CCXG Global Forum October 2018 Breakout Group 2 by Sina Wartmann

1. Climate Change Expert Group www.oecd.org/env/cc/ccxg.htm
Flexibility in reporting – tracking
progress to non-BAU mitigation targets
Sina Wartmann
Based on: Ellis et al (2018), Operationalising flexibility and facilitating
improved reporting under the Paris Agreement (Draft)
CCXG Global Forum on the Environment and Climate Change
8-9 October 2018

2. 2 Climate Change Expert Group
Presentation outline
 Information relevant for non-BAU progress
tracking
 Assessing relevant experience for non-BAU
progress tracking
 Conclusions Attention: In this presentation, the term
„flexibility“ always means flexibility for
those developing country Parties who
need it in light of their capacities with
regards to reporting requirements in Art.
13 and its MPGs

3. 3 Climate Change Expert Group
Informational elements likely
relevant for progress tracking
NDC target Informa-
tion
specifying
target
National
GHG
inventory
Co-
operative
approache
s
Mitigation
actions
GHG
Projections
Economy-wide
emission reduction
targets / carbon
neutrality
✔✔# ✔✔ ✔✔ ✔ ✔
Non-economy-wide
emission reduction
targets
✔✔ ✔✔# ✔✔ ✔ ✔
Peaking ✔✔ ✔✔ ✔✔ ✔ ✔✔
Legend: ✔✔ - Essential information, ✔ - Helpful information

4. 4 Climate Change Expert Group
Information likely relevant for
progress tracking
NDC target Informatio
n
specifying
target
National
GHG
inventory
Int. co-
operative
approaches
Mitigation
actions
GHG
Projection
s
Further
informa-
tion
Emissions
intensity /
emissions
per capita
✔✔ ✔✔ ✔✔ ✔ ✔ ✔✔
GDP,
population
data
Non-GHG
goals
✔✔ N/A ? ✔ N/A ✔✔
Data for
target
indicators
Qualitative
PaMs
✔✔ ✔ N/A ✔✔ N/A N/A
Legend: ✔✔ - Essential information, ✔ - Helpful information

5. 5 Climate Change Expert Group
Information specifying the NDC
target for the purposes of tracking
 Post-Bangkok version of APA Item 5 additional tool
indicates description of NDC target should be included in
BTR
 Not all NDC clear and transparent on targets, e.g. scope,
target indicators, methodologies and assumptions
 NDC submission first experience in reporting information
specifying a target for majority of developing country
Parties
 Flexibility required where Parties face capacity limitations
in reporting such information in BTRs
General accounting approaches for the land-use sector chosen in the
submitted NDCs

6. 6 Climate Change Expert Group
GHG inventories - Vintages
 Majority of developing countries have prepared a GHG
inventory
 Less than 60% have submitted one after January 2015
China
Overview of latest GHG inventory year available for developing country
Parties, weighted by 2014 GHG emissions
Not reported

7. 7 Climate Change Expert Group
National GHG Inventory
 IPCC GLs provide discretion on various provisions to
enable improvement over time for users starting at
different capacity levels
 Flexibility might be required where
o discretion is not / not sufficiently provided by IPCC GLs to
addess capacity limitations
o Capacity limitations relate to provisions outside of IPCC GLs

8. 8 Climate Change Expert Group
Mitigation Actions / GHG Projections
Informational
Element
Experience Examples of potl. capacity limitations
Mitigation
actions –
Implementation
and impacts
Majority has
experience –
but varies in
depth
• Reporting consistently over time
• Reporting on quantitative information,
e.g. impacts, costs
• Reporting the necessary level of detail on
qualitative PaMs, e.g. where subnational
GHG Projections 49 dev. Country
Parties have
reported
projections in
NC/BURs since
Jan 2015
• The scenarios to be reported
• Updating projections over time
• Availability of recent GHG inventory data
as starting point
Attention: Information on GHG projections is essential information
where the NDC target relates to peaking
Attention: Information on mitigation actions is essential information
where the NDC target relates to implementation of qualitative policies
and measures

9. 9 Climate Change Expert Group
Further Information
Informational
Element
Experience Examples of pot. capacity limitations
Emission
intensity / per
capita goals
Broad
experience in
reporting GDP
and population
Capacity limitations might initially occurr in
cases of competing sets of population data,
or where population data has not been
updated for many years
Non-GHG goals Limited
experience
Initially reporting indicator data consistently
and timely might be an issue

10. 10 Climate Change Expert Group
Conclusions
 Reporting by developing countries is improving, but
there are still large gaps
 Potential capacity limitations relevant to reporting all
informational elements
 Discretion in existing reporting provisions does not
always faciliate improvement („vagueness“)
 Flexibility ideally builds on existing discretion where it
facilitates improvement over time
 Paper provides suggestions on flexibility options
aiming to facilitate improvement over time

11. 11 Climate Change Expert Group
Thank you!
For more information:
www.oecd.org/env/cc/ccxg.htm
sw@sinawartmann.org
jane.ellis@oecd.org