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Successfully Transforming Your Business
                                        ….The End to End Demand-driven Value Network
                                              “The Business Operating Strategy”

                               Is Your Business Planning and Supply Chain Strategy

                                                                        An Emerging Market View


                                                                         Roddy Martin
                                                                            Vice President
                                                                          & Research Fellow




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<docname>_<date>_<author>                                               AMR Research
Agenda – Scope

• A View Of Supply Chain Strategies In Emerging
  Markets
• The Same Fundamentals & Core Capabilities As
  Developed Markets
• But, With …………Added Complexity Of Logistics,
  Culture, Change Leadership, & Governance.
• Understanding Segmentation Is The Key!




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Functional Fragmentation - Disjointed End to End Collaboration




                                                             Demand                           Supply
                                                                                                 Traditional
                                                                                                Definition of
                                                                          Collaboration         Supply Chain
                                                                          & Innovation          Management
                                            customer                                                            supplier
                                                                           Capabilities       & Manufacturing

                                                                              ?



                                                                          Product


                                                                                     design
                                                                                    partner




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Reality …Traditional “Supply Chains” Lack Alignment Process & Visibility


                      Suppliers                                     Manufacturers          Distributors          Customers    Consumers
                      Partners                                      Assemblers             Wholesalers                        Users; Buyers

  New Product or Service
  Merges to the Base
  Supply Process



                                                                                     Manufacturer
                                                                                                                  Customers
                                                                                      Programs                    Patients
                                             Suppliers                    Materials               Distribution    Consumers
                                                                                    Manufacturing &                              Risk
                Risk                                                       Mgmt
                                                                                     (Make-Pack) Distributors
                                                  Risk                    Risk         Risk        Risk              Risk




                                                                          “Inside-Out”
                                                                               “Integration”


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                                                                    P & G “Starting” Point
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Disconnected Supply Chain Capabilities
Processes & IT Deployed in Silos Across the Value Chain
                                                                           “Forecast”

                                                                                                      Focus on
                                                                                                       supply



                                                                                        ERP..+       Product
                                                                    CRM   Demand
                                                                                                       Supply
    Demand
    Actual




                              React
                                                                                                     Ma
                                                                                                       nu
                                                                                                            fa




                                                                                                 s
                                                                                                               ct




                                                                                               ut
                                                                                                                  u   rin




                                                                                             p
                                                                                          In
                                                                                                                         g




                                                                                          DL
                                                                                        NP
                                                                            PLM…

                                                                                   Product


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Transformation of the Supply Chain




                                                                               Wholesale
      Suppliers                                         Manufacturers                            Retailers              Customer
                                                                               Distributors


         China
        Supplier                                                               Wholesale
                                                                               Distributors
                                                                                               Logistics
                                                                   Suppliers                   Providers

                              Inbound
                              Logistics
                                                                                You Corp                     Customer
                                                                                                Store



                                                               Contract                       Sales
                                                             Manufactures
      European                                                                 Logistics                         Information Flows
      Supplier                                                                 Providers                          Goods Flow



  © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
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  <docname>_<date>_<author>
What has Given Rise to this Issue?
     Source: Kraft Foods, AMR Research Conference June 2009



      Sales Point                                                         DC         Manufacturer DC     Plant




                                                                                                                     Demand
                                                                                                                      Signal



                                                                                                                     Accurate
                                                                                                         Almost       Weekly
              Trivial                                                 Easy               Difficult
                                                                                                       Impossible   Forecasting
                                                                                                                       is ...

                                                                                                                    Delay from
             Instant                                            3-10 Days              10-20 Days      20-50 Days   Purchase to
                                                                                                                      Signal


                                                                               Bullwhip Effect
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                                                                                        ‹#›
  4/29/2010
Traditional Supply Chain is Giving Way…

                                                                        Top 25 versus all other companies



                                                                                                            -1



                                                                                                            +4



                                                                                                            +1




    Top 25 n=9, All n=198
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<docname>_<date>_<author>
                                                                                      ‹#›
4/29/2010
…to Value Chain
                                                                        Top 25 versus all other companies


                                                                                                            +13



                                                                                                            +8



                                                                                                             +15




                                                                                                             +36



    Top 25 n=9, All n=198
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                                                                                    ‹#›
4/29/2010
Leveraging Operations AND Innovation Maturity…

                                                                                                      Higher                 •Operations Strategy
                                                       Supply                                  cash flow, profits, p/e       •Reduced Complexity
                                                       Driven                                                                •Leadership and Portfolio Governance
                                                                                                                             •Integrated CI Teams & Processes
               Leader                                                                                                        •Develop For ….
                                                                                                   Winners:                  …………Total User Experience & Value
Operational Excellence




                                                                                                                             •Learning Organization
                                                                                                  P&G, Apple,                •Enabling Technology
                         (Perfect Order, Cycle Times




                                                                                                                             •Network Based Joint Value Creation
                          Total Supply Chain Cost)




                                                                                                                             •Outside –in focus on buyer
                                                                                                                             •Continuous Business Strategy translation
                                                                                                                             •Portfolio of Strategic Priorities
                                                                                                                             •Demand-driven Product Supply Strategy
                                                                                                                             •Building usage insights into innovation




                                                                D               Losers
                                                          Disconnected
                                                           S             P                                                  Product
                         Laggard
                                                                                                                            Innovation
                                                                                                                            Driven
                                                          Laggard           Innovation Excellence                  Leader
                                                                              (Time to Value, Return on R&D)
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                                                                                                 ‹#›
                   4/29/2010
Reality …Traditional Supply Chains Lack Process & Visibility


                      Suppliers                                     Manufacturers           Distributors          Customers    Consumers
                      Partners                                      Assemblers              Wholesalers                        Users; Buyers

  New Product or Service
  Merges to the Base
  Supply Process



                                                                                      Manufacturer
                                                                                                                   Customers
                                                                                       Programs                    Patients
                                             Suppliers                     Materials               Distribution    Consumers
                                                                                     Manufacturing &                              Risk
                Risk                                                        Mgmt
                                                                                      (Make-Pack) Distributors
                                                  Risk                     Risk         Risk        Risk              Risk




                                                                          “ IT Driven Data Integration”



                                                              End to End Business Process Architecture
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Functional Fragmentation- Disjointed End to End Planning….”Not Unique”

                                                                           Global Business & Operations

                                                                                                                                            Sites


                                                                          Customers    Corporate
                                                                                          IT               Core
                                                                                                                             Supply
                                                                                                                                 Traditional
                                                                                                           “BPM”

                              Demand                                                         Collaboration
                                                                                             & Innovation
                                                                                                                                Definition of
                                                                                                                                Supply Chain
                                                                                                                                Management
                                                                                             Capabilities…
                                                                                            Asynchronized                     & Manufacturing
                          Customers                                       IT               Business Planning
                                                                                             & Execution                                        Suppliers
                                                                                                                             IT
                                               Segments
                                                                                            Org Design –
                                                                                       Change Leadership Roles




                                                                                      Product                    Portfolio




                                                                                      IT

                                                                                                       Partners



      NOT – a traditional supply chain improvement project
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Transformation of the Supply Chain…………Collapsing Roles




                                                                               Wholesale
      Suppliers                                         Manufacturers                             Retailers              Customer
                                                                               Distributors


  China
 Supplier                                                                      Wholesale
                                                                               Distributors
                                                                   Suppliers                  Logistics
                                                                                              Providers
                              Inbound
                              Logistics
                                                                                You Corp                      Customer
                                                                                                 Store



                                                               Contract                       Sales
                                                             Manufactures
      European                                                                 Logistics                          Information Flows
      Supplier                                                                 Providers                           Goods Flow



  © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
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Holistic End to End Scope ………………..A Leadership Journey !




                                 Demand
                                                              Supply
                                                                          External
                External                                                  collaboration
                collaboration                                             partnerships
                partnerships
                                             Product

                                 External
                                 collaboration
                                 partnerships




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New Capabilities………………Core Risks - Capabilities

                                                                           manage intellectual property
                                                                                                                                                              p   ly
                                                                                                                                                           up
                                                                                                                                                     l   eS
                                                                                                                                            ic tab
                                                                                      y
                                                                                                                                     re d
                                         sense
                                   and shape demand
                                                                                cu rac Service                                 produce to demand
                                                                                                                                   P
                                                                            c           Provider                               ,
                                                                          tA                                            bl e
                                                         r           ecas                                    el i
                                                                                                                    a
                                                     d Fo                                            #   2-R
                                         n     Demand                                                    Supply
                                     ma
                                                                                                                                       Supplier

                            -D      e Customer
                          #1                                                        make conscious
                                               User/
                                                                                      trade offs
                                             Consumer                 # 4 -Value-Based Trade Offs                                Contract
                                              Patient                                                                          Manufacturer




                                                                                     Product                         tion
                                                                                                                                                Contractor
                                                            Innovation that
                                                                                                                  va
                                                             drives growth
                                                                                                             n no
                                                                                                          d I Design
                                                                                                a lize       partner

                                                                                       ra   tion
                                                                                     pe
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                                                                              #   3-O                               manage external partners
Reliable Product Supply is Core to Demand-driven Transformation




                                         Demand
                                                                            Demand                  Supply
                                                                                                                            Supply
                                         Insights                                                                            Risk
                                                Outside –In Demand Translation                                            Management
                                                                                                        Profitable
                                                                          Demand        Demand          & Reliable
                                                                          Sensing       Shaping          Demand
                                                                                                        Response

                                                                                    Inside –Out Supply and Network Reliability


                                                                                     Product

                                                                                    Operationalized
                                                                                      innovation




                    Transformation From                                             “Inside – Out” To “Outside – In” !
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Value Chain Transformation/Change Maturity…………Journey

                                                              Responsive to Demand           Growth and Profitability
                                                                 Cost to Deliver                 Cost to Serve
                                                                • Perfect SC Orders      • Profitable Business Trade Offs
                                                                                         • Profitability ( sku / shelf / account / segment / launch)
                                         Externally Focused

Business




                                                                                                                                            Focused
                                                                                                                                            Translation
                                                                                                                                            Buyer Value
Growth                                                        Demand – Driven                    Segmented
Supply Chain                                                     Network                        Value Driven
                                                                SC Process                        Networks
                                                                   Hubs
                                                                                      III IV
                                                                                      II I
                                         Internally Focused




                                                                                                        Local




                                                                                                                                              Asset Rich
                                                                                                                                               Focused
                                                                       Shared                           Sites




                                                                                                                                                M&A
IT                                                                     Service                            &
Procurement
Engineering                                                             Hubs                          Functional
Supply                                                                                                  Silos

                                                                Cost Focused
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   4/29/2010
                                                                                       ‹#›   Revenue Focused
2009
   1 Apple                                                              13 The Coca Cola Company
   2 Dell                                                               14 Nike
   3 Procter & Gamble                                                   15 Tesco
   4 IBM                                                                16 Walt Disney
   5 Cisco                                                              17 Hewlett-Packard
   6 Nokia                                                              18 Texas Instruments
   7 Wal-Mart                                                           19 Lockheed Martin
   8 Samsung                                                            20 Colgate - Palmolive
   9 PepsiCo                                                            21 Best Buy
   10 Toyota                                                            22 Unilever
   11 Schlumberger                                                      23 Publix Super Markets
   12 Johnson & Johnson
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                                                                        24 Sony Ericsson
The Ultimate Goal ……….Sustainable, Anchored Capabilities

                                   Unsustainable                                              Sustainable Business
                                   results                                                    Performance Improvement

                                                                                                       •Balanced Trade Offs
                              Excellence in Results

                                                                                                       •Capabilities
                                                                                                       •Change Leadership
                                                      “silo’d cost focus ”

                                                                                                       •Outside –In Value




                                                                             “silo’d lean and efficiency improvements” Incorrect
                                                                                                                       focus

                                                                                   Excellence in Work Practices

                                          The transformation requires strategic levels of change management
                                          to build achieve sustainable performance improvements and capabilities

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Leaders Mesh Bus. Process, Best Practice, & IT to Build Sustainable
Practices
                                                     “Lean +…”                                                                             Dow Chemicals,
                                                                                                                                        , Apple, P & G , CAT
                                                                                                                                          Johnson Controls




                                                                          – Management Practice +
                                         75th percentile
                                           and above                                                    +8%              +20%                    “IT enabled

                                                                                                                                               End to End
                                                                                                                                                 Business
                                                                                                                                             Transformation”
                                       25th percentile
                                         and below
                                                                                                          0               +2%


                                                                                – Intensity of IT Deployment +“ERP +…”
                                                                                                    25th percentile   75th percentile
                                                                                                      and below         and above



                                                                                                                                   Source: London School of Economics–McKinsey survey and
                                                                                                                                  analysis of top 100 companies in France, Germany, United
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  <docname>_<date>_<author>
  4/29/2010
Themes That Distinguish Leaders:




                                                                                    Supply chains that are…
        • Outside-in focus
                                                                                    • Predictable and reliable
        • Embedded innovation
                                                                                    • Flexible
        • Extended supply chains
        • Balanced excellence                                             Outcome
                                                                                    …and have:
        • Attitude
                                                                                    • Profitable demand response
        • Metrics
                                                                                    • Sustainable growth
        • Supply chain talent
                                                                                    • Satisfied customers




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Anchored Change

   What Makes End to End Transformation “Sticky”?

                                                                                     Change
                                                                                    Leadership
                                                                                      •Talent
                                                                                    •Org Design        Continuous
                                                                Measurement                           Improvement
                                                                & Information                           Culture
                                                                   Aptitude




                                                                                             STICKY
                                                                                             GLUE
                                                                                                           Power
                                                                   “East-West”                        Through Process
                                                                                                          (e.g. S&OP,
                                                                  Value - Process                     Business Planning )
                                                                   Performance       “North-South”
                                                                                       Functional
                                                                                     Regional Goal
                                                                                       Alignment
 © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
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 <docname>_<date>_<author>
A Framework for The Demand-driven Value Network

                                                                           Product & Service Innovation

                                       Segmented Demand Visibility                                   Segmented Supply Visibility
 Customers , Buyers, Users,




                                                                                           Integrated Strategy,
                                                                                               Business &




                                                                                                                                    Suppliers & Partners
                                                                                              Value Network
                                                                                                Planning
       & Consumers




                                                                              Channel                                 Reliable,
                                        User/                                 Demand                                 Profitable
                                                                                               Demand
                                     Consumer/                                   &                                 Response from
                                                                                              Translation
                                      Demand                                  Demand                              Supply Based on
                                                                                                  &
                                      Insights                               Management                               Demand
                                                                                              Trade Offs



                                                                                          decoupling

                                          Pull Segments                                                 Push – Make – Supply Segments

   © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
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    <docname>_<date>_<author>
Leaders Crystallize “Pillars” of the Business Operating Strategy…………..




                                                                            Galvanizing Business Strategy

                                                                               Complexity Management

                              Customers and                               Innovation     Profitable &                   Collaborative
                                 Demand                                       &            Reliable      Organization    Joint Value
                                                                           Products    Response from      Structure,      Creation
                                                                                       Product Supply      Systems
                               Joint Value                                             & Manufacturing
                              Relationships                               Portfolio                                        Supply
                                                                              &           Network           Talent       & Supplier
                                                                          Platforms      Response                       Relationships
                                                                                          S & OP


    Integrated Business Planning , Continuous Improvement , enabling IT , Collaboration Processes
     & Change Management



  © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
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  <docname>_<date>_<author>
Demand Driven Transformation …Maturity Dictates Priorities ?

                                                                          Level 1          Level 2          Level 3            Level 4

                                                                          Reacting     Anticipating      Collaborating     Orchestrating

 Business Process
                                                                               Inside – Out                       Outside –In
 Organization                                                                 Supply Chain                      Demand-Driven

                                                                                Excellence                       Value Network
 Measurement
                                                                                                                      Excellence
 Continuous
    Improvement
                                                                        Manufacturing                                    Value
 Technology                                                           & Supply Excellence                               Network

 Culture & Change                                                             (efficient flexibility )           (joint value creation

 Management                                                                                                     managed complexity)


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  <docname>_<date>_<author>
Demand-driven Value Network Integration Framework


                                                 Product & Service Innovation                           S & OP
                                                                                                            Integrated
                                                                                                        Strategy, Business
                                                                            Buying                       & Value Network         Segmented
                                                                           Segments                          Planning
                                                                                                                                 Supply




                                                                                                                                                      Segmented Partners and Supplier Networks
Customers , Buyers, Users,




                                                                                                                                                                                                 Suppliers & Partners
                                                                                                         Demand
                                                                                                        Translation
                                      Demand –                                 Market                       &                Segmented    Reliable,
                                                                                                                                         Profitable
                                                                                and                    Trade Offs
       & Consumers




                                       driven                                                                                 Product      Supply
                                                                                                        Segmented
                                        Joint                                 Customer                   Planning
                                                                                                                               Supply    Response
                                        Value                                Segmentation
                                                                                                           and
                                                                                                        Trade offs
                                    Relationships                                                                             Network      Based
                                                                                                                                             on
                                                                                                                                          Demand

                                                                                        Channel       Integrated Planning
                                                                                        Demand                &
                                                                                           &
                                                                                                          Scheduling
                              Profitability




                                                                                        Demand
                                                                                       Management



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                4/29/2010                                                                           Costs to Serve
                                                                                                     ‹#›
Case Study: Segmentation


                               Commoditized                                                             Commoditized
High                                                                      6                5                              2                1

                              Technology                                                               Technology
                                            Responsiveness
                                                  8      7
                                                                                                                       Efficiency
                                                                                                                          4                3
                                Specialized                                                              Specialized
                                                                                                Long
  Volume




                                         Short                                                                    Short                        Long
                                                                               Lifecycle                                       Lifecycle
                               Commoditized                                                             Commoditized
                                                                          14               13                             10               9

                              Technology                                                               Technology
                                                                 Agility
                                                                  16                       15                    Responsiveness
                                                                                                                      12     11

                                Specialized                                                              Specialized
 Low                                     Short                                                  Long              Short                        Long
                                                                               Lifecycle                                       Lifecycle

                                                Low                                                                                   High
                                                                                   Demand Predictability
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                                                                                                ‹#›
  4/29/2010
John Gattorna “Segmentation” Perspective

Demand predicable, (e.g.                                                                                                          Respond opportunistically
from historic off-take), but                                                                                                      & manage yield. Focus on
the loose relationship does                                                                                                       providing creative
not necessitate an extreme                                                                                                        solutions for premium
service level. Focus on                                                                                                           price.
efficiency.                                                 Loose
                                                                                                        “Fully Flexible”
                                                     with customer               “Lean”
                                                      Relationship




                                                                                                            “Agile”
                                                                           “Continuous
                                                                          Replenishment”

                                                               Tight
                                                                         High                                              Low   Unplanned or unforeseen
                                                                                     Predictability of                           demand, and a sometimes
                                                                                                                                 loose relationship with
Predictable demand, easily
managed through tight
                                                                                         demand                                  customers - almost always
collaboration with customers.                                                                                                    demands an agile response
Focus on retention of customer                                                                                                   at higher cost-to-serve.
relationships.                                                                                                                   Focus on the service-cost
                                                                         Figure 2.3: Four (4) Generic supply chain types         equation
 © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
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 <docname>_<date>_<author>
                                                                                             ‹#›
 4/29/2010
Evolving Framework for The Demand-driven Value Network………

                                                                           Product & Service Innovation

                                       Segmented Demand Visibility                                    Segmented Supply Visibility
 Customers , Buyers, Users,




                                                                                            Integrated Strategy,
                                                                                                Business &




                                                                                                                                           Suppliers & Partners
                                                                                               Value Network
                                                                                                 Planning
       & Consumers




                                Buying Segment 1                                                                           Making Segment 1

                                                                                     Global Hub 1       Global Hub 2
                                                                              Channel                                  Reliable,
                              Buying Segment 2
                                       User/                                                                            Making Segment 2
                                                                              Demand            Demand                Profitable
                                     Consumer/                                   &                                  Response from
                                                                                               Translation
                                      Demand                                  Demand                               Supply Based on
                                                                                                   &
                                      Insights                               Management                                Demand
                                                                                               Trade Offs                  Making Segment 3
                                Buying Segment 3                                      Global Hub 3       Global Hub 4



                                                                                           decoupling

                                          Pull Segments                                                  Push – Make – Supply Segments

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Design for Supply Chain……..HP


                              Variety control                                       Logistics enhancement                           Commonality




                Part and platform re-use                                                   Postponement                             Environment &
                                                                                                                                    Take-Back




                                                                                                                                       30




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                                                                 Copyright © 2008 HP corporate presentation. All rights reserved.
The Hierarchy of Supply Chain Metrics




                                                                                Demand
                                                                                Forecast
                                                                                                       Assess
                                                                           Perfect           SCM
                                                                            Order            Cost
                                                                              Cash-to-Cash
                                                                               Inventory                        Diagnose
                                                                     AP          Total                 AR
                                                      Supplier            Supplier     RM      Purchase Dir Mtl
                                                      Quality             On-Time      Inv      Costs   Costs


                                                                Prod   Plant         Reg.      Prod    WIP +   Perfect
                                     Cost
                                     Detail
                                                               Sched   Util.         Recalls    Qlty    FG      Order    Correct
                                                              Variance                         (RFT)    Inv     Detail



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Put The “Customer” First - High Tech Example as a Proxy for IP

               Products                                                   Supply Chain                    Demand Chain

                              Business PC & Workstation                                                                                            Consumer
                                         Consumer PC

                               Portables and Handhelds
                                                                                 No touch
                                   Monitors & Options




                                                                                                                  Direct/Indirect/Partner Direct
                                             Supplies                                                                                              SMB
                                      Personal Printing                          Low touch
                                       Shared Printing
                                        Digital Imaging

                                   Commercial Printing
                                                                                 Configure-to-order                                                Public
                               Business Critical Servers                         (CTO)
                               Industry Standard Servers
                              Network Storage Solutions
                                                                                 High value & solutions
                                      Enterprise    Solutions
                                   Consulting & Integration Sol.                                                                                   Enterprise

                              Managed Services Solutions
                                                                                 Services
                                   Customer Support Solutions




  © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
                                                                                      ‹#›
  Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates.
  <docname>_<date>_<author>
  4/29/2010
Process + Manufacturing + Business Performance Management
Linking Three critical domains
                                                                                                               Product Supply Network

                                                                         Production
                                                                        Management
                                                                                                                  P ro
                                                                                                                      ces
                                                                                                                          s   Con
                                                                                                                                    tro
                                                                                                                                        l




                                                                           Manufacturing Specifications
                                 Demand Driven Supply
                                                                                                          •   Visibility
                                                                                                                                               Process
                                                                                                          •   Collection                     Automation
                                                                                                          •   Analysis                        & Control
     Demand                                                                                               •   Actions


                                     Operationalized                                                                                    ns
                                                                                                                                  a tio
                                        Demand                                                                                 fic
                                                                                                                           peci
                                                                                                                         lS
                                                                                                                     ntro
                                                                                                                   Co
                                                                           Product
                                                                         Management


© 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates.
<docname>_<date>_<author>
Demand Driven Transformation …Maturity Dictates Priorities ?


                                                                          Level 1        Level 2                 Level 3             Level 4

                                                                          Reacting   Anticipating             Collaborating       Orchestrating

 Business Process

 Organization
                                                                            Industrial

 Measurement
                                                                            Specialty




                                                                                                                   Electronics
                                                                                                                    Consumer
                                                                                                   Consumer
                                                                            Chemicals



                                                                                                    Goods
 Continuous                                                                    &
                                                                            Materials
    Improvement
 Technology
                                                                          Logistics
 Culture & Change
 Management
                                                                                 Back                                    Front
  © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
  Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates.
  <docname>_<date>_<author>
                                                                                Office                                   Office
Leaders Drive Outside – In Priorities

                              Suppliers                             Manufacturers          Distributors                       Consumers
                                                                    Assemblers             Wholesalers           Customers
                              Partners                                                                                        Users; Buyers
  New Product or Service
  Merges to the Base
  Supply Process


                                                                                     Manufacturer
                                                                                                                  Customers
                                                                                      Programs                    Patients
                                             Suppliers                    Materials               Distribution    Consumers
                                                                                    Manufacturing &                              Risk
                Risk                                                       Mgmt
                                                                                     (Make-Pack)
                                                  Risk                    Risk                    Distributors
                                                                                       Risk        Risk              Risk




                                                                                    Outside – In
  © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
  Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates.
  <docname>_<date>_<author>
Roddy Martin
                                                                        VP & Research Fellow



                                                                           125 Summer Street
                                                                           Boston MA 02110
                                                                           617.542.6600
                                                                           Cell 617 306 0029

                                                                             www.amrresearch.com




© 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.
Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates.
<docname>_<date>_<author>

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Chemical Supply Chain

  • 1. Successfully Transforming Your Business ….The End to End Demand-driven Value Network “The Business Operating Strategy” Is Your Business Planning and Supply Chain Strategy An Emerging Market View Roddy Martin Vice President & Research Fellow © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author> AMR Research
  • 2. Agenda – Scope • A View Of Supply Chain Strategies In Emerging Markets • The Same Fundamentals & Core Capabilities As Developed Markets • But, With …………Added Complexity Of Logistics, Culture, Change Leadership, & Governance. • Understanding Segmentation Is The Key! © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>
  • 3. Functional Fragmentation - Disjointed End to End Collaboration Demand Supply Traditional Definition of Collaboration Supply Chain & Innovation Management customer supplier Capabilities & Manufacturing ? Product design partner © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>
  • 4. Reality …Traditional “Supply Chains” Lack Alignment Process & Visibility Suppliers Manufacturers Distributors Customers Consumers Partners Assemblers Wholesalers Users; Buyers New Product or Service Merges to the Base Supply Process Manufacturer Customers Programs Patients Suppliers Materials Distribution Consumers Manufacturing & Risk Risk Mgmt (Make-Pack) Distributors Risk Risk Risk Risk Risk “Inside-Out” “Integration” © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. P & G “Starting” Point Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>
  • 5. Disconnected Supply Chain Capabilities Processes & IT Deployed in Silos Across the Value Chain “Forecast” Focus on supply ERP..+ Product CRM Demand Supply Demand Actual React Ma nu fa s ct ut u rin p In g DL NP PLM… Product © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>
  • 6. Transformation of the Supply Chain Wholesale Suppliers Manufacturers Retailers Customer Distributors China Supplier Wholesale Distributors Logistics Suppliers Providers Inbound Logistics You Corp Customer Store Contract Sales Manufactures European Logistics Information Flows Supplier Providers Goods Flow © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>
  • 7. What has Given Rise to this Issue? Source: Kraft Foods, AMR Research Conference June 2009 Sales Point DC Manufacturer DC Plant Demand Signal Accurate Almost Weekly Trivial Easy Difficult Impossible Forecasting is ... Delay from Instant 3-10 Days 10-20 Days 20-50 Days Purchase to Signal Bullwhip Effect © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author> ‹#› 4/29/2010
  • 8. Traditional Supply Chain is Giving Way… Top 25 versus all other companies -1 +4 +1 Top 25 n=9, All n=198 © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author> ‹#› 4/29/2010
  • 9. …to Value Chain Top 25 versus all other companies +13 +8 +15 +36 Top 25 n=9, All n=198 © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author> ‹#› 4/29/2010
  • 10. Leveraging Operations AND Innovation Maturity… Higher •Operations Strategy Supply cash flow, profits, p/e •Reduced Complexity Driven •Leadership and Portfolio Governance •Integrated CI Teams & Processes Leader •Develop For …. Winners: …………Total User Experience & Value Operational Excellence •Learning Organization P&G, Apple, •Enabling Technology (Perfect Order, Cycle Times •Network Based Joint Value Creation Total Supply Chain Cost) •Outside –in focus on buyer •Continuous Business Strategy translation •Portfolio of Strategic Priorities •Demand-driven Product Supply Strategy •Building usage insights into innovation D Losers Disconnected S P Product Laggard Innovation Driven Laggard Innovation Excellence Leader (Time to Value, Return on R&D) © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author> ‹#› 4/29/2010
  • 11. Reality …Traditional Supply Chains Lack Process & Visibility Suppliers Manufacturers Distributors Customers Consumers Partners Assemblers Wholesalers Users; Buyers New Product or Service Merges to the Base Supply Process Manufacturer Customers Programs Patients Suppliers Materials Distribution Consumers Manufacturing & Risk Risk Mgmt (Make-Pack) Distributors Risk Risk Risk Risk Risk “ IT Driven Data Integration” End to End Business Process Architecture © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>
  • 12. Functional Fragmentation- Disjointed End to End Planning….”Not Unique” Global Business & Operations Sites Customers Corporate IT Core Supply Traditional “BPM” Demand Collaboration & Innovation Definition of Supply Chain Management Capabilities… Asynchronized & Manufacturing Customers IT Business Planning & Execution Suppliers IT Segments Org Design – Change Leadership Roles Product Portfolio IT Partners NOT – a traditional supply chain improvement project © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>
  • 13. Transformation of the Supply Chain…………Collapsing Roles Wholesale Suppliers Manufacturers Retailers Customer Distributors China Supplier Wholesale Distributors Suppliers Logistics Providers Inbound Logistics You Corp Customer Store Contract Sales Manufactures European Logistics Information Flows Supplier Providers Goods Flow © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>
  • 14. Holistic End to End Scope ………………..A Leadership Journey ! Demand Supply External External collaboration collaboration partnerships partnerships Product External collaboration partnerships © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>
  • 15. New Capabilities………………Core Risks - Capabilities manage intellectual property p ly up l eS ic tab y re d sense and shape demand cu rac Service produce to demand P c Provider , tA bl e r ecas el i a d Fo # 2-R n Demand Supply ma Supplier -D e Customer #1 make conscious User/ trade offs Consumer # 4 -Value-Based Trade Offs Contract Patient Manufacturer Product tion Contractor Innovation that va drives growth n no d I Design a lize partner ra tion pe © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author> # 3-O manage external partners
  • 16. Reliable Product Supply is Core to Demand-driven Transformation Demand Demand Supply Supply Insights Risk Outside –In Demand Translation Management Profitable Demand Demand & Reliable Sensing Shaping Demand Response Inside –Out Supply and Network Reliability Product Operationalized innovation Transformation From “Inside – Out” To “Outside – In” ! © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>
  • 17. Value Chain Transformation/Change Maturity…………Journey Responsive to Demand Growth and Profitability Cost to Deliver Cost to Serve • Perfect SC Orders • Profitable Business Trade Offs • Profitability ( sku / shelf / account / segment / launch) Externally Focused Business Focused Translation Buyer Value Growth Demand – Driven Segmented Supply Chain Network Value Driven SC Process Networks Hubs III IV II I Internally Focused Local Asset Rich Focused Shared Sites M&A IT Service & Procurement Engineering Hubs Functional Supply Silos Cost Focused © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author> 4/29/2010 ‹#› Revenue Focused
  • 18. 2009 1 Apple 13 The Coca Cola Company 2 Dell 14 Nike 3 Procter & Gamble 15 Tesco 4 IBM 16 Walt Disney 5 Cisco 17 Hewlett-Packard 6 Nokia 18 Texas Instruments 7 Wal-Mart 19 Lockheed Martin 8 Samsung 20 Colgate - Palmolive 9 PepsiCo 21 Best Buy 10 Toyota 22 Unilever 11 Schlumberger 23 Publix Super Markets 12 Johnson & Johnson © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author> 24 Sony Ericsson
  • 19. The Ultimate Goal ……….Sustainable, Anchored Capabilities Unsustainable Sustainable Business results Performance Improvement •Balanced Trade Offs Excellence in Results •Capabilities •Change Leadership “silo’d cost focus ” •Outside –In Value “silo’d lean and efficiency improvements” Incorrect focus Excellence in Work Practices The transformation requires strategic levels of change management to build achieve sustainable performance improvements and capabilities © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>
  • 20. Leaders Mesh Bus. Process, Best Practice, & IT to Build Sustainable Practices “Lean +…” Dow Chemicals, , Apple, P & G , CAT Johnson Controls – Management Practice + 75th percentile and above +8% +20% “IT enabled End to End Business Transformation” 25th percentile and below 0 +2% – Intensity of IT Deployment +“ERP +…” 25th percentile 75th percentile and below and above Source: London School of Economics–McKinsey survey and analysis of top 100 companies in France, Germany, United © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. ‹#› Kingdom and United States. <docname>_<date>_<author> 4/29/2010
  • 21. Themes That Distinguish Leaders: Supply chains that are… • Outside-in focus • Predictable and reliable • Embedded innovation • Flexible • Extended supply chains • Balanced excellence Outcome …and have: • Attitude • Profitable demand response • Metrics • Sustainable growth • Supply chain talent • Satisfied customers © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>
  • 22. Anchored Change What Makes End to End Transformation “Sticky”? Change Leadership •Talent •Org Design Continuous Measurement Improvement & Information Culture Aptitude STICKY GLUE Power “East-West” Through Process (e.g. S&OP, Value - Process Business Planning ) Performance “North-South” Functional Regional Goal Alignment © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>
  • 23. A Framework for The Demand-driven Value Network Product & Service Innovation Segmented Demand Visibility Segmented Supply Visibility Customers , Buyers, Users, Integrated Strategy, Business & Suppliers & Partners Value Network Planning & Consumers Channel Reliable, User/ Demand Profitable Demand Consumer/ & Response from Translation Demand Demand Supply Based on & Insights Management Demand Trade Offs decoupling Pull Segments Push – Make – Supply Segments © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>
  • 24. Leaders Crystallize “Pillars” of the Business Operating Strategy………….. Galvanizing Business Strategy Complexity Management Customers and Innovation Profitable & Collaborative Demand & Reliable Organization Joint Value Products Response from Structure, Creation Product Supply Systems Joint Value & Manufacturing Relationships Portfolio Supply & Network Talent & Supplier Platforms Response Relationships S & OP Integrated Business Planning , Continuous Improvement , enabling IT , Collaboration Processes & Change Management © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>
  • 25. Demand Driven Transformation …Maturity Dictates Priorities ? Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Reacting Anticipating Collaborating Orchestrating Business Process Inside – Out Outside –In Organization Supply Chain Demand-Driven Excellence Value Network Measurement Excellence Continuous Improvement Manufacturing Value Technology & Supply Excellence Network Culture & Change (efficient flexibility ) (joint value creation Management managed complexity) © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>
  • 26. Demand-driven Value Network Integration Framework Product & Service Innovation S & OP Integrated Strategy, Business Buying & Value Network Segmented Segments Planning Supply Segmented Partners and Supplier Networks Customers , Buyers, Users, Suppliers & Partners Demand Translation Demand – Market & Segmented Reliable, Profitable and Trade Offs & Consumers driven Product Supply Segmented Joint Customer Planning Supply Response Value Segmentation and Trade offs Relationships Network Based on Demand Channel Integrated Planning Demand & & Scheduling Profitability Demand Management © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author> 4/29/2010 Costs to Serve ‹#›
  • 27. Case Study: Segmentation Commoditized Commoditized High 6 5 2 1 Technology Technology Responsiveness 8 7 Efficiency 4 3 Specialized Specialized Long Volume Short Short Long Lifecycle Lifecycle Commoditized Commoditized 14 13 10 9 Technology Technology Agility 16 15 Responsiveness 12 11 Specialized Specialized Low Short Long Short Long Lifecycle Lifecycle Low High Demand Predictability © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author> ‹#› 4/29/2010
  • 28. John Gattorna “Segmentation” Perspective Demand predicable, (e.g. Respond opportunistically from historic off-take), but & manage yield. Focus on the loose relationship does providing creative not necessitate an extreme solutions for premium service level. Focus on price. efficiency. Loose “Fully Flexible” with customer “Lean” Relationship “Agile” “Continuous Replenishment” Tight High Low Unplanned or unforeseen Predictability of demand, and a sometimes loose relationship with Predictable demand, easily managed through tight demand customers - almost always collaboration with customers. demands an agile response Focus on retention of customer at higher cost-to-serve. relationships. Focus on the service-cost Figure 2.3: Four (4) Generic supply chain types equation © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author> ‹#› 4/29/2010
  • 29. Evolving Framework for The Demand-driven Value Network……… Product & Service Innovation Segmented Demand Visibility Segmented Supply Visibility Customers , Buyers, Users, Integrated Strategy, Business & Suppliers & Partners Value Network Planning & Consumers Buying Segment 1 Making Segment 1 Global Hub 1 Global Hub 2 Channel Reliable, Buying Segment 2 User/ Making Segment 2 Demand Demand Profitable Consumer/ & Response from Translation Demand Demand Supply Based on & Insights Management Demand Trade Offs Making Segment 3 Buying Segment 3 Global Hub 3 Global Hub 4 decoupling Pull Segments Push – Make – Supply Segments © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>
  • 30. Design for Supply Chain……..HP Variety control Logistics enhancement Commonality Part and platform re-use Postponement Environment & Take-Back 30 © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author> Copyright © 2008 HP corporate presentation. All rights reserved.
  • 31. The Hierarchy of Supply Chain Metrics Demand Forecast Assess Perfect SCM Order Cost Cash-to-Cash Inventory Diagnose AP Total AR Supplier Supplier RM Purchase Dir Mtl Quality On-Time Inv Costs Costs Prod Plant Reg. Prod WIP + Perfect Cost Detail Sched Util. Recalls Qlty FG Order Correct Variance (RFT) Inv Detail © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>
  • 32. Put The “Customer” First - High Tech Example as a Proxy for IP Products Supply Chain Demand Chain Business PC & Workstation Consumer Consumer PC Portables and Handhelds No touch Monitors & Options Direct/Indirect/Partner Direct Supplies SMB Personal Printing Low touch Shared Printing Digital Imaging Commercial Printing Configure-to-order Public Business Critical Servers (CTO) Industry Standard Servers Network Storage Solutions High value & solutions Enterprise Solutions Consulting & Integration Sol. Enterprise Managed Services Solutions Services Customer Support Solutions © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. ‹#› Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author> 4/29/2010
  • 33. Process + Manufacturing + Business Performance Management Linking Three critical domains Product Supply Network Production Management P ro ces s Con tro l Manufacturing Specifications Demand Driven Supply • Visibility Process • Collection Automation • Analysis & Control Demand • Actions Operationalized ns a tio Demand fic peci lS ntro Co Product Management © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>
  • 34. Demand Driven Transformation …Maturity Dictates Priorities ? Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Reacting Anticipating Collaborating Orchestrating Business Process Organization Industrial Measurement Specialty Electronics Consumer Consumer Chemicals Goods Continuous & Materials Improvement Technology Logistics Culture & Change Management Back Front © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author> Office Office
  • 35. Leaders Drive Outside – In Priorities Suppliers Manufacturers Distributors Consumers Assemblers Wholesalers Customers Partners Users; Buyers New Product or Service Merges to the Base Supply Process Manufacturer Customers Programs Patients Suppliers Materials Distribution Consumers Manufacturing & Risk Risk Mgmt (Make-Pack) Risk Risk Distributors Risk Risk Risk Outside – In © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>
  • 36. Roddy Martin VP & Research Fellow 125 Summer Street Boston MA 02110 617.542.6600 Cell 617 306 0029 www.amrresearch.com © 2009 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates. <docname>_<date>_<author>