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MOHAVE SUN POWER
APRIL 1, 2009

Presented by: Mitchell Dong
SOLAR GRAND PLAN
2



     Visionary plan for solar power to replace coal and gas

     Solar can provide 100% of US electricity

     Solar can drive an all electric car fleet

     Cut carbon emissions by 80% by 2050

     Ken Zweibel of GWU author of Scientific American, Jan
     2008 article


    CONFIDENTIAL
ENERGY FROM THE SUN
3




      Data source: Wikipedia
DESERTS OF THE WORLD
4




     Data source: www.geographyalltheway.com
EUROPE AND SAHARA DESERT
5




       Data source: American Geological Institute
SOLAR RADIATION IN USA
6




      Data source: NREL
DESERT ENERGY
7


         4% of the US deserts could meet US electricity needs
     Desert        Area     Sq mi Solar   Desert Area % of GWh/yr
                   Served   collectors                Desert
     US SW         US       20,000        500,000     4%    3,800,000

     Sahara        Europe   20,000        3,500,000   0.50% 3,300,000

     Gobi          China    15,000        500,000     3%    2,500,000

     Kalahari      Africa   3,000         360,000     1%    480,000

     Australian    Australia 1,000        600,000     0.30% 220,000

    CONFIDENTIAL
OPERATING POWER PLANTS IN
    NORTH AMERICA
8




       Data Source: Platts
US ELECTRIC TRANSMISSION GRID
9
NATURAL GAS PIPLINE NETWORK
10
NATIONAL HIGHWAY SYSTEM
11




       Data Source: Wikipedia
EXISTING AND FUTURE
     INFRASTRUCTURE
12


       160,000 miles high voltage electric transmission
       lines
       300,000 miles of gas pipelines
       50,000 miles in US highway system
       Estimated 50,000 miles of new transmission lines
       would be needed for solar from SW to all of US




     CONFIDENTIAL
COST OF IMPLEMENTATION IN US
13


      Cents/kwh           Annual cost         Capital cost   $/watt
      15 cents            $600 billion        $6 trillion    $9
      10 cents            $400 billion        $4 trillion    $6
      5 cents             $200 billion        $2 trillion    $3
      Assumptions:
       3,800,000 gwh / yr annual US consumption
       10% cost of capital
       15% conversion efficiency from sun to electricity
       Assumes cost of parabolic trough solar generation
       Assumes cost of molten salt storage
       Includes 50,000 miles of DC transmission lines                 CONFIDENTIAL
COST BENEFITS
14


        New electric grid
        $365 billion / yr on oil expenditures (2/3 imported)
        = $250 billion / yr on oil imports
        $50 billion / yr on coal
        $100 billion / yr on natural gas




     CONFIDENTIAL
CUMULATIVE ENERGY SUPPLY
15


     Investment of $26 trillion, or over $1 trillion/year, is needed, but the credit
     squeeze could delay spending, potentially setting up a supply-crunch once
     the economy recovers
SUM SOLAR GRAND PLAN
16


         Bold but feasible
         In the past 50 years, we have built
              300 coal fired plants
              300 gas fired plants
              100 nuclear plants
              100 large hydro
         We can build 3000 new solar plants
         Now, an example of one such proposed plant


     CONFIDENTIAL
EXAMPLE:
     HUALAPAI VALLEY SOLAR PROJECT
17


        Largest planned solar project in the world
        340 MW with storage or equivalent of 500 MW
        without storage
        Obama’s stimulus package could finance the entire
        $2.1 billion project
        Proven technology: Parabolic Trough
        Experienced developer with track record



     CONFIDENTIAL
TECHNOLOGY OF SOLAR TROUGHS
18

        Most mature of utility-scale technologies
        Longest track record (since 1984 in USA)
        Projects – operational
            Solar Energy Generating Systems (354 MW, CA, 1984-90)
            Nevada Solar One (64 MW, 2007)
        Projects – under construction
            Andasol 1-7 (50 MW each, Spain, first one online 2009)
            Solnova 1-5 (50 MW each, Spain)
            Extresol 1-3 (50 MW each, Spain)
            10 other projects under construction in Spain, total 500 MW


     CONFIDENTIAL
PARABOLIC TROUGH – CLOSE UP
19




      CONFIDENTIAL
PARABOLIC TROUGH – PANORAMA
20




     CONFIDENTIAL
PARABOLIC TROUGH – AERIAL VIEW
21




     CONFIDENTIAL
PARABOLIC TROUGH
22




       Parabolic Trough with Drive Pylon   Mirror Washing - Deluge Method




              Molten Salt Tanks              Steam Turbine Assembling
PARABOLIC TROUGH – SCHEMATIC
23




      CONFIDENTIAL
REGIONAL MAP OF SOUTHWEST US
24
HUALAPAI VALLEY SOLAR PROJECT
25
HUALAPAI VALLEY SITE
26
TRANSMISSION LINES AT SITE
27
SITE- HUALAPAI VALLEY
28




             Proposed Transmission and Distribution Lines
PLANT LAYOUT
29
CAPEX
30


        Total $2.1 billion, including the following:

            $1 billion in the solar collector field of mirrors, tubes, pipes

            $200 m in molten salt storage

            $120 m in heat transfer fluid

            $200 m in steam turbine generator and power block

            $75 m in balance of plant

            $ balance in EPC fees, contingency, land, interest during
            construction, owners costs, etc

     CONFIDENTIAL
EPC CONTRACT – POTENTIAL TERMS
31


        Engineering, Procurement and Construction contract
        Key terms: performance, price & schedule
        Guarantees performance of entire plant
        Guarantees the completion date
        Fixed price, with possible commodity escalators
        Contingency for commodity price increases




     CONFIDENTIAL
POTENTIAL TEAM – CONSTRUCTION
32


         Possible constructors include:
             Abengoa (Spain)
             Acciona (Spain)
             ACS / Cobra Group (Spain)
             MAN Solar Millennium (Germany)
             Black and Veatch (USA)
             Lauren Engineers and Constructors (USA)
             Fluor (USA)
             SNC Lavalin (USA)
             URS Washington Division (USA)
     CONFIDENTIAL
ENVIRONMENTAL PERMITS
33


       Permits Required
           Federal NEPA process / EIS
           Arizona Corp Commission license
           Air Permit
           Aquifer Protection Permit
           Mohave County Zone change and special use permit




     CONFIDENTIAL
POWER PURCHASE AGREEMENT (PPA) –
     POTENTIAL TERMS
34


         Take-or-pay contract
         Production of peak power – most desirable
         Thermal storage of 6-8 hours
         As available
         95% capacity factor for summer peak
         25-30 year term
         Power price to be determined in RFP competitive process
         Meets the utility’s renewable energy requirements
         Renewable Energy Credits (RECs) go to utility
     CONFIDENTIAL
POTENTIAL TEAM – POWER PURCHASERS
35

         14 possible customers
            APS or Arizona Public Service
            LADWP or LA Dept Water & Power
            PGE or Pacific Gas & Electric
            Nevada Power (formerly Sierra Pacific Power)
            SCE or Southern California Edison
            SDGE or San Diego Gas & Electric
            SRP or Salt River Project
            TEP or Tucson Electric Power (Unisource)
            Southern California Public Power Agency (SCPPA)
            Northern California Public Power Authority
            Sacramento Municipal Utility District (SMUD)
            Western Area Power Administration (WAPA )
            Bonneville Power Administration (BPA)
            Large industrial users or energy trading companies


     CONFIDENTIAL
FINANCING - EQUITY
36




        30% solar ITC

        Refundable as a cash grant by Treasury

        Majority of equity for project




     CONFIDENTIAL
FINANCING - DEBT
37


        DOE loan guarantee program for renewables
        $10 billion authorized under 2005 Energy Policy Act
        $60 billion added by Obama/Congress
        Up to 80% of project cost
        Federal Financing Bank
        30 years at 3.5%
        Project Applied on Feb 26, 2009


     CONFIDENTIAL
DEVELOPMENT BUDGET – PER SITE
38

        $ 1,500,000 – Land options (24 months)
        $ 1,500,000 – Engineering, design (18 months)
        $ 1,000,000 – Environmental and permitting (18 months)
        $    750,000 – PPA deposit, paid to the utility (12 months)
        $    600,000 – Site prep, mapping, test and monitoring (6 months)
        $    300,000 – Project management (24 months)
        $    250,000 – Electrical studies (6 months)
        $    250,000 – Legal (12 months)
        $ 6,150,000 per site (slightly less for 2nd and 3rd sites)

        Note: This does not include an estimated $ 15 million for PPA security deposit. This
        deposit, paid to the utility, can vary depending on the utility and negotiated PPA
        terms.

     CONFIDENTIAL
PROJECT SCHEDULE
39

         Development Period: 2009-10 (1.5-2 years)
           Design and engineer facility - 3Q 2009
           Secure all environmental approvals and permits - 2Q 2010
           Negotiate PPA - 1Q 2010
           Negotiate EPC - 2Q 2010
         Financing Period: 2010 (0.5-1 year)
            Organize lenders and equity investors - 2Q 2010
         Construction Period: 2010-13 (2.5-3 years)
           Install foundations and framing
           Assembly and installation of solar collectors
           Install steam cycle and power block
         Operations period 25 years, starting in 2013

     CONFIDENTIAL
CLOSING
40


         Largest planned solar plant in the world
         340 mw solar trough project in the Mohave by 2013
         $2 billion financing from stimulus money
         Solar industry can build 100 such plants in next 5-10 yrs
         Must bring cost down by 75%
         3000 solar plants in next 10-20 yrs
         10,000 solar plants globally in the next 20-40 yrs
         Small fraction of the Sahara, Gobi, Kalahari and Mohave deserts




     CONFIDENTIAL
CONTACT INFORMATION
41




           Mitchell Dong
           Mohave Sun Power LLC
           ________________________________
                                         85 Hamilton Street
                                      Cambridge, MA 02139

                                    Office: +1 617.864.3770
                                      Fax: +1 617.864.2701

                                         mldong@pgix.com
                                  Skype address: mldong141


                                                  CONFIDENTIAL

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World's Largest Solar Project

  • 1. MOHAVE SUN POWER APRIL 1, 2009 Presented by: Mitchell Dong
  • 2. SOLAR GRAND PLAN 2 Visionary plan for solar power to replace coal and gas Solar can provide 100% of US electricity Solar can drive an all electric car fleet Cut carbon emissions by 80% by 2050 Ken Zweibel of GWU author of Scientific American, Jan 2008 article CONFIDENTIAL
  • 3. ENERGY FROM THE SUN 3 Data source: Wikipedia
  • 4. DESERTS OF THE WORLD 4 Data source: www.geographyalltheway.com
  • 5. EUROPE AND SAHARA DESERT 5 Data source: American Geological Institute
  • 6. SOLAR RADIATION IN USA 6 Data source: NREL
  • 7. DESERT ENERGY 7 4% of the US deserts could meet US electricity needs Desert Area Sq mi Solar Desert Area % of GWh/yr Served collectors Desert US SW US 20,000 500,000 4% 3,800,000 Sahara Europe 20,000 3,500,000 0.50% 3,300,000 Gobi China 15,000 500,000 3% 2,500,000 Kalahari Africa 3,000 360,000 1% 480,000 Australian Australia 1,000 600,000 0.30% 220,000 CONFIDENTIAL
  • 8. OPERATING POWER PLANTS IN NORTH AMERICA 8 Data Source: Platts
  • 10. NATURAL GAS PIPLINE NETWORK 10
  • 11. NATIONAL HIGHWAY SYSTEM 11 Data Source: Wikipedia
  • 12. EXISTING AND FUTURE INFRASTRUCTURE 12 160,000 miles high voltage electric transmission lines 300,000 miles of gas pipelines 50,000 miles in US highway system Estimated 50,000 miles of new transmission lines would be needed for solar from SW to all of US CONFIDENTIAL
  • 13. COST OF IMPLEMENTATION IN US 13 Cents/kwh Annual cost Capital cost $/watt 15 cents $600 billion $6 trillion $9 10 cents $400 billion $4 trillion $6 5 cents $200 billion $2 trillion $3 Assumptions: 3,800,000 gwh / yr annual US consumption 10% cost of capital 15% conversion efficiency from sun to electricity Assumes cost of parabolic trough solar generation Assumes cost of molten salt storage Includes 50,000 miles of DC transmission lines CONFIDENTIAL
  • 14. COST BENEFITS 14 New electric grid $365 billion / yr on oil expenditures (2/3 imported) = $250 billion / yr on oil imports $50 billion / yr on coal $100 billion / yr on natural gas CONFIDENTIAL
  • 15. CUMULATIVE ENERGY SUPPLY 15 Investment of $26 trillion, or over $1 trillion/year, is needed, but the credit squeeze could delay spending, potentially setting up a supply-crunch once the economy recovers
  • 16. SUM SOLAR GRAND PLAN 16 Bold but feasible In the past 50 years, we have built 300 coal fired plants 300 gas fired plants 100 nuclear plants 100 large hydro We can build 3000 new solar plants Now, an example of one such proposed plant CONFIDENTIAL
  • 17. EXAMPLE: HUALAPAI VALLEY SOLAR PROJECT 17 Largest planned solar project in the world 340 MW with storage or equivalent of 500 MW without storage Obama’s stimulus package could finance the entire $2.1 billion project Proven technology: Parabolic Trough Experienced developer with track record CONFIDENTIAL
  • 18. TECHNOLOGY OF SOLAR TROUGHS 18 Most mature of utility-scale technologies Longest track record (since 1984 in USA) Projects – operational Solar Energy Generating Systems (354 MW, CA, 1984-90) Nevada Solar One (64 MW, 2007) Projects – under construction Andasol 1-7 (50 MW each, Spain, first one online 2009) Solnova 1-5 (50 MW each, Spain) Extresol 1-3 (50 MW each, Spain) 10 other projects under construction in Spain, total 500 MW CONFIDENTIAL
  • 19. PARABOLIC TROUGH – CLOSE UP 19 CONFIDENTIAL
  • 20. PARABOLIC TROUGH – PANORAMA 20 CONFIDENTIAL
  • 21. PARABOLIC TROUGH – AERIAL VIEW 21 CONFIDENTIAL
  • 22. PARABOLIC TROUGH 22 Parabolic Trough with Drive Pylon Mirror Washing - Deluge Method Molten Salt Tanks Steam Turbine Assembling
  • 23. PARABOLIC TROUGH – SCHEMATIC 23 CONFIDENTIAL
  • 24. REGIONAL MAP OF SOUTHWEST US 24
  • 25. HUALAPAI VALLEY SOLAR PROJECT 25
  • 28. SITE- HUALAPAI VALLEY 28 Proposed Transmission and Distribution Lines
  • 30. CAPEX 30 Total $2.1 billion, including the following: $1 billion in the solar collector field of mirrors, tubes, pipes $200 m in molten salt storage $120 m in heat transfer fluid $200 m in steam turbine generator and power block $75 m in balance of plant $ balance in EPC fees, contingency, land, interest during construction, owners costs, etc CONFIDENTIAL
  • 31. EPC CONTRACT – POTENTIAL TERMS 31 Engineering, Procurement and Construction contract Key terms: performance, price & schedule Guarantees performance of entire plant Guarantees the completion date Fixed price, with possible commodity escalators Contingency for commodity price increases CONFIDENTIAL
  • 32. POTENTIAL TEAM – CONSTRUCTION 32 Possible constructors include: Abengoa (Spain) Acciona (Spain) ACS / Cobra Group (Spain) MAN Solar Millennium (Germany) Black and Veatch (USA) Lauren Engineers and Constructors (USA) Fluor (USA) SNC Lavalin (USA) URS Washington Division (USA) CONFIDENTIAL
  • 33. ENVIRONMENTAL PERMITS 33 Permits Required Federal NEPA process / EIS Arizona Corp Commission license Air Permit Aquifer Protection Permit Mohave County Zone change and special use permit CONFIDENTIAL
  • 34. POWER PURCHASE AGREEMENT (PPA) – POTENTIAL TERMS 34 Take-or-pay contract Production of peak power – most desirable Thermal storage of 6-8 hours As available 95% capacity factor for summer peak 25-30 year term Power price to be determined in RFP competitive process Meets the utility’s renewable energy requirements Renewable Energy Credits (RECs) go to utility CONFIDENTIAL
  • 35. POTENTIAL TEAM – POWER PURCHASERS 35 14 possible customers APS or Arizona Public Service LADWP or LA Dept Water & Power PGE or Pacific Gas & Electric Nevada Power (formerly Sierra Pacific Power) SCE or Southern California Edison SDGE or San Diego Gas & Electric SRP or Salt River Project TEP or Tucson Electric Power (Unisource) Southern California Public Power Agency (SCPPA) Northern California Public Power Authority Sacramento Municipal Utility District (SMUD) Western Area Power Administration (WAPA ) Bonneville Power Administration (BPA) Large industrial users or energy trading companies CONFIDENTIAL
  • 36. FINANCING - EQUITY 36 30% solar ITC Refundable as a cash grant by Treasury Majority of equity for project CONFIDENTIAL
  • 37. FINANCING - DEBT 37 DOE loan guarantee program for renewables $10 billion authorized under 2005 Energy Policy Act $60 billion added by Obama/Congress Up to 80% of project cost Federal Financing Bank 30 years at 3.5% Project Applied on Feb 26, 2009 CONFIDENTIAL
  • 38. DEVELOPMENT BUDGET – PER SITE 38 $ 1,500,000 – Land options (24 months) $ 1,500,000 – Engineering, design (18 months) $ 1,000,000 – Environmental and permitting (18 months) $ 750,000 – PPA deposit, paid to the utility (12 months) $ 600,000 – Site prep, mapping, test and monitoring (6 months) $ 300,000 – Project management (24 months) $ 250,000 – Electrical studies (6 months) $ 250,000 – Legal (12 months) $ 6,150,000 per site (slightly less for 2nd and 3rd sites) Note: This does not include an estimated $ 15 million for PPA security deposit. This deposit, paid to the utility, can vary depending on the utility and negotiated PPA terms. CONFIDENTIAL
  • 39. PROJECT SCHEDULE 39 Development Period: 2009-10 (1.5-2 years) Design and engineer facility - 3Q 2009 Secure all environmental approvals and permits - 2Q 2010 Negotiate PPA - 1Q 2010 Negotiate EPC - 2Q 2010 Financing Period: 2010 (0.5-1 year) Organize lenders and equity investors - 2Q 2010 Construction Period: 2010-13 (2.5-3 years) Install foundations and framing Assembly and installation of solar collectors Install steam cycle and power block Operations period 25 years, starting in 2013 CONFIDENTIAL
  • 40. CLOSING 40 Largest planned solar plant in the world 340 mw solar trough project in the Mohave by 2013 $2 billion financing from stimulus money Solar industry can build 100 such plants in next 5-10 yrs Must bring cost down by 75% 3000 solar plants in next 10-20 yrs 10,000 solar plants globally in the next 20-40 yrs Small fraction of the Sahara, Gobi, Kalahari and Mohave deserts CONFIDENTIAL
  • 41. CONTACT INFORMATION 41 Mitchell Dong Mohave Sun Power LLC ________________________________ 85 Hamilton Street Cambridge, MA 02139 Office: +1 617.864.3770 Fax: +1 617.864.2701 mldong@pgix.com Skype address: mldong141 CONFIDENTIAL