Presentation from March 2023 CCXG Global Forum

1. DATE
CLIMATE CHANGE SERVICE
FEDERAL PUBLIC HEALTH, FOOD CHAIN SAFETY AND ENVIRONMENT
POTENTIAL OUTPUTS OF THE MWP
• CCXG GLOBAL FORUM ENVIRONMENT AND CLIMATE CHANGE
GEERT FREMOUT
21/03/2023
CCXG GLOBAL FORUM
ENVIRONMENT AND
CLIMATE CHANGE
21/03/2022

2. POTENTIAL OUTPUTS OF THE MWP• 21/03/2023
• Bridge top–down (1,5°C) and bottom-up (policy)
• In line with the Paris agreement architecture
• Facilitative, catalytic, motivational, inspirational
• Focus on what is low-cost, high potential, replicable, scalable
• Choice of (sub)sectors and topics
• Don’t reinvent the wheel
• Information available : IPCC, IEA, IRENA,..
• follow up and build upon existing agreed benchmarks
• Strengthen initiatives and empower coalitions
• Facilitate Breakthroughs and avoid carbon lock-in
• Build critical mass for the transition
• Practical guidance & “manuals” : National frameworks & international cooperation
• Signals to investors
• Learn by doing
OVERVIEW 2

3. POTENTIAL OUTPUTS OF THE MWP• 21/03/2023
THE CHALLENGE
UNFCCC NDC Synthesis Report 2022 - https://unfccc.int/documents/619180
3
BRIDGE TOP-DOWN & BOTTOM-UP
2015-2022
2023-2030

4. POTENTIAL OUTPUTS OF THE MWP• 21/03/2023
POTENTIAL IN ALL SECTORS – ENERGY SECTOR IS CRUCIAL 4
Source : IPCC AR6 WG3 figures SPM 7 and 3 - https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg3/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGIII_SummaryForPolicymakers.pdf

5. POTENTIAL OUTPUTS OF THE MWP• 21/03/2023
KEEP TRACK OF AGREED BENCHMARKS : COAL POWER 5
Source : https://globalenergymonitor.org/projects/global-coal-plant-tracker/dashboard//

6. POTENTIAL OUTPUTS OF THE MWP• 21/03/2023
KEEP TRACK OF AGREED BENCHMARKS : FOSSIL FUEL SUBSIDIES 6
https://www.iea.org/reports/fossil-fuels-consumption-subsidies-2022

7. POTENTIAL OUTPUTS OF THE MWP• 21/03/2023
EXPLAIN AND SHARE INITIATIVES AND COALITIONS 7

8. POTENTIAL OUTPUTS OF THE MWP• 21/03/2023
LOW COST – HIGH IMPACT 8
Source : https://www.iea.org/reports/global-methane-tracker-2023/overview

9. POTENTIAL OUTPUTS OF THE MWP• 21/03/2023
AVOID CARBON LOCK-IN AND STRANDED ASSETS 9
IPCC AR6 WG3 FigureTS8 https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg3/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGIII_TechnicalSummary.pdf

10. POTENTIAL OUTPUTS OF THE MWP• 21/03/2023
FACILITATE BREAKTHROUGHS – BUILD CRITICAL MASS 10
Breakthrough Agenda Report 2022 - https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/49ae4839-90a9-4d88-92bc-371e2b24546a/THEBREAKTHROUGHAGENDAREPORT2022.pdf

11. POTENTIAL OUTPUTS OF THE MWP• 21/03/2023
POLICY GUIDANCE – NATIONAL & INTERNATIONAL 11
Breakthrough Agenda Report 2022
CCXG draft discussion document – Making the MWP fit for purpose

12. POTENTIAL OUTPUTS OF THE MWP• 21/03/2023
THE MWP LANDSCAPE – OUTPUTS 12
MWP Dialogues
Investment
Focused events
Report
• Key findings
• Opportunities
• Barriers
• Analysis
• Transparency
benchmarks
• Policy
guidance
• Signals to
investors
SBs / CMA
HL MRT
Pre-2030
ambition
Decision
• Political
signal
• Formal
endorsement
of elements
in the report
• Additional
MWP
guidance
Chairs
Summary?
Declaration?
• Political
signal &
guidance
?

13. POTENTIAL OUTPUTS OF THE MWP• 21/03/2023
• Strong political signals (HLMRT & CMA decision)
• Urgency : Immediate peaking of global emissions by 2025 the latest
• ambition and implementation of NDCs and LTS and their alignment with 1,5°C
• Phasing out of unabated fossil fuels – energy systems free of unabated fossil fuels well ahead of 2050
• Transparency and accountability
• the implementation of NDCs and LTS
• Implementation of multilaterally agreed benchmarks
• Scaled up and new voluntary sectoral initiatives, coalitions and partnerships
• Global Methane Pledge, Breakthroughs, …
• Just Energy Transition Partnerships
• Policy Guidance and inspiration for Parties and stakeholders
• design and implementation of national, regional and international policies, measures and actions
• Signals to financers and investors
• opportunities with a high mitigation potential in the short term and on avoiding lock-in of fossil infrastructure.
• Learning by doing
• Additional guidance based on the first experience
MWP : POTENTIAL OUTPUTS AT COP 28

14. DATE
@klimaat_be | @climat_be | @climate_be
geert.fremout@health.fgov.be
www.klimaat.be
THANK YOU
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