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Millward Brown: Knowledge Point



Can I Make My Ad Go Viral?
Though the proportion of ads that “go viral” in any meaningful way is small, it
is possible to increase your odds of success. We have identified factors that
influence the success rate: promotion, support in other media, and specific
elements of the creative, including the use of humor, celebrities and edginess.
Before implementing a viral strategy, however, you should consider carefully
whether such an approach is right for your brand.
Viral potential is very limited for most ads                                                 Few ads achieve heavy viewing on - less than one in six ‘take off’

The reality is, the chances of achieving a major viral success
                                                                                                             4,000
are pretty low. Very few ads achieve high enough viewing                                                                                          x
levels to make substantial marketing impact. We’ve estimated                                                 3,000
                                                                                            Views per week




that the average number of total YouTube views for typical
ads is just 150,000 in the United States and 34,000 in the                                                   2,000
                                                                                                                                                                        Celebrity presence
UK.                                                                                                                                                                         can clearly
                                                                                                             1,000                                                        drive viewings

To help assess the criteria for viral success, we conducted                                                                      x xx
                                                                                                                                                                       x = ads with a celebrity
                                                                                                                 0       x x
our own research. We identified 102 ads (3 from the UK
                                              1                                                                      0     10      20      30             40
                                                                                                                                 Ad number
and 7 from the United States) that we had researched
      1
using our Link copy testing approach, and that were available
on YouTube. We used YouTube’s publicly available viewing                                                25,000
info as our measure of viral success. The number of views
(aggregated across all posted versions of the ad) was divided                                           20,000
by the number of weeks the ad had been posted to create
                                                                                            Views per week




a “views per week” measure; this measure of viral spread                                                15,000
ensures a fair comparison regardless of how long the ads
                                                                                                                                                                        x
have been on YouTube.                                                                                                                                                  x
                                                                                                        10,000


The following charts show all YouTube view-per-week scores                                                   5,000                                                xx
                                                                                                                                                                xx
across ads. Only 5 of the 3 UK ads (1
                            1            6%) achieved over
                                                                                                                                                      x    xx
1,000 views per week, and only 9 out of the 7 U.S. ads
                                                1                                                                0              x x x    x

(13%) achieved over 5,000 views per week.                                                                            0          20           40                60            80
                                                                                                                                        Ad number




                                                    Millward Brown
August 201
         1                                          Re-drawing of charts 39
                                                    © All concepts are the copyright of rok creative ltd
Millward Brown: Knowledge Point                                                                                                             2



  What determines whether an ad will go viral?                                      Linked Executions
                                                                                    Executions that are linked by a common theme or device
  There are many factors that will determine an ad’s viral
                                                                                    seem to benefit from being part of a campaign. The ongoing
  impact.
                                                                                    BlendTec campaign is a great example. Every time a new
                                                                                    “Will it blend?” video is released, that new viral has the
  Celebrities
                                                                                    potential to generate additional viewings for previous virals.
  Celebrity presence can clearly drive viewings, especially in
  the United States. In the charts on page 1, ads with a celebrity
                                                                                    Paid Media Support
  are marked with red cross.
                                                                                    Often campaigns will be supported by paid media. The
                                                                                    video ad itself may have appeared on TV, at cinemas or in
  Promotion
                                                                                    paid online video slots. Other media such as posters or print
  Videos that are advertised on YouTube have very different
                                                                                    can play a supporting role. PR can have a major impact, first
  viewing patterns to those that only get “natural” viral viewing.
                                                                                    in seeding the ad appropriately among opinion formers,
  They get more views overall, but they also get more unpaid
                                                                                    and later in “fanning the flames” to ensure wider awareness.
  viral views — typically around double the number of views that
                                                                                    Dove’s “Campaign for Real Beauty” benefited from all of
  would have occurred naturally without promotion. YouTube
                                                                                    these elements; viral viewing was driven by a major campaign
  home page ads are directly or indirectly responsible for 86%
                                                                                    that used TV, outdoor, online and PR.
  of all views; they increase expected views by over 600%.

   YouTube promotion ensures weaker ads achieve views -                             Campaign Placement
   only the very best start to catch up via natural viral                           Ads that are easy to forward are more likely to go viral.
                                                                                    Forwarding can be facilitated by investing in a prominent
                 6000                                                               home for the videos (such as a dedicated campaign
                             Natural viral (MB database)
                             YouTube home page ads (early distribution)             microsite, a Facebook page or a branded YouTube channel).
                 5000
Views per week




                 4000                                                               Ad Name
                 3000                                                               The name attached to the ad can contribute to it being easy
                                                                                    or difficult to find. Advertisers can only control the name of
                 2000
                                                                                    the “official” versions of their videos, but they should consider
                 1000                                                               the implications of how they do this. Among random surfers,
                                                                                    an intriguing name may help drive viewing, but among
                        80         90           100           110         120       searchers, a more obvious name may help increase viewings.
                                          Creative strength

                 Work conducted by Millward Brown for YouTube




                                                              ©201 Millward Brown
                                                                 1
Millward Brown: Knowledge Point		                                                                                                                        3



Creative factors                                                                               Presence of a Celebrity
                                                                                               Twenty-three of the ads within the dataset contained a
Aside from the factors listed above, the main factor that will
                                                                                               celebrity (or celebrity grouping). For each of those ads,
influence whether an ad will go viral is the strength of the
                                                                                               we rated the status and popularity of those celebrities
creative. To help predict in-market viral viewing, we have
                                                                                               using online search volume as captured via the publicly
taken measures from Link to build a measure of Creative Viral                                  available Google Insights for Search interface. Using this,
Potential. The relationship shown below (based on the 102                                      we benchmarked the popularity of all the celebrities in our
ads identified earlier), helps us isolate and understand some                                  dataset against the popularity of Angelina Jolie, a celebrity
of the major creative factors underlying viral success.                                        who consistently achieves a very high search volume. (This
                                                                                               benchmarking is necessary because the Google Insights
                                                                                               tool provides a search volume index score, rather than an
     We have developed a Creative Viral Potential (CVP)                                        absolute search volume figure.) In general, the more popular
     measure which can help predict viral success                                              the celebrity, the higher the ad views.

                                   130                                          r=0.63         Distinctiveness
Views per week (index of Logged)




                                                                                               Being distinctive is very important. To succeed virally, ads
                                   120
                                                                                               need to stand out from all other ads, not just those from
                                   110                                                         direct competitors. Distinctiveness has been critical to the
                                                                                               success of some of the most notable virals, including Old
                                   100
                                                                                               Spice’s “The man your man could smell like”, and Coca-
                                   90                                                          Cola’s “Happiness Machine.”

                                   80
                                                                                               Buzz
                                         80   90 100 110 120 130                               The other factor was what we’ve called Buzz — the quality
                                              Creative Viral Potential                         that makes someone want to send an ad on to someone
                                                                                               else. To understand this area of buzz, we commissioned
                                                                                               a quantitative research project specifically designed to
So what creative factors drive viral viewing? We identified four                               examine this phenomenon. The study, conducted in the UK,
measures that related to views per week.                                                       involved over 3000 consumers and 29 different films. The
                                                                                               films ranged in their origin and style; some were well-known
Brand-linked Memorability                                                                      virals, some were lesser-known virals, and some were regular
Our established Awareness Index measure (our measure of                                        TV adverts.
ad memorabilty) had a strong correlation with viewings on
its own.                                                                                       The findings were clear. The act of sending an ad on contains
                                                                                               a consequential element — personal endorsement. In
                                                                                               sending a viral on, the sender is saying that he or she thinks
                                                                                               it’s good. Sending a bad viral is rather like telling a joke that
                                                                                               falls flat — embarrassing for all involved.




                                                                         ©201 Millward Brown
                                                                            1
Millward Brown: Knowledge Point                                                                                              4



The research indentified four factors which we summarized           Dangers of viral ads
in the acronym LEGS. Or in other words, strong viral ads are…
                                                                    The pursuit of an edgy or sexually focused viral should not
                                                                    be to the detriment of the brand character or proposition.
Laugh out loud funny                                                An ill-advised film could be harmful to brand equity if it goes
The sender of the viral often needs to be sure that the             viral, because the brand will have no control over its longevity
recipient is going to laugh when they see it. The likelihood        in the public eye. A semi-pornographic film for many brands
of this outcome will be gauged against their own reaction           would detract, rather than enhance, the brand promise and
to the film. A wry smile won’t usually motivate sufficiently for    position.
the viral to be sent on. Four of the top five films researched
over-indexed in terms of being funny.                               There seems to be a growing trend for brand managers to
                                                                    suggest or request a viral campaign because “everyone else
Edgy                                                                is doing it.” Before embarking on a viral project, marketers
Best described as the sort of film most people wouldn’t             need to consider the question: Would the brand air a
show to their mother, edgy films operate on the edge of             particularly Funny, Edgy, Gripping or Sexy film on TV or in
social acceptability. They might be viewed by some as being         the cinema? If the film wouldn’t fit with the brand on TV or
offensive, shocking, sick, or unpleasant. Importantly however,      in the cinema, it won’t fit any better when it’s watched on a
they combine this edginess with humor. The shock element            PC. Media choice should be driven by the communication
contained within the film is felt, on the whole, to be funny as     objective, and not the other way around.
opposed to gratuitous.
                                                                    Just as an off-strategy TV or cinema ad can harm a brand’s
Gripping                                                            equity, so can an ill-advised viral. The goal, then, should be
Finding a film gripping, engaging or involving isn’t the same       appropriate distinctiveness, rather than the reckless pursuit
as enjoying the film. Few people would claim to “enjoy”             of buzz.
looking at a car crash, but the majority of us rubber-neck
                                                                    Luck
as we pass an accident site. Very gripping films are not
necessarily particularly enjoyable; similarly, very passive films   Finally it should be acknowledged that, despite the analysis
can be extremely enjoyable. Importantly, both positive and          presented above, there is still an element of luck involved.
negative emotions can drive a consumer to be gripped by a           Some campaigns will inspire mash-ups, spoof responses, re-
film. This research shows that, while a film that is gripping is    edits and other online chatter. At this point, the marketer
not guaranteed to be forwarded on, a film that isn’t gripping       starts to lose control of their campaign, and things may take
is unlikely to be.                                                  unexpected twists and turns, but with luck, they could be
                                                                    benefiting from a massive viral surge in brand interest.
Sexual content
We chose not to include any particularly sexually focused
films in the research due to common decency and indus-                To read more about viral ads, visit
try codes of conduct. That is not to say, however, that we            www.millwardbrown.com/blog
underestimate the importance of sexual content as a mo-               If you liked “Can I Make My Ad Go Viral?” you may
tivator for the forwarding of a film — particularly among             also be interested in...
younger males.
                                                                           Maximizing the Value of Viral Video:
                                                                            Creativity Rules and Reach Still Counts
                                                                           Viral Potential Video

                                                                      Share this Knowledge Point:



                                              ©201 Millward Brown
                                                 1

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Can I make my ad go viral?

  • 1. Millward Brown: Knowledge Point Can I Make My Ad Go Viral? Though the proportion of ads that “go viral” in any meaningful way is small, it is possible to increase your odds of success. We have identified factors that influence the success rate: promotion, support in other media, and specific elements of the creative, including the use of humor, celebrities and edginess. Before implementing a viral strategy, however, you should consider carefully whether such an approach is right for your brand. Viral potential is very limited for most ads Few ads achieve heavy viewing on - less than one in six ‘take off’ The reality is, the chances of achieving a major viral success 4,000 are pretty low. Very few ads achieve high enough viewing x levels to make substantial marketing impact. We’ve estimated 3,000 Views per week that the average number of total YouTube views for typical ads is just 150,000 in the United States and 34,000 in the 2,000 Celebrity presence UK. can clearly 1,000 drive viewings To help assess the criteria for viral success, we conducted x xx x = ads with a celebrity 0 x x our own research. We identified 102 ads (3 from the UK 1 0 10 20 30 40 Ad number and 7 from the United States) that we had researched 1 using our Link copy testing approach, and that were available on YouTube. We used YouTube’s publicly available viewing 25,000 info as our measure of viral success. The number of views (aggregated across all posted versions of the ad) was divided 20,000 by the number of weeks the ad had been posted to create Views per week a “views per week” measure; this measure of viral spread 15,000 ensures a fair comparison regardless of how long the ads x have been on YouTube. x 10,000 The following charts show all YouTube view-per-week scores 5,000 xx xx across ads. Only 5 of the 3 UK ads (1 1 6%) achieved over x xx 1,000 views per week, and only 9 out of the 7 U.S. ads 1 0 x x x x (13%) achieved over 5,000 views per week. 0 20 40 60 80 Ad number Millward Brown August 201 1 Re-drawing of charts 39 © All concepts are the copyright of rok creative ltd
  • 2. Millward Brown: Knowledge Point 2 What determines whether an ad will go viral? Linked Executions Executions that are linked by a common theme or device There are many factors that will determine an ad’s viral seem to benefit from being part of a campaign. The ongoing impact. BlendTec campaign is a great example. Every time a new “Will it blend?” video is released, that new viral has the Celebrities potential to generate additional viewings for previous virals. Celebrity presence can clearly drive viewings, especially in the United States. In the charts on page 1, ads with a celebrity Paid Media Support are marked with red cross. Often campaigns will be supported by paid media. The video ad itself may have appeared on TV, at cinemas or in Promotion paid online video slots. Other media such as posters or print Videos that are advertised on YouTube have very different can play a supporting role. PR can have a major impact, first viewing patterns to those that only get “natural” viral viewing. in seeding the ad appropriately among opinion formers, They get more views overall, but they also get more unpaid and later in “fanning the flames” to ensure wider awareness. viral views — typically around double the number of views that Dove’s “Campaign for Real Beauty” benefited from all of would have occurred naturally without promotion. YouTube these elements; viral viewing was driven by a major campaign home page ads are directly or indirectly responsible for 86% that used TV, outdoor, online and PR. of all views; they increase expected views by over 600%. YouTube promotion ensures weaker ads achieve views - Campaign Placement only the very best start to catch up via natural viral Ads that are easy to forward are more likely to go viral. Forwarding can be facilitated by investing in a prominent 6000 home for the videos (such as a dedicated campaign Natural viral (MB database) YouTube home page ads (early distribution) microsite, a Facebook page or a branded YouTube channel). 5000 Views per week 4000 Ad Name 3000 The name attached to the ad can contribute to it being easy or difficult to find. Advertisers can only control the name of 2000 the “official” versions of their videos, but they should consider 1000 the implications of how they do this. Among random surfers, an intriguing name may help drive viewing, but among 80 90 100 110 120 searchers, a more obvious name may help increase viewings. Creative strength Work conducted by Millward Brown for YouTube ©201 Millward Brown 1
  • 3. Millward Brown: Knowledge Point 3 Creative factors Presence of a Celebrity Twenty-three of the ads within the dataset contained a Aside from the factors listed above, the main factor that will celebrity (or celebrity grouping). For each of those ads, influence whether an ad will go viral is the strength of the we rated the status and popularity of those celebrities creative. To help predict in-market viral viewing, we have using online search volume as captured via the publicly taken measures from Link to build a measure of Creative Viral available Google Insights for Search interface. Using this, Potential. The relationship shown below (based on the 102 we benchmarked the popularity of all the celebrities in our ads identified earlier), helps us isolate and understand some dataset against the popularity of Angelina Jolie, a celebrity of the major creative factors underlying viral success. who consistently achieves a very high search volume. (This benchmarking is necessary because the Google Insights tool provides a search volume index score, rather than an We have developed a Creative Viral Potential (CVP) absolute search volume figure.) In general, the more popular measure which can help predict viral success the celebrity, the higher the ad views. 130 r=0.63 Distinctiveness Views per week (index of Logged) Being distinctive is very important. To succeed virally, ads 120 need to stand out from all other ads, not just those from 110 direct competitors. Distinctiveness has been critical to the success of some of the most notable virals, including Old 100 Spice’s “The man your man could smell like”, and Coca- 90 Cola’s “Happiness Machine.” 80 Buzz 80 90 100 110 120 130 The other factor was what we’ve called Buzz — the quality Creative Viral Potential that makes someone want to send an ad on to someone else. To understand this area of buzz, we commissioned a quantitative research project specifically designed to So what creative factors drive viral viewing? We identified four examine this phenomenon. The study, conducted in the UK, measures that related to views per week. involved over 3000 consumers and 29 different films. The films ranged in their origin and style; some were well-known Brand-linked Memorability virals, some were lesser-known virals, and some were regular Our established Awareness Index measure (our measure of TV adverts. ad memorabilty) had a strong correlation with viewings on its own. The findings were clear. The act of sending an ad on contains a consequential element — personal endorsement. In sending a viral on, the sender is saying that he or she thinks it’s good. Sending a bad viral is rather like telling a joke that falls flat — embarrassing for all involved. ©201 Millward Brown 1
  • 4. Millward Brown: Knowledge Point 4 The research indentified four factors which we summarized Dangers of viral ads in the acronym LEGS. Or in other words, strong viral ads are… The pursuit of an edgy or sexually focused viral should not be to the detriment of the brand character or proposition. Laugh out loud funny An ill-advised film could be harmful to brand equity if it goes The sender of the viral often needs to be sure that the viral, because the brand will have no control over its longevity recipient is going to laugh when they see it. The likelihood in the public eye. A semi-pornographic film for many brands of this outcome will be gauged against their own reaction would detract, rather than enhance, the brand promise and to the film. A wry smile won’t usually motivate sufficiently for position. the viral to be sent on. Four of the top five films researched over-indexed in terms of being funny. There seems to be a growing trend for brand managers to suggest or request a viral campaign because “everyone else Edgy is doing it.” Before embarking on a viral project, marketers Best described as the sort of film most people wouldn’t need to consider the question: Would the brand air a show to their mother, edgy films operate on the edge of particularly Funny, Edgy, Gripping or Sexy film on TV or in social acceptability. They might be viewed by some as being the cinema? If the film wouldn’t fit with the brand on TV or offensive, shocking, sick, or unpleasant. Importantly however, in the cinema, it won’t fit any better when it’s watched on a they combine this edginess with humor. The shock element PC. Media choice should be driven by the communication contained within the film is felt, on the whole, to be funny as objective, and not the other way around. opposed to gratuitous. Just as an off-strategy TV or cinema ad can harm a brand’s Gripping equity, so can an ill-advised viral. The goal, then, should be Finding a film gripping, engaging or involving isn’t the same appropriate distinctiveness, rather than the reckless pursuit as enjoying the film. Few people would claim to “enjoy” of buzz. looking at a car crash, but the majority of us rubber-neck Luck as we pass an accident site. Very gripping films are not necessarily particularly enjoyable; similarly, very passive films Finally it should be acknowledged that, despite the analysis can be extremely enjoyable. Importantly, both positive and presented above, there is still an element of luck involved. negative emotions can drive a consumer to be gripped by a Some campaigns will inspire mash-ups, spoof responses, re- film. This research shows that, while a film that is gripping is edits and other online chatter. At this point, the marketer not guaranteed to be forwarded on, a film that isn’t gripping starts to lose control of their campaign, and things may take is unlikely to be. unexpected twists and turns, but with luck, they could be benefiting from a massive viral surge in brand interest. Sexual content We chose not to include any particularly sexually focused films in the research due to common decency and indus- To read more about viral ads, visit try codes of conduct. That is not to say, however, that we www.millwardbrown.com/blog underestimate the importance of sexual content as a mo- If you liked “Can I Make My Ad Go Viral?” you may tivator for the forwarding of a film — particularly among also be interested in... younger males. Maximizing the Value of Viral Video: Creativity Rules and Reach Still Counts Viral Potential Video Share this Knowledge Point: ©201 Millward Brown 1