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Remote work: Effects on Nordic
people, places and planning 2021-
2024
Ágúst Bogason
Research Fellow
NORDREGIO
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COVID-19 pandemic makes working remotely common
practice for many workers
This results in changes to commuting patterns and living
preferences, and greater opportunity to split time between
multiple locations
Possibility for longer-term regional
development and planning effects
Linking remote work & regional
development / planning
 Is increased remote work here to
stay?
 What are the potential regional
development and planning effects?
 What policy responses are evident?
Increased remote work –
Here to stay?
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3
Yes, BUT…
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…not all the
time…
…and not for everyone.
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5
• Nordic average 37.1%; the equivalent of 9.5 million
jobs
• Theoretical potential but correlates well with the
actual numbers of people working from home during
the pandemic (in Sweden)
• Highest potential found in larger urban areas
Potential regional
development and
planning effects
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• Mobility (changes to daily
movements)
• Migration (changes regarding where
to live)
• Multilocality (changes in the way
people split their time between
multiple locations)
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Changing mobility
patterns
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Pre-pandemic baseline
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Migration
New opportunities for rural
areas and small and medium
sized cities?
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Typology of internal
net migration 2020-
2021*
*Finland and Faroe Islands 2020
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― Accelerated outmigration from the
capital municipalities (red)
― Accelerated growth in municipalities
surrounding the capital regions and
larger cities (dark blue)
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― Depopulation slowed (orange, 32%) or
even turned around (green, 19%) in
many (often rural) municipalities
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13
 At the local and regional level, the nature of the challenges
and opportunities experienced appears to be fairly similar
between the countries.
 Overall, survey participants were more likely to report
positive changes in their permanent or temporary
populations.
 Generating opportunities for long-term economic
growth, maintaining public services, and revitalising
the community
 Challenges particularly related to increased housing
demand and pressure on public services and
infrastructure.
Survey: Local and
regional experiences
Increased
multilocality: A
pandemic effect
or a new
opportunity for
counter-
urbanisation?
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14
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2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Norway Sweden Denmark
Number of second homes sold
Different starting points,
different stories:
Policy responses
Different starting points,
different stories:
- Iceland: ”Jobs without
specified placement” a pre-
pandemic regional policy
priority gaining momentum
since.
Policy responses
Different starting points,
different stories:
- Finland: ”Multilocality” high
on the political agenda,
particularly as a strategy to
combat depopulation and
ageing in rural areas.
Policy responses
Different starting points,
different stories:
- Norway: Opportunities for
remote work in line with
ongoing regional policy
developments
- Sweden: Strong foundations
but no clear direction evident
- Denmark: Regional policy
links less clear
Policy responses
Some key takeaways
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3
/
0
9
/
21
• Increased remote work is here to stay BUT not for everyone and
not all the time.
• Migration, mobility and multilocality underwent changes, but
unclear to what extent these are pandemic effects or the beginning
of longer-term trends.
• The countries had similar experiences during the pandemic
however the future direction varies somewhat depending on the
pre-existing policy context in each country.

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4 - Beyond Recovery-Agust Bogason.pdf

  • 1. 0 3 / 0 9 / 1 Remote work: Effects on Nordic people, places and planning 2021- 2024 Ágúst Bogason Research Fellow NORDREGIO
  • 2. 0 3 / 0 9 / 2 COVID-19 pandemic makes working remotely common practice for many workers This results in changes to commuting patterns and living preferences, and greater opportunity to split time between multiple locations Possibility for longer-term regional development and planning effects Linking remote work & regional development / planning  Is increased remote work here to stay?  What are the potential regional development and planning effects?  What policy responses are evident?
  • 3. Increased remote work – Here to stay? 0 3 / 0 9 / 3 Yes, BUT…
  • 5. …and not for everyone. 0 3 / 0 9 / 5 • Nordic average 37.1%; the equivalent of 9.5 million jobs • Theoretical potential but correlates well with the actual numbers of people working from home during the pandemic (in Sweden) • Highest potential found in larger urban areas
  • 6. Potential regional development and planning effects 0 3 / 0 9 / 6 • Mobility (changes to daily movements) • Migration (changes regarding where to live) • Multilocality (changes in the way people split their time between multiple locations)
  • 9. 0 3 / 0 9 / 9 Migration New opportunities for rural areas and small and medium sized cities?
  • 10. 0 3 / 0 9 / 10 Typology of internal net migration 2020- 2021* *Finland and Faroe Islands 2020
  • 11. 0 3 / 0 9 / 11 ― Accelerated outmigration from the capital municipalities (red) ― Accelerated growth in municipalities surrounding the capital regions and larger cities (dark blue)
  • 12. 0 3 / 0 9 / 12 ― Depopulation slowed (orange, 32%) or even turned around (green, 19%) in many (often rural) municipalities
  • 13. 0 3 / 0 9 / 13  At the local and regional level, the nature of the challenges and opportunities experienced appears to be fairly similar between the countries.  Overall, survey participants were more likely to report positive changes in their permanent or temporary populations.  Generating opportunities for long-term economic growth, maintaining public services, and revitalising the community  Challenges particularly related to increased housing demand and pressure on public services and infrastructure. Survey: Local and regional experiences
  • 14. Increased multilocality: A pandemic effect or a new opportunity for counter- urbanisation? 0 3 / 0 9 / 14
  • 15. 0 3 / 0 9 / 15 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Norway Sweden Denmark Number of second homes sold
  • 16. Different starting points, different stories: Policy responses
  • 17. Different starting points, different stories: - Iceland: ”Jobs without specified placement” a pre- pandemic regional policy priority gaining momentum since. Policy responses
  • 18.
  • 19. Different starting points, different stories: - Finland: ”Multilocality” high on the political agenda, particularly as a strategy to combat depopulation and ageing in rural areas. Policy responses
  • 20. Different starting points, different stories: - Norway: Opportunities for remote work in line with ongoing regional policy developments - Sweden: Strong foundations but no clear direction evident - Denmark: Regional policy links less clear Policy responses
  • 21. Some key takeaways 0 3 / 0 9 / 21 • Increased remote work is here to stay BUT not for everyone and not all the time. • Migration, mobility and multilocality underwent changes, but unclear to what extent these are pandemic effects or the beginning of longer-term trends. • The countries had similar experiences during the pandemic however the future direction varies somewhat depending on the pre-existing policy context in each country.