Presentation from March 2023 CCXG Global Forum

1. Climate Change
Expert Group
Towards a successful outcome of the
first global stocktake
_______
Sirini Jeudy-Hugo (OECD)
Hybrid CCXG Global Forum | 22 March 2023
Based on: “Towards a successful outcome of the first global stocktake of the Paris Agreement”,
S. Jeudy-Hugo and L. Charles (2023, draft)

2. Outline
• Brief overview of GST process
• Unpacking what a successful GST1 means
• Understanding what is needed to reach a successful outcome of GST1
• Options for structuring impactful outputs from GST1
• Conclusions

3. Overview of GST process and intended outcome
• Inputs to GST
portal
• Synthesis reports
• Identification of
information gaps
Information
collection and
preparation
• Summary reports of
technical dialogues
• Factual synthesis
report
Technical
assessment
• High-level events
• Decision and/or
declaration
Consideration of
outputs (CO)
• Inform national
actions and
support
• Enhance
international
co-operation
Outcome
Consideration of
outputs (CO)

4. Considerations for a successful outcome of GST1
• Goes beyond CO of GST1 to an “implementation arc” in 2024-2025 – culminate in updated
NDCs “informed” by GST1 submitted by COP30.
• Be realistic in considering success of GST1 – learning-by-doing exercise and opportunity for
improvement in future GST cycles.
Is the process consistent with agreed
principles?
i.e. set out in the Paris Agreement and
Decision 19/CMA.1
Is the intended outcome achieved?
i.e. of informing national actions and
enhancing international cooperation

5. What is needed to reach a successful outcome of GST1?
A well designed and sequenced CO
o Structured around different phases
o Engaging relevant actors
A package of final outputs which are “fit for purpose”
o Focused, targeted and accessible
o Reaches relevant actors
o Establishes follow-up processes and feedback loops
Maintaining momentum beyond 2023
o Implement follow-up processes and feedback loops
o Use political pressure points to ensure implementation

6. Potential elements of a package of technical outputs from GST1
Factual synthesis report
Target audience: Negotiators and decision makers
Technical annexes
Target audience: Policymakers and practioners
Key cards summarising technical findings
Target audience: Broad audience beyond UNFCCC process

7. Potential elements of a package of political outputs from GST1
Draft decision
Coordinated by Joint Contact Group
Draft political declaration
Coordinated by High-level Committee
Draft cover decision
Coordinated by COP28 Presidency
Presidency initiatives
Coordinated by COP28 Presidency + High-level Climate Champions

8. Conclusions
• GST1 could deliver concrete results and set a foundation for improved approaches over time by:
• Translating findings from the technical discussions into strong political messages and
recommendations
• Identifying lessons learned from GST1 to inform future GSTs
• Establishing follow-up processes to assess progress
• Utilising political moments to maintain momentum
• GST1 provides an important opportunity for Parties and the international community to
course correct and one we cannot afford to let pass by.

9. THANK YOU!
Climate Change
Expert Group
http://oe.cd/ccxg
sirini.jeudy-hugo@oecd.org
caa@spiceisle.com