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Round Table on Financing Water
Security and Sustainable Growth
The Case of Sabesp
Rui Affonso – CFO/IRO SABESP
Washington DC – June 2019
SABESP HIGHLIGTHS
COMPANY OVERVIEW MAIN OPERATIONAL INDICATORS(1)
S Mixed capital company, majority-owned by the State of
São Paulo, with significant private ownership
S Largest water and sewage service providers in the
world based on the number of Customers
S Provides water to 28 million people and sewage
services to 22.8 million people
S Covers around 65.5% of State's urban population
S Market Cap: R$ 28.7 billion (as of March, 2019)
2
OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE % (1)
(1) March/2019rch/2019
ADR III
Water Sewage
Connections (million)(2) 9.5 7.9
Coverage(3) (%) 97 89
Treatment(4)(%) --- 76
Billed Volume (m³ million) 532.6 439.8
(1) As of March 31, 2019
(2) Active and Inacttive water connections. It includes Guarulhos
(3) Services Available. It includes Guarulhos
(4) Consumer units connected to the sewage treatment – It does not include Guarulhos
BRAZIL
Investment
Tariff 40,64 55,2%
Debt 22,05 30,0%
Fiscal 10,90 14,8%
Total 73,59
SABESP
Investment
Tariff 17,54 69,0%
Debt 7,31 28,8%
Fiscal 0,55 2,2%
Total 25,40
*Nominal Values(Source: SNIS)
2011 to 2017
R$ Billion
Invest / Total
%
2011 to 2017
R$ Billion
Invest / Total
%
3
9,0%
8,8%
2,2%
State of
São Paulo
BRAZIL
34,5%
33,2%
FINANCING THROUGH TAX – BRAZIL X SABESP
4
Resident Population of the Municipality of São Paulo
4.42% 3.50% 2.10%
2.00% 2.34% 1.28%
Source: Pesquisa de Orçamentos Familiares 2011-2013 (FIPE)
https://www.fipe.org.br/pt-br/indices/pof/#pof---2011-2013
1.74%
Public Transportation
(Bus, integ., metro,
train)
Electricity Landline phone
Cell Phone Package: phone,
tv and internet
Gas
Water and Sewage
X Low Perception of Willing to Pay
EXPENSES – AVERAGE IMPACT ON HOUSEHOLD BUDGET
FINIANCING WATER AND SUSTENTABILITY TROUGH TARIFFS
Productivity
Factor
(0.6920%)
New Average
Tariff
= 1
Inflation
(CPI)
100
x Previous
Average Tariff
Quality
Factor*
-
+
*Not defined yet
ANNUAL TARIFF ADJUSTMENT FORMULA
-
KEY POINTS
Natural Monopoly Essential Good
Solid Regulatory Framework
5
READJUSTMENTS AND REVISIONS INDEXES
OTR- Ordinary Tariff Revision
ETR- Extraordinary Tariff Revision
2015 - Readjustment + Residual + ETR = 15.24%
CPI – Between the readjustement/revision periods
OTR- Ordina
ETR- Extrao
2015 - Read
METHODOLOGY OF TARIFF REVIEW (PRICE CAP)
TaxesRequired Revenue
Average
Tariff (P0)
PRICECAP
Output of
the Model
= + +
Reduced by X Factor X
defined by Arsesp
(after year1)
Income Taxes
Revenue
Taxes
OPEX +
Personnel
Energy
Materials
Others
Water
Sewage
Others
RABt – RAB0
Amortization
Rate
Asset
Useful Life
WACC
Cost of Equity
Cost of Debt
Arsesp
Technical
Note
Sabesp 4 year Business Plan
+
Arsesp Review
CAPEX
Billed
Volume
FINIANCING WATER AND SUSTENTABILITY TROUGH TARIFFS
6
11,5% over CPI (2013-2019)
CPI
FINANCING TROUGH DEBT
TRADE OFFS: TERMS AND COSTS
HIGHERLOWER
TERMS
(years)
LONGERSHORTER
0 10 20 30
CAPITAL MARKETS
Debêntures, Eurobônus e FIDC
National R$
International US$
NATIONAL PUBLIC
CEF e BNDES
Currency R$
MULTILATERAL
BID, BIRD, JICA
Currency US$ e JPY
7
COSTS
8
Index Currency
0 a 10
years
11 a 20
years
21 a 30
years
Source
Type
Use / Application Guarantee
EUROBONUS BRL (FLAT RATE)
All taxes and income taxes included
R$ 14,08% Private
Refinancing Only
Non-Investment
Resolution 2515
No
DEBENTURE BNDES (2) TJLP ; IPCA R$ 9,80% Pública Investment Receivables
DEBENTURE CEF (1) TR R$ 9,50% Public Investment Receivables
EUROBONUS 30 ANOS
All taxes and income taxes included
US$
9,00%
Private
Refinancing Only
Non-Investment
Resolution 2515
No
DEBENTURE
Law 12.431
IPCA
NTND
R$ 8,86% Private Investment Project Revenue
CEF – SANEAM P/ TODOS(6) TR R$ 8,50% Public Investment Receivables
BNDES FINEM – PUBLIC(6) TJLP R$ 8,44% Public Investment Receivables
DEBENTURE CDI R$ 6,99% Private Refinancing / Investment No
AB LOAN (3)
Without income tax
LIBOR 6M US$ 4,48% Private Refinancing / Investment No
BIRD – PUBLIC (5) LIBOR 6M US$ 3,68% Public Investment Government
BID – PUBLIC (4) LIBOR 3M US$ 3,01% Public Investment Government
JICA – PUBLIC JPY 1,70% Public Investment Government
COSTS
HighLow
TERMS
HighLowNote:
● Nominal Annual Interest Rate
● Loans: (1) 06/2019; (2) 04/2011; (3) 05/2008; (4) 06/2019; (5) 06/2019; (6) 06/2014; Other rates are market estimates and negotiations
● Index (Annual fee): CDI (6,40%) ; LIBOR 3M (2,4020%) ; LIBOR 6M (2,2773%) ;TR (0,00%) ; TJLP (6,26%) TLP (6,49%) ; IPCA (4,66%)
Base Jun/2019 – where possible, recently contracted rates
FINANCING TROUGH DEBT
TRADE OFFS: TERMS AND COSTS
Domestic External Domestic External
22 Months 36 Months
Sources availability
PSBR
Fiscal Constraints
Sovereign Guarantee
Receivables
FX impact on
balance sheet
Timing of
Structuring
Private FinancingPublic Financing
4 Months
! "
!" !"
9
FINANCING TROUGH DEBT
TRADE OFFS: TIMING OF STRUCTURING / AVAILABILITY / SOVEREIGN GUARANTEE / FX
FINANCING TROUGH DEBT
DOMESTIC PUBLIC TIMEFRAME
10
TERM COMMITMENT FORMALIZATION /
FINANCING AGREEMENT SIGNING
ENVIO DA SPA AO
MINISTÉRIO DAS CIDADES
ENVIO DA SPA AO
MINISTÉRIO DAS CIDADES
SHIPPING TO THE MINISTRY OF CITIES
OF THE HIRING RESULTS
SEND PROPOSALS
SHIPPING TO BANKS
LIST OF PROPOSALS
SELECTED
PUBLIC BANK REQUESTS DOCUMENTATION
PRESENTATION TO THE PUBLIC BANK OF
DOCUMENTATION
ACCORDING TO MANUAL
FRAMEWORK
ANALYSIS OF PROPOSALS
BY THE SECRETARIAT OF
SANITATION OF
MINISTRY OF CITIES
PAC ANALYSIS
PREVIOUS SELECTION
HOMOLOGATION
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
AND
DOCUMENTATION VERIFICATION
ENABLING BY
THE MINISTRY OF CITIES
BIDDING
BIDDING ANALYSIS
DISCLOSE SELECTION PROCESS
START OF DEVELOPMENTS
Ministry of Cities
Public Banks
State Companies
Average time between
the opening of the
selection process and
the signing of the
contracts
22 months
11
~ 3 YEARS
UNION
Guarantee
STATE
Counter-
Guarantee Law
Dez/2018
SABESP
Prepares
MIP
Jun / 2018
STN
IDB Sends Drafts of Loan
Agreement and
Guarantee Contract
May / 2018
SEAIN
Pre-trading and
Trading
Jul e Aug/ 2018
PGFN issues: Legal Opinion
Statement of Reasons to the
Minister of Economy,
requesting a message to the
SENATE for the Concession of
Guarantee
31 / May / 2019
Executive Secretariat of
Finance consolidated
necessary documents and
forwards to the Ministry of
Economy
04 / Jun / 2019
Ministry of Economy
06 / Jun / 2019
STN
Pre-Trading
Authorization
(authorized
without counter-
guarantee law)
Jul / 2018
BID x SABESP
Project
Transactions
Mar / 2017
SABESP
Protocol Letter
Consultation
Jun / 2017
Approval
COFIEX
Sep / 2017
SABESP
Civil House
BID
Identification
Mission
Nov / 2017
Special
Mission
Mar / 2018
Mission
Analysis
Apr / 2018
IDB Board approval
Oct / 2018
STN
Approval of the
STATE
Guarantee
05 / Apr / 2019
Approval of
SABESP's
Payment
Capacity]
12 / Apr / 2019
Elaboration of
ROF (BACEN)
Sep / 2018
SENATE
Committee on Economic Affairs
Issue Resolution - DOU
Subscription Contracts (loan
and guarantees)
Conditions of Contract
Effectiveness
Legal
Opinion of
SABESP (CJ)
Legal
Opinion of
PGFN
Legal
Opinion of
PGE SP
PGFN
Senate Resolution
BANK Approval
STN final opinion
-Publication of the Minister of
Economy
Performed Steps
Steps Not Performed
Attention Point
LOAN
SABESP
Sets Information
MIP
Mar/2019
STATE forwards
Financial Information
SADIPEM
Mar/2019STATE
Counter-
Guarantee
Economy minister
publish authorization
FINANCING TROUGH DEBT
EXTERNAL PUBLIC TIMEFRAME
12
FINANCING SABESP´S INVESTMENT GROWTH:
NET INCOME (TARIFFS) + DEBT (2009-2018)
Investmentsnvestment
30,1 bi
140% nominal
36% real
2008 ..................2018
1,73
4,18
2008 ..................2018
228% nominal
84% real
0,86
2,84
17,2 bi
12,9 bi12,9 b
+
43%
57%
Dividends
+
5,2 bi
Debt
Net Income
<
Net
<<-
Net
<<-->
ncomeIntet
>>>> Tariffs
13
São Paulo’s most
severe drought since
1953
20%
Real decline
R$ 3.4 billion
2014/2015 reduction
Cantareira in 2014
Cantareira in 2017
7,7
8,3
8,9
9,5
8,9 8,9
11,1
8,5%
7,5%
6,9% -6,7% 0,5%
24,3%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Gross Revenue (R$ current billions) Net Income (R$ million)
72,14%
Decline in nominal terms
WATER SECURITY CHALENGE
PRODUCTION AND DISTRIBUTION 2019 Var. %
Urban population in the area served (source: SEADE) (million
inhabitants)
20.9 3.6%
730,000 inhab.
Total water treatment capacity (m³/s) 82.3 12%
Water production systems 9 -
Average monthly production (m³/s) 63.3 (9%)
Average residential consumption (m³/month) 10.8 (17%)
Treated water transfers between the systems (m³/s) Up to 12 300%
IPDT (water loss per connection per day) in the SPMR 322 (26%)
Up to 3
434
20.1
73.4
8
69.1
13.0
2013
WATER SUPPLY SYSTEM STRONGER THAN BEFORE THE WATER CRISIS OF
2014/2015
14
WATER SECURITY FINANCING IDDLE CAPACITY
REGULATORY
CHALENGE
Investment: R$ 3,8 billion
Financed: R$ 3,4 billion
RESERVOIRS 2019 Var. %
Reservoirs (water right) (m³/s) 80.3 14%
Maximum storage capacity (hm³)
(without the technical reserve)
2,106 16%
Transfers among reservoirs (m³/s) 35.4 168%
2013
70.4
1,816
13.2
Thank you
Rui Affonso
CFO and IR Officer
raffonso@sabesp .com.br

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Presentation- Fourth Roundtable on Financing Water- Rui Affonso

  • 1. Round Table on Financing Water Security and Sustainable Growth The Case of Sabesp Rui Affonso – CFO/IRO SABESP Washington DC – June 2019
  • 2. SABESP HIGHLIGTHS COMPANY OVERVIEW MAIN OPERATIONAL INDICATORS(1) S Mixed capital company, majority-owned by the State of São Paulo, with significant private ownership S Largest water and sewage service providers in the world based on the number of Customers S Provides water to 28 million people and sewage services to 22.8 million people S Covers around 65.5% of State's urban population S Market Cap: R$ 28.7 billion (as of March, 2019) 2 OWNERSHIP STRUCTURE % (1) (1) March/2019rch/2019 ADR III Water Sewage Connections (million)(2) 9.5 7.9 Coverage(3) (%) 97 89 Treatment(4)(%) --- 76 Billed Volume (m³ million) 532.6 439.8 (1) As of March 31, 2019 (2) Active and Inacttive water connections. It includes Guarulhos (3) Services Available. It includes Guarulhos (4) Consumer units connected to the sewage treatment – It does not include Guarulhos
  • 3. BRAZIL Investment Tariff 40,64 55,2% Debt 22,05 30,0% Fiscal 10,90 14,8% Total 73,59 SABESP Investment Tariff 17,54 69,0% Debt 7,31 28,8% Fiscal 0,55 2,2% Total 25,40 *Nominal Values(Source: SNIS) 2011 to 2017 R$ Billion Invest / Total % 2011 to 2017 R$ Billion Invest / Total % 3 9,0% 8,8% 2,2% State of São Paulo BRAZIL 34,5% 33,2% FINANCING THROUGH TAX – BRAZIL X SABESP
  • 4. 4 Resident Population of the Municipality of São Paulo 4.42% 3.50% 2.10% 2.00% 2.34% 1.28% Source: Pesquisa de Orçamentos Familiares 2011-2013 (FIPE) https://www.fipe.org.br/pt-br/indices/pof/#pof---2011-2013 1.74% Public Transportation (Bus, integ., metro, train) Electricity Landline phone Cell Phone Package: phone, tv and internet Gas Water and Sewage X Low Perception of Willing to Pay EXPENSES – AVERAGE IMPACT ON HOUSEHOLD BUDGET
  • 5. FINIANCING WATER AND SUSTENTABILITY TROUGH TARIFFS Productivity Factor (0.6920%) New Average Tariff = 1 Inflation (CPI) 100 x Previous Average Tariff Quality Factor* - + *Not defined yet ANNUAL TARIFF ADJUSTMENT FORMULA - KEY POINTS Natural Monopoly Essential Good Solid Regulatory Framework 5
  • 6. READJUSTMENTS AND REVISIONS INDEXES OTR- Ordinary Tariff Revision ETR- Extraordinary Tariff Revision 2015 - Readjustment + Residual + ETR = 15.24% CPI – Between the readjustement/revision periods OTR- Ordina ETR- Extrao 2015 - Read METHODOLOGY OF TARIFF REVIEW (PRICE CAP) TaxesRequired Revenue Average Tariff (P0) PRICECAP Output of the Model = + + Reduced by X Factor X defined by Arsesp (after year1) Income Taxes Revenue Taxes OPEX + Personnel Energy Materials Others Water Sewage Others RABt – RAB0 Amortization Rate Asset Useful Life WACC Cost of Equity Cost of Debt Arsesp Technical Note Sabesp 4 year Business Plan + Arsesp Review CAPEX Billed Volume FINIANCING WATER AND SUSTENTABILITY TROUGH TARIFFS 6 11,5% over CPI (2013-2019) CPI
  • 7. FINANCING TROUGH DEBT TRADE OFFS: TERMS AND COSTS HIGHERLOWER TERMS (years) LONGERSHORTER 0 10 20 30 CAPITAL MARKETS Debêntures, Eurobônus e FIDC National R$ International US$ NATIONAL PUBLIC CEF e BNDES Currency R$ MULTILATERAL BID, BIRD, JICA Currency US$ e JPY 7 COSTS
  • 8. 8 Index Currency 0 a 10 years 11 a 20 years 21 a 30 years Source Type Use / Application Guarantee EUROBONUS BRL (FLAT RATE) All taxes and income taxes included R$ 14,08% Private Refinancing Only Non-Investment Resolution 2515 No DEBENTURE BNDES (2) TJLP ; IPCA R$ 9,80% Pública Investment Receivables DEBENTURE CEF (1) TR R$ 9,50% Public Investment Receivables EUROBONUS 30 ANOS All taxes and income taxes included US$ 9,00% Private Refinancing Only Non-Investment Resolution 2515 No DEBENTURE Law 12.431 IPCA NTND R$ 8,86% Private Investment Project Revenue CEF – SANEAM P/ TODOS(6) TR R$ 8,50% Public Investment Receivables BNDES FINEM – PUBLIC(6) TJLP R$ 8,44% Public Investment Receivables DEBENTURE CDI R$ 6,99% Private Refinancing / Investment No AB LOAN (3) Without income tax LIBOR 6M US$ 4,48% Private Refinancing / Investment No BIRD – PUBLIC (5) LIBOR 6M US$ 3,68% Public Investment Government BID – PUBLIC (4) LIBOR 3M US$ 3,01% Public Investment Government JICA – PUBLIC JPY 1,70% Public Investment Government COSTS HighLow TERMS HighLowNote: ● Nominal Annual Interest Rate ● Loans: (1) 06/2019; (2) 04/2011; (3) 05/2008; (4) 06/2019; (5) 06/2019; (6) 06/2014; Other rates are market estimates and negotiations ● Index (Annual fee): CDI (6,40%) ; LIBOR 3M (2,4020%) ; LIBOR 6M (2,2773%) ;TR (0,00%) ; TJLP (6,26%) TLP (6,49%) ; IPCA (4,66%) Base Jun/2019 – where possible, recently contracted rates FINANCING TROUGH DEBT TRADE OFFS: TERMS AND COSTS
  • 9. Domestic External Domestic External 22 Months 36 Months Sources availability PSBR Fiscal Constraints Sovereign Guarantee Receivables FX impact on balance sheet Timing of Structuring Private FinancingPublic Financing 4 Months ! " !" !" 9 FINANCING TROUGH DEBT TRADE OFFS: TIMING OF STRUCTURING / AVAILABILITY / SOVEREIGN GUARANTEE / FX
  • 10. FINANCING TROUGH DEBT DOMESTIC PUBLIC TIMEFRAME 10 TERM COMMITMENT FORMALIZATION / FINANCING AGREEMENT SIGNING ENVIO DA SPA AO MINISTÉRIO DAS CIDADES ENVIO DA SPA AO MINISTÉRIO DAS CIDADES SHIPPING TO THE MINISTRY OF CITIES OF THE HIRING RESULTS SEND PROPOSALS SHIPPING TO BANKS LIST OF PROPOSALS SELECTED PUBLIC BANK REQUESTS DOCUMENTATION PRESENTATION TO THE PUBLIC BANK OF DOCUMENTATION ACCORDING TO MANUAL FRAMEWORK ANALYSIS OF PROPOSALS BY THE SECRETARIAT OF SANITATION OF MINISTRY OF CITIES PAC ANALYSIS PREVIOUS SELECTION HOMOLOGATION TECHNICAL ANALYSIS AND DOCUMENTATION VERIFICATION ENABLING BY THE MINISTRY OF CITIES BIDDING BIDDING ANALYSIS DISCLOSE SELECTION PROCESS START OF DEVELOPMENTS Ministry of Cities Public Banks State Companies Average time between the opening of the selection process and the signing of the contracts 22 months
  • 11. 11 ~ 3 YEARS UNION Guarantee STATE Counter- Guarantee Law Dez/2018 SABESP Prepares MIP Jun / 2018 STN IDB Sends Drafts of Loan Agreement and Guarantee Contract May / 2018 SEAIN Pre-trading and Trading Jul e Aug/ 2018 PGFN issues: Legal Opinion Statement of Reasons to the Minister of Economy, requesting a message to the SENATE for the Concession of Guarantee 31 / May / 2019 Executive Secretariat of Finance consolidated necessary documents and forwards to the Ministry of Economy 04 / Jun / 2019 Ministry of Economy 06 / Jun / 2019 STN Pre-Trading Authorization (authorized without counter- guarantee law) Jul / 2018 BID x SABESP Project Transactions Mar / 2017 SABESP Protocol Letter Consultation Jun / 2017 Approval COFIEX Sep / 2017 SABESP Civil House BID Identification Mission Nov / 2017 Special Mission Mar / 2018 Mission Analysis Apr / 2018 IDB Board approval Oct / 2018 STN Approval of the STATE Guarantee 05 / Apr / 2019 Approval of SABESP's Payment Capacity] 12 / Apr / 2019 Elaboration of ROF (BACEN) Sep / 2018 SENATE Committee on Economic Affairs Issue Resolution - DOU Subscription Contracts (loan and guarantees) Conditions of Contract Effectiveness Legal Opinion of SABESP (CJ) Legal Opinion of PGFN Legal Opinion of PGE SP PGFN Senate Resolution BANK Approval STN final opinion -Publication of the Minister of Economy Performed Steps Steps Not Performed Attention Point LOAN SABESP Sets Information MIP Mar/2019 STATE forwards Financial Information SADIPEM Mar/2019STATE Counter- Guarantee Economy minister publish authorization FINANCING TROUGH DEBT EXTERNAL PUBLIC TIMEFRAME
  • 12. 12 FINANCING SABESP´S INVESTMENT GROWTH: NET INCOME (TARIFFS) + DEBT (2009-2018) Investmentsnvestment 30,1 bi 140% nominal 36% real 2008 ..................2018 1,73 4,18 2008 ..................2018 228% nominal 84% real 0,86 2,84 17,2 bi 12,9 bi12,9 b + 43% 57% Dividends + 5,2 bi Debt Net Income < Net <<- Net <<--> ncomeIntet >>>> Tariffs
  • 13. 13 São Paulo’s most severe drought since 1953 20% Real decline R$ 3.4 billion 2014/2015 reduction Cantareira in 2014 Cantareira in 2017 7,7 8,3 8,9 9,5 8,9 8,9 11,1 8,5% 7,5% 6,9% -6,7% 0,5% 24,3% 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Gross Revenue (R$ current billions) Net Income (R$ million) 72,14% Decline in nominal terms WATER SECURITY CHALENGE
  • 14. PRODUCTION AND DISTRIBUTION 2019 Var. % Urban population in the area served (source: SEADE) (million inhabitants) 20.9 3.6% 730,000 inhab. Total water treatment capacity (m³/s) 82.3 12% Water production systems 9 - Average monthly production (m³/s) 63.3 (9%) Average residential consumption (m³/month) 10.8 (17%) Treated water transfers between the systems (m³/s) Up to 12 300% IPDT (water loss per connection per day) in the SPMR 322 (26%) Up to 3 434 20.1 73.4 8 69.1 13.0 2013 WATER SUPPLY SYSTEM STRONGER THAN BEFORE THE WATER CRISIS OF 2014/2015 14 WATER SECURITY FINANCING IDDLE CAPACITY REGULATORY CHALENGE Investment: R$ 3,8 billion Financed: R$ 3,4 billion RESERVOIRS 2019 Var. % Reservoirs (water right) (m³/s) 80.3 14% Maximum storage capacity (hm³) (without the technical reserve) 2,106 16% Transfers among reservoirs (m³/s) 35.4 168% 2013 70.4 1,816 13.2
  • 15. Thank you Rui Affonso CFO and IR Officer raffonso@sabesp .com.br