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Putting Affordability into Context
      – Policy Considerations

           National Academy for State Health Policy
                    June 20, 2011 Webinar

                   Genevieve Kenney, Senior Fellow
                         The Urban Institute



URBAN INSTITUTE
Income Needed for a Family of Four to Have
  Purchasing Power Equal to 200 Percent of the FPL
             Varies Across the Country




   Source: Kenney, G. and Pelletier, P. “Setting Income Thresholds in Medicaid/SCHIP: Which Children Should Be Eligible?”
   Washington, DC: The Urban Institute. January 2009.

URBAN INSTITUTE
Percent of Households That Do Not Have Room in
Budget for Health Care Varies by Income and Out of
                   Pocket Costs




   Source: Gruber, J. and Perry, I. “Realizing Health Reform’s Potential: Will the Affordable Care Act Make Health Insurance
   Affordable?” Washington, DC: The Commonwealth Fund. April 2011.
URBAN INSTITUTE
Massachusetts Reform Experience
• Of those uninsured part of 2008 in Massachusetts (155,390 tax
  filers):
   – Roughly 17% were deemed able to afford health insurance for the
       period they were uninsured.
   – 32% reported being uninsured for less than 3 months.
   – 30% reported income below 150% FPL.
   – 15% were deemed unable to afford health insurance.
• Of those uninsured all of 2008 in Massachusetts (140,208 tax
  filers):
   – Roughly 19% were deemed able to afford health insurance.
   – 63% reported income below 150% FPL.
   – 15% were deemed unable to afford health insurance.
  Source: Massachusetts Department of Revenue. “Individual Mandate: 2008 Preliminary Data Analysis.” Report from
  Massachusetts Department of Revenue. December 2009.

URBAN INSTITUTE
Children Facing Potentially Complex
            Coverage Situations




            Notes: The total number of children facing complex coverage situations will be smaller than the sum of the three
            categories shown as children can fall into multiple categories.

            Source: McMorrow, S.; Kenney, G.; Coyer, C. “Addressing Coverage Challenges for Children Under the
            Affordable Care Act.”Washington, DC: The Urban Institute. May 2011.



URBAN INSTITUTE
Among States with Premiums and Enrollment Fees in
      Children’s Health Coverage Programs; Median Premiums at
                Specified Income Levels, January 2011




Source: Heberlein, M; Brooks, T.; Guyer, J.; Artiga, S.; and Stephens, J. “Holding Steady, Looking Ahead: Annual Findings of a 50-State Survey of
Eligibility Rules, Enrollment and Renewal Procedures, and Cost-Sharing Practices in Medicaid and CHIP, 2010-2011.” Washington, DC: Kaiser
Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured. January 2011.

  URBAN INSTITUTE
Actuarial Value for Children in 12 State CHIP
              Programs in 2010 at 225% FPL




                         Indicates actuarial value of ACA exchange plan after cost-sharing subsidy adjustment

Source: Watson Wyatt Worldwise. “Actuarial Study: Implications of Health Care Reform for Children Currently
Enrolled in CHIP Programs.” September 25th, 2009.
URBAN INSTITUTE
Reconciliation Policies
•   The ACA allows families to receive subsidies as an advance payment,
    preventing families from bearing the full cost of premium payments up
    front.
     – At tax filing, if verified income differs from that which was used to
        determine advance subsidy payments, a portion of the advanced
        payment may have to be returned.

•   Repayments are capped at different amounts for different income levels,
    ranging from $600 for a family below 200% FPL to $3,500 for a family at
    500% FPL. Beyond 500% FPL, the full difference must be repaid.
     – Income can vary greatly from year to year, and the risk of having to
        pay back subsidies in a lump sum could discourage participation in the
        exchanges.

URBAN INSTITUTE
Private Premiums for Families have historically
      Grown Much Faster Than the Poverty Level




       Note: This data represents the cumulative growth in employee premium contributions for employer-sponsored family coverage
       and the federal poverty level for a family of three.
       Source: Mann, C. and Odeh, M. “The Growing Health Insurance Affordability Gap For Children and Families.” Washington, DC:
       The Center for Children and Families. October 2007.

URBAN INSTITUTE
Changes in the Total ESI Premium for Family
     Coverage Relative to the Federal Poverty Level




          Note: Share of income evaluated for families earning exactly 200% and exactly 300% of the FPL.

          Source: Kenney, G. and Pelletier, P. “Setting Income Thresholds in Medicaid/SCHIP: Which Children
          Should Be Eligible?” Washington, DC: The Urban Institute. January 2009.

URBAN INSTITUTE
Coverage may grow less
                  affordable
• Subsidies limit premium contributions to a specified percentage of
  income, on a sliding scale based on income level, starting in 2014.

     – Premium contributions by individuals will increase annually
       between 2014-2018 to reflect the excess of premium growth over
       the rate of income growth.

• Cost-Sharing subsidies are designed to increase the actuarial value of
  health plans to a specified level for various income tiers. With this
  structure, cost-sharing burdens on individuals will represent a growing
  percentage of income if health care cost growth exceeds income
  growth.

URBAN INSTITUTE
Policies that could affect
           Affordability for families
• Subsidies available for child only policies

• Subsidies for families that need to obtain coverage
  from multiple places

• How subsidy eligibility is defined for family coverage

• Whether and how states use Basic Health Plan Option

URBAN INSTITUTE
Policies that could affect
                     Affordability
• Federal funds available to support CHIP and MOE

• Those that lower repayment risk (e.g., related to
  subsidy determination, continuous eligibility etc.)

• Key to identify and adopt policies/programmatic
  changes that reduce rate of growth of health care
  costs to be more consistent with GDP growth

   URBAN INSTITUTE

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Putting Affordability into Context--Policy Considerations by Genevieve Kenney, Senior Fellow and Economist, Urban Institute

  • 1. Putting Affordability into Context – Policy Considerations National Academy for State Health Policy June 20, 2011 Webinar Genevieve Kenney, Senior Fellow The Urban Institute URBAN INSTITUTE
  • 2. Income Needed for a Family of Four to Have Purchasing Power Equal to 200 Percent of the FPL Varies Across the Country Source: Kenney, G. and Pelletier, P. “Setting Income Thresholds in Medicaid/SCHIP: Which Children Should Be Eligible?” Washington, DC: The Urban Institute. January 2009. URBAN INSTITUTE
  • 3. Percent of Households That Do Not Have Room in Budget for Health Care Varies by Income and Out of Pocket Costs Source: Gruber, J. and Perry, I. “Realizing Health Reform’s Potential: Will the Affordable Care Act Make Health Insurance Affordable?” Washington, DC: The Commonwealth Fund. April 2011. URBAN INSTITUTE
  • 4. Massachusetts Reform Experience • Of those uninsured part of 2008 in Massachusetts (155,390 tax filers): – Roughly 17% were deemed able to afford health insurance for the period they were uninsured. – 32% reported being uninsured for less than 3 months. – 30% reported income below 150% FPL. – 15% were deemed unable to afford health insurance. • Of those uninsured all of 2008 in Massachusetts (140,208 tax filers): – Roughly 19% were deemed able to afford health insurance. – 63% reported income below 150% FPL. – 15% were deemed unable to afford health insurance. Source: Massachusetts Department of Revenue. “Individual Mandate: 2008 Preliminary Data Analysis.” Report from Massachusetts Department of Revenue. December 2009. URBAN INSTITUTE
  • 5. Children Facing Potentially Complex Coverage Situations Notes: The total number of children facing complex coverage situations will be smaller than the sum of the three categories shown as children can fall into multiple categories. Source: McMorrow, S.; Kenney, G.; Coyer, C. “Addressing Coverage Challenges for Children Under the Affordable Care Act.”Washington, DC: The Urban Institute. May 2011. URBAN INSTITUTE
  • 6. Among States with Premiums and Enrollment Fees in Children’s Health Coverage Programs; Median Premiums at Specified Income Levels, January 2011 Source: Heberlein, M; Brooks, T.; Guyer, J.; Artiga, S.; and Stephens, J. “Holding Steady, Looking Ahead: Annual Findings of a 50-State Survey of Eligibility Rules, Enrollment and Renewal Procedures, and Cost-Sharing Practices in Medicaid and CHIP, 2010-2011.” Washington, DC: Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured. January 2011. URBAN INSTITUTE
  • 7. Actuarial Value for Children in 12 State CHIP Programs in 2010 at 225% FPL Indicates actuarial value of ACA exchange plan after cost-sharing subsidy adjustment Source: Watson Wyatt Worldwise. “Actuarial Study: Implications of Health Care Reform for Children Currently Enrolled in CHIP Programs.” September 25th, 2009. URBAN INSTITUTE
  • 8. Reconciliation Policies • The ACA allows families to receive subsidies as an advance payment, preventing families from bearing the full cost of premium payments up front. – At tax filing, if verified income differs from that which was used to determine advance subsidy payments, a portion of the advanced payment may have to be returned. • Repayments are capped at different amounts for different income levels, ranging from $600 for a family below 200% FPL to $3,500 for a family at 500% FPL. Beyond 500% FPL, the full difference must be repaid. – Income can vary greatly from year to year, and the risk of having to pay back subsidies in a lump sum could discourage participation in the exchanges. URBAN INSTITUTE
  • 9. Private Premiums for Families have historically Grown Much Faster Than the Poverty Level Note: This data represents the cumulative growth in employee premium contributions for employer-sponsored family coverage and the federal poverty level for a family of three. Source: Mann, C. and Odeh, M. “The Growing Health Insurance Affordability Gap For Children and Families.” Washington, DC: The Center for Children and Families. October 2007. URBAN INSTITUTE
  • 10. Changes in the Total ESI Premium for Family Coverage Relative to the Federal Poverty Level Note: Share of income evaluated for families earning exactly 200% and exactly 300% of the FPL. Source: Kenney, G. and Pelletier, P. “Setting Income Thresholds in Medicaid/SCHIP: Which Children Should Be Eligible?” Washington, DC: The Urban Institute. January 2009. URBAN INSTITUTE
  • 11. Coverage may grow less affordable • Subsidies limit premium contributions to a specified percentage of income, on a sliding scale based on income level, starting in 2014. – Premium contributions by individuals will increase annually between 2014-2018 to reflect the excess of premium growth over the rate of income growth. • Cost-Sharing subsidies are designed to increase the actuarial value of health plans to a specified level for various income tiers. With this structure, cost-sharing burdens on individuals will represent a growing percentage of income if health care cost growth exceeds income growth. URBAN INSTITUTE
  • 12. Policies that could affect Affordability for families • Subsidies available for child only policies • Subsidies for families that need to obtain coverage from multiple places • How subsidy eligibility is defined for family coverage • Whether and how states use Basic Health Plan Option URBAN INSTITUTE
  • 13. Policies that could affect Affordability • Federal funds available to support CHIP and MOE • Those that lower repayment risk (e.g., related to subsidy determination, continuous eligibility etc.) • Key to identify and adopt policies/programmatic changes that reduce rate of growth of health care costs to be more consistent with GDP growth URBAN INSTITUTE