Contenu connexe Similaire à John.scott (6) 1. NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
Going South
Lessons Learned from an Historic Project Failure
John H. Scott
Chief, Energy Conversion Branch
NASA Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center/EP3
Houston, TX 77058 USA
281.483.3136
John.h.scott@nasa.gov
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov Used with Permission 9 February 2010
2. NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
300
250
200
$B 150
2008
100
50
0
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
-14
-13
-12
-11
-10
-9
-8
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
Year
Project 1.0
SRR
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov 9 February 2010
3. NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
300
250
200 AAC
$B 150
2008
100
50
0
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
-14
-13
-12
-11
-10
-9
-8
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
Year
Project 0.1 Project 1.0
Complete SRR
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov 9 February 2010
4. NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
300
250
200 AAC EAC
$B 150
2008
100
50
0
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
-14
-13
-12
-11
-10
-9
-8
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
Year
Project 0.1 Project 1.0
Complete SRR
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov 9 February 2010
5. NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
300
AASW
250
200 AAC EAC
$B 150
2008
100 1.0
50
0
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
-14
-13
-12
-11
-10
-9
-8
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
Year
Project 0.1 Project 1.0 Project 1.0
Complete SRR Stop Work
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov 9 February 2010
6. NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
300
AASW
250
200 AAC EAC
$B EAC
150
2008
100 1.0
50
0
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
-14
-13
-12
-11
-10
-9
-8
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
Year
Project 0.1 Project 1.0 Project 1.0 Project 1.1
Complete SRR Stop Work ∆SRR
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov 9 February 2010
7. NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
300
AASW
250
200 AAC EAC
$B EAC
150 AAC
2008
100 1.0
1.1
50
0
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
-14
-13
-12
-11
-10
-9
-8
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
Year
Project 0.1 Project 1.0 Project 1.0 Project 1.1 Project 1.1
Complete SRR Stop Work ∆SRR Complete
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov 9 February 2010
8. NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
300
AASW
250
200 AAC EAC
$B 150 EAC
2008
AAC
100 1.0
50 1.1
0
1865
1866
1867
1868
1869
1870
1871
1872
1873
1874
1875
1876
1877
1878
1879
1880
1881
1882
1883
1884
1885
1886
1887
1888
1889
1890
1891
1892
1893
1894
1895
1896
1897
1898
1899
1900
1901
1902
1903
1904
1905
1906
1907
1908
1909
1910
1911
1912
1913
1914
1915
1916
Year
Project 0.1 Project 1.0 Project 1.0 Project 1.1 Project 1.1
Complete SRR Stop Work ∆SRR Complete
1879 1914
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov 9 February 2010
9. NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
300
AASW
250 US Flag
200 AAC EAC
$B 150 EAC
2008
AAC
100 1.0
50 1.1
0
1865
1866
1867
1868
1869
1870
1871
1872
1873
1874
1875
1876
1877
1878
1879
1880
1881
1882
1883
1884
1885
1886
1887
1888
1889
1890
1891
1892
1893
1894
1895
1896
1897
1898
1899
1900
1901
1902
1903
1904
1905
1906
1907
1908
1909
1910
1911
1912
1913
1914
1915
1916
Year
Project 0.1 Project 1.0 Project 1.0 Project 1.1 Project 1.1
Complete SRR Stop Work ∆SRR Complete
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov 9 February 2010
10. NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
300
AASW
250
200 AAC EAC
$B 150 EAC
2008
AAC
100 1.0
50 1.1
0
1865
1866
1867
1868
1869
1870
1871
1872
1873
1874
1875
1876
1877
1878
1879
1880
1881
1882
1883
1884
1885
1886
1887
1888
1889
1890
1891
1892
1893
1894
1895
1896
1897
1898
1899
1900
1901
1902
1903
1904
1905
1906
1907
1908
1909
1910
1911
1912
1913
1914
1915
1916
Year
Project 0.1 Project 1.0 Project 1.0 Project 1.1 Project 1.1
Complete SRR Stop Work ∆SRR Complete
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov 9 February 2010
11. NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
French Flag
300
AASW
250
200 AAC EAC
$B 150 EAC
2008
AAC
100 1.0
50 Panama Canal Authority 1.1
0
1865
1866
1867
1868
1869
1870
1871
1872
1873
1874
1875
1876
1877
1878
1879
1880
1881
1882
1883
1884
1885
1886
1887
1888
1889
1890
1891
1892
1893
1894
1895
1896
1897
1898
1899
1900
1901
1902
1903
1904
1905
1906
1907
1908
1909
1910
1911
1912
1913
1914
1915
1916
Year
Project 0.1 Project 1.0 Project 1.0 Project 1.1 Project 1.1
Complete SRR Stop Work ∆SRR Complete
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov 9 February 2010
12. NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
300
AASW
250
200 AAC EAC
$B 150 EAC
2008
AAC
100 1.0
50 1.1
0
1865
1866
1867
1868
1869
1870
1871
1872
1873
1874
1875
1876
1877
1878
1879
1880
1881
1882
1883
1884
1885
1886
1887
1888
1889
1890
1891
1892
1893
1894
1895
1896
1897
1898
1899
1900
1901
1902
1903
1904
1905
1906
1907
1908
1909
1910
1911
1912
1913
1914
1915
1916
Year
Project 0.1 Project 1.0 Project 1.0 Project 1.1 Project 1.1
Complete SRR Stop Work ∆SRR Complete
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov 9 February 2010
13. 0
50
100
150
200
250
Dec-77 300
Jan-78
Feb-78
Mar-78
Apr-78
May-78
Jun-78
Jul-78
Aug-78
Sep-78
Oct-78
Nov-78
Dec-78
Jan-79
Feb-79
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov
Mar-79
Apr-79
May-79
Paris
Jun-79
and SRR
May 1879
Jul-79
Architecture Committee Aug-79
Sep-79
Oct-79
Nov-79
Dec-79
Jan-80
Feb-80
Mar-80
Apr-80
May-80
Jun-80
Jul-80
Aug-80
Sep-80
9 February 2010
Oct-80
Nov-80
NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
14. NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
300
1869 Suez Canal
250 Project Office: Compagnie universelle du Canal maritime de Suez (Ferdinand de Lesseps)
Prime Contractor: Couvreux, Hersent et Cie
200
1856 EAC = Fr 162 M
1869 AAC = Fr 433 M (US$ 173 B 2008) Archives MAE
150 D/E at complete = 0.5
100
50
0
Dec-77
Oct-78
Dec-78
Oct-79
Dec-79
Oct-80
Mar-78
Mar-79
Mar-80
Jan-78
Feb-78
Sep-78
Jan-79
Feb-79
Sep-79
Jan-80
Feb-80
Sep-80
Jul-78
Jul-79
Jul-80
Nov-79
Apr-78
Nov-78
Nov-80
Jun-78
Apr-79
Jun-79
Apr-80
Jun-80
May-78
May-79
May-80
Aug-78
Aug-79
Aug-80
Architecture Committee
and SRR
U. S. Navy
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov 9 February 2010
15. NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
300
1869 Suez Canal
250 Project Office: Compagnie universelle du Canal maritime de Suez (Ferdinand de Lesseps)
Prime Contractor: Couvreux, Hersent et Cie
200
1856 EAC = Fr 162 M
1869 AAC = Fr 433 M (US$ 173 B 2008)
150 D/E at complete = 0.5
100 L’Ecole Polytechnique
“Pour la Patrie, les Sciences, et la Gloire”
50
0
Dec-77
Dec-78
Oct-78
Oct-79
Dec-79
Oct-80
Jan-78
Feb-78
Mar-78
Sep-78
Jan-79
Feb-79
Mar-79
Sep-79
Mar-80
Jan-80
Feb-80
Sep-80
Jul-78
Jul-79
Jul-80
Apr-78
Nov-78
Apr-79
Nov-79
Apr-80
Nov-80
Jun-78
Jun-79
Jun-80
May-78
May-79
May-80
Aug-78
Aug-79
Aug-80
Architecture Committee
and SRR
Ecole Polytechnique Ecole Polytechnique
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov 9 February 2010
16. NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
300
1869
250
Suez Canal
Project Office: Compagnie universelle du Canal
maritime de Suez (Ferdinand de Lesseps)
200 Prime Contractor: Couvreux, Hersent et Cie
1856 EAC = Fr 162 M
150 1869 AAC = Fr 433 M (US$ 173 B 2008)
D/E at complete = 0.5
100
…pour le bien de l’humanité
50 Fitzgerald ,The Great Canal at Suez, 1876
0
Dec-77
Dec-78
Oct-78
Oct-79
Dec-79
Oct-80
Jan-78
Feb-78
Mar-78
Sep-78
Mar-79
Mar-80
Jan-79
Feb-79
Sep-79
Jan-80
Feb-80
Sep-80
Jul-78
Jul-79
Jul-80
Apr-78
Nov-78
Apr-79
Nov-79
Apr-80
Nov-80
Jun-78
Jun-79
Jun-80
May-78
May-79
May-80
Aug-78
Aug-79
Aug-80
Architecture Committee
and SRR
Fitzgerald ,The Great Canal at Suez, 1876
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov 9 February 2010
17. NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
300
1869 Suez Canal
250
200
1871 La Débâcle
150
Sedan Paris Commune
100
50
0
Dec-77
Dec-78
Oct-78
Oct-79
Dec-79
Oct-80
Jan-78
Feb-78
Mar-78
Sep-78
Jan-79
Feb-79
Mar-79
Sep-79
Mar-80
Jan-80
Feb-80
Sep-80
Jul-78
Jul-79
Jul-80
Apr-78
Nov-78
Apr-79
Nov-79
Apr-80
Nov-80
Jun-78
Jun-79
Jun-80
May-78
May-79
May-80
Aug-78
Aug-79
Aug-80
M. Luce, Une rue de Paris (La Commune), 1871, Musée d’Orsay
Illustrated London News, 1871
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov 9 February 2010
18. NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
300
1869 Suez Canal
250
1871 La Débâcle
200
1873 Panic of 1873
150 “Panic….cleans up Wall Street”
100
50
0
Dec-77
Dec-78
Oct-78
Oct-79
Dec-79
Oct-80
Jan-78
Feb-78
Mar-78
Sep-78
Jan-79
Feb-79
Mar-79
Sep-79
Jan-80
Feb-80
Mar-80
Sep-80
Jul-78
Jul-79
Jul-80
Apr-78
Nov-78
Apr-79
Nov-79
Apr-80
Nov-80
Jun-78
Jun-79
Jun-80
May-78
May-79
May-80
Aug-78
Aug-79
Aug-80
Architecture Committee
and SRR
Bokelmann, Volksbank kurz von dem Krach, 1873
Bildarchiv Preußischer Kulturbesitz
Bellew, New York Daily Graphic,1873
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov 9 February 2010
19. NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
300
250
Paris Stock Exchange Index (CAC 40)
200
Suez Stock Index
Index Value
150
100
50
0
Dec-77
Dec-78
Oct-78
Oct-79
Dec-79
Oct-80
Jan-78
Feb-78
Mar-78
Sep-78
Jan-79
Feb-79
Mar-79
Sep-79
Jan-80
Feb-80
Mar-80
Sep-80
Jul-78
Jul-79
Jul-80
Apr-78
Nov-78
Apr-79
Nov-79
Apr-80
Nov-80
Jun-78
Jun-79
Jun-80
May-78
May-79
May-80
Aug-78
Aug-79
Aug-80
Degas, Portraits à la Bourse, 1879, Musée d’Orsay
Architecture Committee
and SRR
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov 9 February 2010
20. NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
300
250
Paris Stock Exchange Index (CAC 40)
200
Suez Stock Index
Index Value
150
100
50
0
Dec-77
Dec-78
Oct-78
Oct-79
Dec-79
Oct-80
Jan-78
Feb-78
Mar-78
Sep-78
Jan-79
Feb-79
Mar-79
Sep-79
Jan-80
Feb-80
Mar-80
Sep-80
Jul-78
Jul-79
Jul-80
Apr-78
Nov-78
Apr-79
Nov-79
Apr-80
Nov-80
Jun-78
Jun-79
Jun-80
May-78
May-79
May-80
Aug-78
Aug-79
Aug-80
Architecture Committee
and SRR
Congès Int., Compte Rendu, 1879
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov 9 February 2010
21. NASA Project Management Challenge 2010
300
250
Paris Stock Exchange Index (CAC 40)
200
Suez Stock Index
Index Value
150
100
50
0
Dec-77
Dec-78
Oct-78
Oct-79
Dec-79
Oct-80
Jan-78
Feb-78
Mar-78
Sep-78
Jan-79
Feb-79
Mar-79
Sep-79
Jan-80
Feb-80
Mar-80
Sep-80
Jul-78
Jul-79
Jul-80
Apr-78
Nov-78
Apr-79
Nov-79
Apr-80
Nov-80
Jun-78
Jun-79
Jun-80
May-78
May-79
May-80
Aug-78
Aug-79
Aug-80
Architecture Committee
and SRR
Congès Int., Compte Rendu, 1879
John H. Scott NASA/JSC/EP3 Houston TX 77058 USA, (281) 483-3136, john.h.scott@nasa.gov 9 February 2010
