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WILL TECHNOLOGY
SAVE US AND IF NOT
WHAT ELSE CAN WE
       DO?
        Oksana Mont
      Prof. in sustainable
 consumption and production
   IIIEE at Lund University
Why technology is not sufficient?
          • Factor level improvements
                   – Production & product improvement
          • Outsourcing production => increasing impacts embedded in
            imported products
          • Improved per unit efficiency overcompensated by
            increasing consumption
                   –     CO2 emissions from consumption of imported products is ↑
                   –     CO2 emissions from transport ↑
                   –     Amount of chemicals ↑, especially through imported goods
                   –     Amount of waste is ↑




                                                                                            Sverige
                                                 Electricity use in household in Europe
                                                    Kilogram oil equivalent per household




Källa: Eurostat (internetkod: tsdpc310, lfst_hhnhtych)
Housing – energy use




            The International Institute for Industrial
           Environmental Economics, Lund University,     3
                         Oksana Mont
Fuel efficiency of an average car alongside
 trends in private car ownership and GHG
                 emissions        Average CO2 emissions from
                                            personal cars
                                            Gram CO2 per kilometre




                                           Source: Eurostat (internetkod: tsdtr450)



                                           CO2/km from new cars have
                                           been reducing mostly due to
                                           shifting from gasoline to diesel
                                           and more fuel efficient
                                           technology




                                             Source: EEA, 2012
Private car use in Sweden




Holmberg et al 2012
Supersize Everything!
7-Eleven soda                      Cruise lines
• 1980: 32 ounces                  • 1985: 46,052 tons
• 2000: 64 ounces                  • 2002: 88,500 tons

McDonald’s French fries            Refrigerators
• 1980: 4 ounces                   • 1980: 19.6 inches
• 2000: 7 ounces                   • 2002: 28.6 inches

Supermarkets
                                   NFL players: average
• 1972: 24,038 square feet
                                     weight
• 2000: 44,072 square feet         • 1974: 255 pounds
                                   • 2000: 322 pounds
                                                              6
                                            Wired, December 2002, 65
Pricing vs amount




32 ounces        44 ounces      64 ounces
388 calories     533 calories   776 calories
$0.99            $1.09           $1.19
8
9
Efficiency is improving, but utility for
                              consumers?
                                                                                    Fuel energy 100%




                                                Bearings 6%       Radiation 20%
                                                                                            Exhaust 35%




 Rolling resistance 4.2%
 Air resistance 10.5%                            Movement 19%   Cooling water 20%
 Accelerate and climb 4.3%

                                 Is that what I pay my
                                 money for???
                                                                 Deadweight 17%
                             Personal mobility - 2%
                                                                                                       10
Fussler (1996)
... and use efficiency?

• Average European
  car is used for 29
  min a day
• In 12 years of car
  life it is used in total
  for 3 month, after
  which it is discarded
• Average speed of
  cars in centers of
  European cities is
  17 km/hour => it is
  faster to take a bike
“Technological advancement
         will not be enough
to achieve sustainable development,

   changes will also be required
      to people’s lifestyles”

                            Source: WBCSD 2008
Challenging traditional business models
Demand side management          Car sharing schemes
Least-Cost Planning             DIY tools sharing systems
Chemical Management Services    Community-based washing centres
Integrated pest management
                                Leasing and renting services
Carpet leasing programmes
Document companies              Sporting goods
Furniture services              IT solutions: application service
Professional washing services   providers
Services of electronic goods    Communication services




                                                                    13
Enabling social innovation
• Collaborative consumption
  – Utilising the idling capacity of stuff
  – Second-hand = vintage – reframe => normalise
• Consumers as co-producers
  – Resilient communities
  – Tacking charge of our lives
• Urban mining
  – Utilising wealth of societies

                                    Rachel Botsman: The case for collaborative consumption
15
Rachel Botsman: The case for collaborative consumption
Understanding lifestyles
       Bernd, Germany
       55,1t

              Kirsti, Finland
                         38,7t

         Material Footprint
                2011
       Iria, Spain
       24,8t

            Péter, Hungary
                       8,8t
                                 http://www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu/
                                                                    16
Envisioning Sustainable Living 2050
Envisioning Sustainable Living 2050
                8-10 ton lifestyle
                       (total resource use)


Food:                   500 kg/a mostly vegetarian
Housing:                20 m2/person zero net energy
Energy:                 1000 kWh via wind and solar
Household goods:        efficient, different and sufficient
Mobility & Tourism:     10 000 km/a no car
Health & well-being:    improved health, well-being, happiness


                                              http://www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu/
Sustainable lifestyles should be happy!


                               Index of Sustainable
                             Economic Welfare (ISEW)
                               and GDP in Sweden
                                during 1950–1996.




                           Source: (Jackson and Marks 1999b) and
                           (Jackson and Stymne 1996)




                                                            19
Life satisfaction in Sweden 1999-2009




                               Fairly satisfied decreased,
                               Very satisfied increased
                               by 7%, while GDP increased
                               By 24% from 1999 to 2009

Holmberg et al 2012
Practices, happiness and energy intensity
   Energy intensity (J/h)   Activity                  Happiness
                            Sex                            4,7
                            Socialising                    4,0
                            Relaxing                       3,9
Very low (zero)
                            Praying/meditating             3,8
                            Eating                         3,8
                            Exercising                     3,8
                            Watching TV                    3,6
                            Shopping                       3,2
Use of appliances:          Preparing food                 3,2
medium high                 Talking on phone               3,1
                            Taking care of children        3,0
                            Computer/internet              3,0
                            Housework                      3,0
                            Working                        2,7
Commuting: high             Commuting                      2,6



Holmberg et al 2012
Principles for living sustainably
Sustainable lifestyle
   Cooperating vs. Competing
   Sharing vs. Hoarding
   Using and Saving vs. Consuming
   Moving vs. sedentary but travel-based
   Reflective vs. chased stressed lives
Context
   From expectation society to the “power of now”
   Happiness is in relating, not accumulating
   “Live simply that others may simply live”
Goal
   Now high-consumption competitive living
   Need high-satisfaction cooperative living

                                                    developed from Pat Murphy
From mindless consumption to mindfulness

“To be nobody but yourself in a world doing its best
  to make you everybody else means to fight the
 hardest battle any human can ever fight and never
            stop fighting”. E.E. Cummings


  Living one’s passion is the ultimate experience of
 feeling alive and connected to the universe – when
              did you feel alive last time?

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Oksana Mont - Will technology save us

  • 1. WILL TECHNOLOGY SAVE US AND IF NOT WHAT ELSE CAN WE DO? Oksana Mont Prof. in sustainable consumption and production IIIEE at Lund University
  • 2. Why technology is not sufficient? • Factor level improvements – Production & product improvement • Outsourcing production => increasing impacts embedded in imported products • Improved per unit efficiency overcompensated by increasing consumption – CO2 emissions from consumption of imported products is ↑ – CO2 emissions from transport ↑ – Amount of chemicals ↑, especially through imported goods – Amount of waste is ↑ Sverige Electricity use in household in Europe Kilogram oil equivalent per household Källa: Eurostat (internetkod: tsdpc310, lfst_hhnhtych)
  • 3. Housing – energy use The International Institute for Industrial Environmental Economics, Lund University, 3 Oksana Mont
  • 4. Fuel efficiency of an average car alongside trends in private car ownership and GHG emissions Average CO2 emissions from personal cars Gram CO2 per kilometre Source: Eurostat (internetkod: tsdtr450) CO2/km from new cars have been reducing mostly due to shifting from gasoline to diesel and more fuel efficient technology Source: EEA, 2012
  • 5. Private car use in Sweden Holmberg et al 2012
  • 6. Supersize Everything! 7-Eleven soda Cruise lines • 1980: 32 ounces • 1985: 46,052 tons • 2000: 64 ounces • 2002: 88,500 tons McDonald’s French fries Refrigerators • 1980: 4 ounces • 1980: 19.6 inches • 2000: 7 ounces • 2002: 28.6 inches Supermarkets NFL players: average • 1972: 24,038 square feet weight • 2000: 44,072 square feet • 1974: 255 pounds • 2000: 322 pounds 6 Wired, December 2002, 65
  • 7. Pricing vs amount 32 ounces 44 ounces 64 ounces 388 calories 533 calories 776 calories $0.99 $1.09 $1.19
  • 8. 8
  • 9. 9
  • 10. Efficiency is improving, but utility for consumers? Fuel energy 100% Bearings 6% Radiation 20% Exhaust 35% Rolling resistance 4.2% Air resistance 10.5% Movement 19% Cooling water 20% Accelerate and climb 4.3% Is that what I pay my money for??? Deadweight 17% Personal mobility - 2% 10 Fussler (1996)
  • 11. ... and use efficiency? • Average European car is used for 29 min a day • In 12 years of car life it is used in total for 3 month, after which it is discarded • Average speed of cars in centers of European cities is 17 km/hour => it is faster to take a bike
  • 12. “Technological advancement will not be enough to achieve sustainable development, changes will also be required to people’s lifestyles” Source: WBCSD 2008
  • 13. Challenging traditional business models Demand side management Car sharing schemes Least-Cost Planning DIY tools sharing systems Chemical Management Services Community-based washing centres Integrated pest management Leasing and renting services Carpet leasing programmes Document companies Sporting goods Furniture services IT solutions: application service Professional washing services providers Services of electronic goods Communication services 13
  • 14. Enabling social innovation • Collaborative consumption – Utilising the idling capacity of stuff – Second-hand = vintage – reframe => normalise • Consumers as co-producers – Resilient communities – Tacking charge of our lives • Urban mining – Utilising wealth of societies Rachel Botsman: The case for collaborative consumption
  • 15. 15 Rachel Botsman: The case for collaborative consumption
  • 16. Understanding lifestyles Bernd, Germany 55,1t Kirsti, Finland 38,7t Material Footprint 2011 Iria, Spain 24,8t Péter, Hungary 8,8t http://www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu/ 16
  • 18. Envisioning Sustainable Living 2050 8-10 ton lifestyle (total resource use) Food: 500 kg/a mostly vegetarian Housing: 20 m2/person zero net energy Energy: 1000 kWh via wind and solar Household goods: efficient, different and sufficient Mobility & Tourism: 10 000 km/a no car Health & well-being: improved health, well-being, happiness http://www.sustainable-lifestyles.eu/
  • 19. Sustainable lifestyles should be happy! Index of Sustainable Economic Welfare (ISEW) and GDP in Sweden during 1950–1996. Source: (Jackson and Marks 1999b) and (Jackson and Stymne 1996) 19
  • 20. Life satisfaction in Sweden 1999-2009 Fairly satisfied decreased, Very satisfied increased by 7%, while GDP increased By 24% from 1999 to 2009 Holmberg et al 2012
  • 21. Practices, happiness and energy intensity Energy intensity (J/h) Activity Happiness Sex 4,7 Socialising 4,0 Relaxing 3,9 Very low (zero) Praying/meditating 3,8 Eating 3,8 Exercising 3,8 Watching TV 3,6 Shopping 3,2 Use of appliances: Preparing food 3,2 medium high Talking on phone 3,1 Taking care of children 3,0 Computer/internet 3,0 Housework 3,0 Working 2,7 Commuting: high Commuting 2,6 Holmberg et al 2012
  • 22. Principles for living sustainably Sustainable lifestyle Cooperating vs. Competing Sharing vs. Hoarding Using and Saving vs. Consuming Moving vs. sedentary but travel-based Reflective vs. chased stressed lives Context From expectation society to the “power of now” Happiness is in relating, not accumulating “Live simply that others may simply live” Goal Now high-consumption competitive living Need high-satisfaction cooperative living developed from Pat Murphy
  • 23. From mindless consumption to mindfulness “To be nobody but yourself in a world doing its best to make you everybody else means to fight the hardest battle any human can ever fight and never stop fighting”. E.E. Cummings Living one’s passion is the ultimate experience of feeling alive and connected to the universe – when did you feel alive last time?

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Enough for what? What a functioning economic mechanism or for society where people are happy and healthy, leading meaningful lives and aspire for personal development, meaning and compassion?Challenging the way we see societyThe way we think about businesses and what they sellThe way we think of ourselves and our place in the worldWaking up is the first thing we should do
  2. Travelling a lot, but leading sedentary lifestylesOur minds are filled with thoughts, frenetically moving around, and yet we have no time to think about things that matter, etc. what makes us happy and healthyOur virtual lives, filled with social media, advertisement and TV people, makes us feel surrounded by people, but more and more people feel lonely, live in single households and long for meaningful relationsWe are experts in how to grow and produce food and yet, much of our food makes us sick Many people long for deep and close relations, and yet our lifestyles are true representation of disconnectedness and meaningless and short connectionsWe are taught by health experts that the best way to personal well-being is to be in the now, and yet we are more and more living in tomorrow – in the expectation society