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RECENT TRENDS IN
INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION AND
THE INTEGRATION OF REFUGEES
Jean-Christophe Dumont
Head of the International Migration Division,
Directorate for Employment, Labour and Social Affairs
OECD
12 October 2016
The global picture: Sharp increase of permanent
migration flows to OECD countries in 2015
– but refugees are only a part of the picture
Evolution of permanent migration inflows to OECD countries
Distribution of permanent flows to OECD
countries by category in 2014
Source International Migration Outlook, (OECD, 2016)
Source: International Migration Outlook (OECD, 2016)
4.1
4.7
4.4
4.1
4.0 4.0 4.0
4.1
4.3
4.8
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 (e)
Millions
Work
14% Acc. family of
workers
7%
Family
33%
Humanitarian
9%
Other
5%
Free
movement
32%
Permanent migration as a share of population
ranges from 4 to 40 per thousand
Permanent migration to OECD countries by category as a percentage of the population, 2014
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
% Work Family Free movement Other 3.6
Source International Migration Outlook, (OECD, 2016)
• Permanent migration from third countries to the EU is comparable to
that of the US
Temporary (labour) migration is
increasing fast as well
Temporary labour migration flows, 2014
Source International Migration Outlook, (OECD, 2016)
Thousands
(2014)
Evolution %
(2013-2014)
No countries
included
Seasonal workers 643 +27% 16
Intra-corporate transfers 141 +17% 10
Posted workers 1 436 +9% 24
Trainees 127 +17% 8
Working holiday makers 483 +5% 10
An unfolding
humanitarian crisis …
An unprecedented number of asylum
applications in 2015
Evolution of the number of new asylum seekers, 1980-2016
Source: UNHCR, Eurostat, OECD calculations.
0
500
1 000
1 500
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Thousands
OECD EU
0
500
1 000
2016 Jan-Jun
• Germany is the main receiving country for asylum seekers in absolute terms
(440k applications registered in 2015 but 900 thousand pre-registrations)
but Sweden is number one in relative terms (1.6% of the population)
• 4.8 million refugees in neighbouring countries of Syria including 2.7 million
in Turkey, 1 million in Lebanon and 640k in Jordan at the end of 2015.
2016: continuing but decreasing entries
Source: UNHCR (9/10/2016)
Assessing, activating and
developing refugee’ skills
How are refugee faring on the EU
labour market ?
Source: EU-OECD (2016), How are refugees faring on the labour market in Europe? A first evaluation based
on the 2014 EU labour force survey ad hoc module, DG EMPL Working Paper 1/2016.
Employment and unemployment rate by immigrant categories
and gender European OECD countries, 2014
Labour market integration of refugees
takes time => early intervention & access
Employment rate by immigrant categories and duration of stay
European OECD countries, 2014
Source : EU-OECD (2016), How are refugees faring on the labour market in Europe? A first evaluation based
on the 2014 EU labour force survey ad hoc module, DG EMPL Working Paper 1/2016.
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
0 to 4 5 to 9 10 to 14 15 to 19 20+
Years of residence
Employment
Family
Refugees
Study
Low educated refugees are lagging behind
=> targeted support, alternative assessment and upskilling
Source: EU-OECD (2016), How are refugees faring on the labour market in Europe? A first evaluation based
on the 2014 EU labour force survey ad hoc module, DG EMPL Working Paper 1/2016.
Employment population ratio of refugees and accompanying family by duration of
residence and education, 2014, Cohort arriving in 2000
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Low (ISCED 0-2) Medium (ISCED 3-4) High (ISCED 5+)
Language skill proficiency is key
=> modular language training combined with work exp.
Source: EU-OECD (2016), How are refugees faring on the labour market in Europe? A first evaluation based
on the 2014 EU labour force survey ad hoc module, DG EMPL Working Paper 1/2016.
Employment rate of refugees by host-country language proficiency level in the EU
15-64 yo, 2014
27%
59%
67%
59%
Native-born, 65%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Beginner or less
skills
Intermediate Advanced Language is
mother tounge
Employmentrate(%)
How can OECD help ?
OECD responses and support
• Learning from the past
and from good practices :
making integration work for
refugees and their children
• Engaging with employers
• Improving multilevel governance
and local integration
• Adressing the migration backlash
• Anticipating future developments
and upcoming challenges (e.g.
returning rejected asylum
seekers)
For further information:
www.oecd.org/migration
jean-christophe.dumont@oecd.org
15/11
Thank you for your attention

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Migration and Integration (Part 1) - October 2016 Meeting of the OECD Global Parliamentary Network

  • 1. RECENT TRENDS IN INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION AND THE INTEGRATION OF REFUGEES Jean-Christophe Dumont Head of the International Migration Division, Directorate for Employment, Labour and Social Affairs OECD 12 October 2016
  • 2. The global picture: Sharp increase of permanent migration flows to OECD countries in 2015 – but refugees are only a part of the picture Evolution of permanent migration inflows to OECD countries Distribution of permanent flows to OECD countries by category in 2014 Source International Migration Outlook, (OECD, 2016) Source: International Migration Outlook (OECD, 2016) 4.1 4.7 4.4 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.3 4.8 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 (e) Millions Work 14% Acc. family of workers 7% Family 33% Humanitarian 9% Other 5% Free movement 32%
  • 3. Permanent migration as a share of population ranges from 4 to 40 per thousand Permanent migration to OECD countries by category as a percentage of the population, 2014 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 % Work Family Free movement Other 3.6 Source International Migration Outlook, (OECD, 2016) • Permanent migration from third countries to the EU is comparable to that of the US
  • 4. Temporary (labour) migration is increasing fast as well Temporary labour migration flows, 2014 Source International Migration Outlook, (OECD, 2016) Thousands (2014) Evolution % (2013-2014) No countries included Seasonal workers 643 +27% 16 Intra-corporate transfers 141 +17% 10 Posted workers 1 436 +9% 24 Trainees 127 +17% 8 Working holiday makers 483 +5% 10
  • 6. An unprecedented number of asylum applications in 2015 Evolution of the number of new asylum seekers, 1980-2016 Source: UNHCR, Eurostat, OECD calculations. 0 500 1 000 1 500 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Thousands OECD EU 0 500 1 000 2016 Jan-Jun • Germany is the main receiving country for asylum seekers in absolute terms (440k applications registered in 2015 but 900 thousand pre-registrations) but Sweden is number one in relative terms (1.6% of the population) • 4.8 million refugees in neighbouring countries of Syria including 2.7 million in Turkey, 1 million in Lebanon and 640k in Jordan at the end of 2015.
  • 7. 2016: continuing but decreasing entries Source: UNHCR (9/10/2016)
  • 9. How are refugee faring on the EU labour market ? Source: EU-OECD (2016), How are refugees faring on the labour market in Europe? A first evaluation based on the 2014 EU labour force survey ad hoc module, DG EMPL Working Paper 1/2016. Employment and unemployment rate by immigrant categories and gender European OECD countries, 2014
  • 10. Labour market integration of refugees takes time => early intervention & access Employment rate by immigrant categories and duration of stay European OECD countries, 2014 Source : EU-OECD (2016), How are refugees faring on the labour market in Europe? A first evaluation based on the 2014 EU labour force survey ad hoc module, DG EMPL Working Paper 1/2016. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 0 to 4 5 to 9 10 to 14 15 to 19 20+ Years of residence Employment Family Refugees Study
  • 11. Low educated refugees are lagging behind => targeted support, alternative assessment and upskilling Source: EU-OECD (2016), How are refugees faring on the labour market in Europe? A first evaluation based on the 2014 EU labour force survey ad hoc module, DG EMPL Working Paper 1/2016. Employment population ratio of refugees and accompanying family by duration of residence and education, 2014, Cohort arriving in 2000 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Low (ISCED 0-2) Medium (ISCED 3-4) High (ISCED 5+)
  • 12. Language skill proficiency is key => modular language training combined with work exp. Source: EU-OECD (2016), How are refugees faring on the labour market in Europe? A first evaluation based on the 2014 EU labour force survey ad hoc module, DG EMPL Working Paper 1/2016. Employment rate of refugees by host-country language proficiency level in the EU 15-64 yo, 2014 27% 59% 67% 59% Native-born, 65% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Beginner or less skills Intermediate Advanced Language is mother tounge Employmentrate(%)
  • 13. How can OECD help ?
  • 14. OECD responses and support • Learning from the past and from good practices : making integration work for refugees and their children • Engaging with employers • Improving multilevel governance and local integration • Adressing the migration backlash • Anticipating future developments and upcoming challenges (e.g. returning rejected asylum seekers)