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Effective ex-post evaluation:
purpose and challenges
Gary Banks
Presentation to OECD’s 9th Expert Meeting on Measuring
Regulatory Performance
June 2017
Lisbon, Portugal
OECD Council Recommendation #5
“Conduct systematic reviews of regulation
against policy goals, including costs and
benefits, to ensure that regulations
-- remain up to date, cost effective and
consistent, and
-- deliver intended policy objectives”
2
Ex post evaluation: why needed?
• All regulations are ‘experiments’
─ Many will not have been done well
─ Others will have passed their ‘use by date’
• The ‘stock’ of regulation is much greater than
the flow and gains are potentially large
• Evaluations can build trust and help sustain
political support
• Ex post reviews can also provide learnings for
future regulatory actions
3
4
There are multiple costs of regulation
Benefits foregone if
regulation is ineffective
 other perverse effects
 other ‘non -market’
distortions
Fees and charges a
Economic distortions
 dead weight losses
 lower investment
 lower innovation
Substantive compliance
costs
 investments in systems
training
 higher cost of investment
Administrative costs to
business
 paper work time
 reporting time
Administration cost to
regulators
Benefitsneededtojustifycosts
Compliance costs ‘Distortion’ costs
Costs to government Costs to business b
Costs to community
Coststocommunity
5
Ex post reviews complete the ‘regulatory cycle’
Stage II–Establishment
 Design to include
embedded reviews
 Development of regulator
management strategies
Stage IV- Review
 Programmed reviews
o Sunsetting
o Embedded
o PIRS
 Ad hoc reviews
o In-depth
o Specific benchmarking
o Public stocktakes
Stage I- Decision
 RIS triage
o Identify need for
embedded reviews
o Set sunset flags
 Stock-flow linkage rules
Stage III - Administration
 Regulator management
strategies
 Monitoring review
requirements
Lessons from regulators
on what works
Lessons from
expost evaluation
What is an effective system?
• Comprehensive coverage over time
− including related instruments
• Targeted and proportionate
− where most potential for net gains
• Timeliness of reviews
• Effective consultation mechanisms
• Independence where appropriate
• Institutionalised oversight
− Monitoring performance of the overall system
6
7
Approaches to ex post evaluation
Programmed reviews Ad hoc reviews Ongoing ‘management’
•Sunsetting
•Embedded in statute
•Post implementation
reviews
– process failure
– catch-all
•Public stocktakes
•‘Principles-based’
reviews
•Benchmarking
•‘In-depth’ reviews
•Stock-flow linkages
– Budgets
– ‘In-Out’ / ‘Offsets’
•Red tape reduction
targets
Key questions to be answered …
• Appropriate? (Still a valid rationale?)
• Effective? (Achieved the intended outcome?)
• Efficient? (Unnecessary costs or unintended
impacts?)
• A better alternative?
8
Fewer countries have formal requirements
Source: 2015 Regulatory Policy Outlook
9
28
24
28
ConsultationRIA Ex-post evaluation of
existing regulation
21
24
20
3433
29
35
How do OECD countries measure up?
10
10
Source: OECD, Regulatory Policy Outlook 2015
http://www.oecd.org/gov/regulatory-policy/measuring-regulatory-performance.htm
Ex post reviews in Australia: a ‘mixed bag’?
According to a Productivity Commission review,
improvements were needed in the following areas:
• embedding evaluations in regulatory design
• proportionality/depth of reviews
• prioritisation and monitoring
• timeliness (PC 2011)
11
11
Some obstacles to better practice
• ‘Technical’
−(Highly) skilled people are scarce
−Data are often poor
• ‘Political’
−Greater focus on the new than the old
−Perceived risks from a poor ‘score’
−Beneficiaries may oppose scrutiny
−Administrative ‘inertia’ is ever present!
12
Ways forward? Insights from Australia
• Building ex post evaluation into a regulatory
regime from the outset has advantages
• ‘Automatic’ triggers can be useful
• Attention to timing can make a big difference
• Skill development is fundamental
• Need avoid administrative ‘overload’
• Creating oversight arrangements helps
13
Effective ex-post evaluation:
purpose and challenges
Gary Banks
Presentation to OECD’s 9th Expert Meeting on Measuring
Regulatory Performance
June 2017
Lisbon, Portugal

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Effective ex post Evaluation: Purpose and Challenges

  • 1. Effective ex-post evaluation: purpose and challenges Gary Banks Presentation to OECD’s 9th Expert Meeting on Measuring Regulatory Performance June 2017 Lisbon, Portugal
  • 2. OECD Council Recommendation #5 “Conduct systematic reviews of regulation against policy goals, including costs and benefits, to ensure that regulations -- remain up to date, cost effective and consistent, and -- deliver intended policy objectives” 2
  • 3. Ex post evaluation: why needed? • All regulations are ‘experiments’ ─ Many will not have been done well ─ Others will have passed their ‘use by date’ • The ‘stock’ of regulation is much greater than the flow and gains are potentially large • Evaluations can build trust and help sustain political support • Ex post reviews can also provide learnings for future regulatory actions 3
  • 4. 4 There are multiple costs of regulation Benefits foregone if regulation is ineffective  other perverse effects  other ‘non -market’ distortions Fees and charges a Economic distortions  dead weight losses  lower investment  lower innovation Substantive compliance costs  investments in systems training  higher cost of investment Administrative costs to business  paper work time  reporting time Administration cost to regulators Benefitsneededtojustifycosts Compliance costs ‘Distortion’ costs Costs to government Costs to business b Costs to community Coststocommunity
  • 5. 5 Ex post reviews complete the ‘regulatory cycle’ Stage II–Establishment  Design to include embedded reviews  Development of regulator management strategies Stage IV- Review  Programmed reviews o Sunsetting o Embedded o PIRS  Ad hoc reviews o In-depth o Specific benchmarking o Public stocktakes Stage I- Decision  RIS triage o Identify need for embedded reviews o Set sunset flags  Stock-flow linkage rules Stage III - Administration  Regulator management strategies  Monitoring review requirements Lessons from regulators on what works Lessons from expost evaluation
  • 6. What is an effective system? • Comprehensive coverage over time − including related instruments • Targeted and proportionate − where most potential for net gains • Timeliness of reviews • Effective consultation mechanisms • Independence where appropriate • Institutionalised oversight − Monitoring performance of the overall system 6
  • 7. 7 Approaches to ex post evaluation Programmed reviews Ad hoc reviews Ongoing ‘management’ •Sunsetting •Embedded in statute •Post implementation reviews – process failure – catch-all •Public stocktakes •‘Principles-based’ reviews •Benchmarking •‘In-depth’ reviews •Stock-flow linkages – Budgets – ‘In-Out’ / ‘Offsets’ •Red tape reduction targets
  • 8. Key questions to be answered … • Appropriate? (Still a valid rationale?) • Effective? (Achieved the intended outcome?) • Efficient? (Unnecessary costs or unintended impacts?) • A better alternative? 8
  • 9. Fewer countries have formal requirements Source: 2015 Regulatory Policy Outlook 9 28 24 28 ConsultationRIA Ex-post evaluation of existing regulation 21 24 20 3433 29 35
  • 10. How do OECD countries measure up? 10 10 Source: OECD, Regulatory Policy Outlook 2015 http://www.oecd.org/gov/regulatory-policy/measuring-regulatory-performance.htm
  • 11. Ex post reviews in Australia: a ‘mixed bag’? According to a Productivity Commission review, improvements were needed in the following areas: • embedding evaluations in regulatory design • proportionality/depth of reviews • prioritisation and monitoring • timeliness (PC 2011) 11 11
  • 12. Some obstacles to better practice • ‘Technical’ −(Highly) skilled people are scarce −Data are often poor • ‘Political’ −Greater focus on the new than the old −Perceived risks from a poor ‘score’ −Beneficiaries may oppose scrutiny −Administrative ‘inertia’ is ever present! 12
  • 13. Ways forward? Insights from Australia • Building ex post evaluation into a regulatory regime from the outset has advantages • ‘Automatic’ triggers can be useful • Attention to timing can make a big difference • Skill development is fundamental • Need avoid administrative ‘overload’ • Creating oversight arrangements helps 13
  • 14. Effective ex-post evaluation: purpose and challenges Gary Banks Presentation to OECD’s 9th Expert Meeting on Measuring Regulatory Performance June 2017 Lisbon, Portugal