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Towards a sustainable solution to
open source sustainability
Tobie Langel, Principal, UnlockOpen
The Heartbleed Bug
👩⚕ 4.5 MILLION
The number of US patient records whose confidentiality was
compromised.
💰 $500 MILLION
Estimated cost to the industry.
Heartbleed bug impact
🌏 UBIQUITOUS
2/3 of active sites on the Internet rely on the OpenSSL library.
⚠ CRITICAL
OpenSSL encrypts private communications, bank transactions, medical
records, etc.
💸 UNDERFUNDED
Only 1 full-time maintainer, shoestring budget ($2k/year).
Pivotal moment where tech industry
realizes open source is:
🏭 INDUSTRY-WIDE EFFORT
Organized by the Linux Foundation. Backed by
tech giants.
💰 MULTI-MILLION $ FUND
Administered by Linux Foundation and a steering
group of industry experts.
🎯 GOAL
Harden the security of key open source projects.
👓 STRICT FOCUS ON “CORE INFRA”
The goal is to prevent a new Heartbleed. Not to
make open source as a whole more sustainable.
🎨 FOCUS
Originally aimed at artists, musicians & writers.
🌊 GOAL
Create a “meaningful revenue stream.”
🏆 SUCCESS STORY
Evan You (pictured), creator of Vue.js. Nets over
$17K per month.
❌ REPRODUCIBLE?
Not really. Very few devs have a large enough
revenue stream to work on OSS full-time.
🏪 GITHUB ISSUE MARKET
Allows project owners to add bounties to GitHub issues.
Devs submit their work as a pull request.
💰 $500,000
Amount of bounties paid on the platform in 2018.
⛓ BLOCKCHAIN-BASED
Developers received bounties in Ether.
🌳 WHOLE ECOSYSTEM
GitCoin also provides an ad network (CodeFund), and a
Patreon-like solution (Grants).
👩💻 CONTEXTUAL ADS
Advertise on the websites of open source
projects.
💼 HIRING FOCUS
Dedicated solution for hiring developers.
💵 $6K PER MONTH
Redistributed to project maintainers out of
$10K monthly revenue.
🔍 WHAT DOES IT DO?
Provides non profit status (501c6) to open source
projects & transparency as to how funds are used.
🏆 SUCCESS STORY
WebPack reached $400K+ yearly funding in 2018.
Win-win situation for key sponsor (Trivago).
🐿 LONG TAIL PROBLEM
A few projects are getting most of the funding
(>25% of total funds for WebPack in 2017).
+
🛥 WHAT IS IT?
Red Hat business model for the long tail.
🛎 SERVICES
Provides security updates, maintenance, and
legal assurances for all open source projects
in an organization’s stack.
👨💻 HOW?
By paying the actual maintainers to do the
work.
🏆 SUCCESS STORY
None yet. Still too early.
📡 DOES IT SCALE?
Is the current level of funding realistic compared to open source ubiquity?
Limitations of addressing open source
sustainability through funding alone
🔮 IS IT A DESIRABLE OUTCOME?
Do we want a future with charity-funded open source developers on one side, and
corporate developers writing “glue code” on the other?
💵 IS MONEY EVEN WHAT’S MISSING?
Are we trying to solve the right problem?
💸 WHAT IS THE REAL VALUE OF OPEN SOURCE?
Are we leaving money on the table by optimizing for the wrong thing, here?
📡 DOES IT SCALE?
Is the current level of funding realistic compared to open source ubiquity?
Limitations of addressing open source
sustainability through funding alone
🔮 IS IT A DESIRABLE OUTCOME?
Do we want a future with charity-funded open source developers on one side, and
corporate developers writing “glue code” on the other?
💵 IS MONEY EVEN WHAT’S MISSING?
Are we trying to solve the right problem?
💸 WHAT IS THE REAL VALUE OF OPEN SOURCE?
Are we leaving money on the table by optimizing for the wrong thing, here?
$100
Monthly revenue of CodeFun.
$10,000
1 million dollars
• Amount collected by Open Collective in a year.

• Amount Tidelift committed to pay developers.
Worldwide developer population
Source: IDC, Worldwide Developer Census, 2018.
Non-pro
4.30M
Part-time
6.35M
Full-time
11.65M
Quick back of the envelope math:
12M FT devs x $65K = $780B
+ 6M PT devs x $35K = $210B
~= 1 trillion dollars
1 million dollars
• Amount collected by Open Collective in a year.

• Amount Tidelift committed to pay developers.
100 million dollars
1 million dollars
$10,000
1 billion dollars
10 billion dollars
1 trillion dollars
1 million dollars
📡 DOES IT SCALE?
Is the current level of funding realistic compared to open source ubiquity?
Limitations of addressing open source
sustainability through funding alone
🔮 IS IT A DESIRABLE OUTCOME?
Do we want a future with charity-funded open source developers on one side, and
corporate developers writing “glue code” on the other?
💵 IS MONEY EVEN WHAT’S MISSING?
Are we trying to solve the right problem?
💸 WHAT IS THE REAL VALUE OF OPEN SOURCE?
Are we leaving money on the table by optimizing for the wrong thing, here?
Developers working on the Linux kernel
Source: Linux Kernel Development report 2016.
Non employed
7.7%
Employed
92.3%
📡 DOES IT SCALE?
Is the current level of funding realistic compared to open source ubiquity?
Limitations of addressing open source
sustainability through funding alone
🔮 IS IT A DESIRABLE OUTCOME?
Do we want a future with charity-funded open source developers on one side, and
corporate developers writing “glue code” on the other?
💵 IS MONEY EVEN WHAT’S MISSING?
Are we trying to solve the right problem?
💸 WHAT IS THE REAL VALUE OF OPEN SOURCE?
Are we leaving money on the table by optimizing for the wrong thing, here?
“[P]art of the reason much of open source is so good, and
often so superior to closed-source commercial projects, is the
natural boundary of constraints. If you are not being paid or
otherwise compensated directly for your work, you're less
likely to needlessly embellish it. You're solving the problems
for you and your mates, likely in the simplest way you could,
so you can get back to whatever you originally intended to do
before starting to shave the yak.”
—DHH, The Perils of mixing open source and money, Nov 12, 2013.
📡 DOES IT SCALE?
Is the current level of funding realistic compared to open source ubiquity?
Limitations of addressing open source
sustainability through funding alone
🔮 IS IT A DESIRABLE OUTCOME?
Do we want a future with charity-funded open source developers on one side, and
corporate developers writing “glue code” on the other?
💵 IS MONEY EVEN WHAT’S MISSING?
Are we trying to solve the right problem?
💸 WHAT IS THE REAL VALUE OF OPEN SOURCE?
Are we leaving money on the table by optimizing for the wrong thing, here?
How do you capture that value?
Charity-like funding alone is not the solution.
Real way forward is to normalize engineers
contributing to open source as part of their day job.
How?
Make organizations understand the ROI of
contributing to open source.
Thank you!
Tobie Langel
Principal, UnlockOpen
unlockopen.com
tobie@unlockopen.com

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Towards a sustainable solution to open source sustainability, OW2online20, June 2020

  • 1. Towards a sustainable solution to open source sustainability Tobie Langel, Principal, UnlockOpen
  • 2.
  • 4. 👩⚕ 4.5 MILLION The number of US patient records whose confidentiality was compromised. 💰 $500 MILLION Estimated cost to the industry. Heartbleed bug impact
  • 5. 🌏 UBIQUITOUS 2/3 of active sites on the Internet rely on the OpenSSL library. ⚠ CRITICAL OpenSSL encrypts private communications, bank transactions, medical records, etc. 💸 UNDERFUNDED Only 1 full-time maintainer, shoestring budget ($2k/year). Pivotal moment where tech industry realizes open source is:
  • 6.
  • 7. 🏭 INDUSTRY-WIDE EFFORT Organized by the Linux Foundation. Backed by tech giants. 💰 MULTI-MILLION $ FUND Administered by Linux Foundation and a steering group of industry experts. 🎯 GOAL Harden the security of key open source projects. 👓 STRICT FOCUS ON “CORE INFRA” The goal is to prevent a new Heartbleed. Not to make open source as a whole more sustainable.
  • 8.
  • 9. 🎨 FOCUS Originally aimed at artists, musicians & writers. 🌊 GOAL Create a “meaningful revenue stream.” 🏆 SUCCESS STORY Evan You (pictured), creator of Vue.js. Nets over $17K per month. ❌ REPRODUCIBLE? Not really. Very few devs have a large enough revenue stream to work on OSS full-time.
  • 10.
  • 11. 🏪 GITHUB ISSUE MARKET Allows project owners to add bounties to GitHub issues. Devs submit their work as a pull request. 💰 $500,000 Amount of bounties paid on the platform in 2018. ⛓ BLOCKCHAIN-BASED Developers received bounties in Ether. 🌳 WHOLE ECOSYSTEM GitCoin also provides an ad network (CodeFund), and a Patreon-like solution (Grants).
  • 12. 👩💻 CONTEXTUAL ADS Advertise on the websites of open source projects. 💼 HIRING FOCUS Dedicated solution for hiring developers. 💵 $6K PER MONTH Redistributed to project maintainers out of $10K monthly revenue.
  • 13.
  • 14. 🔍 WHAT DOES IT DO? Provides non profit status (501c6) to open source projects & transparency as to how funds are used. 🏆 SUCCESS STORY WebPack reached $400K+ yearly funding in 2018. Win-win situation for key sponsor (Trivago). 🐿 LONG TAIL PROBLEM A few projects are getting most of the funding (>25% of total funds for WebPack in 2017).
  • 15. +
  • 16.
  • 17. 🛥 WHAT IS IT? Red Hat business model for the long tail. 🛎 SERVICES Provides security updates, maintenance, and legal assurances for all open source projects in an organization’s stack. 👨💻 HOW? By paying the actual maintainers to do the work. 🏆 SUCCESS STORY None yet. Still too early.
  • 18.
  • 19. 📡 DOES IT SCALE? Is the current level of funding realistic compared to open source ubiquity? Limitations of addressing open source sustainability through funding alone 🔮 IS IT A DESIRABLE OUTCOME? Do we want a future with charity-funded open source developers on one side, and corporate developers writing “glue code” on the other? 💵 IS MONEY EVEN WHAT’S MISSING? Are we trying to solve the right problem? 💸 WHAT IS THE REAL VALUE OF OPEN SOURCE? Are we leaving money on the table by optimizing for the wrong thing, here?
  • 20. 📡 DOES IT SCALE? Is the current level of funding realistic compared to open source ubiquity? Limitations of addressing open source sustainability through funding alone 🔮 IS IT A DESIRABLE OUTCOME? Do we want a future with charity-funded open source developers on one side, and corporate developers writing “glue code” on the other? 💵 IS MONEY EVEN WHAT’S MISSING? Are we trying to solve the right problem? 💸 WHAT IS THE REAL VALUE OF OPEN SOURCE? Are we leaving money on the table by optimizing for the wrong thing, here?
  • 21. $100
  • 22. Monthly revenue of CodeFun. $10,000
  • 23. 1 million dollars • Amount collected by Open Collective in a year. • Amount Tidelift committed to pay developers.
  • 24. Worldwide developer population Source: IDC, Worldwide Developer Census, 2018. Non-pro 4.30M Part-time 6.35M Full-time 11.65M Quick back of the envelope math: 12M FT devs x $65K = $780B + 6M PT devs x $35K = $210B ~= 1 trillion dollars
  • 25. 1 million dollars • Amount collected by Open Collective in a year. • Amount Tidelift committed to pay developers.
  • 26. 100 million dollars 1 million dollars $10,000
  • 31. 📡 DOES IT SCALE? Is the current level of funding realistic compared to open source ubiquity? Limitations of addressing open source sustainability through funding alone 🔮 IS IT A DESIRABLE OUTCOME? Do we want a future with charity-funded open source developers on one side, and corporate developers writing “glue code” on the other? 💵 IS MONEY EVEN WHAT’S MISSING? Are we trying to solve the right problem? 💸 WHAT IS THE REAL VALUE OF OPEN SOURCE? Are we leaving money on the table by optimizing for the wrong thing, here?
  • 32. Developers working on the Linux kernel Source: Linux Kernel Development report 2016. Non employed 7.7% Employed 92.3%
  • 33. 📡 DOES IT SCALE? Is the current level of funding realistic compared to open source ubiquity? Limitations of addressing open source sustainability through funding alone 🔮 IS IT A DESIRABLE OUTCOME? Do we want a future with charity-funded open source developers on one side, and corporate developers writing “glue code” on the other? 💵 IS MONEY EVEN WHAT’S MISSING? Are we trying to solve the right problem? 💸 WHAT IS THE REAL VALUE OF OPEN SOURCE? Are we leaving money on the table by optimizing for the wrong thing, here?
  • 34. “[P]art of the reason much of open source is so good, and often so superior to closed-source commercial projects, is the natural boundary of constraints. If you are not being paid or otherwise compensated directly for your work, you're less likely to needlessly embellish it. You're solving the problems for you and your mates, likely in the simplest way you could, so you can get back to whatever you originally intended to do before starting to shave the yak.” —DHH, The Perils of mixing open source and money, Nov 12, 2013.
  • 35. 📡 DOES IT SCALE? Is the current level of funding realistic compared to open source ubiquity? Limitations of addressing open source sustainability through funding alone 🔮 IS IT A DESIRABLE OUTCOME? Do we want a future with charity-funded open source developers on one side, and corporate developers writing “glue code” on the other? 💵 IS MONEY EVEN WHAT’S MISSING? Are we trying to solve the right problem? 💸 WHAT IS THE REAL VALUE OF OPEN SOURCE? Are we leaving money on the table by optimizing for the wrong thing, here?
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42. How do you capture that value?
  • 43.
  • 44.
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47. Charity-like funding alone is not the solution. Real way forward is to normalize engineers contributing to open source as part of their day job. How? Make organizations understand the ROI of contributing to open source.
  • 48. Thank you! Tobie Langel Principal, UnlockOpen unlockopen.com tobie@unlockopen.com