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WWW.SITE2MAX.PROFree PowerPoint & KeyNote
Templates
Waiting Lines &
Simulation
by-
Navitha Pereira
Vijay M V
Navya G Nayak
Adarsh K V
Sanath Bhaskar
Outline
Waiting Lines
Capacity Planning
Simulation
Computer Simulation
WWW.SITE2MAX.PROFree PowerPoint & KeyNote
Templates
Waiting
Lines
Waiting Lines
Waiting Lines are commonly found wherever customers arrive
randomly for services
• Waiting lines are non-value added occurrences
• Customers regard waiting as something negative
• For businesses, the costs of waiting come from lower productivity and
competitive disadvantage
• Service Designers and Managers needs to consider the impact of waiting
lines
Waiting Lines
Managerial Implications of Waiting lines:
Cost of waiting space
Possible loss of business from
waiting customers
Possible loss of goodwill
Possible reduction in customer
satisfaction
1
2
3
4
Disruption in other business
operations/customers
5
Waiting Lines
Goal of Waiting Lines:
• Minimize total cost.
Total Cost = Customer
waiting cost +
Capacity cost
• Balance the total cost of
service with the cost of
customer waiting for
service.
Waiting Lines
Characteristics of Waiting Lines:
• Population source:
1) Infinite-source situation
2) Finite-source situation
• Number of servers (channels):
1) Single channel
2) Multiple channels
• Arrival and Service patterns
• Queue disciplines (order of service)
Waiting Lines
Measures of Waiting Lines:
Average number of customers waiting
Average time
customers wait
System
utilization
Implied cost of given
level of capacity and its
related waiting line
The probability that an
arrival will have to wait
for service
Waiting Lines
Case of Walt Disney
Key Issues:
• Walt Disney realised that customers waiting in lines doesn’t add to their
enjoyment.
• Waiting lines will not generate revenue.
Solution:
• Used a reservation system called FastPass.
Result:
• Customers are happier.
• Hence the park’s potential for additional revenue increased.
WWW.SITE2MAX.PROFree PowerPoint & KeyNote
Templates
Capacity
Planning
In services using
queuing analysis
Capacity Planning
A
B
C
D
Capacity - ability to achieve,
store or produce.
In OM - output rate of a
production or service facility.
Capacity planning - process of
establishing the output rate that
may be needed at a facility.
E.g. Indian Railways Capacity planning will
consider number of booking counter to be
made available for the Public.
Capacity Planning
fewer booking counter -> long queues
-> more waiting time for customers.
Capacity decisions in service
systems made on the basis of
impact on the customers
Waiting time determines service
quality in service systems.
Basic structure of Queuing system
• Customer requiring service are generated
over time from a calling population(source).
• Customers enter the queueing system and
join the waiting line (queue.)
• Queue discipline used to select a member.
• Service performed by servers.
• Customer leaves the queueing system.
Basic elements of waiting line model
Routing
Infinite
Finite
Calling Population
Pattern
Rate
Stages
Servers
Single, bulk, special group
Capacity
Queue length, waiting time, utilization, cost-based
Single, multiple
Single, multiple
Single serial network
FCFS,LCFS,random
Markovian, general distribution, deterministic
Finite, infinite
Markovian, General Distribution, deterministic
System Structure
and Parameter
Queue Parameter
Arrival Parameters
Performance
Metrics
Service Parameter
System configuration in queuing systems
Single server single stage Single server multiple stage
Multiple server single stage Multiple server multiple stage
Capacity Planning
Poisson distribution
Probability of no of arrivals(n) during time T is given by:
Exponential Distribution
Probability of arrival within a specific time is given by:
WWW.SITE2MAX.PROFree PowerPoint & KeyNote
Templates
Simulation
Simulation
Simulation is a descriptive technique in which a model of a process is
developed and then experiments are conducted on the model to evaluate its
behavior under various conditions.
• Many situation are too complex to permit development of a mathematical
solution.
• Simulation models are fairly simple to use and understand.
• It enables the decision maker to conduct experiments on a model.
• It can be used for a wide range of situation.
• There have been numerous successful applications of these techniques.
Steps in the simulation process
01 02 03 04
Identify the problem
and set objectives
Develop the
simulation model
Test the model to be
sure that it reflect the
system being studied
Develop one or
more
experiments
05 06
Run the simulation and
evaluate the results
Repeat steps 4 and 5 until you
are satisfied with the results
WWW.SITE2MAX.PROFree PowerPoint & KeyNote
Templates
Computer
Simulation
Computer Simulation
• Most real-life simulations involve the use of a computer.
• Computers offer relatively quick and easy means of obtaining
results.
• Simulation Languages – GPSS/H, GPSS/PC and RESQ
• Some simulation packages have narrow focus on queuing or
network problems.
A computer simulation is the usage of a computer for the
imitation of a real-world process or system.
Computer Simulation
Tool for decision
making
Solves
mathematically
difficult problems
Saves time
Advantages
Computer Simulation
Disadvantages
Does not produce
optimum solution,
merely an
approximate
Considerable
effort to develop
a suitable model
WWW.SITE2MAX.PROFree PowerPoint & KeyNote
Templates
Comprehensive
Airport
Simulation
Tool
Video Summary
CAST Summary
The simulation describes the key elements
of SESAR Airport Operations Plan (AOP)
and Airport Performance Monitoring.
CAST is a fast time simulation model developed by
Airport Research Centre (ARC) Germany.
CAST (Comprehensive Airport Simulation Tool) is applied for Airport
Collaborative Decision Making Concept(ACDM) to develop the quality
of Airport and Network Operations through sharing of accurate
information.
CAST Summary
CAST improves the situational awareness
among airport partners with a feature called
ATV (Airport Transit View) to identify the
trajectory performance and re-enforce the
collaborative decision-making process.
When the agreed thresholds are
exceeded, CAST raises an ALERT to all
the connected centers. This Alert is sent in
the form of a warning to the AOP to
improve the overall operations
predictability.
CAST Summary
Performance
Steering
Performance
Monitoring
Post-operations
Analysis
Performance
Management
01
02
03
04
CAST supports the 4 key services of the Airport Operations:
All these 4 key services are executed in a separate division called
AirPort Operations Centre (APOC).
CONCLUSION: CAST gives a holistic view leading to optimization
and collaboration
CAST Summary
ARC (Airport
Research
Center)
Germany
Comprehensive
Airport
Simulation Tool
(CAST)
Airport
Operations Plan
(AOP)
ATM Network
Manager
APOC [ 4 Key
Services ]
1 2 3 4 5
Airport
Performance
Management
6
Any Questions?
Thank You

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Waiting Lines & Simulation

  • 1. WWW.SITE2MAX.PROFree PowerPoint & KeyNote Templates Waiting Lines & Simulation by- Navitha Pereira Vijay M V Navya G Nayak Adarsh K V Sanath Bhaskar
  • 3. WWW.SITE2MAX.PROFree PowerPoint & KeyNote Templates Waiting Lines
  • 4. Waiting Lines Waiting Lines are commonly found wherever customers arrive randomly for services • Waiting lines are non-value added occurrences • Customers regard waiting as something negative • For businesses, the costs of waiting come from lower productivity and competitive disadvantage • Service Designers and Managers needs to consider the impact of waiting lines
  • 5. Waiting Lines Managerial Implications of Waiting lines: Cost of waiting space Possible loss of business from waiting customers Possible loss of goodwill Possible reduction in customer satisfaction 1 2 3 4 Disruption in other business operations/customers 5
  • 6. Waiting Lines Goal of Waiting Lines: • Minimize total cost. Total Cost = Customer waiting cost + Capacity cost • Balance the total cost of service with the cost of customer waiting for service.
  • 7. Waiting Lines Characteristics of Waiting Lines: • Population source: 1) Infinite-source situation 2) Finite-source situation • Number of servers (channels): 1) Single channel 2) Multiple channels • Arrival and Service patterns • Queue disciplines (order of service)
  • 8. Waiting Lines Measures of Waiting Lines: Average number of customers waiting Average time customers wait System utilization Implied cost of given level of capacity and its related waiting line The probability that an arrival will have to wait for service
  • 9. Waiting Lines Case of Walt Disney Key Issues: • Walt Disney realised that customers waiting in lines doesn’t add to their enjoyment. • Waiting lines will not generate revenue. Solution: • Used a reservation system called FastPass. Result: • Customers are happier. • Hence the park’s potential for additional revenue increased.
  • 10. WWW.SITE2MAX.PROFree PowerPoint & KeyNote Templates Capacity Planning In services using queuing analysis
  • 11. Capacity Planning A B C D Capacity - ability to achieve, store or produce. In OM - output rate of a production or service facility. Capacity planning - process of establishing the output rate that may be needed at a facility. E.g. Indian Railways Capacity planning will consider number of booking counter to be made available for the Public.
  • 12. Capacity Planning fewer booking counter -> long queues -> more waiting time for customers. Capacity decisions in service systems made on the basis of impact on the customers Waiting time determines service quality in service systems.
  • 13. Basic structure of Queuing system • Customer requiring service are generated over time from a calling population(source). • Customers enter the queueing system and join the waiting line (queue.) • Queue discipline used to select a member. • Service performed by servers. • Customer leaves the queueing system.
  • 14. Basic elements of waiting line model Routing Infinite Finite Calling Population Pattern Rate Stages Servers Single, bulk, special group Capacity Queue length, waiting time, utilization, cost-based Single, multiple Single, multiple Single serial network FCFS,LCFS,random Markovian, general distribution, deterministic Finite, infinite Markovian, General Distribution, deterministic System Structure and Parameter Queue Parameter Arrival Parameters Performance Metrics Service Parameter
  • 15. System configuration in queuing systems Single server single stage Single server multiple stage Multiple server single stage Multiple server multiple stage
  • 16. Capacity Planning Poisson distribution Probability of no of arrivals(n) during time T is given by: Exponential Distribution Probability of arrival within a specific time is given by:
  • 17. WWW.SITE2MAX.PROFree PowerPoint & KeyNote Templates Simulation
  • 18. Simulation Simulation is a descriptive technique in which a model of a process is developed and then experiments are conducted on the model to evaluate its behavior under various conditions. • Many situation are too complex to permit development of a mathematical solution. • Simulation models are fairly simple to use and understand. • It enables the decision maker to conduct experiments on a model. • It can be used for a wide range of situation. • There have been numerous successful applications of these techniques.
  • 19. Steps in the simulation process 01 02 03 04 Identify the problem and set objectives Develop the simulation model Test the model to be sure that it reflect the system being studied Develop one or more experiments 05 06 Run the simulation and evaluate the results Repeat steps 4 and 5 until you are satisfied with the results
  • 20. WWW.SITE2MAX.PROFree PowerPoint & KeyNote Templates Computer Simulation
  • 21. Computer Simulation • Most real-life simulations involve the use of a computer. • Computers offer relatively quick and easy means of obtaining results. • Simulation Languages – GPSS/H, GPSS/PC and RESQ • Some simulation packages have narrow focus on queuing or network problems. A computer simulation is the usage of a computer for the imitation of a real-world process or system.
  • 22. Computer Simulation Tool for decision making Solves mathematically difficult problems Saves time Advantages
  • 23. Computer Simulation Disadvantages Does not produce optimum solution, merely an approximate Considerable effort to develop a suitable model
  • 24. WWW.SITE2MAX.PROFree PowerPoint & KeyNote Templates Comprehensive Airport Simulation Tool Video Summary
  • 25. CAST Summary The simulation describes the key elements of SESAR Airport Operations Plan (AOP) and Airport Performance Monitoring. CAST is a fast time simulation model developed by Airport Research Centre (ARC) Germany. CAST (Comprehensive Airport Simulation Tool) is applied for Airport Collaborative Decision Making Concept(ACDM) to develop the quality of Airport and Network Operations through sharing of accurate information.
  • 26. CAST Summary CAST improves the situational awareness among airport partners with a feature called ATV (Airport Transit View) to identify the trajectory performance and re-enforce the collaborative decision-making process. When the agreed thresholds are exceeded, CAST raises an ALERT to all the connected centers. This Alert is sent in the form of a warning to the AOP to improve the overall operations predictability.
  • 27. CAST Summary Performance Steering Performance Monitoring Post-operations Analysis Performance Management 01 02 03 04 CAST supports the 4 key services of the Airport Operations: All these 4 key services are executed in a separate division called AirPort Operations Centre (APOC). CONCLUSION: CAST gives a holistic view leading to optimization and collaboration
  • 28. CAST Summary ARC (Airport Research Center) Germany Comprehensive Airport Simulation Tool (CAST) Airport Operations Plan (AOP) ATM Network Manager APOC [ 4 Key Services ] 1 2 3 4 5 Airport Performance Management 6