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Think Long
http://berggruen.org/files/thinklong/2011/blueprint_to_renew_ca.pdf
Think Long Committee for CA
   Revenues are $700 M below expectations
   Sacramento continues its partisan
    wrangling
    http://vimeo.com/32472631
Proposal #1 (of 3)
   LOCAL EMPOWERMENT. Returning
    decisionmaking power and resources from
    Sacramento to counties and cities
Proposal #2
   AN INDEPENDENT CITIZEN’S WATCHDOG.
    Creating an independent watchdog for the long-
    term public interest, empowered to place
    initiatives directly on the ballot for public
    approval
Proposal #3
   A MODERN, BROAD-BASED TAX SYSTEM.
    Updating California’s tax system to provide a
    stable, broad-based tax system that is
    sustainable over the long term
Tax Reform
Tax Proposal Background
   Over the past 60 years, California’s economy
    moved from one that was fueled by agriculture
    and manufacturing to one that is increasingly
    driven by services
   As this occurred, our tax revenues became less
    reliant on sales and use tax and more driven by
    Personal Income Tax
The Fine Print (on taxes)
   Reduce the sales tax on goods from 5% to 4.5%, while
    broadening the sales tax at a 5% rate to apply to
    services (except education and medical care)
   No income tax on those earning $45,000 and under
   2% income tax on incomes up to $95,000
   7.5% income tax on incomes above $95,000. Because
    of the 1% surcharge for mental health on millionaires,
    they would pay a top rate of 8.5%.
   Double the homeowners’ exemption and renters’ credit
More on Taxes
   This combination of changes to California’s tax
    system (cutting income taxes for most
    Californians while broadening the tax base) will
    help stabilize the boom and bust cycle of the
    budget while generating $10 billion in new
    revenues annually
Corporate Taxes
   “S” corporations and LLC’s, whose profits and
    losses are taxed at the personal income tax
    rate, will thus have their taxes cut
   For large “C” corporations, the mandatory
    single sales factor would be imposed, while
    at the same time California’s corporate tax
    rate would be reduced from 8.84% to 7%
Revenue Outcome
   Gradually phasing in these changes will
    result in an estimated $10 billion/year in
    additional revenues
What will we spend it on?
   Initially:
       Repayment of $15 billion in Economic
        Recovery Bonds (ERBs)
       Increased funding for K-14 schools by $5
        billion/year
Starting in 2014-15
   $5 billion for K-14 education
   Up to $2.5 billion for higher education
   Up to $1.5 billion to counties for the
    recently enacted Public Safety realignment
   Up to $1.0 billion to cities as unrestricted
    revenue
Other Reforms
   Create a Rainy Day Fund
   Multi-year budgeting
   Greater legislative oversight of budgeting
   End to “gut and amend”
   Pay-Go for legislation or initiatives costing more
    than $25 million
   Modify term limits: allow for 12 years of service
    in either the Assembly or Senate (or both)
Initiative Reform
Initiative Reform
   Include in ballot pamphlets a list of the five top
    contributors of $50,000 or more on each side of
    initiative campaigns as well as the total amount
    of contributions
   Allow the Legislature to review pending initiative
    proposals and fix flaws, legal or otherwise, or
    propose an alternative version, contingent upon
    final approval by the proponents of the initiative
    measure.
   Increase the number of signatures needed
    to qualify an initiative for the ballot
   Increase the time allowed to gather
    signatures from 180 days to 365

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Think long california

  • 2. Think Long Committee for CA  Revenues are $700 M below expectations  Sacramento continues its partisan wrangling http://vimeo.com/32472631
  • 3. Proposal #1 (of 3)  LOCAL EMPOWERMENT. Returning decisionmaking power and resources from Sacramento to counties and cities
  • 4. Proposal #2  AN INDEPENDENT CITIZEN’S WATCHDOG. Creating an independent watchdog for the long- term public interest, empowered to place initiatives directly on the ballot for public approval
  • 5. Proposal #3  A MODERN, BROAD-BASED TAX SYSTEM. Updating California’s tax system to provide a stable, broad-based tax system that is sustainable over the long term
  • 7. Tax Proposal Background  Over the past 60 years, California’s economy moved from one that was fueled by agriculture and manufacturing to one that is increasingly driven by services  As this occurred, our tax revenues became less reliant on sales and use tax and more driven by Personal Income Tax
  • 8. The Fine Print (on taxes)  Reduce the sales tax on goods from 5% to 4.5%, while broadening the sales tax at a 5% rate to apply to services (except education and medical care)  No income tax on those earning $45,000 and under  2% income tax on incomes up to $95,000  7.5% income tax on incomes above $95,000. Because of the 1% surcharge for mental health on millionaires, they would pay a top rate of 8.5%.  Double the homeowners’ exemption and renters’ credit
  • 9. More on Taxes  This combination of changes to California’s tax system (cutting income taxes for most Californians while broadening the tax base) will help stabilize the boom and bust cycle of the budget while generating $10 billion in new revenues annually
  • 10. Corporate Taxes  “S” corporations and LLC’s, whose profits and losses are taxed at the personal income tax rate, will thus have their taxes cut  For large “C” corporations, the mandatory single sales factor would be imposed, while at the same time California’s corporate tax rate would be reduced from 8.84% to 7%
  • 11. Revenue Outcome  Gradually phasing in these changes will result in an estimated $10 billion/year in additional revenues
  • 12. What will we spend it on?  Initially:  Repayment of $15 billion in Economic Recovery Bonds (ERBs)  Increased funding for K-14 schools by $5 billion/year
  • 13. Starting in 2014-15  $5 billion for K-14 education  Up to $2.5 billion for higher education  Up to $1.5 billion to counties for the recently enacted Public Safety realignment  Up to $1.0 billion to cities as unrestricted revenue
  • 14. Other Reforms  Create a Rainy Day Fund  Multi-year budgeting  Greater legislative oversight of budgeting  End to “gut and amend”  Pay-Go for legislation or initiatives costing more than $25 million  Modify term limits: allow for 12 years of service in either the Assembly or Senate (or both)
  • 16. Initiative Reform  Include in ballot pamphlets a list of the five top contributors of $50,000 or more on each side of initiative campaigns as well as the total amount of contributions  Allow the Legislature to review pending initiative proposals and fix flaws, legal or otherwise, or propose an alternative version, contingent upon final approval by the proponents of the initiative measure.
  • 17. Increase the number of signatures needed to qualify an initiative for the ballot  Increase the time allowed to gather signatures from 180 days to 365