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Energy Efficiency and
        Energy Use

             Nico Beute
           Energy Institute
Cape Peninsula University of Technology



 National Foundry Technology Network
             7 April 2011
Overview
• Global Energy Issues and Energy
  sources
• The South African Energy Situation
• Why must we be Energy conscious
• Who must do what
• Conclusion
Yearly Solar Power from sun and
  human energy consumption

• Solar 3 850 000 EJ (Exa Joules = 1018 J)
    –   solar energy per m2 = a bit more than 1 kW


•   Wind                          2 250 EJ
•   Biomass                       3 000 EJ
•   Primary energy use (2005)     487 EJ
•   Electricity (2005)            57 EJ
Oil Production in non OPEC non Soviet Union Countries
Energy supply and demand : SA
       Geothermal, Combustible
        Solar, etc. Renewables
         0.07%       and Waste
 Hydro                10.02%
 0.14%

Nuclear
2.19%                                                                                Coal
                                                                 Electricity
                                                                                    23.44%
                                                                  26.57%
 Gas      Crude Oil                               Combustible
2.70%      16.50%                                 Renewables
                         Coal                      and Waste
                                                    15.36%                         Petroleum
                        68.39%                                                      Products
                                                                                    31.71%
                                                          Gas
                                                         2.91%

                       IEA, Energy Balance 2005                                IEA, Energy Balance 2005
Total=134.4 Mtoe                                       Total=64.2 Mtoe


Total Primary Energy Supply                           Total Final Energy Consumption
                                                                                                    5
Energy Consumption per capita


     USA



                        RSA
            China
                India
Energy intensity of selected countries
           Japan
              UK                                                         2005
             Italy
        Germany
          France
          U.S.A.
        Australia
       Singapore
         Taiwan
           Korea
         Canada
          Africa
            India
     Middle East
       Indonesia
     South Africa
           China
       F.U.S.S.R
                     0   10      20     30       40    50      60   70          80
                              000’s BTU intensityGDP
                                  Energy / US$ (Thousand Btu/USD)
Source: EDMC, 2008
                                                                                     7
Maximum Demand
  1988 to 2008




                           25%
                                 Average increase app. 3.5%
          1993 First DUE          Nearly doubles in 20 years
          Reserve Margin
               36%
Defining the Problem
                                  MYPD2                                           Additional
                                                           Quantification of the Energy Gap                              Contingencies
300                                                                                      300




290                                                                                      290


                  Demand: Reference
                                                                         285.08
                                                                                                           Demand: Reference                       279.75
280                                                                                      280

                                                            273.17                                                                        273.17
                                                                         279.75
270                                                                 270.06               270
                                          265.44                                                                          265.44
                                                                                                                                                   270.31
                       258.58                                                                                258.58
260                                                                                      260
             250.42                               259.87                                          250.42
                               258.58
                                                                                                                                          258.63
                                                                                                            Additional Buffer
                                                                                         250
250
             254.92                                           Supply:                             249.69
                                                                                                             252.25       250.86         Supply:
                                                            84% EAF                                                                84% EAF Delay
240                                                                                      240
                                                                                               2010




                                                                                                               2011




                                                                                                                           2012




                                                                                                                                           2013




                                                                                                                                                        2014
      2010




                                           2012




                                                                                  2014
                        2011




                                                             2013




                                                                                  Initial
                2010    2011            2012       2013     2014                                       2010       2011   2012      2013    2014
                                                                                   Gap
                -4.5     0               5.6        3.1     -5.3                                       -4.3        1.3    9.6       9.5     4.4   Gap
                                                                                  (TWh)                 0.7        6.3   14.6      14.5     9.4 + Buffer

                                                                                                                                                            9
Present Condition in South Africa
                                       Various Scenarios
                                for growth and supply capacity
                                              GAP
             DEMAND                                                        SUPPLY
        ► Mitigation Plan                                   ►Build Plan        ►Mitigation Plan
             • DSM                                              • RTS          - Co-generation
             • DMP                                              • Medupi       - Imports
                                                                • Ingula       - Self generation
                                                                • OCGT         - Standby generation
                                                                • CCGT         - Independent Power
If Demand + Reserve Margin > Supply                                              Producers (IPPs)
(Demand includes capacity & energy)



                             DEMAND REDUCTION OPTIONS
                              Load shedding
                              Rolling blackouts
                              Prioritisation of new load
                              Intensified Demand Side Management
                              Power rationing
                              Dramatically increase Notified Maximum Demand penalties
Strategies
       Short Term                    Long Term
• Energy Efficiency            • Energy Efficiency
    – Demand-side Management
                                  – Demand Side Management
• Power Conservation
• Co-generation                • Renewable Energy
• Outages                         – Biofuel
                                    Biomass
                                    Geothermal
                                    Hydroelectricity
     Medium Term                    Tidal power
                                    Wave power
                                    Wind power
• Build Conventional
  Power Plants
The 3 E`s

Energy and    Energy and    Environment and
              Environment
Technology                  Natural Resources

                3E`s
        Energy
        and            Environment
        Economics      and Economics



             Economics




                                                12
ANOTHER E

ENERGY SECURITY
System Saving Opportunity
• Both markets and policymakers tend to
  focus on equipment within systems, which
  typically offer 2-10% efficiency
  improvement potential
• The optimal design integration of systems
  as a whole offers 20-50% efficiency
  improvement potential
• Large savings opportunities exist for motor
  driven and steam systems
Demand Side Management
• DSM is a process whereby the supplier
  attempts to influence the consumer in their
  level and pattern of use of energy.

 Types of DSM include:
  – Load shift
  – Energy Efficiency
  – Strategic Energy Conservation
Objectives of DSM
• To provide cost effective energy and
  generating capacity resources
• Enhance Customer Service
• Environmental issues
  – Energy Efficiency
     • Reduction of Carbon emission
     • Depletion of energy resources
  – Use renewable energy
COST OF POWER CAPACITY
   Power source          Cost in R/kW to
                         build/subsidise

Open Cycle Gas Turbine         5 000
Coal-fired (Medupi)           17 333
Nuclear                       33 333
DSM subsidies :                3 500
Are we successful in our efforts to
 Reduce Energy Consumption?

   Some statistics from an IEA report:
           Worldwide Trends in
        Energy Use and Efficiency
 Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis
                  2008
Long term Energy Efficiency Improvements
TOWARDS ENERGY MANAGEMENT
        STANDARDS

 MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS AND STANDARDS
FOR ENERGY (MSSE) WILL SUPPORT GLOBAL
 AND NATIONAL COMMITMENT TO ENERGY
  EFFICIENCY AND RENEWABLE ENERGY?
WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK
               (IEA)       REFERENCE
                           SCENARIO


     150%



                   ALTERNATIVE
     100%          POLICY
                   SCENARIO
CARBON
EMISSIONS
(ENERGY
RELATED)




            2004          2030         2050
LESS THAN 40% OF PRIMARY ENERGY ENDS
        UP DOING USEFUL WORK




 Quelle: BWK Bd. 58 (2006) Nr. 1/2



                                     23
Visualize the Big Picture

                   Power plant losses
                          70%
                                                          Motor
                                                          losses
                                    Transmission and         10%
                                    Distribution losses            Drivetrain
Fuel Input = 100




                                            9%                     losses
                                                                   2%
                                                                    Pump losses 25%
                                                                     Throttle losses
                                                                         30%
                                                                     Pipe losses
                                                                         20%

                                                                         9.5 units of
                                                                         energy
                                                                         output.
Example: Throttle-/speed
    control of a pump system
             Controlled by a throttle valve                                               Speed controlled




                                                                 Savings potential: 44%

Quelle: „Energiesparen mit elektrischen Antrieben“, ZVEI, 1999


                                                                                                             25
MANAGEMENT BARRIERS TO
IMPLEMENTATION OF ENERGY EFFICIENCY
   •lack of management commitment to provide resources for
   energy efficiency,

   •lack of awareness and workforce engagement in achievement
   of the cost- effective savings potential,

   •lack of skills and competence to continuously improve energy
   performance,

   • split incentives and lack of life cycle cost optimization e.g.
   those who procure energy using systems have different
   incentives to those who pay for the energy,

   •the fact that energy efficiency is often a minor determinant of
   capital-acquisition decisions and is bundled-in with more
   important decision factors.
TECHNICAL BARRIERS TO IMPLEMENTATION
            OF ENERGY EFFICIENCY

•   lack of user-friendly information on best practices for energy efficiency,

•   missing or partial information on energy efficiency performance,

•   lack of common metrics (key performance indicators),

• lack of consideration of system and process energy efficiency optimization
issues,



•   lack of harmonized calculation methods
THE CONTINUOUS ENERGY
                IMPROVEMENT CYCLE

                                                                           ACT   PLAN
    Summary Information
                                                         Management
              Exception Reports & Budget


                      Control
                                           Supervisors                DO
                    Information
   Data
Collection &              Operator &
 Analysis                 Maintenance          CHECK

                                                              “People in the
    Measure




                                                            (feedback) loop”
                              Action




                Energy Consuming System
Assessing the Organisation

                Six energy
               management
                 functions




            Five Levels of
             development

                             An organisational
                                  profile
CONCLUSION
TECHNOLOGY ALONE WILL NOT CUT IT!

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Beute nftn seminar

  • 1. Energy Efficiency and Energy Use Nico Beute Energy Institute Cape Peninsula University of Technology National Foundry Technology Network 7 April 2011
  • 2. Overview • Global Energy Issues and Energy sources • The South African Energy Situation • Why must we be Energy conscious • Who must do what • Conclusion
  • 3. Yearly Solar Power from sun and human energy consumption • Solar 3 850 000 EJ (Exa Joules = 1018 J) – solar energy per m2 = a bit more than 1 kW • Wind 2 250 EJ • Biomass 3 000 EJ • Primary energy use (2005) 487 EJ • Electricity (2005) 57 EJ
  • 4. Oil Production in non OPEC non Soviet Union Countries
  • 5. Energy supply and demand : SA Geothermal, Combustible Solar, etc. Renewables 0.07% and Waste Hydro 10.02% 0.14% Nuclear 2.19% Coal Electricity 23.44% 26.57% Gas Crude Oil Combustible 2.70% 16.50% Renewables Coal and Waste 15.36% Petroleum 68.39% Products 31.71% Gas 2.91% IEA, Energy Balance 2005 IEA, Energy Balance 2005 Total=134.4 Mtoe Total=64.2 Mtoe Total Primary Energy Supply Total Final Energy Consumption 5
  • 6. Energy Consumption per capita USA RSA China India
  • 7. Energy intensity of selected countries Japan UK 2005 Italy Germany France U.S.A. Australia Singapore Taiwan Korea Canada Africa India Middle East Indonesia South Africa China F.U.S.S.R 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 000’s BTU intensityGDP Energy / US$ (Thousand Btu/USD) Source: EDMC, 2008 7
  • 8. Maximum Demand 1988 to 2008 25% Average increase app. 3.5% 1993 First DUE Nearly doubles in 20 years Reserve Margin 36%
  • 9. Defining the Problem MYPD2 Additional Quantification of the Energy Gap Contingencies 300 300 290 290 Demand: Reference 285.08 Demand: Reference 279.75 280 280 273.17 273.17 279.75 270 270.06 270 265.44 265.44 270.31 258.58 258.58 260 260 250.42 259.87 250.42 258.58 258.63 Additional Buffer 250 250 254.92 Supply: 249.69 252.25 250.86 Supply: 84% EAF 84% EAF Delay 240 240 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2012 2014 2011 2013 Initial 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Gap -4.5 0 5.6 3.1 -5.3 -4.3 1.3 9.6 9.5 4.4 Gap (TWh) 0.7 6.3 14.6 14.5 9.4 + Buffer 9
  • 10. Present Condition in South Africa Various Scenarios for growth and supply capacity GAP DEMAND SUPPLY ► Mitigation Plan ►Build Plan ►Mitigation Plan • DSM • RTS - Co-generation • DMP • Medupi - Imports • Ingula - Self generation • OCGT - Standby generation • CCGT - Independent Power If Demand + Reserve Margin > Supply Producers (IPPs) (Demand includes capacity & energy) DEMAND REDUCTION OPTIONS  Load shedding  Rolling blackouts  Prioritisation of new load  Intensified Demand Side Management  Power rationing  Dramatically increase Notified Maximum Demand penalties
  • 11. Strategies Short Term Long Term • Energy Efficiency • Energy Efficiency – Demand-side Management – Demand Side Management • Power Conservation • Co-generation • Renewable Energy • Outages – Biofuel Biomass Geothermal Hydroelectricity Medium Term Tidal power Wave power Wind power • Build Conventional Power Plants
  • 12. The 3 E`s Energy and Energy and Environment and Environment Technology Natural Resources 3E`s Energy and Environment Economics and Economics Economics 12
  • 14.
  • 15. System Saving Opportunity • Both markets and policymakers tend to focus on equipment within systems, which typically offer 2-10% efficiency improvement potential • The optimal design integration of systems as a whole offers 20-50% efficiency improvement potential • Large savings opportunities exist for motor driven and steam systems
  • 16. Demand Side Management • DSM is a process whereby the supplier attempts to influence the consumer in their level and pattern of use of energy. Types of DSM include: – Load shift – Energy Efficiency – Strategic Energy Conservation
  • 17. Objectives of DSM • To provide cost effective energy and generating capacity resources • Enhance Customer Service • Environmental issues – Energy Efficiency • Reduction of Carbon emission • Depletion of energy resources – Use renewable energy
  • 18. COST OF POWER CAPACITY Power source Cost in R/kW to build/subsidise Open Cycle Gas Turbine 5 000 Coal-fired (Medupi) 17 333 Nuclear 33 333 DSM subsidies : 3 500
  • 19. Are we successful in our efforts to Reduce Energy Consumption? Some statistics from an IEA report: Worldwide Trends in Energy Use and Efficiency Key Insights from IEA Indicator Analysis 2008
  • 20. Long term Energy Efficiency Improvements
  • 21. TOWARDS ENERGY MANAGEMENT STANDARDS MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS AND STANDARDS FOR ENERGY (MSSE) WILL SUPPORT GLOBAL AND NATIONAL COMMITMENT TO ENERGY EFFICIENCY AND RENEWABLE ENERGY?
  • 22. WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK (IEA) REFERENCE SCENARIO 150% ALTERNATIVE 100% POLICY SCENARIO CARBON EMISSIONS (ENERGY RELATED) 2004 2030 2050
  • 23. LESS THAN 40% OF PRIMARY ENERGY ENDS UP DOING USEFUL WORK Quelle: BWK Bd. 58 (2006) Nr. 1/2 23
  • 24. Visualize the Big Picture Power plant losses 70% Motor losses Transmission and 10% Distribution losses Drivetrain Fuel Input = 100 9% losses 2% Pump losses 25% Throttle losses 30% Pipe losses 20% 9.5 units of energy output.
  • 25. Example: Throttle-/speed control of a pump system Controlled by a throttle valve Speed controlled Savings potential: 44% Quelle: „Energiesparen mit elektrischen Antrieben“, ZVEI, 1999 25
  • 26. MANAGEMENT BARRIERS TO IMPLEMENTATION OF ENERGY EFFICIENCY •lack of management commitment to provide resources for energy efficiency, •lack of awareness and workforce engagement in achievement of the cost- effective savings potential, •lack of skills and competence to continuously improve energy performance, • split incentives and lack of life cycle cost optimization e.g. those who procure energy using systems have different incentives to those who pay for the energy, •the fact that energy efficiency is often a minor determinant of capital-acquisition decisions and is bundled-in with more important decision factors.
  • 27. TECHNICAL BARRIERS TO IMPLEMENTATION OF ENERGY EFFICIENCY • lack of user-friendly information on best practices for energy efficiency, • missing or partial information on energy efficiency performance, • lack of common metrics (key performance indicators), • lack of consideration of system and process energy efficiency optimization issues, • lack of harmonized calculation methods
  • 28. THE CONTINUOUS ENERGY IMPROVEMENT CYCLE ACT PLAN Summary Information Management Exception Reports & Budget Control Supervisors DO Information Data Collection & Operator & Analysis Maintenance CHECK “People in the Measure (feedback) loop” Action Energy Consuming System
  • 29.
  • 30. Assessing the Organisation Six energy management functions Five Levels of development An organisational profile