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Truth Behind Valuation Comparable Companies Analysis of GM
Why we  choose  this topic?
Why we choose this topic? Goal of Corporate Finance Maximize Corporate Value While Managing the firm's financial risks Interested in  the Present Tense ,[object Object]
 How to do valuation professionally,[object Object]
Methodologies of Valuation Comparable companies analysis Precedent transactions analysis Discounted cash flow analysis
Comparable Companies Analysis Primary methodology  Given focus company, division business, or collection of assets Broad range of applications,  M&A situations, IPOs, restructurings, and investment decisions.
Comparable Companies Analysis Premise Pros and Cons
Comparable Companies Analysis Premise Pros and Cons
Premise Similar companies provide a highly reference point  share key business and financial characteristics, performance drivers and risks.
Comparable Companies Analysis Premise Pros and Cons
Comparable Companies Analysis Assumptions Pros and Cons
Pros and Cons Pros Market-based Relativity Quick and convenient Current Cons Market-based Periods of irrational exuberance or bearishness Absence of relevant comparables Potential disconnect from cash flow Company-specific issues
Target??
Valuation Steps Step 1 -Select the universe of Comparable Companies  Step 2 -Locate the necessary financial information Step 3 –Spread Key Statistics, Ratios, and Trading multiples Step 4 –Benchmark the Comparable Companies     & Determine Valuation
Valuation Steps Step 1 -Select the universe of Comparable Companies  Step 2 -Locate the necessary financial information Step 3 –Spread Key Statistics, Ratios, and Trading multiples   Step 4 –Benchmark the Comparable Companies     & Determine Valuation
Selecting …
Valuation Steps Step 1 -Select the universe of Comparable Companies  Step 2 -Locate the necessary financial information Step 3 –Spread Key Statistics, Ratios, and Trading multiples Step 4 –Benchmark the Comparable Companies     & Determine Valuation
Source of Data SEC filings Consensus research estimates Equity research reports Press releases Financial information services Source: http://yahoo.brand.edgar-online.com/DisplayFiling.aspx?dcn=0001193125-11-130473 http://www.moodys.com/credit-ratings/General-Motors-Corporation-Old-credit-rating-316500 http://www.standardandpoors.com/prot/ratings/entity-ratings/en/us/?entityID=1169842&sectorCode=CORP
Valuation Steps Step 1 -Select the universe of Comparable Companies  Step 2 -Locate the necessary financial information Step 3 –Spread Key Statistics, Ratios, and Trading multiples Step 4 –Benchmark the Comparable Companies     & Determine Valuation
Financial profile Size  (sales, gross profit, EBITDA, EBIT, and net income) Profitability  (gross profit, EBITDA, EBIT, and net income margins) Growth Profile  (historical and estimated growth rates) Return on Investment  (ROIC, ROE, ROA, and dividend yield) Credit Profile  (leverage ratios, coverage ratios, and credit ratings)
Valuation Steps Step 1 -Select the universe of Comparable Companies  Step 2 -Locate the necessary financial information Step 3 –Spread Key Statistics, Ratios, and Trading multiples Step 4 –Benchmark the Comparable Companies     & Determine Valuation
PresentTense
After Deliberations…We’ve decided to Choose
Market Valuation Data collected  from recent) 10-K  and  consensus report
LTM Financial Statistics All in millions Data collected from recent 10-K(Annual Report)
Sales and Cross Profit
Sales and Cross Profit
EBIDA, EBIT and Net Income
LTM Profitability Margins Data collected from recent 10-K(Annual Report)
LTM Profitability Margins
Growth Rates Data collected from recent 10-K(Annual Report)
Return on Investment Data collected from recent 10-K(Annual Report)
Return on Investment GM is Here! Data collected from recent 10-K(Annual Report)
LTM Leverage Ratio Data collected from recent 10-K(Annual Report)
LTM Coverage Ratios Data collected from recent 10-K(Annual Report)
Credit Rating
Determine Valuation Companies in Auto sector tend to trade on the basis of forward EV/EBITDA multiples Choose the closest comparables Implied Valuation=    Multiple Range* Metric (which is EBITDA)
Trading Multiple
GM’s  Implied Valuation is All in millions
Compared With
GM’s  Implied Valuation is All in millions Enterprise Value From Yahoo! Finance is 25.74B
Conclusion ?
Interpretation of financials Application of Trading multiples
Group Members Jiali Zhang ZhiyangJia WenjiaoGu Shen Li
Thanks  For  Your  Attention!

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