services
Personal-care services
International flights
Gasoline
Vehicle purchases
Cruises
Short-term home rentals
Travel by car
Adventures & tours
Domestic flights
Net intent2
1 Q: Over the next two weeks, do you expect that you will spend more, about the same, or less money on these categories than usual? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
2 Net intent is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they expect to decrease spending from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase spending.
+10
-30
-45
-55
-20
-20
-31
-13
-36
-35
-47
-43
-59
-49
-64
-65
Net intent2
+12
-2
+10
-48
-21
-11
-11
-22
-35
-38
-76
-36
-56
-46
+3
-26
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Argentina Consumer Pulse Survey 9/1–9/11/2020, n = 1,007, sampled and weighted to match Argentina’s general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 5
Argentines are shifting purchases online within the entertainment,
consumer electronics, and food takeout and delivery categories
1 Q: Over the next two weeks, where do you expect you’ll buy these categories? Tell us if you will shop in the following places more, about the same, or less in the next two weeks; please note, if you don’t buy
in one of these places today and won’t in next two weeks, please select “N/A.”
2 Net intent is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they expect to decrease shopping frequency from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase shopping frequency.
Expected change in shopping channel per category over the next two weeks1
Axes show net intent,2 bubble size relative to share of respondents that have purchased category in last six months
40
-70
-15
-60
-30 -20 -5-35
-50
-25
-10
-10
-40
-20
0
10
0
20
5 10 15 20
-30
25 30 35
Non-food child products
(e.g., diapers)
Apparel
Entertainment
at home (e.g., Netflix)
Household supplies
(e.g., cleaning, laundry) Groceries
Food takeout & delivery
SnacksAlcohol
Furnishings &
appliances
Personal-care products
(e.g., soap, shampoo)
Fitness &
wellness
Accessories
Jewelry
Footwear Consumer
electronics
Books/
magazines/
newspapers
Tobacco
Skin care & makeup
Household essentials
Discretionary
Entertainment at home
In-store
Online
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Argentina Consumer Pulse Survey 9/1–9/11/2020, n = 1,007, sampled and weighted to match Argentina’s general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 6
Argentine consumers expect to spend more time on work, social
media, and content consumption
10%
12%
14%
12%
10%
19%
31%
32%
29%
37%
29%
51%
52%
56%
58%
62%
58%
46%
47%
50%
42%
54%
38%
35%
30%
29%
27%
23%
23%
21%
21%
20%
17%
Movies or shows
Video content
Social media
Online shopping for non-food purchases
Online shopping for groceries
Working
Reading news online
Texting, chatting, messaging
Reading for personal interest
Video games
Live news
Decrease Stay the same IncreaseExpected change to time allocation over the next two weeks1
% of respondents
1 Q: Over the next two weeks, how much time do you expect to spend on these activities compared to how much time you normally spend on them? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
2 Net intent is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they expect to decrease time spent from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase time spent.
Net intent2
+28
+23
+15
+17
+17
+3
-9
-9
-11
-17
-12-25
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Argentina Consumer Pulse Survey 9/1–9/11/2020, n = 1,007, sampled and weighted to match Argentina’s general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 7
Have you used or done any of the following since COVID-19 started1
% of respondents
1 Q: Have you used or done any of the following since the COVID-19 situation started? If yes, Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? Possible answers: “just started using since COVID-19 started”;
“using more since COVID-19 started”; “using about the same since COVID-19 started”; “using less since COVID-19 started.”
Argentines have intensified online streaming, and more have
adopted video chatting and videoconferencing
47%
35%
27%
28%
15%
11%
6%
24%
14%
12%
26%
22%
7%
5%
23%
21%
20%
13%
7%
10%
7%
4%
14%
6%
6%
2%
Online streaming
Online fitness
Watching e-sports
Tiktok
Wellness app
Telemedicine: physical or mental
Restaurant delivery
Playing online games
Grocery delivery
Meal-kit delivery
Remote learning: my children or myself
Video chat: personal
Videoconferencing: professional
Not using Using less / the same Just started usingUsing more
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Argentina Consumer Pulse Survey 9/1–9/11/2020, n = 1,007, sampled and weighted to match Argentina’s general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 8
Argentine consumers are most concerned about the country’s
economy
79%
75%
74%
72%
70%
69%
55%
53%
50%
49%
44%
41%
39%
38%
36%
Not being able to make ends meet
Not knowing how long it will last
The Argentine economy
Taking care of my family
Negative impact on my job or income
Contributing to spread of virus
Overall public health
Safety of me or my family
Health of my vulnerable relatives
Negative impact on my business
My personal health
My mental health
Impact on upcoming events
Not being able to get the supplies I need
Impact on upcoming travel plans
1 Q: What concerns you most about the COVID-19 situation? Possible answers: “not a concern”; “minimally concerned”; “somewhat concerned”; “very concerned”; “extremely concerned.”
Largest concerns of the Argentina’s population related to COVID-191
% of respondents who are very concerned or extremely concerned
Very concerned /
extremely concerned
79%
of Argentines are
very/extremely concerned
about the Argentine
economy
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Argentina Consumer Pulse Survey 9/1–9/11/2020, n = 1,007, sampled and weighted to match Argentina’s general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 9
Most Argentine consumers expect COVID-19’s impact on routines
and finances to persist beyond another two months
5%
18%
38%
0–1 month
17%
22%
2–3 months
4–6 months
7–12 months
More than one year
10%
10%
28%
22%
25%
7–12 months
4–6 months
4%
2–3 months
No impact
0–1 month
More than one year
Adjustments to routines1
% of respondents
Impact on personal/household finances2
% of respondents
~95%
believe it will take
2+ months before
routines can return to
normal, up from 92%
in the last pulse
survey
~86%
believe their finances
will be impacted for
2+ months by the
COVID-19 situation,
down from 88% in the
last pulse survey
1 Q: How long do you believe you need to adjust your routines, given the current COVID-19 situation, before things return back to normal in Argentina (e.g., government lifts restrictions on events/travel)? Figures may not
sum to 100% because of rounding.
2 Q: How long do you believe your personal/household finances will be impacted by the COVID-19 situation? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding.
Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Argentina Consumer Pulse Survey 9/1–9/11/2020, n = 1,007; 4/29–5/3/2020, n = 1,014, sampled and weighted to match Argentina’s general population 18+ years
McKinsey & Company 10
Disclaimer
McKinsey does not provide legal, medical, or other regulated advice or
guarantee results. These materials reflect general insight and best practice
based on information currently available and do not contain all of the
information needed to determine a future course of action. Such information
has not been generated or independently verified by McKinsey and is
inherently uncertain and subject to change. McKinsey has no obligation to
update these materials and makes no representation or warranty and
expressly disclaims any liability with respect thereto.

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McKinsey Survey: Argentinian consumer sentiment during the coronavirus crisis

  • 1. McKinsey & Company 1 Pessimism has grown in Argentina, while uncertainty remains the dominant sentiment 21% 23% 35% 54% 52% 45% 25% 25% 21% Confidence in own country’s economic recovery after COVID-191 % of respondents Unsure: The economy will be impacted for 6–12 months or longer and will stagnate or show slow growth thereafter Pessimistic: COVID-19 will have lasting impact on the economy and show regression/fall into lengthy recession Optimistic: The economy will rebound within 2–3 months and grow just as strong as or stronger than before COVID-19 1 Q: How is your overall confidence level in economic conditions after the COVID-19 situation? Rated from 1 “very optimistic” to 6 “very pessimistic”; figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Argentina Consumer Pulse Survey 9/1–9/11/2020, n = 1,007; 4/29–5/3/2020, n = 1,014; 4/7–4/12/2020, n = 1,014, sampled and weighted to match Argentina’s general population 18+ years Apr 7–13 Argentina May 1–4 Sep 1–11
  • 2. McKinsey & Company 2 Consumers remain careful about spending, with most consumers delaying purchases and cutting back Overall sentiment in the general population in Argentina1 % of respondents 1 Q: Please indicate how strongly you agree or disagree with each of the following statements. Please select only one response for each statement; figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2 Measures difference in “strongly agree / agree” between current and last pulse survey. 47% 25% 21% 16% 15% 27% 39% 36% 38% 36% 37% 33% 29% 26% 36% 43% 46% 49% 57% 60% 67% 7% 6% 3% Strongly disagree / disagree Somewhat disagree / agree Strongly agree / agree Strongly agree/ agree difference since last survey2 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Argentina Consumer Pulse Survey 9/1–9/11/2020, n = 1,007; 4/29–5/3/2020, n = 1,014, sampled and weighted to match Argentina’s general population 18+ years I have been personally affected by the coronavirus or COVID-19 I am very concerned about losing my job My ability to work has been reduced by coronavirus or COVID-19 My ability to make financial ends meet has been negatively impacted by coronavirus or COVID-19 My income has been negatively impacted by coronavirus or COVID-19 Uncertainty about the economy is preventing me from making purchases or investments that I would otherwise make Given the economy and my personal finances, I have to be very careful how I spend my money I am cutting back on my spending -1 -12 -15 -12 -9 -3 -7 -11
  • 3. McKinsey & Company 3 Household income1,2 % of respondents Reduce slightly / reduce a lot About the same Increase slightly / increase a lot Past 2 weeks Past 2 weeks 4% 6% 24% 51% 72% 43% 10% 57% 33% Next 2 weeks 1 Q: How has the COVID-19 situation affected your (family’s) overall available income, spending, and savings in the past two weeks? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2 Q: How do you think your overall available income, spending, and savings may change in the next two weeks? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. While consumers see more stabilization in their personal finances compared to May, most experienced reduction in income and savings Household spending1,2 % of respondents 44% 36% 29% 22% 42% 28% Past 2 weeks Past 2 weeks 35% 46% 19% Next 2 weeks May 1–4 September 1–11 May 1–4 September 1–11 Household savings1,2 % of respondents 54% 77% Past 2 weeks 9% 67% 15% 11% 22% Past 2 weeks 10% 36% Next 2 weeks May 1–4 September 1–11 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Argentina Consumer Pulse Survey 9/1–9/11/2020, n = 1,007; 4/29–5/3/2020, n = 1,014, sampled and weighted to match Argentina’s general population 18+ years
  • 4. McKinsey & Company 4 Purchase intent remains negative across most categories, except for groceries, household supplies, personal-care, and home entertainment 8 29 24 29 33 44 48 78 47 62 54 18 8 10 35 59 20 8 13 18 11 9 10 11 6 8 16 18 13 9 11 2 Groceries Snacks Non-food child products Tobacco products Food takeout & delivery Quick-service restaurant Alcohol Restaurant Footwear Apparel Personal-care products Jewelry Accessories Household supplies Skin care & makeup Furnishings & appliances Expected spending per category over the next two weeks compared to usual1 % of respondents Decrease Stay the same Increase 9 40 54 64 29 36 39 28 50 46 55 57 69 58 70 71 19 10 10 9 9 15 8 15 14 11 8 14 9 9 6 5 Entertainment at home Out-of-home entertainment Hotel/resort stays Books/magazines/newspapers Fitness & wellness Consumer electronics Pet-care services Personal-care services International flights Gasoline Vehicle purchases Cruises Short-term home rentals Travel by car Adventures & tours Domestic flights Net intent2 1 Q: Over the next two weeks, do you expect that you will spend more, about the same, or less money on these categories than usual? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2 Net intent is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they expect to decrease spending from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase spending. +10 -30 -45 -55 -20 -20 -31 -13 -36 -35 -47 -43 -59 -49 -64 -65 Net intent2 +12 -2 +10 -48 -21 -11 -11 -22 -35 -38 -76 -36 -56 -46 +3 -26 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Argentina Consumer Pulse Survey 9/1–9/11/2020, n = 1,007, sampled and weighted to match Argentina’s general population 18+ years
  • 5. McKinsey & Company 5 Argentines are shifting purchases online within the entertainment, consumer electronics, and food takeout and delivery categories 1 Q: Over the next two weeks, where do you expect you’ll buy these categories? Tell us if you will shop in the following places more, about the same, or less in the next two weeks; please note, if you don’t buy in one of these places today and won’t in next two weeks, please select “N/A.” 2 Net intent is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they expect to decrease shopping frequency from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase shopping frequency. Expected change in shopping channel per category over the next two weeks1 Axes show net intent,2 bubble size relative to share of respondents that have purchased category in last six months 40 -70 -15 -60 -30 -20 -5-35 -50 -25 -10 -10 -40 -20 0 10 0 20 5 10 15 20 -30 25 30 35 Non-food child products (e.g., diapers) Apparel Entertainment at home (e.g., Netflix) Household supplies (e.g., cleaning, laundry) Groceries Food takeout & delivery SnacksAlcohol Furnishings & appliances Personal-care products (e.g., soap, shampoo) Fitness & wellness Accessories Jewelry Footwear Consumer electronics Books/ magazines/ newspapers Tobacco Skin care & makeup Household essentials Discretionary Entertainment at home In-store Online Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Argentina Consumer Pulse Survey 9/1–9/11/2020, n = 1,007, sampled and weighted to match Argentina’s general population 18+ years
  • 6. McKinsey & Company 6 Argentine consumers expect to spend more time on work, social media, and content consumption 10% 12% 14% 12% 10% 19% 31% 32% 29% 37% 29% 51% 52% 56% 58% 62% 58% 46% 47% 50% 42% 54% 38% 35% 30% 29% 27% 23% 23% 21% 21% 20% 17% Movies or shows Video content Social media Online shopping for non-food purchases Online shopping for groceries Working Reading news online Texting, chatting, messaging Reading for personal interest Video games Live news Decrease Stay the same IncreaseExpected change to time allocation over the next two weeks1 % of respondents 1 Q: Over the next two weeks, how much time do you expect to spend on these activities compared to how much time you normally spend on them? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2 Net intent is calculated by subtracting the % of respondents stating they expect to decrease time spent from the % of respondents stating they expect to increase time spent. Net intent2 +28 +23 +15 +17 +17 +3 -9 -9 -11 -17 -12-25 Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Argentina Consumer Pulse Survey 9/1–9/11/2020, n = 1,007, sampled and weighted to match Argentina’s general population 18+ years
  • 7. McKinsey & Company 7 Have you used or done any of the following since COVID-19 started1 % of respondents 1 Q: Have you used or done any of the following since the COVID-19 situation started? If yes, Q: Which best describes when you have done or used each of these items? Possible answers: “just started using since COVID-19 started”; “using more since COVID-19 started”; “using about the same since COVID-19 started”; “using less since COVID-19 started.” Argentines have intensified online streaming, and more have adopted video chatting and videoconferencing 47% 35% 27% 28% 15% 11% 6% 24% 14% 12% 26% 22% 7% 5% 23% 21% 20% 13% 7% 10% 7% 4% 14% 6% 6% 2% Online streaming Online fitness Watching e-sports Tiktok Wellness app Telemedicine: physical or mental Restaurant delivery Playing online games Grocery delivery Meal-kit delivery Remote learning: my children or myself Video chat: personal Videoconferencing: professional Not using Using less / the same Just started usingUsing more Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Argentina Consumer Pulse Survey 9/1–9/11/2020, n = 1,007, sampled and weighted to match Argentina’s general population 18+ years
  • 8. McKinsey & Company 8 Argentine consumers are most concerned about the country’s economy 79% 75% 74% 72% 70% 69% 55% 53% 50% 49% 44% 41% 39% 38% 36% Not being able to make ends meet Not knowing how long it will last The Argentine economy Taking care of my family Negative impact on my job or income Contributing to spread of virus Overall public health Safety of me or my family Health of my vulnerable relatives Negative impact on my business My personal health My mental health Impact on upcoming events Not being able to get the supplies I need Impact on upcoming travel plans 1 Q: What concerns you most about the COVID-19 situation? Possible answers: “not a concern”; “minimally concerned”; “somewhat concerned”; “very concerned”; “extremely concerned.” Largest concerns of the Argentina’s population related to COVID-191 % of respondents who are very concerned or extremely concerned Very concerned / extremely concerned 79% of Argentines are very/extremely concerned about the Argentine economy Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Argentina Consumer Pulse Survey 9/1–9/11/2020, n = 1,007, sampled and weighted to match Argentina’s general population 18+ years
  • 9. McKinsey & Company 9 Most Argentine consumers expect COVID-19’s impact on routines and finances to persist beyond another two months 5% 18% 38% 0–1 month 17% 22% 2–3 months 4–6 months 7–12 months More than one year 10% 10% 28% 22% 25% 7–12 months 4–6 months 4% 2–3 months No impact 0–1 month More than one year Adjustments to routines1 % of respondents Impact on personal/household finances2 % of respondents ~95% believe it will take 2+ months before routines can return to normal, up from 92% in the last pulse survey ~86% believe their finances will be impacted for 2+ months by the COVID-19 situation, down from 88% in the last pulse survey 1 Q: How long do you believe you need to adjust your routines, given the current COVID-19 situation, before things return back to normal in Argentina (e.g., government lifts restrictions on events/travel)? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. 2 Q: How long do you believe your personal/household finances will be impacted by the COVID-19 situation? Figures may not sum to 100% because of rounding. Source: McKinsey & Company COVID-19 Argentina Consumer Pulse Survey 9/1–9/11/2020, n = 1,007; 4/29–5/3/2020, n = 1,014, sampled and weighted to match Argentina’s general population 18+ years
  • 10. McKinsey & Company 10 Disclaimer McKinsey does not provide legal, medical, or other regulated advice or guarantee results. These materials reflect general insight and best practice based on information currently available and do not contain all of the information needed to determine a future course of action. Such information has not been generated or independently verified by McKinsey and is inherently uncertain and subject to change. McKinsey has no obligation to update these materials and makes no representation or warranty and expressly disclaims any liability with respect thereto.

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Removed the following: 1/ Meal kit: very low general adoption, trend mirrored those of restaurant & grocerys 2/ Fitness: Wellness App & Digital exercise machines – mirrored online personal training & fitness; in addition, had limited adoption 3/ Telemedicine – removed both physical health & mental health as total adoption low 4/ Watching online gaming – very similar to trend in "playing online gaming”