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No Ordinary Disruption: The four forces breaking all the trends

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Out with the old assumptions, in with McKinsey Global Institute's new book on the four disruptive forces reshaping the world, "No Ordinary Disruption": http://bit.ly/1bCznva

The four forces are
1. Urbanization
2. Accelerating technological change
3. Aging populations
4. Increasing global interconnection

What does it all mean? Our infographics tell part of the story. For more, read the book: http://amzn.to/1BKhWiq

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No Ordinary Disruption: The four forces breaking all the trends

  1. THE FOUR FORBES BREAKING ALL THE TRENDS
  2. DISRUPTION ONE: THE AGE OF URBANIZATION COUNTRIES ARE BECOMING MUCH MORE URBANIZED City populations 6 are growing by . f si_, u. . l m mlslsequivaleritw7nt-uchlcugosevetyyear WITH EMERGING MARKETS TAKING THE LEAD million every year in emerging markets will 4 4 0 . . account for nearly half of Cities global GDP growth by 2025 people will live in Asian cities 2 5 . . by 2025—that's hall 01 all - b| ”|On urbanites in the world By 2025. 46 of the world’s 200 top cities will be in China By 2025 the economy of Tianjin will be the same size as Sweden's '. 'L. l‘ '. ;L' l, ,', L.-. L ll‘. ;| ,ll; EMERGING ECONOMIES ARE BECOMING MAJOR FORCES By 2025. emerging 7 5 (y faster than economies will grow 0 developed nations Emerging economies are taking a larger share of the world economy 1/3 today GROWTH OF THE URBAN CONSUMER CLASS 150% increase in annual consumption in lnllnon emerging markets, 2010 to 2030 : :»m I: mi‘: 620 million people exited poverty in the last 20 years Ucfms Nflfiyl-«It . iiin‘i‘4(int. 'oI Mn 11ri1i: i.1r y i‘. li~: .'i. -pr-iin, li. v liw . ’?Im‘. -iv r'. irr‘i‘. s‘l. «'vr7.-iu'uni_: All‘ ml‘ l. 'i‘. 'm. <. Inlay ? .’l‘n
  3. iii II: l|l| i‘lsI: I‘ iii.1:ili"lllii ; |.II-f‘II. III? "l'ICIi‘_ll 'l'Ii'Il§l-: .! t'I1l; iEL. EFl£TT| I‘I%lTEIQIHNIQILJQIEIIUAIL. l§IH£lI‘IE, ‘IE. objects expected to connect , ..r; I -I I I to the Internet by 2025 GLOBALIZATION AND TECHNOLOGY ARE CHANGING THE FACE OF THE BUSINESS WORLD ¢, ; ADOPTION OF NEW TECHNOLOGIES IS ACCELERATING Tmitorr-a: l1 53 “ll ion IISCIS, yr-ms ‘T 4 . 3 1 .75 T I .3 I f‘ II: -.. 'lio "v‘ lP-: -c i'lt~7r"r-t f. 'icl': l3ool« Twill! " TECHNOLOGICAL BREAKTHROUGHS ARE SPEEDING UP TIIl"' pain TC-Vi‘{l’lI mobile Internet 115 ‘T 16 _ _ YEARS YEARS 1876 1991 2007 first phone first first call website iPhone tstiinatrizl1:-cli= rti; al i= l". r)iiomir: riinsint :2-y 7l“. ?fi ; an'ns; s 3 7m a: :it: | l'. aIinii‘; ' Automation of Mobile Internet 34 tri| |ion—S11 trillion T knowledge work $5 tril| ion—S/ trillion Internet of Things 33 trillion—S6 trillion
  4. DISRUPTION THREE: CHALLENGES OF AN AGING WORLD PROPORTION OF ELDERLY IS INCREASING GLOBAL LIFE EXPECTANCY IS INCREASING Global population by age group ‘:1’. 0-14 .1544 . Eib+ 1950 Anvanced economies Emerging economies 2014 “ 1-1 ” 2050 — A GRAYING WORKFORCE The share of older workers Iage 55+) 'IIII increase iliuiiialically 5 14% 22? 31% 2OIOn3utJl 2030.GhQa WITHOUT PRODUCTIVITY INCREASES, GDP GROWTH WILL SHRINK DRAMATICALLY lilil’ i'1i: iv.1li ml inn 7-. '_, ‘i"tl r:1rii': i’l5- l Allil I-’RO. ITCTI'D PIIIIIIIWIIVITY “CHIN AI’ 13* . Eiiioloymeili . Productivity Dobbs, lilanyilia, and ‘ivnetzel M“. Clirdiriarli L'. ‘5ru; i We Fcxjr G. b:3.'Ft1rCe5 Ei‘. 'eamg i1Ii‘trie Trerds May 2015 'l¢cKirisey Global Institute Global‘ growth Cari mm. t! ,'. 'il‘r Sal‘? the day in an aging iiiorl’d7, January 2015 I‘. ’ll, i-. H}, i “‘ il‘, I?jl‘i I‘. ,': -»I| ',| 'I
  5. III‘ | I:I| I|I‘IéI: I' ”I: I:"I‘"II'III L'I, I‘: "I. :AI! I_F', I1,ICI, IIAII , F‘! I!I_: ,I-I: €fI? IE%. £‘£II'E5I‘*i *? .‘II_. [If’1,! 'II_. ‘C1': I0iN| E5‘C7“I'I[IN? » GLOBAL FLOWS—THE VOLUME OF TRADE, FINANCE, PEOPLE, AND DATA—ARE INCREASING G'0baI "OWS COWIDUIB Highiy connected countries can see $250 bIIIIOn—$45O billion 40% more 10 Ye3"IY 9I0b3I GDP QVOWIO GDP growth than the least connected 5 TRADE AND FINANCE -. PEOPLE Goods, seivices. and Iinancial Iloi-15,3 trillion ‘L ‘V Internaiional migration, ITIIIIIOTIS 01 people 1990 . - 1960 ‘ Tou rism V added $2tn1Iion to GDP 2012 .4; 2013 ,1“ and provided salaries to 100 million people in 2013 in; DATA HIGHER VOLATILITY IN A MORE CONNECTED WORLD 50 . . N_JlIIIJ€'I 0' 3-sigina r: £~. ‘,‘s— 9 days O‘I'A'IIIC'I'. '1E‘ S8.” ‘:00 DI [:9 I :3 1 I I I O n in-zived by lI10r€'II‘E1‘l 3 stanczru (IE-‘VIc1IIOl‘E~ITOITI ‘. I‘e rc I| I‘| _] e. '.'eiage' , ' 3:1 monthly Facebook users in CV Avrvagc days per yr-ar 2014—equivaIent to the 20 population of China A I . I A - I ' 10 SOOX ; _.. ._, ,‘_, _. W: , _ _. , incmase in gbbal amine ‘EIHJ / _ 1£II‘; »l) r ‘.9/U / _ N‘ 1561!} / _ , 1£I£IL'' / AK l’L'iL>‘J / _ IJUIU 1-I traffic, 2000 to 2012 KU U) K9,» 5_) K3,; Q4,‘

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