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[object Object],[object Object],Oklahoma State Treasurer Ken Miller
Office of the State Treasurer ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
Economic & Budget Outlook OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
Oklahoma economic climate ,[object Object],OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
Oklahoma economic climate ,[object Object],OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
Gross Receipts: January 2012 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
Gross Receipts: January 2012 February 2011 – January 2012 Percentage Variance Feb. 3.8% June 15.5% Jan. 8.5% OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
Gross Receipts: 12 Months ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
Gross Receipts: 12 Months $11,283 Dec. 2008 OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov (in millions) $11,283 Dec. 2008 $9,364 Feb. 2010 $10,760 Jan. 2012
Gross Receipts:  Sources as percentage OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov February 2011 - January 2012
General Revenue Fund:  Sources as percentage Fiscal Year 2011 OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
General Revenue Fund Comparison with Estimate - First Half FY-12 OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov in millions +9.7% +18.3% +1.8% +33.4% -1.1% -4.1%
Where your money is spent OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
FY-13 Outlook ,[object Object],[object Object],OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
FY’13 Balanced Budget ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
Executive Budget FY’12 vs. FY’13 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
“ Off-the-top” Funding ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
Governor’s Tax Proposal OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov Lower, Flatter, Simpler Currently:  7 tax brackets Rates from ½% to 5.25% Families owe tax from first dollar Top rate at $15,900 Proposed:  3 tax brackets Rates from 2.25% to 3.5% Families owe no tax below $15,000 Top rate at $70,000
What’s driving our growth? OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
Job growth outpacing the nation Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 Oklahoma U.S. OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
Unemployment rate relatively low Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov 8.3% 6.1% Oklahoma U.S.
Solid corporate profits Top 25 OK capitalized companies’ stock index Feb ’09 $20.47 Dec ’11 $52.18 OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
Stable real estate prices Los Angeles Metro New York City Metro U.S. Average OKC Metro Tulsa Metro OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
Increased drilling activity Source: Baker Hughes & U.S. Energy Information Administration Price per bbl Active Rigs West Texas Intermediate Crude Active Oklahoma Rigs OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
Must be doin’ something right ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
Must be doin’ something right ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
Bullish on Oklahoma ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
Stay informed www.treasurer.ok.gov OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov

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Oklahoma Economic Outlook 02-09-12

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3. Economic & Budget Outlook OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7. Gross Receipts: January 2012 February 2011 – January 2012 Percentage Variance Feb. 3.8% June 15.5% Jan. 8.5% OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
  • 8.
  • 9. Gross Receipts: 12 Months $11,283 Dec. 2008 OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov (in millions) $11,283 Dec. 2008 $9,364 Feb. 2010 $10,760 Jan. 2012
  • 10. Gross Receipts: Sources as percentage OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov February 2011 - January 2012
  • 11. General Revenue Fund: Sources as percentage Fiscal Year 2011 OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
  • 12. General Revenue Fund Comparison with Estimate - First Half FY-12 OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov in millions +9.7% +18.3% +1.8% +33.4% -1.1% -4.1%
  • 13. Where your money is spent OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18. Governor’s Tax Proposal OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov Lower, Flatter, Simpler Currently: 7 tax brackets Rates from ½% to 5.25% Families owe tax from first dollar Top rate at $15,900 Proposed: 3 tax brackets Rates from 2.25% to 3.5% Families owe no tax below $15,000 Top rate at $70,000
  • 19. What’s driving our growth? OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
  • 20. Job growth outpacing the nation Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 Oklahoma U.S. OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
  • 21. Unemployment rate relatively low Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov 8.3% 6.1% Oklahoma U.S.
  • 22. Solid corporate profits Top 25 OK capitalized companies’ stock index Feb ’09 $20.47 Dec ’11 $52.18 OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
  • 23. Stable real estate prices Los Angeles Metro New York City Metro U.S. Average OKC Metro Tulsa Metro OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
  • 24. Increased drilling activity Source: Baker Hughes & U.S. Energy Information Administration Price per bbl Active Rigs West Texas Intermediate Crude Active Oklahoma Rigs OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov
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  • 28. Stay informed www.treasurer.ok.gov OKLAHOMA STATE TREASURER KEN MILLER www.treasurer.ok.gov