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Weekly market outlook 12.05.12
1. Weekly Market Outlook 12 May 2012
make more, for sure.
SNAPSHOT
DATA MATRIX FOR THE WEEK
Turbulence remained constant companion for D-street in the week gone by, where in the barometer
7th May 2012 - 11th May 2012 gauges sliding for 4 out of 5 trading sessions, concluded the week with a nasty nick of over 3 percent.
Barometer gauges, after showcasing dead cat bounce on GAAR deferment in the first trading session,
Weekly Markets pulsated with cut of close to percentage point on the last trading session of the week. Stock markets in
Indian have extended the downtrend for the second week in a row as investors at large continued to
Sensex 16,293 -3.20% square of hefty positions across the board amid an increasingly vulnerable domestic as well as global
setup. The frontline equity indices got thrashed in four of the five session and suffered colossal damage of
Nifty 4,929 -3.11% over three percentage points, settling around the important psychological 4,900 (Nifty) and 16,300
Gold(US$/oz) 1,580.0 -3.84% (Sensex) levels. The worries from money market showed little signs of dying down as the anemic rupee
slipped closer to 54 against the US dollar despite recent measures from the central bank to support the
Re/US$ 53.63 0.30% beleaguered currency. Meanwhile, the unexpectedly discouraging industrial activity data, which
contracted 3.5% in March for the first time in five months, indicated marked slowdown in the economy.
Dow 12,821 -1.66%
1500 Volume* & Volatility Index (Nifty - Apr & May 2012) 25
Nasdaq 2,934 -0.74%
20
FX Res (US$ Bn) 293.173 -0.74% 1000
15
10
Net FII / DII Equity Activity (Rs Cr) 500
5
Upto 11.05.12 FIIs DIIs
0 0
Total May 2012 439.8 -522.8
27-Apr 30-Apr 2-May 3-May 4-May 7-May 8-May 9-May 10-May 11-May
Total 2012 39,672 -22,285 *NSE
Cash Volume (Rs bn) F & O Volume (Rs bn) Volatility Index %
Weekly Sector Movement
Sectors Close %
Auto 9,779 -2.45
Bankex 10,836 -3.97
CD 6,607 -0.05
CG 8,809 -1.12
FMCG 4,618 -2.04
Healthcare 6,574 -3.36
IT 5,482 -4.38
Metal 10,107 -4.31 The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) Sensex shaved off 538.10 points or 3.20% to 16292.98 during the week
ended May 11, 2012. The BSE Mid-cap index was down by 152.09 points or 2.49% to 5948.71 and the Small-
Oil & Gas 7,548 -2.45
cap index down by 192.88 points or 2.93% to 6395.38. The S&P CNX Nifty plunged by 157.95 points or
PSU 6,711 -3.12 3.11% to 4928.90. On the National Stock Exchange (NSE), Bank Nifty down 404.25 points or 4.12% to
9398.10, CNX IT down 269.55 points or 4.42% to 5830.80 while CNX mid- cap down 229.70 points or 3.18%
Realty 1,562 -4.07 to 6985.75 and CNX Nifty Junior down 284.20 points or 2.86% to 9663.80.
WEEK AHEAD
Release of April month's inflation data will set the tone for Dalal Street in the coming week, as wholesale price index (WPI) data for April will be
announced on Monday, i.e. May 14, 2012. On the result front, L&T announces FY 2012 results on Monday, 14 May 2012. Bajaj Auto announces FY
2012 results on Thursday, 17 May 2012. State Bank of India, Tata Steel and Coal India will announce their FY 2012 results on Friday, 18 May 2012.
Additionally, in the coming week the momentum of Indian rupee coupled with the mood of foreign institutional investors will also be eyed. On
the global front, investor's will be eying the release of few economic data from US, starting from Consumer Price Index and Retail Sales data on
May 15, 2012, followed by Housing Starts data, Industrial Production and FOMC Minutes release on May 16,2012 and finally the Jobless Claims
and Philadelphia Fed Survey data on May 17,2012. For the upcoming week we are maintaining our negative view in spot index though we still
believe any further downside will open only after a breach of 4880-4900 level with good volumes. In that case we might see another sharp
downfall of 100-120 points near to 4730-4750. On the flip side any consolidation around 4950-4970 level may reap indices towards 5100 where
sell on rally approach is highly advisable. HAPPY TRADING...
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report For Private circulation Only For Our Clients Only
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Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd SEBI Reg.No: BSE: INB 010985834, F&O: INF 010985834
Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 NSE: INB 230781431, F&O: INF 230781431, DP: IN-DP-CDSL-73-2000, IN-
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Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com
MCX/TCM/CORP/0740 NCDEX/TCM/CORP/0293
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4. Weekly Market Outlook
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FORTHCOMING CORPORATE ACTIONS
Ex-Date Company Name NSE- Symbol Purpose
14-May-12 Strides Arcolab Limited STAR AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.2/- PER SHARE
14-May-12 Bata India Limited BATAINDIA AGM /FINAL DIVID RS.5/- P/S & SPECIAL DIVID RE.1/- P/S
14-May-12 Lloyds Steel Industries Limited LLOYDSTEEL ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
15-May-12 D.B.Corp Limited DBCORP 2ND INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.1.75 PER SHARE
15-May-12 State Bank of Bikaner and Jaipur SBBJ ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
16-May-12 Raymond Limited RAYMOND AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.2.50 PER SHARE
17-May-12 DIC India Limited DICIND DIVIDEND - RS.4/- PER SHARE
17-May-12 Indoco Remedies Limited INDOCO BONUS 1:2 AND FACE VALUE SPLIT FROM RS.10 TO RS.2
18-May-12 K.P.R. Mill Limited KPRMILL INTERIM DIVIDEND
18-May-12 India Infoline Limited INDIAINFO INTERIM DIVIDEND
18-May-12 Shree Cements Limited SHREECEM INTERIM DIVIDEND
23-May-12 Development Credit Bank Limited DCB ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
24-May-12 Allahabad Bank ALBK AGM AND DIVIDEND - RS.6/- PER SHARE
24-May-12 Infosys Limited INFY AGM / DIVIDEND - FINAL RS 22 + SPECIAL RS 10
24-May-12 Oil Country Tubular Limited OILCOUNTUB AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.2/- PER SHARE
28-May-12 Reliance Industrial Infrastructure Limited RIIL AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.3.50 PER SHARE
30-May-12 VTM Limited VTMLTD AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.4/- PER SHARE
31-May-12 ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.16.50 PER SHARE
31-May-12 Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.8.50 PER SHARE
1-Jun-12 R Systems International Limited RSYSTEMS SPECIAL DIVIDEND
1-Jun-12 Hindustan Construction Company Limited HCC ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
6-Jun-12 Gruh Finance Limited GRUH AGM /DIVIDEND RS 11.50 PER SHARE
6-Jun-12 Thomas Cook (India) Limited THOMASCOOK DIVIDEND - RS.0.375/- PER SHARE
7-Jun-12 Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR FINAL DIVID RS.6.50 P/S & SPECIAL DIVID RS.60 P/S
7-Jun-12 Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT AGM AND DIVIDEND - RS.30.50 PER SHARE
8-Jun-12 Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited KANSAINER AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.11/- PER SHARE
8-Jun-12 Sesa Goa Limited SESAGOA AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.2/- PER SHARE
12-Jun-12 MRO-TEK Limited MRO-TEK ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
12-Jun-12 Indo Rama Synthetics (India) Limited INDORAMA AGM AND DIVIDEND RE.1/- PER SHARE
14-Jun-12 JSW Energy Limited JSWENERGY AGM AND DIVIDEND RE.0.50 PER SHARE
14-Jun-12 Punjab National Bank PNB AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.22/- PER SHARE
14-Jun-12 HOV Services Limited HOVS ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
14-Jun-12 Axis Bank Limited AXISBANK AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.16/- PER SHARE
15-Jun-12 VST Industries Limited VSTIND AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.65/- PER SHARE
15-Jun-12 Prism Cement Limited PRISMCEM AGM AND DIVIDEND - RS.0.50 PER SHARE
19-Jun-12 CMC Limited CMC AGM & DIVID RS.12.50 PER SHARE (BC END DATE REVISED)
20-Jun-12 TTK Prestige Limited TTKPRESTIG AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.15/- PER SHARE
20-Jun-12 Universal Cables Limited UNIVCABLES ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
21-Jun-12 Shriram Transport Finance Company Ltd SRTRANSFIN AGM AND DIVIDEND - RS.4/- PER SHARE
21-Jun-12 Indian Overseas Bank IOB AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.4.50 PER SHARE
21-Jun-12 Megasoft Limited MEGASOFT ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
21-Jun-12 Sobha Developers Limited SOBHA AGM AND DIVIDEND - RS.5/- PER SHAR
22-Jun-12 Granules India Limited GRANULES AGM AND DIVIDEND RS.2/- PER SHARE
22-Jun-12 Housing Development Finance Corp. HDFC AGM AND DIVIDEND - RS.11/- PER SHARE
25-Jun-12 Sterlite Industries ( India ) Limited STER AGM AND DIVIDEND RE.1/- PER SHARE
4
Mansukh Securities and Finance Ltd SEBI Reg.No: BSE: INB 010985834, F&O: INF 010985834
Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 NSE: INB 230781431, F&O: INF 230781431, DP: IN-DP-CDSL-73-2000, IN-
DP-NSDL-140-2000
Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com
MCX/TCM/CORP/0740 NCDEX/TCM/CORP/0293
Website: www.moneysukh.com
5. Weekly Market Outlook
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EQUITY CALLS PERFORMANCE FOR THE WEEK ENDED 11th May 2012
Total No. of Calls Profitable Calls Positional/Hold Exit/Stop Loss Success Rate
19 15 2 2 88.24%
NAME DESIGNATION E-MAIL
Varun Gupta Head - Research varungupta@moneysukh.com
Pashupati Nath Jha Research Analyst pashupatinathjha@moneysukh.com
Vikram Singh Research Analyst vikram_research@moneysukh.com
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Office: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002 NSE: INB 230781431, F&O: INF 230781431, DP: IN-DP-CDSL-73-2000, IN-
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Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: research@moneysukh.com
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