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Family Planning, COVID19
Pandemic and progress towards
achieving the Sustainable
Development Goals
OLANREWAJU OLANIYAN
HEALTH POLICY TRAINING AND RESEARCH PROGRAMME (HPTRP)
DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS
UNIVERSITY OF IBADAN
IBADAN, NIGERIA
Outline
 Introduction
 The demography of Nigeria
 Family planning during emergencies
 Preparedness for Emergencies (Any role for FP2020, policies and programmes of
government) Population structure, demographic dividend etc.
 In the Midst of the COVID-19 emergencies (Access issues; Quality issues;
 Post COVID-19 emergency activities (Implementation, Financing, New normal)
 Family Planning and the SDGs
 Policy Options
 What can COVID19 response learn from Family Planning programming?
 What can Family Planning programming learn from COVID19 response ?
2
Introduction
 First case of COVID 19 in Nigeria was February 27, 2020 and it was
imported
 The types of uncertainty, health and economic shocks associated with
the illness had been unprecedented
 The pandemic has reminded us of
 Global health security
 Weaknesses in health systems, social protection and public services.
 Weakness of the economic systems and dependence on social systems
 the critical way in which the formal economy of developing countries including
Nigeria has been sustained on the back of an informal economy and invisible and
unpaid care labour.
3
1
1
2
23
93
185
238
357
925
1,918
3,278
3,973
5,131
6,726
8,065
10,174
12,584
14,894
16,071
18,160
20,391
22,173
22,567
12,154
11,506
12,141
11,402
10,929
11,011
7,619
7,370
7,456
7,277
3,627
3,397
3,034
2,752
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000 Week1
Week2
Week3
Week4
Week5
Week6
Week7
Week8
Week9
Week10
Week11
Week12
Week13
Week14
Week15
Week16
Week17
Week18
Week19
Week20
Week21
Week22
Week23
Week24
Week25
Week26
Week27
Week28
Week29
Week30
Week31
Week32
Week33
Week34
Week35
Week36
Week37
Monthly Epidemic Curve of Confirmed Cases in Nigeria,
February - October 4
Introduction
 The health sector of the country is one of the most affected sector by the
COVID pandemic.
 While prompt response was initiated for different areas of the health sector by
government, there re arguments on whether reproductive health and family
planning has received appropriate response during the pandemic
 Incidentally, reproductive health is a fundamental human right; only
individual adults should have the power to decide whether, when, or how
often to conceive. Rights and responsibility…
 Family planning is at the core as it assists individuals who do not wish to
become pregnant, dramatically reduces the number of unwanted
pregnancies and abortions.
5
 Family planning ensures a balanced fertility and demographic transition in a society with attendant
benefits
 empowering women to choose how many children they have,
 better health and survival of mothers and children,
 a reduction in poverty and
 a better educated population.
 With adequate and effective family planning, individuals take responsibility for the number of
children they desire leading to birth rates fall and increase in the share of the working-age
population relative to the dependent population.
 This puts countries at a window of opportunity to harness “demographic dividends”.
 Given that family planning directly shape the pace and patterns of demographic dividend, it will be
used as the discussion framework in this presentation
6
Introduction
Response to COVID 19 across countries had been
similar…
 Setting up of Pandemic Task forces
 Lockdown of cities and settlements
 Closure of Schools, Markets and Businesses
 Travel Bans and Social distancing
 Personal hygiene and Community Hygiene
 Testing, Isolation and Quarantines
 Search for drugs and vaccine
 All these come with attendant risks and uncertainty for family planning and
reproductive health
7
26
31
38
39
41
60
57
63
63
64
53
49
52
50
37
40
34
34
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Europe
Northern America
Oceania
Asia
LAC
Africa
Ghana
West Africa
Nigeria
Age Structure of Population by Region in 2019
Under 25 years old 26-64 years old 65 years and above
Africa has the
largest
proportion of
children and
youths in the
world and its
share of the
population at
working ages
(25 to 64 years)
is increasing,
providing an
opportunity for
accelerated
economic
growth
Starting with the demography of Nigeria 8
The demography of Nigeria: Population
37,859,750
55,982,142
95,212,454
158,503,203
206,139,587
401,314,997
0 100000000 200000000 300000000 400000000 500000000
1950
1970
1990
2010
2020
2050
9
How prepared was Nigeria for the Pandemic?
 Nigeria has a National Pandemic Influenza Preparedness and Response Plan that was prepared in
2013. The health system preparedness for a global health shock was available, at least in a printed
document. Although there was ebola but COVID is on a different scale
 It should be noted that neither reproductive health nor family planning was mentioned in the document
 Note that the Global Health Security Index, a comprehensive assessment of a country's health system
capabilities, shows that most African countries are rated as least prepared.
 Nigeria with a score of 37.8 was ranked 96th out of the 195 countries that were assessed.
 Only 21 of 54 African countries are classified as being more prepared from a clinical perspective to deal
with epidemic threats with international implications. The other 33 are ill-equipped and least-prepared
to respond to the outbreak.
 Preparedness of Family planning system: Availability, distribution and supply chains
10
Preparedness: Where were we on
contraception and unmet needs?
 Contraceptive use allows couples
 to realize their full potentials,
 the woman can better fulfil her roles as a wife, mother, wage earner and community
member.
 The man can better expand his roles as husband, father and family caregiver
 promotes small family size, improves child survival and reduces sibling competition for
scarce family and maternal resources
 curtailing population explosion thereby reduce dependency ratio
 better the health indices for the country and
 improve socio-economic conditions.
 assist Africa to make progress in achieving all the sustainable development goals
(SDGs)
11
12
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
1990 2003 2008 2013 2018
Demand for family planning
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
North
Central
North East North
West
South East South
South
South
West
Unmet need for family planning
• Approximately 45per cent of women in Nigeria
are sexually active and do not want a child in
the next two years.
• In Nigeria, unmet need vary among geopolitical
zones
• Unmet need for modern contraception is also
higher among unmarried sexually active
adolescents
What do we know about
Preparedness: Contraception
Family Planning in the Midst of the COVID-19
emergencies
 Restrictions on mobility make it even more difficult for
young people to access high-quality, respectful, and
confidential care.
 Limited mobility due to lockdowns increases the risk of
unwanted pregnancies and unsafe abortions.
 Negative effect on access to many healthcare services,
 Negative effects on access to sexual and reproductive
health services which are actually essential and
lifesaving.
 Possibility of increased unmet need for modern
contraceptives, unintended pregnancies, increased
unsafe abortions, maternal and neonatal deaths and
child marriages during the lockdown
13
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
0-14 15 - 34 35- 54 55 - 64 65 and
above
Proportion of individuals who are
unable to access medical
treatment
Family Planning in the Midst of the COVID-19
emergencies (Access issues; Quality issues)
 Health System Issues
 Financing Issues
 Economic and General Planning Issue: Economic
Sustainability plan of Government
 Global Goals that the government has signed into SDGs
14
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
0
4
8
12
16
20
24
28
32
36
40
44
48
52
56
60
64
68
72
76
80
84
88
Thousands
Per Capita Age profile of Labour Income in Nigeria, 2016
Labour Income
Source: Olaniyan, O., N. Olasehinde, A. Lawanson and A. Soyibo (2017)
15Why family planning is important for Nigeria’s sustainable
development: Population Structure and Demographic Dividend
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
0
4
8
12
16
20
24
28
32
36
40
44
48
52
56
60
64
68
72
76
80
84
88
Thousands
Per Capita Age profile of Consumption Expenditure in Nigeria,
2016
Consumption
Source: Olaniyan, O., N. Olasehinde, A. Lawanson and A. Soyibo (2017)
16
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200 0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90+
Thousands Per Capita Age profile of Labour Income
and Consumption Expenditure in Nigeria,
2016
Consumption Labour Income
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90+
Aggregate Age profile of Labour Income
and Consumption Expenditure in Nigeria,
2016
Consumption Labor IncomeSource: Olaniyan, O., N. Olasehinde, A. Lawanson and A. Soyibo (2017)
17
Economic Lifecycle Deficit, Nigeria 2016
-2.5
-2
-1.5
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
21
24
27
30
33
36
39
42
45
48
51
54
57
60
63
66
69
72
75
78
81
84
87
90+
Child deficit
N43.93
trillion
Surplus
N13.7 trillion
Old Age
deficit
N1.63 trillion
18
(800,000.00)
(600,000.00)
(400,000.00)
(200,000.00)
-
200,000.00
400,000.00
600,000.00
800,000.00
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90+
Male
Economic Lifecycle Deficit by Gender 19
(800,000.00)
(600,000.00)
(400,000.00)
(200,000.00)
-
200,000.00
400,000.00
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90+
Female
The lifecycle surplus for women
are really low and their deficits
larger than those of male
counterparts
Effects of COVID 19 on Reproductive Health and Planning:
Demographic Dividend Index (DDMI) for Nigeria (index = 36.4)
Components of the Nigerian Demographic
Dividend Index, 2018
Components of the Health and Wellbeing
Pillar of the Nigerian DDMI, 2018
33.2
42.5
33.448.4
23.4
Health and
Wellbeing
Education
and Skill
Development
Employment
and
Entrepreneurs
hip
Governance
and Youth
Participation
Practical
Evidence-
Building on
DD
16.9
39.5
18.1
32.6
48.1
34.7
54.2
Child
health
Reproducti
ve health
Adult
health
Health
Finance
Nutrition
Water and
Sanitation
Housing
Source: Olaniyan et al, 2020 Construction of Demographic Dividend Monitoring Index and Procedure for Setting up a Demographic Dividend Observatory for Nigeria
20
16.9 39.5
18.1
16.0
48.1
34.7
54.2
Child health
Reproductive
health
Adult health
Health
Finance
Nutrition
Water and
Sanitation
Housing
HEALTH AND WELLBEING (BEFORE COVID)
16.9
27.9
18.1
16.0
48.1
34.7
54.2
Child health
Reproductive
health
Adult health
Health
Finance
Nutrition
Water and
Sanitation
Housing
HEALTH AND WELLBEING (AFTER 6 MONTHS OF
COVID)
21
50.0
22.5
38.1
48.5
19.7
Total Fertility
Rate
Adolescent
Fertility Rate
Skilled birth
attendant
Proportion of
demand for
family planning
satisfied
Maternal
mortality
REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH (BEFORE
COVID)
44.0
18.1
19.124.3
10.5
Total Fertility
Rate
Adolescent
Fertility Rate
Skilled birth
attendant
Proportion of
demand for
family planning
satisfied
Maternal
mortality
REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH (AFTER 8
MONTHS OF COVID)
22
32.9
45.1
34.2
51.1
23.4
Health and
Wellbeing
Education and
Skill
Development
Employment
and
Entrepreneurshi
p
Governance
and Youth
Participation
Practical
Evidence-
Building on DD
Demographic DIVIDEND MONITORING
INDEX (Before Covid) (index = 37.4)
30.0
45.1
34.2
51.1
23.4
Health and
Wellbeing
Education and
Skill Development
Employment and
Entrepreneurship
Governance and
Youth
Participation
Practical
Evidence-Building
on DD
Demographic DIVIDEND (After months of
COVID) (index = 36.0)
23
-
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
Total Fertility
Rate
Adolescent
Fertility Rate
Skilled birth
attendant
Proportion of
demand for
family
planning
satisfied
Maternal
mortality
Reproductive
Health
Health and
Wellbeing
DDMI
DDMI before and during COVID
Before COVID During COVID
24
-120
-100
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
Total Fertility
Rate
Adolescent
Fertility Rate
Skilled birth
attendant
Proportion of
demand for
family
planning
satisfied
Maternal
mortality
Reproductive
Health
Health and
Wellbeing
DDMI
Percentage reduction in Components of DDM Index
25
There can be no sustainability without
efficient and effective family planning
• The demand for family planning will never cease as long as life continues
to exist on earth
• Humans want to satisfy their physiological desires and need for
procreation (generational species sustainability).
• At any point in time, there will always be a cohort of young adult couples
who not only want to fulfil their sexual desires but also want to delay or
postpone pregnancy, and so the demand for contraception will
continue.
• The way these are handled will determine the desired future which is
sustainability and sustainable development…
26
Post COVID-19 emergency activities:
The future is sustainability and sustainable
development…
 “Sustainable development meets the needs of the present without
compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own
needs”
 Seen as the guiding principle for long-term global development,
sustainable development consists of three pillars: economic
development, social development and environmental protection”
 (http://www.uncsd2012.org/).
27
How do all these fit into the Nigeria we desire:
Sustainable Development Goals…
• 17 Goals, 169 Targets, 230 Indicators
28
29
SDGs that address Reproductive
health directly
 Target 3.7:
 By 2030, ensure universal access to sexual and reproductive health-
care services, including for family planning, information and
education, and the integration of reproductive health into national
strategies and programmes
 Target 5.6
 By 2030, ensure universal access to sexual and reproductive
health and reproductive rights as agreed in accordance with
the Programme of Action of the International Conference on
Population and Development and the Beijing Platform for Action
and the outcome documents of their review conferences
30
67.10
66.79
66.30
65.90
65.58
65.44
63.93
62.69
62.20
61.61
58.69
58.54
58.31
58.07
57.67
57.65
57.00
55.90
55.71
55.53
54.41
54.15
53.79
53.78
53.53
53.37
53.25
53.22
52.94
52.70
52.64
52.43
52.17
51.59
51.30
51.18
50.81
50.47
50.37
50.20
49.33
48.84
47.94
47.85
46.98
46.37
44.83
44.17
42.73
40.34
38.05
32.35
TUNISIA
MAURITIUS
MOROCCO
ALGERIA
CABOVERDE
EGYPT,ARABREP.
BOTSWANA
GHANA
SOUTHAFRICA
SAOTOMEANDPRINCIPE
SENEGAL
KENYA
NAMIBIA
GABON
COTED'IVOIRE
RWANDA
TANZANIA
BURKINAFASO
UGANDA
GAMBIA,THE
TOGO
ETHIOPIA
ZIMBABWE
MAURITANIA
BENIN
CAMEROON
ZAMBIA
MALI
ESWATINI
LIBYA
MALAWI
LESOTHO
MOZAMBIQUE
SIERRALEONE
DJIBOUTI
ANGOLA
CONGO,REP.
NIGER
BURUNDI
GUINEA
LIBERIA
NIGERIA
MADAGASCAR
SUDAN
COMOROS
GUINEA-BISSAU
CONGO,DEM.REP.
ERITREA
SOMALIA
CHAD
CENTRALAFRICANREPUBLIC
SOUTHSUDAN
PROGRESS TOWARDS ACHIEVING THE SDGS BY AFRICAN COUNTRIES, 2019
31
20.1
24.8
26.5
28.2
32.1
36.7
37.5
40.4
42.4
47.9
51.7
56.9
58.8
66.2
78.9
82.9
98.3
NIGERIA: PROGRESS TOWARDS ACHIEVING THE 17 SDGS BY
2020 32
What do Family Planning and SDGs have in common
The political declaration stipulates the vision of the agenda and its
underlying principles:
• Universality: The goals and targets are applicable to all countries:
Developing, emerging economies as well as developed countries
• Integrative character of the all dimensions of sustainable
development (economic, social, environmental and cultural)
• Multi-stakeholder-Approach: all actors in line with their capacities
have a shared responsibility to implement the agenda – shared
responsibility for the outcomes!
• Transformative: Sustainability shall be the new principle of all actions
33
• People
• End poverty and hunger, in all their
forms and dimensions, and to ensure
that all human beings can fulfil their
potential in dignity and equality and
in a healthy environment
• Planet
• Protect the planet from degradation,
including through sustainable
consumption and production,
sustainably managing its natural
resources and taking urgent action
on climate change, so that it can
support the needs of the present and
future generations.
What can Family Planning preparedness learn from the
SDG Elements 34
• Prosperity
• Ensure that all human beings can enjoy
prosperous and fulfilling lives and that
economic, social and technological
progress occurs in harmony with nature.
• Peace
• Foster peaceful, just and inclusive
societies which are free from fear and
violence. There can be no sustainable
development without peace and no
peace without sustainable
development.
• Partnership.
• mobilize the means required to
implement this Agenda through a
revitalised Global Partnership for
Sustainable Development, based on a
spirit of strengthened global solidarity
What can Family Planning preparedness learn from the
SDG Elements 35
Making Family Planning work for the SDGs
Digital
Revolution
Implementation
arrangement
Financing
strategies
Communications
and outreach
Partnerships
36
Digital Revolution for Sustainable
Development
 Given the new normal of social distancing and lockdowns,
efficient and effective digital health solutions to reduce the
burden on family planning providers is required as it will also
increase access
 Further development of other digital government services and e-
commerce
 Further investments in STEMS, digital skills, equity, and lifelong
learning for reproductive health
 Accelerate the adoption of measures that support a fair transition
for workers affected by the digital and technological revolution
37
Government must take the commanding
heights in the implementation…
 Increased role of government in key sectors (economy, health, food,
social security)
 Develop a detailed action plan.
 Re-think global supply chains and dependence for strategic equipment
and materials
 Strengthen development cooperation to support recovery plans
 Strengthen statistical capacity, and the availability of timely data
 Strengthen government capacities to anticipate and manage unforeseen
disruptive events
 Strengthen international platforms, exchanges and transparency among
scientists/researchers (open science)
38
Making Family Planning work for the SDGs
 Implementation Issues
 Invest in health preparedness to update and upgrade healthcare systems. In the long
run, large investments in health preparedness are required to update and upgrade
Africa’s health care systems.
 No single framework can apply equally to all countries, so these transformations will
need to be adapted and tailored to suit local needs and customs.
 Issues of supply chain and distribution of vaccines when they are eventually available
for distribution.
 With the number of targets and indicators within the SDGs, it creates opportunities
and challenges for research.
 Political and financial support from individual African governments is vital to achieve
regulatory governance and health research capacity.
 Quality of health system governance including those of reproductive health and
family planning
39
Financing Strategies
 Strengthen financing mechanisms for developing countries.
 Finance: The Elephant in the Room: The magnitude of the SDG financing challenge far exceeds the
capacity of any one organisation and demands a strong partnership among governments, the private
sector, and development organisations.
 Redirect resources to the public health sector and develop sound health emergency plans. In the short
run, Countries should tap into existing resources to invest in health infrastructure for detecting,
testing, confining, and treating COVID– 19 infected people.
 Various financing mechanisms are used for family planning. This is good also for COVID 19 response.
Note that the IMF was created for global crises like this one
 Private creditors will need to refinance or capitalize debts falling due.
 What is missing is the specific Reproductive health and family planning facilities
40
Communication and Outreach
 There is the need to develop effective information sharing and
communication: strategies. Early dissemination of accurate information
on the coronavirus symptoms, prevention, and treatment can contain
its spread and reduce public panic and misinformation.
 African governments need to engage and create an environment that
a) uses results from health research, b) adapts national health policies
to invest in new and better medicines, and c) makes these accessible
through public health systems.
 The world needs urgently to learn from and to emulate the information
and dissemination strategies for fighting Covid-19. Family planning
programmes seems to have mastered the art of communication and
dissemination to the different stakeholders well.
41
Partnership is key
 Governments, development partners and other stakeholders must respond in
a coordinated, targeted, and rapid manner to be effective in limiting its
impacts.
 Across the country, the response must be well-sequenced and multipronged,
involving every stakeholder
 This can bring all the stakeholders in ways that address family planning and
COVID 19 issues
 There are compelling advantages to having institutional partnerships so that
individuals can collaborate to have a sustainable impact compared to
working individually within institution.
 If built, maintained, and managed in an equitable fashion have the potential
to generate a lasting positive impact on global health
42
Making Family Planning work for the
SDGs
 Ensure social protection.
 As part of any comprehensive response to the pandemic, governments should
promote new instruments of social protection. This should include both child and
maternal health protection. Family planning must also be at the core of this social
protection
 Continuous promotion of new drugs and vaccines.
 Financing R&D for Covid-19 drugs and vaccines is an urgent global public good.
Without global cooperation, R&D will be inadequate and duplicative.
 Family planning programmes can suggest optimal ways for distribution and mass
uptake. While Global Fund and GAVI, the Vaccine Alliance are two exemplary
institutions that serve as historical precedents, Nigerian family planning stakeholders
have a lot of experience to fall back on
43
Take home points
 COVID 19 pandemic emergencies have affected family
planning negatively in the last ten months
 The effects is escalated due to the structure of the pace and
pattern of the country’s population and preparedness of the
health system
 The effects of the emergency on family planning have
important implications for the country’s progress in harnessing
the demographic dividend as well as attaining the sustainable
development goals
44
Olanrewaju Olaniyan
Health Policy Training and Research programme (HPTRP)
Department of Economics
University of Ibadan
Ibadan, Nigeria
Tel: +234-802-325-5741
• Alternate Mail: o.olaniyan@ui.edu.ng
• Skype: Olaniyan57
• Linkedin: lanreolaniyan
• Facebook: lanreolaniyan
• Twitter: @Lolaniyan
45

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Professor Lanre Olaniyan: Family Planning, COVID-19 Pandemic and Progress Towards Achieving the SDGs

  • 1. Family Planning, COVID19 Pandemic and progress towards achieving the Sustainable Development Goals OLANREWAJU OLANIYAN HEALTH POLICY TRAINING AND RESEARCH PROGRAMME (HPTRP) DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS UNIVERSITY OF IBADAN IBADAN, NIGERIA
  • 2. Outline  Introduction  The demography of Nigeria  Family planning during emergencies  Preparedness for Emergencies (Any role for FP2020, policies and programmes of government) Population structure, demographic dividend etc.  In the Midst of the COVID-19 emergencies (Access issues; Quality issues;  Post COVID-19 emergency activities (Implementation, Financing, New normal)  Family Planning and the SDGs  Policy Options  What can COVID19 response learn from Family Planning programming?  What can Family Planning programming learn from COVID19 response ? 2
  • 3. Introduction  First case of COVID 19 in Nigeria was February 27, 2020 and it was imported  The types of uncertainty, health and economic shocks associated with the illness had been unprecedented  The pandemic has reminded us of  Global health security  Weaknesses in health systems, social protection and public services.  Weakness of the economic systems and dependence on social systems  the critical way in which the formal economy of developing countries including Nigeria has been sustained on the back of an informal economy and invisible and unpaid care labour. 3
  • 5. Introduction  The health sector of the country is one of the most affected sector by the COVID pandemic.  While prompt response was initiated for different areas of the health sector by government, there re arguments on whether reproductive health and family planning has received appropriate response during the pandemic  Incidentally, reproductive health is a fundamental human right; only individual adults should have the power to decide whether, when, or how often to conceive. Rights and responsibility…  Family planning is at the core as it assists individuals who do not wish to become pregnant, dramatically reduces the number of unwanted pregnancies and abortions. 5
  • 6.  Family planning ensures a balanced fertility and demographic transition in a society with attendant benefits  empowering women to choose how many children they have,  better health and survival of mothers and children,  a reduction in poverty and  a better educated population.  With adequate and effective family planning, individuals take responsibility for the number of children they desire leading to birth rates fall and increase in the share of the working-age population relative to the dependent population.  This puts countries at a window of opportunity to harness “demographic dividends”.  Given that family planning directly shape the pace and patterns of demographic dividend, it will be used as the discussion framework in this presentation 6 Introduction
  • 7. Response to COVID 19 across countries had been similar…  Setting up of Pandemic Task forces  Lockdown of cities and settlements  Closure of Schools, Markets and Businesses  Travel Bans and Social distancing  Personal hygiene and Community Hygiene  Testing, Isolation and Quarantines  Search for drugs and vaccine  All these come with attendant risks and uncertainty for family planning and reproductive health 7
  • 8. 26 31 38 39 41 60 57 63 63 64 53 49 52 50 37 40 34 34 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Europe Northern America Oceania Asia LAC Africa Ghana West Africa Nigeria Age Structure of Population by Region in 2019 Under 25 years old 26-64 years old 65 years and above Africa has the largest proportion of children and youths in the world and its share of the population at working ages (25 to 64 years) is increasing, providing an opportunity for accelerated economic growth Starting with the demography of Nigeria 8
  • 9. The demography of Nigeria: Population 37,859,750 55,982,142 95,212,454 158,503,203 206,139,587 401,314,997 0 100000000 200000000 300000000 400000000 500000000 1950 1970 1990 2010 2020 2050 9
  • 10. How prepared was Nigeria for the Pandemic?  Nigeria has a National Pandemic Influenza Preparedness and Response Plan that was prepared in 2013. The health system preparedness for a global health shock was available, at least in a printed document. Although there was ebola but COVID is on a different scale  It should be noted that neither reproductive health nor family planning was mentioned in the document  Note that the Global Health Security Index, a comprehensive assessment of a country's health system capabilities, shows that most African countries are rated as least prepared.  Nigeria with a score of 37.8 was ranked 96th out of the 195 countries that were assessed.  Only 21 of 54 African countries are classified as being more prepared from a clinical perspective to deal with epidemic threats with international implications. The other 33 are ill-equipped and least-prepared to respond to the outbreak.  Preparedness of Family planning system: Availability, distribution and supply chains 10
  • 11. Preparedness: Where were we on contraception and unmet needs?  Contraceptive use allows couples  to realize their full potentials,  the woman can better fulfil her roles as a wife, mother, wage earner and community member.  The man can better expand his roles as husband, father and family caregiver  promotes small family size, improves child survival and reduces sibling competition for scarce family and maternal resources  curtailing population explosion thereby reduce dependency ratio  better the health indices for the country and  improve socio-economic conditions.  assist Africa to make progress in achieving all the sustainable development goals (SDGs) 11
  • 12. 12 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1990 2003 2008 2013 2018 Demand for family planning 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 North Central North East North West South East South South South West Unmet need for family planning • Approximately 45per cent of women in Nigeria are sexually active and do not want a child in the next two years. • In Nigeria, unmet need vary among geopolitical zones • Unmet need for modern contraception is also higher among unmarried sexually active adolescents What do we know about Preparedness: Contraception
  • 13. Family Planning in the Midst of the COVID-19 emergencies  Restrictions on mobility make it even more difficult for young people to access high-quality, respectful, and confidential care.  Limited mobility due to lockdowns increases the risk of unwanted pregnancies and unsafe abortions.  Negative effect on access to many healthcare services,  Negative effects on access to sexual and reproductive health services which are actually essential and lifesaving.  Possibility of increased unmet need for modern contraceptives, unintended pregnancies, increased unsafe abortions, maternal and neonatal deaths and child marriages during the lockdown 13 - 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 0-14 15 - 34 35- 54 55 - 64 65 and above Proportion of individuals who are unable to access medical treatment
  • 14. Family Planning in the Midst of the COVID-19 emergencies (Access issues; Quality issues)  Health System Issues  Financing Issues  Economic and General Planning Issue: Economic Sustainability plan of Government  Global Goals that the government has signed into SDGs 14
  • 15. 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 60 64 68 72 76 80 84 88 Thousands Per Capita Age profile of Labour Income in Nigeria, 2016 Labour Income Source: Olaniyan, O., N. Olasehinde, A. Lawanson and A. Soyibo (2017) 15Why family planning is important for Nigeria’s sustainable development: Population Structure and Demographic Dividend
  • 16. 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 0 4 8 12 16 20 24 28 32 36 40 44 48 52 56 60 64 68 72 76 80 84 88 Thousands Per Capita Age profile of Consumption Expenditure in Nigeria, 2016 Consumption Source: Olaniyan, O., N. Olasehinde, A. Lawanson and A. Soyibo (2017) 16
  • 17. 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90+ Thousands Per Capita Age profile of Labour Income and Consumption Expenditure in Nigeria, 2016 Consumption Labour Income 0 500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90+ Aggregate Age profile of Labour Income and Consumption Expenditure in Nigeria, 2016 Consumption Labor IncomeSource: Olaniyan, O., N. Olasehinde, A. Lawanson and A. Soyibo (2017) 17
  • 18. Economic Lifecycle Deficit, Nigeria 2016 -2.5 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42 45 48 51 54 57 60 63 66 69 72 75 78 81 84 87 90+ Child deficit N43.93 trillion Surplus N13.7 trillion Old Age deficit N1.63 trillion 18
  • 19. (800,000.00) (600,000.00) (400,000.00) (200,000.00) - 200,000.00 400,000.00 600,000.00 800,000.00 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90+ Male Economic Lifecycle Deficit by Gender 19 (800,000.00) (600,000.00) (400,000.00) (200,000.00) - 200,000.00 400,000.00 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90+ Female The lifecycle surplus for women are really low and their deficits larger than those of male counterparts
  • 20. Effects of COVID 19 on Reproductive Health and Planning: Demographic Dividend Index (DDMI) for Nigeria (index = 36.4) Components of the Nigerian Demographic Dividend Index, 2018 Components of the Health and Wellbeing Pillar of the Nigerian DDMI, 2018 33.2 42.5 33.448.4 23.4 Health and Wellbeing Education and Skill Development Employment and Entrepreneurs hip Governance and Youth Participation Practical Evidence- Building on DD 16.9 39.5 18.1 32.6 48.1 34.7 54.2 Child health Reproducti ve health Adult health Health Finance Nutrition Water and Sanitation Housing Source: Olaniyan et al, 2020 Construction of Demographic Dividend Monitoring Index and Procedure for Setting up a Demographic Dividend Observatory for Nigeria 20
  • 21. 16.9 39.5 18.1 16.0 48.1 34.7 54.2 Child health Reproductive health Adult health Health Finance Nutrition Water and Sanitation Housing HEALTH AND WELLBEING (BEFORE COVID) 16.9 27.9 18.1 16.0 48.1 34.7 54.2 Child health Reproductive health Adult health Health Finance Nutrition Water and Sanitation Housing HEALTH AND WELLBEING (AFTER 6 MONTHS OF COVID) 21
  • 22. 50.0 22.5 38.1 48.5 19.7 Total Fertility Rate Adolescent Fertility Rate Skilled birth attendant Proportion of demand for family planning satisfied Maternal mortality REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH (BEFORE COVID) 44.0 18.1 19.124.3 10.5 Total Fertility Rate Adolescent Fertility Rate Skilled birth attendant Proportion of demand for family planning satisfied Maternal mortality REPRODUCTIVE HEALTH (AFTER 8 MONTHS OF COVID) 22
  • 23. 32.9 45.1 34.2 51.1 23.4 Health and Wellbeing Education and Skill Development Employment and Entrepreneurshi p Governance and Youth Participation Practical Evidence- Building on DD Demographic DIVIDEND MONITORING INDEX (Before Covid) (index = 37.4) 30.0 45.1 34.2 51.1 23.4 Health and Wellbeing Education and Skill Development Employment and Entrepreneurship Governance and Youth Participation Practical Evidence-Building on DD Demographic DIVIDEND (After months of COVID) (index = 36.0) 23
  • 24. - 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 60.0 Total Fertility Rate Adolescent Fertility Rate Skilled birth attendant Proportion of demand for family planning satisfied Maternal mortality Reproductive Health Health and Wellbeing DDMI DDMI before and during COVID Before COVID During COVID 24
  • 25. -120 -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 Total Fertility Rate Adolescent Fertility Rate Skilled birth attendant Proportion of demand for family planning satisfied Maternal mortality Reproductive Health Health and Wellbeing DDMI Percentage reduction in Components of DDM Index 25
  • 26. There can be no sustainability without efficient and effective family planning • The demand for family planning will never cease as long as life continues to exist on earth • Humans want to satisfy their physiological desires and need for procreation (generational species sustainability). • At any point in time, there will always be a cohort of young adult couples who not only want to fulfil their sexual desires but also want to delay or postpone pregnancy, and so the demand for contraception will continue. • The way these are handled will determine the desired future which is sustainability and sustainable development… 26
  • 27. Post COVID-19 emergency activities: The future is sustainability and sustainable development…  “Sustainable development meets the needs of the present without compromising the ability of future generations to meet their own needs”  Seen as the guiding principle for long-term global development, sustainable development consists of three pillars: economic development, social development and environmental protection”  (http://www.uncsd2012.org/). 27
  • 28. How do all these fit into the Nigeria we desire: Sustainable Development Goals… • 17 Goals, 169 Targets, 230 Indicators 28
  • 29. 29
  • 30. SDGs that address Reproductive health directly  Target 3.7:  By 2030, ensure universal access to sexual and reproductive health- care services, including for family planning, information and education, and the integration of reproductive health into national strategies and programmes  Target 5.6  By 2030, ensure universal access to sexual and reproductive health and reproductive rights as agreed in accordance with the Programme of Action of the International Conference on Population and Development and the Beijing Platform for Action and the outcome documents of their review conferences 30
  • 31. 67.10 66.79 66.30 65.90 65.58 65.44 63.93 62.69 62.20 61.61 58.69 58.54 58.31 58.07 57.67 57.65 57.00 55.90 55.71 55.53 54.41 54.15 53.79 53.78 53.53 53.37 53.25 53.22 52.94 52.70 52.64 52.43 52.17 51.59 51.30 51.18 50.81 50.47 50.37 50.20 49.33 48.84 47.94 47.85 46.98 46.37 44.83 44.17 42.73 40.34 38.05 32.35 TUNISIA MAURITIUS MOROCCO ALGERIA CABOVERDE EGYPT,ARABREP. BOTSWANA GHANA SOUTHAFRICA SAOTOMEANDPRINCIPE SENEGAL KENYA NAMIBIA GABON COTED'IVOIRE RWANDA TANZANIA BURKINAFASO UGANDA GAMBIA,THE TOGO ETHIOPIA ZIMBABWE MAURITANIA BENIN CAMEROON ZAMBIA MALI ESWATINI LIBYA MALAWI LESOTHO MOZAMBIQUE SIERRALEONE DJIBOUTI ANGOLA CONGO,REP. NIGER BURUNDI GUINEA LIBERIA NIGERIA MADAGASCAR SUDAN COMOROS GUINEA-BISSAU CONGO,DEM.REP. ERITREA SOMALIA CHAD CENTRALAFRICANREPUBLIC SOUTHSUDAN PROGRESS TOWARDS ACHIEVING THE SDGS BY AFRICAN COUNTRIES, 2019 31
  • 33. What do Family Planning and SDGs have in common The political declaration stipulates the vision of the agenda and its underlying principles: • Universality: The goals and targets are applicable to all countries: Developing, emerging economies as well as developed countries • Integrative character of the all dimensions of sustainable development (economic, social, environmental and cultural) • Multi-stakeholder-Approach: all actors in line with their capacities have a shared responsibility to implement the agenda – shared responsibility for the outcomes! • Transformative: Sustainability shall be the new principle of all actions 33
  • 34. • People • End poverty and hunger, in all their forms and dimensions, and to ensure that all human beings can fulfil their potential in dignity and equality and in a healthy environment • Planet • Protect the planet from degradation, including through sustainable consumption and production, sustainably managing its natural resources and taking urgent action on climate change, so that it can support the needs of the present and future generations. What can Family Planning preparedness learn from the SDG Elements 34
  • 35. • Prosperity • Ensure that all human beings can enjoy prosperous and fulfilling lives and that economic, social and technological progress occurs in harmony with nature. • Peace • Foster peaceful, just and inclusive societies which are free from fear and violence. There can be no sustainable development without peace and no peace without sustainable development. • Partnership. • mobilize the means required to implement this Agenda through a revitalised Global Partnership for Sustainable Development, based on a spirit of strengthened global solidarity What can Family Planning preparedness learn from the SDG Elements 35
  • 36. Making Family Planning work for the SDGs Digital Revolution Implementation arrangement Financing strategies Communications and outreach Partnerships 36
  • 37. Digital Revolution for Sustainable Development  Given the new normal of social distancing and lockdowns, efficient and effective digital health solutions to reduce the burden on family planning providers is required as it will also increase access  Further development of other digital government services and e- commerce  Further investments in STEMS, digital skills, equity, and lifelong learning for reproductive health  Accelerate the adoption of measures that support a fair transition for workers affected by the digital and technological revolution 37
  • 38. Government must take the commanding heights in the implementation…  Increased role of government in key sectors (economy, health, food, social security)  Develop a detailed action plan.  Re-think global supply chains and dependence for strategic equipment and materials  Strengthen development cooperation to support recovery plans  Strengthen statistical capacity, and the availability of timely data  Strengthen government capacities to anticipate and manage unforeseen disruptive events  Strengthen international platforms, exchanges and transparency among scientists/researchers (open science) 38
  • 39. Making Family Planning work for the SDGs  Implementation Issues  Invest in health preparedness to update and upgrade healthcare systems. In the long run, large investments in health preparedness are required to update and upgrade Africa’s health care systems.  No single framework can apply equally to all countries, so these transformations will need to be adapted and tailored to suit local needs and customs.  Issues of supply chain and distribution of vaccines when they are eventually available for distribution.  With the number of targets and indicators within the SDGs, it creates opportunities and challenges for research.  Political and financial support from individual African governments is vital to achieve regulatory governance and health research capacity.  Quality of health system governance including those of reproductive health and family planning 39
  • 40. Financing Strategies  Strengthen financing mechanisms for developing countries.  Finance: The Elephant in the Room: The magnitude of the SDG financing challenge far exceeds the capacity of any one organisation and demands a strong partnership among governments, the private sector, and development organisations.  Redirect resources to the public health sector and develop sound health emergency plans. In the short run, Countries should tap into existing resources to invest in health infrastructure for detecting, testing, confining, and treating COVID– 19 infected people.  Various financing mechanisms are used for family planning. This is good also for COVID 19 response. Note that the IMF was created for global crises like this one  Private creditors will need to refinance or capitalize debts falling due.  What is missing is the specific Reproductive health and family planning facilities 40
  • 41. Communication and Outreach  There is the need to develop effective information sharing and communication: strategies. Early dissemination of accurate information on the coronavirus symptoms, prevention, and treatment can contain its spread and reduce public panic and misinformation.  African governments need to engage and create an environment that a) uses results from health research, b) adapts national health policies to invest in new and better medicines, and c) makes these accessible through public health systems.  The world needs urgently to learn from and to emulate the information and dissemination strategies for fighting Covid-19. Family planning programmes seems to have mastered the art of communication and dissemination to the different stakeholders well. 41
  • 42. Partnership is key  Governments, development partners and other stakeholders must respond in a coordinated, targeted, and rapid manner to be effective in limiting its impacts.  Across the country, the response must be well-sequenced and multipronged, involving every stakeholder  This can bring all the stakeholders in ways that address family planning and COVID 19 issues  There are compelling advantages to having institutional partnerships so that individuals can collaborate to have a sustainable impact compared to working individually within institution.  If built, maintained, and managed in an equitable fashion have the potential to generate a lasting positive impact on global health 42
  • 43. Making Family Planning work for the SDGs  Ensure social protection.  As part of any comprehensive response to the pandemic, governments should promote new instruments of social protection. This should include both child and maternal health protection. Family planning must also be at the core of this social protection  Continuous promotion of new drugs and vaccines.  Financing R&D for Covid-19 drugs and vaccines is an urgent global public good. Without global cooperation, R&D will be inadequate and duplicative.  Family planning programmes can suggest optimal ways for distribution and mass uptake. While Global Fund and GAVI, the Vaccine Alliance are two exemplary institutions that serve as historical precedents, Nigerian family planning stakeholders have a lot of experience to fall back on 43
  • 44. Take home points  COVID 19 pandemic emergencies have affected family planning negatively in the last ten months  The effects is escalated due to the structure of the pace and pattern of the country’s population and preparedness of the health system  The effects of the emergency on family planning have important implications for the country’s progress in harnessing the demographic dividend as well as attaining the sustainable development goals 44
  • 45. Olanrewaju Olaniyan Health Policy Training and Research programme (HPTRP) Department of Economics University of Ibadan Ibadan, Nigeria Tel: +234-802-325-5741 • Alternate Mail: o.olaniyan@ui.edu.ng • Skype: Olaniyan57 • Linkedin: lanreolaniyan • Facebook: lanreolaniyan • Twitter: @Lolaniyan 45