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Nexen Shale Gas Development:
Policy & Regulatory Experience in British Columbia
Forward-Looking Statements: Certain statements in this report constitute “forward-looking statements” (within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995) or “forward-looking information”
(within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation). Such statements or information (together “forward-looking statements”) are generally identifiable by the forward-looking terminology used such as “anticipate”,
“believe”, “intend”, “plan”, “expect”, “estimate”, “budget”, “outlook”, “forecast” or other similar words and include statements relating to or associated with individual wells, regions or projects. Any statements as to possible future
crude oil, natural gas or chemicals prices, future production levels, future capital expenditures and their allocation to exploration and development activities, future earnings, future asset acquisitions or dispositions, future sources
of funding for our capital program, future debt levels, availability of committed credit facilities, possible commerciality, development plans or capacity expansions, future ability to execute dispositions of assets or businesses,
future sources of liquidity, cash flows and their uses, future drilling of new wells, ultimate recoverability of current and long-term assets, ultimate recoverability of reserves or resources, expected finding and development costs,
expected operating costs, future cost recovery oil revenues from our Yemen operations, future demand for chemicals products, estimates on a per share basis, future foreign currency exchange rates, future expenditures and
future allowances relating to environmental matters and dates by which certain areas will be developed, come on stream, or reach expected operating capacity and changes in any of the foregoing are forward-looking statements.
Statements relating to “reserves” or “resources” are forward-looking statements, as they involve the implied assessment, based on estimates and assumptions that the reserves and resources described exist in the quantities
predicted or estimated, and can be profitably produced in the future.
The forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors which may cause actual results, levels of activity and achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied
by such statements. Such factors include, among others: market prices for oil and gas and chemicals products; our ability to explore, develop, produce, upgrade and transport crude oil and natural gas to markets; ultimate
effectiveness of design or design modifications to facilities; the results of exploration and development drilling and related activities; volatility in energy trading markets; foreign-currency exchange rates; economic conditions in the
countries and regions in which we carry on business; governmental actions including changes to taxes or royalties, changes in environmental and other laws and regulations; renegotiations of contracts; results of litigation,
arbitration or regulatory proceedings; and political uncertainty, including actions by terrorists, insurgent or other groups, or other armed conflict, including conflict between states. The impact of any one risk, uncertainty or factor
on a particular forward-looking statement is not determinable with certainty as these factors are interdependent, and management’s future course of action would depend on our assessment of all information at that time.
Although we believe that the expectations conveyed by the forward-looking statements are reasonable based on information available to us on the date such forward-looking statements were made, no assurances can be given
as to future results, levels of activity and achievements. Undue reliance should not be placed on the statements contained herein, which are made as of the date hereof and, except as required by law, Nexen undertakes no
obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. The forward-looking statements contained herein are expressly qualified by this cautionary
statement. Readers should also refer to Items 1A and 7A in our 2009 Annual Report on Form 10-K for further discussion of the risk factors.
Cautionary Note to US Investors
In this disclosure, we may refer to “recoverable reserves”, “recoverable resources” and “recoverable contingent resources” which are inherently more uncertain than proved reserves or probable reserves. These terms are not
used in our filings with the SEC. Our reserves and related performance measures represent our working interest before royalties, unless otherwise indicated. Please refer to our Annual Report on Form 10-K available from us or
the SEC for further reserve disclosure.
Cautionary Note to Canadian Investors
Nexen is an SEC registrant and a voluntary Form 10-K (and related forms) filer. Therefore, our reserves estimates and securities regulatory disclosures follow SEC requirements. In Canada, National Instrument 51-101—
Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (NI 51-101) prescribes that Canadian companies follow certain standards for the preparation and disclosure of reserves and related information. Nexen’s reserves disclosures are
made in reliance upon exemptions granted to it by Canadian securities regulators from certain requirements of NI 51-101 which permits us to:
● prepare our reserves estimates and related disclosures in accordance with SEC disclosure requirements, generally accepted industry practices in the US and the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (COGE Handbook)
standards modified to reflect SEC requirements;
● substitute those SEC disclosures for much of the annual disclosure required by NI 51-101; and
● rely upon internally-generated reserves estimates and the Standardized Measure of Discounted Future Net Cash Flows and Changes Therein, included in the Supplementary Financial Information, without the requirement to
have those estimates evaluated or audited by independent qualified reserves consultants.
As a result of these exemptions, Nexen’s disclosures may differ from other Canadian companies and Canadian investors should note the following fundamental differences in reserves estimates and related disclosures contained
in the Form 10-K:
● SEC registrants apply SEC reserves definitions and prepare their reserves estimates in accordance with SEC requirements and generally accepted industry practices in the US whereas NI 51-101 requires adherence to the
definitions and standards promulgated by the COGE Handbook;
● the SEC’s technical rules in estimating reserves differ from NI 51-101 in areas such as the use of reliable technology, aerial extent around a drilled location, quantities below the lowest known oil and quantities across an
undrilled fault block;
● the SEC mandates disclosure of proved reserves and the Standardized Measure of Discounted Future Net Cash Flows and Changes Therein calculated using the year’s 12-month average prices and costs only whereas NI 51-
101 requires disclosure of reserves and related future net revenues using forecast prices;
● the SEC mandates disclosure of reserves by geographic area only whereas NI 51-101 requires disclosure of more reserve categories and product types;
● the SEC prescribes certain information about proved and probable undeveloped reserves and future developments costs whereas NI 51-101 requirements are different;
● the SEC does not require disclosure of finding and development (F&D) costs per boe of proved reserves additions whereas NI 51-101 requires that various F&D costs per boe and additional information be disclosed;
● the SEC leaves the engagement of independent qualified reserves consultants to the discretion of a company’s board of directors whereas NI 51-101 requires issuers to engage such evaluators;
● the SEC does not allow proved and probable reserves to be aggregated whereas NI 51-101 requires issuers disclose such; and
● the reserves disclosures in this document have not been reviewed by the independent qualified reserves consultants whereas NI 51-101 requires them to review it.
The foregoing is a general description of the principal differences only. The differences between SEC requirements and NI 51-101 may be material.
NI 51-101 requires that we make the following disclosures:
● we use oil equivalents (boe) to express quantities of natural gas and crude oil in a common unit. A conversion ratio of 6 mcf of natural gas to 1 barrel of oil is used. Boe may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. The
conversion ratio is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead; and
● because reserves data are based on judgments regarding future events actual results will vary and the variations may be material. Variations as a result of future events are expected to be consistent with the fact that reserves
are categorized according to the probability of their recovery.
Resources
Nexen’s estimates of contingent resources are based on definitions set out in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook which generally describe contingent resources as those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable
from known accumulations using established technology or technology under development, but which are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies. Such contingencies may include, but are not limited to, factors
such as economic, legal, environmental, political and regulatory matters or a lack of markets. Specific contingencies precluding these contingent resources being classified as reserves include but are not limited to: future drilling program results, drilling and
completions optimization, stakeholder and regulatory approval of future drilling and infrastructure plans, access to required infrastructure, economic fiscal terms, a lower level of delineation, the absence of regulatory approvals, detailed design estimates and near-
term development plans, and general uncertainties associated with this early stage of evaluation. The estimated range of contingent resources reflects conservative and optimistic likelihoods of recovery. However, there is no certainty that it will be commercially
viable to produce any portion of these contingent resources.
Nexen’s estimates of discovered resources (equivalent to discovered petroleum initially-in-place) are based on definitions set out in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook which generally describe discovered resources as those quantities of petroleum
estimated, as of a given date, to be contained in known accumulations prior to production. Discovered resources do not represent recoverable volumes. We disclose additional information regarding resource estimates in accordance with NI 51-101. These
disclosures can be found on our website and on SEDAR.
Cautionary statement: In the case of discovered resources or a subcategory of discovered resources other than reserves, there is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources. In the case of undiscovered resources or a
subcategory of undiscovered resources, there is no certainty that any portion of the resources will be discovered. If discovered, there is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources.
Lessons and Opportunities for Colombia


• Engage all stakeholders early
• Regulators and industry must work together to provide input into the creation
  of shale gas regulations to create a stable and beneficial framework that
  supports investment and provides competitive fiscal system
• Certainty in regulatory environment – avoid tendency to issue separate
  statutory enactments and instead amend laws
• Baseline studies are important to establish a regulatory and industry
  accepted starting framework
• Simplify the system whenever possible to reduce cost, bureaucracy and
  confusion
• Continuous dialogue between industry, government and other shale gas
  jurisdictions to share best practices and address concerns
• Win/win scenario can be achieved!
Nexen’s 2011 Activities

                                                                    North Sea:
                                                                    Opening new
  Canada:                                                           high impact
  BC Shale Gas                                                      areas and
  Opportunities: Horn River                                         growing
  Oil sands: Long Lake                                              through
                                                                    exploration.
                                                                    Adding value to
                                                                    Golden Eagle
  Gulf of Mexico:
                                                                    and Buzzard
  Resuming activities
                                                                    areas.
  following Macondo spill
  hiatus: Appomattox,
  Kakuna, Angel Fire and
  Cypress



   Colombia:
   Unconventional             West Africa:                Yemen:
   exploration: Shale Gas     Evaluating high quality     Renegotiating PSA for
                              opportunities: Potential    Masila block. Evaluating
                              exploration and appraisal   opportunities.
                              drilling
Nexen sees excellent opportunities in Colombia


• Nexen is in early operational stages of drilling four wells on our Sueva and
  Chiquinquira shale gas blocks
• Currently working with Petrobras to drill on the Boqueron block in 2011
• Nexen is interested in developing and increasing our shale gas position in
  Colombia
Nexen position - Colombia

                                                                 LOWER VILLETA TEA
                                                                   Nexen 100% WI
           Eastern
 Bogotá   Cordillera
            Basin




                       CHIQUINQUIRA E&P
                         Nexen 100% WI
    BOQUERON
   ASSOCIATION
    CONTRACT
                            SUEVA E&P    Nexen
     NX 10% WI
                                 100% WI                         FOMEQUE TEA
    ECP 75% WI
                                                                 Nexen 100% WI
     PB 15% WI


    GUANDO SW
     NX 10% WI
    ECP 75% WI
     PB 15% WI




                                          VILLARRICA NORTE E&P
                                                NX 50% WI
                                                PB 50%WI
1. Nexen’s shale gas experience
Well-positioned in North-Eastern BC for shale gas



                       CORDOVA N.W.T             • Significant shale gas acreage in NE British
                                                   Columbia, Canada with excellent land tenure (15
                                                   years plus)
  LIARD                                          • 300,000 total acres split over 3 areas




                                       Alberta
  BASIN                                             •      Horn River
                                                    •      Cordova
                                                    •      Liard
                                                    •      Development in Horn River is at least 2
          HORN RIVER                                       years ahead of other regions
            BASIN                                   •      Horn River is median depth with high gas
                                                           in place (GIP)
               Fort                                 •      Cordova is shallower, lower GIP
              Nelson
                                                    •      Liard is deeper, potentially higher GIP



                        Areas where land
  Existing Nexen         was acquired in                Highways
     Acreage            subsequent land                  Pipelines
                              sale                       (dashed – Proposed)
Nexen’s experience to date in North-Eastern BC


                     • Drilled and cored wells indicating thick shale resource
    The Resource
          is there   • Third party evaluation estimates Nexen’s shale gas resource as
                       4-15 tcf contingent recoverable resource and 5-23 tcf of unrisked
                       prospective resource
                     • Competitor wells drilled near Nexen’s lease lines confirm Nexen
                       is in the heart of the play

                     • Wells successfully fracked – resource density supports multiple
    The Resource       fracs per well; well productivity is excellent; frac costs coming
  can be produced      down
                     • Strong initial production rates (up to 1 mmcf/d per frac)
                     • Long-term take away capacity secured



                     • Play breaks even (10% IRR) at US$4-4.50/mcf
   Breakevens are
  dropping rapidly   • We control the pace of development; small discrete capital
                       allocations result in quick production adds
                     • Early signs indicate lower declines than other shale plays
                       leading to superior economics
Nexen continues to reduce costs and improve productivity


                                                               Metrics
                                                               • Driving down drilling and completion costs
                                                               • Improving productivities
                                                               • Producing at well rates in line with regional
                                                                 competitors and expectations
                                                               Next Steps
              Horn River ($/frac)
                                                               • 8-well pad program adding 50 mmcf/d in early
              6                                                  2011
($MM/ Frac)




                                                               • Pace of development will be driven by gas price
              4
                                                                 outlook
                                               Target
              2



              0

                          2008   2009   2010   2011     2012

                  Drill

                  Frac & Complete

                  Total D & C
Future shale gas potential of North-Eastern BC



                                                     • Potentially more than doubles Nexen’s
                        Contingent                     proved reserves
      25                Resource
             High                                    • 18 wells with 18 fracs/well over 1,800m well
      20     Low                                       length supports 100 mmcf/d facility
                                                     • Growing competitive advantage
      15
TCF




                                                        • 2 more wells will hold all acreage for 10
                                                          yrs
      10
                                                        • No one has as much core coverage &
                                                          analysis as Nexen does
      5
                                                     • Strategically impacts Nexen’s portfolio
                                                        • Short cycle time production adds
           Horn River   Cordova      Total   Liard
                                                        • Increased exposure to natural gas
Nexen industry leader in shale gas completions


                                                       Fracs/Day Performance vs Major Competitors
                4.0                                                                                                            3.5 Fracs/Day
                                                                                                                                New Industry
                                                                                                                                   Record
                3.5

                3.0

                                                                                                               2.5
                2.5
Fracs per day




                                                             1.7 Fracs/Day      1.5 – 2.0
                2.0                                           New Industry
                                                                 Record
                                                               1.7


                1.5



                                                                                   Various Competitors
                1.0
                           0.8




                                                                                                                Competitor A
                                              0.4
                0.5




                                                                                                                                     Nexen
                                                                  Nexen
                            Nexen




                                               Nexen




                0.0
                         Q1 2008        Winter 2008-2009     Summer 2009        2009 to                  Winter 2009-2010       Summer 2010
                      Single Well Pad      2 Well Pad         3 Well Pad         2010                                            8 Well Pad
EUR (bcf)




                       0
                           2
                                  4
                                           6
                                                                  8
        Horn River

        Haynesville

      Vienna Shale

        Eagle Ford

Anadarko Woodford

Marcellus Northeast

Marcellus Southwest

  Barnett Woodford

     Sweden Shale

    Germany Shale

      Poland Shale

           Mancos

            Gothic

 Arkoma Woodford

            Barnett

              Utica

      Algeria Shale

       China Shale

             Karoo

        Fayetteville

             Pierre

             Cody

            Baxter

  Barnett Southwest
                                                                                            Horn River holds highest Expected Ultimate Return rates




         Palo Duro

             Floyd

             Huron
                                                Horn River driven by good rocks and

                                               rates and shallow production declines
                                               well design that deliver high initial flow




       Conasauga

       New Albany

      Chattanooga

            Antrim
Comparable resource to leading U.S. shale basins



                                                              Nexen                                Barnett
                                                   Dilly Creek Parameters*                  Shale Parameters**

      Thickness (Ft)                                        572 to 578                                 355

      Permeability (nd)                                     150 to 450                                 250

      Gas-Filled Porosity (%)                                3.2 to 6.2                                4.5

      Maturity (Ro)                                          2.2 to 2.6                                2.2

      Silica Content (%)                                      45 to 60                                  55

      GIP (Bcf/Mi2) (Discovered
                                                            130 to 250                                 193
      Resources)



  * Parameters reflect log and core analysis results from three vertical appraisal wells
  ** Barnett shale data from EOG Resources Shale Presentation, February 2008
  Our contingent recoverable resource estimate of 3 to 6 tcf reflects an assumed 20% recovery factor compared to some
  Barnett recovery factors ranging from 30-35%
  Note: Refer to our press release dated April 22, 2008 for information with respect to forward-looking statements and
  cautionary notes.
2. Government Approach:
The BC Government’s Approach to Development:
  Vested Interest in Growth and Supporting Policy and Regulations
Government has Vested Interest in Development of the Industry




The BC Government has recognized industry as critical to revenues amidst
declines in other sectors and growing demands on social programs
2009 Throne Speech: “In 2008 we saw record oil and gas rights sales of $2.66 billion.
Beyond that, the industry pays corporate tax, personal income tax, sales tax, property tax
and more. Those dollars go to support priorities like health care and education in our
communities. Far from government subsidizing energy, energy is subsidizing
government.”



                          Supportive policy and collaboration have ensued….
Requirements and benefits from the government/community
 perspective

Government/community needs
• Secure gas supply – energy security issues
• Skilled jobs
• Revenue
• Infrastructure development


Government and community benefits from shale gas development
• Energy security
• Encourages exploration
• Promotes foreign investment in the country
• Develop local industry and expertise
• Technological transfer
• Provides jobs and economic growth
Government role in creating the regulatory structure


Government role to establish successful regulatory structure
• Understand the process for unconventional development, costs and
  regulations
• Balance the needs of industry and local stakeholders
• Voice and input in development and pace of industry
   • Single window regulator vs. multiple voices and influence
3. Industry Approach:
Nexen and the Industry’s Approach to Development
Requirements from industry perspective


Industry needs


• Favorable fiscal terms that promotes exploration and shares risk
• Sanctity of contract
• Stable, streamlined, open and transparent regulatory structure
• Transparent process for licensing and permitting
• Access to financing
• Infrastructure to customer
• Liberalized gas market
• Political stability
• Secure and predictable operating environment
• Legitimate government consultation on regulation, terms and policy
Benefits for industry


Industry benefit from shale gas development


• Active investment
• Testing potential
• Additional reserves
• Access to market
• Partnership with governments and stakeholders
• Make reasonable fiscal returns
4. Collaborative Approach:
  Opportunities for Collaboration and Planning in a Greenfield Area
Industry Collaboration on Planning


Development of the Horn
River Producers Group:
• Formed by industry in 2007 to:
    • Collaborate on infrastructure
    • Build local capacity
    • Engage communities in the long term
      development plans
• Now involvement includes government,
  indigenous and community of Fort Nelson.
• Achievements include:
   • Environmental studies
   • Operating protocol development
   • Footprint reduction
   • Regulatory suggestions
   • Communication
   • Social benefits
• Nexen is able to direct HRPG efforts though
  our leadership position.
                                                Fort Nelson, BC
Working Early with Governments and Regulators


• Using water monitoring data, working with government on surface water
  licensing protocols
• Inventing technology to enable use of deep saline groundwater – working with
  government to define saline groundwater and develop regulations that enable
  its use
• Supporting the development of wildlife policies that both protect the species
  and enable responsible development
• Open relationship with indigenous peoples - puts us ahead of regulatory
  process
• Providing technical and financial information to the regulator to enable the
  best “fit for purpose” regulations possible
Regulatory certainty encourages investment


• Government empowerment of “one window” operational regulator – the Oil and
  Gas Commission (OGC)
   • All activities deemed oil and gas activities are permitted by the OGC.
• Government Developed the Oil and Gas Activities Act
   • Various pieces of legislation combined into a single overarching Act.
   • Detailed consultation with industry
   • Aimed at increased certainty
   • Focus on simplicity and mechanisms to review “unintended consequences”
• Government continues to engage Nexen and industry in an open and
  consultative manner – examples:
   • Wildlife policy
   • Roads regulation (increase certainty on road use and cost sharing)
   • Climate change
Policy and Programs


 • Recognition of challenges:
    • Mobility of capital
    • Low price environment
    • Distance from markets
    • Lack of public infrastructure
    • Competition for investment dollars
 • Resultant policies and programs include:
    • Revamp to the deep gas royalty credit
    • Net Profit Royalty
    • Infrastructure Royalty Credit Program
    • Updated policy on holding lands
    • Government dollars allocated for infrastructure
Recognized Leadership Role in Dealing with Indigenous Peoples



 The BC Government has recognized and undertaken its duty to consult
 • Province has signed Economic Benefits Agreements with some indigenous
   peoples
    • Royalty stream for indigenous groups
 • Province has signed Consultation Protocol Agreements with some
   indigenous peoples
    • Outlines consultation requirements and timelines


 Nexen’s Role with Indigenous peoples
 • Strategic community investment
 • Capacity building for local indigenous groups
5. Key challenges facing shale gas exploration
Issues to consider in shale gas industry

• Proving resource is present with sufficient resource density
• Increased well density and design
• Land use and access
• Challenging economics
• Water management and water stress
• Frac sand supply
• Land disturbances
• Infrastructure to market
• Environmental issues
• Impact on industry services and supply chain requirements
• Security
• Regulatory stability
• Indigenous concerns
3. Lessons and Opportunities for Colombia

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Rick Jensen - Policy & Regulatory Experience in British Columbia.

  • 1. Nexen Shale Gas Development: Policy & Regulatory Experience in British Columbia
  • 2. Forward-Looking Statements: Certain statements in this report constitute “forward-looking statements” (within the meaning of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995) or “forward-looking information” (within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation). Such statements or information (together “forward-looking statements”) are generally identifiable by the forward-looking terminology used such as “anticipate”, “believe”, “intend”, “plan”, “expect”, “estimate”, “budget”, “outlook”, “forecast” or other similar words and include statements relating to or associated with individual wells, regions or projects. Any statements as to possible future crude oil, natural gas or chemicals prices, future production levels, future capital expenditures and their allocation to exploration and development activities, future earnings, future asset acquisitions or dispositions, future sources of funding for our capital program, future debt levels, availability of committed credit facilities, possible commerciality, development plans or capacity expansions, future ability to execute dispositions of assets or businesses, future sources of liquidity, cash flows and their uses, future drilling of new wells, ultimate recoverability of current and long-term assets, ultimate recoverability of reserves or resources, expected finding and development costs, expected operating costs, future cost recovery oil revenues from our Yemen operations, future demand for chemicals products, estimates on a per share basis, future foreign currency exchange rates, future expenditures and future allowances relating to environmental matters and dates by which certain areas will be developed, come on stream, or reach expected operating capacity and changes in any of the foregoing are forward-looking statements. Statements relating to “reserves” or “resources” are forward-looking statements, as they involve the implied assessment, based on estimates and assumptions that the reserves and resources described exist in the quantities predicted or estimated, and can be profitably produced in the future. The forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors which may cause actual results, levels of activity and achievements to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements. Such factors include, among others: market prices for oil and gas and chemicals products; our ability to explore, develop, produce, upgrade and transport crude oil and natural gas to markets; ultimate effectiveness of design or design modifications to facilities; the results of exploration and development drilling and related activities; volatility in energy trading markets; foreign-currency exchange rates; economic conditions in the countries and regions in which we carry on business; governmental actions including changes to taxes or royalties, changes in environmental and other laws and regulations; renegotiations of contracts; results of litigation, arbitration or regulatory proceedings; and political uncertainty, including actions by terrorists, insurgent or other groups, or other armed conflict, including conflict between states. The impact of any one risk, uncertainty or factor on a particular forward-looking statement is not determinable with certainty as these factors are interdependent, and management’s future course of action would depend on our assessment of all information at that time. Although we believe that the expectations conveyed by the forward-looking statements are reasonable based on information available to us on the date such forward-looking statements were made, no assurances can be given as to future results, levels of activity and achievements. Undue reliance should not be placed on the statements contained herein, which are made as of the date hereof and, except as required by law, Nexen undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. The forward-looking statements contained herein are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement. Readers should also refer to Items 1A and 7A in our 2009 Annual Report on Form 10-K for further discussion of the risk factors. Cautionary Note to US Investors In this disclosure, we may refer to “recoverable reserves”, “recoverable resources” and “recoverable contingent resources” which are inherently more uncertain than proved reserves or probable reserves. These terms are not used in our filings with the SEC. Our reserves and related performance measures represent our working interest before royalties, unless otherwise indicated. Please refer to our Annual Report on Form 10-K available from us or the SEC for further reserve disclosure. Cautionary Note to Canadian Investors Nexen is an SEC registrant and a voluntary Form 10-K (and related forms) filer. Therefore, our reserves estimates and securities regulatory disclosures follow SEC requirements. In Canada, National Instrument 51-101— Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities (NI 51-101) prescribes that Canadian companies follow certain standards for the preparation and disclosure of reserves and related information. Nexen’s reserves disclosures are made in reliance upon exemptions granted to it by Canadian securities regulators from certain requirements of NI 51-101 which permits us to: ● prepare our reserves estimates and related disclosures in accordance with SEC disclosure requirements, generally accepted industry practices in the US and the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (COGE Handbook) standards modified to reflect SEC requirements; ● substitute those SEC disclosures for much of the annual disclosure required by NI 51-101; and ● rely upon internally-generated reserves estimates and the Standardized Measure of Discounted Future Net Cash Flows and Changes Therein, included in the Supplementary Financial Information, without the requirement to have those estimates evaluated or audited by independent qualified reserves consultants. As a result of these exemptions, Nexen’s disclosures may differ from other Canadian companies and Canadian investors should note the following fundamental differences in reserves estimates and related disclosures contained in the Form 10-K: ● SEC registrants apply SEC reserves definitions and prepare their reserves estimates in accordance with SEC requirements and generally accepted industry practices in the US whereas NI 51-101 requires adherence to the definitions and standards promulgated by the COGE Handbook; ● the SEC’s technical rules in estimating reserves differ from NI 51-101 in areas such as the use of reliable technology, aerial extent around a drilled location, quantities below the lowest known oil and quantities across an undrilled fault block; ● the SEC mandates disclosure of proved reserves and the Standardized Measure of Discounted Future Net Cash Flows and Changes Therein calculated using the year’s 12-month average prices and costs only whereas NI 51- 101 requires disclosure of reserves and related future net revenues using forecast prices; ● the SEC mandates disclosure of reserves by geographic area only whereas NI 51-101 requires disclosure of more reserve categories and product types; ● the SEC prescribes certain information about proved and probable undeveloped reserves and future developments costs whereas NI 51-101 requirements are different; ● the SEC does not require disclosure of finding and development (F&D) costs per boe of proved reserves additions whereas NI 51-101 requires that various F&D costs per boe and additional information be disclosed; ● the SEC leaves the engagement of independent qualified reserves consultants to the discretion of a company’s board of directors whereas NI 51-101 requires issuers to engage such evaluators; ● the SEC does not allow proved and probable reserves to be aggregated whereas NI 51-101 requires issuers disclose such; and ● the reserves disclosures in this document have not been reviewed by the independent qualified reserves consultants whereas NI 51-101 requires them to review it. The foregoing is a general description of the principal differences only. The differences between SEC requirements and NI 51-101 may be material. NI 51-101 requires that we make the following disclosures: ● we use oil equivalents (boe) to express quantities of natural gas and crude oil in a common unit. A conversion ratio of 6 mcf of natural gas to 1 barrel of oil is used. Boe may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. The conversion ratio is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead; and ● because reserves data are based on judgments regarding future events actual results will vary and the variations may be material. Variations as a result of future events are expected to be consistent with the fact that reserves are categorized according to the probability of their recovery. Resources Nexen’s estimates of contingent resources are based on definitions set out in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook which generally describe contingent resources as those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from known accumulations using established technology or technology under development, but which are not currently considered to be commercially recoverable due to one or more contingencies. Such contingencies may include, but are not limited to, factors such as economic, legal, environmental, political and regulatory matters or a lack of markets. Specific contingencies precluding these contingent resources being classified as reserves include but are not limited to: future drilling program results, drilling and completions optimization, stakeholder and regulatory approval of future drilling and infrastructure plans, access to required infrastructure, economic fiscal terms, a lower level of delineation, the absence of regulatory approvals, detailed design estimates and near- term development plans, and general uncertainties associated with this early stage of evaluation. The estimated range of contingent resources reflects conservative and optimistic likelihoods of recovery. However, there is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of these contingent resources. Nexen’s estimates of discovered resources (equivalent to discovered petroleum initially-in-place) are based on definitions set out in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook which generally describe discovered resources as those quantities of petroleum estimated, as of a given date, to be contained in known accumulations prior to production. Discovered resources do not represent recoverable volumes. We disclose additional information regarding resource estimates in accordance with NI 51-101. These disclosures can be found on our website and on SEDAR. Cautionary statement: In the case of discovered resources or a subcategory of discovered resources other than reserves, there is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources. In the case of undiscovered resources or a subcategory of undiscovered resources, there is no certainty that any portion of the resources will be discovered. If discovered, there is no certainty that it will be commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources.
  • 3. Lessons and Opportunities for Colombia • Engage all stakeholders early • Regulators and industry must work together to provide input into the creation of shale gas regulations to create a stable and beneficial framework that supports investment and provides competitive fiscal system • Certainty in regulatory environment – avoid tendency to issue separate statutory enactments and instead amend laws • Baseline studies are important to establish a regulatory and industry accepted starting framework • Simplify the system whenever possible to reduce cost, bureaucracy and confusion • Continuous dialogue between industry, government and other shale gas jurisdictions to share best practices and address concerns • Win/win scenario can be achieved!
  • 4. Nexen’s 2011 Activities North Sea: Opening new Canada: high impact BC Shale Gas areas and Opportunities: Horn River growing Oil sands: Long Lake through exploration. Adding value to Golden Eagle Gulf of Mexico: and Buzzard Resuming activities areas. following Macondo spill hiatus: Appomattox, Kakuna, Angel Fire and Cypress Colombia: Unconventional West Africa: Yemen: exploration: Shale Gas Evaluating high quality Renegotiating PSA for opportunities: Potential Masila block. Evaluating exploration and appraisal opportunities. drilling
  • 5. Nexen sees excellent opportunities in Colombia • Nexen is in early operational stages of drilling four wells on our Sueva and Chiquinquira shale gas blocks • Currently working with Petrobras to drill on the Boqueron block in 2011 • Nexen is interested in developing and increasing our shale gas position in Colombia
  • 6. Nexen position - Colombia LOWER VILLETA TEA Nexen 100% WI Eastern Bogotá Cordillera Basin CHIQUINQUIRA E&P Nexen 100% WI BOQUERON ASSOCIATION CONTRACT SUEVA E&P Nexen NX 10% WI 100% WI FOMEQUE TEA ECP 75% WI Nexen 100% WI PB 15% WI GUANDO SW NX 10% WI ECP 75% WI PB 15% WI VILLARRICA NORTE E&P NX 50% WI PB 50%WI
  • 7. 1. Nexen’s shale gas experience
  • 8. Well-positioned in North-Eastern BC for shale gas CORDOVA N.W.T • Significant shale gas acreage in NE British Columbia, Canada with excellent land tenure (15 years plus) LIARD • 300,000 total acres split over 3 areas Alberta BASIN • Horn River • Cordova • Liard • Development in Horn River is at least 2 HORN RIVER years ahead of other regions BASIN • Horn River is median depth with high gas in place (GIP) Fort • Cordova is shallower, lower GIP Nelson • Liard is deeper, potentially higher GIP Areas where land Existing Nexen was acquired in Highways Acreage subsequent land Pipelines sale (dashed – Proposed)
  • 9. Nexen’s experience to date in North-Eastern BC • Drilled and cored wells indicating thick shale resource The Resource is there • Third party evaluation estimates Nexen’s shale gas resource as 4-15 tcf contingent recoverable resource and 5-23 tcf of unrisked prospective resource • Competitor wells drilled near Nexen’s lease lines confirm Nexen is in the heart of the play • Wells successfully fracked – resource density supports multiple The Resource fracs per well; well productivity is excellent; frac costs coming can be produced down • Strong initial production rates (up to 1 mmcf/d per frac) • Long-term take away capacity secured • Play breaks even (10% IRR) at US$4-4.50/mcf Breakevens are dropping rapidly • We control the pace of development; small discrete capital allocations result in quick production adds • Early signs indicate lower declines than other shale plays leading to superior economics
  • 10. Nexen continues to reduce costs and improve productivity Metrics • Driving down drilling and completion costs • Improving productivities • Producing at well rates in line with regional competitors and expectations Next Steps Horn River ($/frac) • 8-well pad program adding 50 mmcf/d in early 6 2011 ($MM/ Frac) • Pace of development will be driven by gas price 4 outlook Target 2 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Drill Frac & Complete Total D & C
  • 11. Future shale gas potential of North-Eastern BC • Potentially more than doubles Nexen’s Contingent proved reserves 25 Resource High • 18 wells with 18 fracs/well over 1,800m well 20 Low length supports 100 mmcf/d facility • Growing competitive advantage 15 TCF • 2 more wells will hold all acreage for 10 yrs 10 • No one has as much core coverage & analysis as Nexen does 5 • Strategically impacts Nexen’s portfolio • Short cycle time production adds Horn River Cordova Total Liard • Increased exposure to natural gas
  • 12. Nexen industry leader in shale gas completions Fracs/Day Performance vs Major Competitors 4.0 3.5 Fracs/Day New Industry Record 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.5 Fracs per day 1.7 Fracs/Day 1.5 – 2.0 2.0 New Industry Record 1.7 1.5 Various Competitors 1.0 0.8 Competitor A 0.4 0.5 Nexen Nexen Nexen Nexen 0.0 Q1 2008 Winter 2008-2009 Summer 2009 2009 to Winter 2009-2010 Summer 2010 Single Well Pad 2 Well Pad 3 Well Pad 2010 8 Well Pad
  • 13. EUR (bcf) 0 2 4 6 8 Horn River Haynesville Vienna Shale Eagle Ford Anadarko Woodford Marcellus Northeast Marcellus Southwest Barnett Woodford Sweden Shale Germany Shale Poland Shale Mancos Gothic Arkoma Woodford Barnett Utica Algeria Shale China Shale Karoo Fayetteville Pierre Cody Baxter Barnett Southwest Horn River holds highest Expected Ultimate Return rates Palo Duro Floyd Huron Horn River driven by good rocks and rates and shallow production declines well design that deliver high initial flow Conasauga New Albany Chattanooga Antrim
  • 14. Comparable resource to leading U.S. shale basins Nexen Barnett Dilly Creek Parameters* Shale Parameters** Thickness (Ft) 572 to 578 355 Permeability (nd) 150 to 450 250 Gas-Filled Porosity (%) 3.2 to 6.2 4.5 Maturity (Ro) 2.2 to 2.6 2.2 Silica Content (%) 45 to 60 55 GIP (Bcf/Mi2) (Discovered 130 to 250 193 Resources) * Parameters reflect log and core analysis results from three vertical appraisal wells ** Barnett shale data from EOG Resources Shale Presentation, February 2008 Our contingent recoverable resource estimate of 3 to 6 tcf reflects an assumed 20% recovery factor compared to some Barnett recovery factors ranging from 30-35% Note: Refer to our press release dated April 22, 2008 for information with respect to forward-looking statements and cautionary notes.
  • 15. 2. Government Approach: The BC Government’s Approach to Development: Vested Interest in Growth and Supporting Policy and Regulations
  • 16. Government has Vested Interest in Development of the Industry The BC Government has recognized industry as critical to revenues amidst declines in other sectors and growing demands on social programs 2009 Throne Speech: “In 2008 we saw record oil and gas rights sales of $2.66 billion. Beyond that, the industry pays corporate tax, personal income tax, sales tax, property tax and more. Those dollars go to support priorities like health care and education in our communities. Far from government subsidizing energy, energy is subsidizing government.” Supportive policy and collaboration have ensued….
  • 17. Requirements and benefits from the government/community perspective Government/community needs • Secure gas supply – energy security issues • Skilled jobs • Revenue • Infrastructure development Government and community benefits from shale gas development • Energy security • Encourages exploration • Promotes foreign investment in the country • Develop local industry and expertise • Technological transfer • Provides jobs and economic growth
  • 18. Government role in creating the regulatory structure Government role to establish successful regulatory structure • Understand the process for unconventional development, costs and regulations • Balance the needs of industry and local stakeholders • Voice and input in development and pace of industry • Single window regulator vs. multiple voices and influence
  • 19. 3. Industry Approach: Nexen and the Industry’s Approach to Development
  • 20. Requirements from industry perspective Industry needs • Favorable fiscal terms that promotes exploration and shares risk • Sanctity of contract • Stable, streamlined, open and transparent regulatory structure • Transparent process for licensing and permitting • Access to financing • Infrastructure to customer • Liberalized gas market • Political stability • Secure and predictable operating environment • Legitimate government consultation on regulation, terms and policy
  • 21. Benefits for industry Industry benefit from shale gas development • Active investment • Testing potential • Additional reserves • Access to market • Partnership with governments and stakeholders • Make reasonable fiscal returns
  • 22. 4. Collaborative Approach: Opportunities for Collaboration and Planning in a Greenfield Area
  • 23. Industry Collaboration on Planning Development of the Horn River Producers Group: • Formed by industry in 2007 to: • Collaborate on infrastructure • Build local capacity • Engage communities in the long term development plans • Now involvement includes government, indigenous and community of Fort Nelson. • Achievements include: • Environmental studies • Operating protocol development • Footprint reduction • Regulatory suggestions • Communication • Social benefits • Nexen is able to direct HRPG efforts though our leadership position. Fort Nelson, BC
  • 24. Working Early with Governments and Regulators • Using water monitoring data, working with government on surface water licensing protocols • Inventing technology to enable use of deep saline groundwater – working with government to define saline groundwater and develop regulations that enable its use • Supporting the development of wildlife policies that both protect the species and enable responsible development • Open relationship with indigenous peoples - puts us ahead of regulatory process • Providing technical and financial information to the regulator to enable the best “fit for purpose” regulations possible
  • 25. Regulatory certainty encourages investment • Government empowerment of “one window” operational regulator – the Oil and Gas Commission (OGC) • All activities deemed oil and gas activities are permitted by the OGC. • Government Developed the Oil and Gas Activities Act • Various pieces of legislation combined into a single overarching Act. • Detailed consultation with industry • Aimed at increased certainty • Focus on simplicity and mechanisms to review “unintended consequences” • Government continues to engage Nexen and industry in an open and consultative manner – examples: • Wildlife policy • Roads regulation (increase certainty on road use and cost sharing) • Climate change
  • 26. Policy and Programs • Recognition of challenges: • Mobility of capital • Low price environment • Distance from markets • Lack of public infrastructure • Competition for investment dollars • Resultant policies and programs include: • Revamp to the deep gas royalty credit • Net Profit Royalty • Infrastructure Royalty Credit Program • Updated policy on holding lands • Government dollars allocated for infrastructure
  • 27. Recognized Leadership Role in Dealing with Indigenous Peoples The BC Government has recognized and undertaken its duty to consult • Province has signed Economic Benefits Agreements with some indigenous peoples • Royalty stream for indigenous groups • Province has signed Consultation Protocol Agreements with some indigenous peoples • Outlines consultation requirements and timelines Nexen’s Role with Indigenous peoples • Strategic community investment • Capacity building for local indigenous groups
  • 28. 5. Key challenges facing shale gas exploration
  • 29. Issues to consider in shale gas industry • Proving resource is present with sufficient resource density • Increased well density and design • Land use and access • Challenging economics • Water management and water stress • Frac sand supply • Land disturbances • Infrastructure to market • Environmental issues • Impact on industry services and supply chain requirements • Security • Regulatory stability • Indigenous concerns
  • 30. 3. Lessons and Opportunities for Colombia