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Competition between
commissioners: lessons from the
Netherlands?

   Nuffield Health Strategy Summit
            25 March 2010

          Gwyn Bevan
  Department of Management, LSE
         R.G.Bevan@lse.ac.uk
Competition between commissioners:
 lessons from the Netherlands?
 21 years of purchaser  Mutual Healthcare
  / provider              Purchasers
     1989: internal market     Choice
     1997: 3rd way             Choice &
     2000: targets & terror     competition
                                  NHS
     2002: internal market
                                  Different packages
      + patient choice
Purchaser / provider with
competition (1989 -97)
 Working for Patients (1989)
   Internal market
       provider competition
       choice by health authorities & GP
        fundholders
       ‘money follows the patient’
 Le Grand (1999)*
   Little evidence of change
  Incentives too weak & constraints
     too strong

  *Competition, cooperation, or control? Health Affairs
Tuohy’s ‘accidental logic’*:
NHS state hierarchical system
 Ministers accountability
   Access & failures  Autonomous
    providers & purchasers?
 Collegial decision making
   GPs & specialists  Effective
    purchasing / commissioning? Needs of
    populations? Patient choice?
 No need for information on prices &
  quality
   * Tuohy (1999) Accidental Logics. Oxford University Press
Purchaser / provider without
 competition (1997 to 2002)
 The new NHS (1997)
  1997 to 2000: search for 3rd way
    command & control  producer capture
    internal market  fragmentation, inequity,
     instability & high transaction costs
Purchaser / provider without
competition (1997 to 2002)
 The NHS Plan (2000)
   2000- 2005: command & control
    without producer capture by ‘star
    rating’ (‘targets & terror’)
     threat of switching work often a weak
      lever to drive improvement in a local NHS
      trust, as was shown by failure of ‘internal
      market’
Purchaser / provider
 No competition: 3rd way
Numbers waiting elective admissions (England) (‘000s)
400



300



200



100



  0
      1997   1998   1999    2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005

                >6 months           >9 months           >12 months
Purchaser / provider
 No competition: star rating
Numbers waiting elective admissions (England) (‘000s)
400
                     Star ratings
                     published
300



200



100



  0
      1997   1998   1999   2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005

              >6 months      >9 months (2004)     >12 months (2003)

        Source: Department of Health (2005)
        http://www.dh.gov.uk/assetRoot/04/08/26/27/04082627.pdf
% waiting < 13 weeks for
hospital admission (March 2008)




  Source: Connolly et al (2010) Funding and Performance of Healthcare Systems in the
  Four Countries of the UK before and after Devolution. The Nuffield Trust.
Barber (2007) Instruction to
Deliver
 Awful  adequate
   Command & control
     public not satisfied
     have to keep flogging the
      system
 Adequate  good / great
   quasi market & consumer
    choice
     innovation from self-
      sustaining systems
Purchaser / provider with competition
  & patient choice (from 2002)
 Delivering the NHS Plan
  (2002)                           No
   Patient choice
   World Class
    Commissioning
   Provider diversity
     FTs & ISTCs
   ‘money follows the
    patient’
     Standard tariff (PbR)
      competition by quality
The impact of the NHS market:
An overview of the literature*
 No good evidence reforms produced
  beneficial outcomes classical economic
  theory predicts of markets
  provider responsiveness to patients &
    purchasers
   large-scale cost reduction
   innovation in service provision
 NHS incurs transaction costs of market
  without benefits
   * Brereton & Vasoodaven (2010)
   http://www.civitas.org.uk/nhs/download/Civitas_LiteratureReview_NHS_market_Feb
   10.pdf
Continuing problems
 Failure to create true functioning
  market
   political interference
   weak purchasers
   barriers to exit & entry
 Lack of a stable policy environment
   Purchasing:200 DHAs  100 HAs + 480
    PCGs  300 PCTs  150 PCTs
   GP Fundholding abolished  PBC
  Source: Brereton & Vasoodaven (2010)
  http://www.civitas.org.uk/nhs/download/Civitas_LiteratureReview_NHS_market_F
  eb10.pdf
Choice & competition between
Mutual Healthcare Purchasers?
 MHPs: Insurers without risk rating
   the Netherlands by risk equalisation
   England by lack of competition
 Options for choice of MHP
   without competition (no incentives)
   Competition NHS (MHP incentives)
   Competition different packages (MHP &
    patient incentives)
Choice of MHP:
 Risk equalisation
                                  Annual expenditure
 Formula funding       100
  based on analysis
  by small area        75
 Risk equalisation     50
  based on analysis
  by individuals        25
   ACRA research led
    by Nuffield (for      0
    PBC)                        1%     5%       10%      25%
                              Actual        Estimated (age & sex)
                         Source: Lamers and van Liet (1996)
Choice of MHP with competition
                        Dutch   English

Market regulation
 Competition                   
 Solvency                      
 Consumer Protection            
Sufficient numbers
 MHPs                          
 Providers                      
Choice of MHP with competition
by packages
                       Dutch   English

Transparency
 Insurance products             
Reflections
The Netherlands             England
 MHP competition but        Little evidence of
  as yet little selective     provider competition
  contracting
 Model exported to          Model abandoned by
  Germany &                   New Zealand,
  Switzerland                 Scotland & Wales
Can the English hare learn from
the Dutch tortoise?
The Netherlands                   England
 Corporatism, Etatism,            State hierarchical
  Subsidiarity, Coalition           system +
  government                        majoritarian
 One policy                        government
 Dutch procession of              blitzkrieg  army of
  Echternach over 20                occupation in hostile
  years                             territory*
                                   4 policies in 20 years



    *Shock (1994) Medicine at the centre of the nation’s affairs, BMJ

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Gwyn Bevan: Competition between commissioners

  • 1. Competition between commissioners: lessons from the Netherlands? Nuffield Health Strategy Summit 25 March 2010 Gwyn Bevan Department of Management, LSE R.G.Bevan@lse.ac.uk
  • 2. Competition between commissioners: lessons from the Netherlands?  21 years of purchaser  Mutual Healthcare / provider Purchasers  1989: internal market  Choice  1997: 3rd way  Choice &  2000: targets & terror competition  NHS  2002: internal market  Different packages + patient choice
  • 3. Purchaser / provider with competition (1989 -97)  Working for Patients (1989)  Internal market  provider competition  choice by health authorities & GP fundholders  ‘money follows the patient’  Le Grand (1999)*  Little evidence of change Incentives too weak & constraints too strong *Competition, cooperation, or control? Health Affairs
  • 4. Tuohy’s ‘accidental logic’*: NHS state hierarchical system  Ministers accountability  Access & failures  Autonomous providers & purchasers?  Collegial decision making  GPs & specialists  Effective purchasing / commissioning? Needs of populations? Patient choice?  No need for information on prices & quality * Tuohy (1999) Accidental Logics. Oxford University Press
  • 5. Purchaser / provider without competition (1997 to 2002)  The new NHS (1997)  1997 to 2000: search for 3rd way  command & control  producer capture  internal market  fragmentation, inequity, instability & high transaction costs
  • 6. Purchaser / provider without competition (1997 to 2002)  The NHS Plan (2000)  2000- 2005: command & control without producer capture by ‘star rating’ (‘targets & terror’)  threat of switching work often a weak lever to drive improvement in a local NHS trust, as was shown by failure of ‘internal market’
  • 7. Purchaser / provider No competition: 3rd way Numbers waiting elective admissions (England) (‘000s) 400 300 200 100 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 >6 months >9 months >12 months
  • 8. Purchaser / provider No competition: star rating Numbers waiting elective admissions (England) (‘000s) 400 Star ratings published 300 200 100 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 >6 months >9 months (2004) >12 months (2003) Source: Department of Health (2005) http://www.dh.gov.uk/assetRoot/04/08/26/27/04082627.pdf
  • 9. % waiting < 13 weeks for hospital admission (March 2008) Source: Connolly et al (2010) Funding and Performance of Healthcare Systems in the Four Countries of the UK before and after Devolution. The Nuffield Trust.
  • 10. Barber (2007) Instruction to Deliver  Awful  adequate  Command & control  public not satisfied  have to keep flogging the system  Adequate  good / great  quasi market & consumer choice  innovation from self- sustaining systems
  • 11. Purchaser / provider with competition & patient choice (from 2002)  Delivering the NHS Plan (2002) No  Patient choice  World Class Commissioning  Provider diversity  FTs & ISTCs  ‘money follows the patient’  Standard tariff (PbR) competition by quality
  • 12. The impact of the NHS market: An overview of the literature*  No good evidence reforms produced beneficial outcomes classical economic theory predicts of markets provider responsiveness to patients & purchasers  large-scale cost reduction  innovation in service provision  NHS incurs transaction costs of market without benefits * Brereton & Vasoodaven (2010) http://www.civitas.org.uk/nhs/download/Civitas_LiteratureReview_NHS_market_Feb 10.pdf
  • 13. Continuing problems  Failure to create true functioning market  political interference  weak purchasers  barriers to exit & entry  Lack of a stable policy environment  Purchasing:200 DHAs  100 HAs + 480 PCGs  300 PCTs  150 PCTs  GP Fundholding abolished  PBC Source: Brereton & Vasoodaven (2010) http://www.civitas.org.uk/nhs/download/Civitas_LiteratureReview_NHS_market_F eb10.pdf
  • 14. Choice & competition between Mutual Healthcare Purchasers?  MHPs: Insurers without risk rating  the Netherlands by risk equalisation  England by lack of competition  Options for choice of MHP  without competition (no incentives)  Competition NHS (MHP incentives)  Competition different packages (MHP & patient incentives)
  • 15. Choice of MHP: Risk equalisation Annual expenditure  Formula funding 100 based on analysis by small area  75  Risk equalisation 50 based on analysis by individuals 25  ACRA research led by Nuffield (for 0 PBC) 1% 5% 10% 25% Actual Estimated (age & sex) Source: Lamers and van Liet (1996)
  • 16. Choice of MHP with competition Dutch English Market regulation  Competition    Solvency    Consumer Protection   Sufficient numbers  MHPs    Providers  
  • 17. Choice of MHP with competition by packages Dutch English Transparency  Insurance products  
  • 18. Reflections The Netherlands England  MHP competition but  Little evidence of as yet little selective provider competition contracting  Model exported to  Model abandoned by Germany & New Zealand, Switzerland Scotland & Wales
  • 19. Can the English hare learn from the Dutch tortoise? The Netherlands England  Corporatism, Etatism,  State hierarchical Subsidiarity, Coalition system + government majoritarian  One policy government  Dutch procession of  blitzkrieg  army of Echternach over 20 occupation in hostile years territory*  4 policies in 20 years *Shock (1994) Medicine at the centre of the nation’s affairs, BMJ