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Digital	
  Confluence	
  –	
  Digital	
  and	
  Big	
  Data	
  driven	
  Innovation	
  in	
  Financial	
  Services	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  
Digital	
  and	
  Big	
  Data	
  Driven	
  Innovation	
  in	
  Financial	
  Services	
  	
  
The	
  arrival	
  of	
  new	
  business	
  models	
  in	
  Payments,	
  Credit	
  Decisioning	
  and	
  Wealth	
  Management	
  and	
  Customer	
  experience	
  
demands	
  is	
  creating	
  new	
  challenges	
  for	
  Banks.	
  This	
  paper	
  discusses	
  the	
  imperative	
  for	
  the	
  Banks	
  in	
  light	
  of	
  these	
  
disruptions.	
  
	
  
Paddy	
  Ramanathan	
  –	
  Managing	
  Partner	
  at	
  Digital	
  Confluence	
  LLC	
  –	
  September	
  -­‐	
  2014	
  
http://www.digital-­‐confluence.com	
  :	
  paddy.ramanathan@digital-­‐confluence.com	
  
Disruptive	
  innovations	
  in	
  Financial	
  Services	
  
Banks	
  and	
  Credit	
  Unions	
  are	
  facing	
  competition	
  on	
  all	
  fronts	
  especially	
  from	
  non-­‐bank	
  
challengers	
  and	
  cutting-­‐edge	
  Banks	
  that	
  are	
  putting	
  Digital	
  and	
  Big	
  Data	
  technologies	
  to	
  
work.	
  Non-­‐Bank	
  challengers	
  in	
  small	
  business	
  lending	
  (and	
  to	
  some	
  extent	
  consumer	
  
lending),	
  wealth	
  management,	
  and	
  payments,	
  are	
  attacking	
  traditionally	
  safe	
  revenue	
  
sources	
  of	
  Banks	
  and	
  delighting	
  the	
  customers	
  by	
  making	
  experiences	
  as	
  easy	
  as	
  Digital	
  
natives	
  like	
  Amazon,	
  Google	
  and	
  Facebook.	
  Cutting-­‐edge	
  banks	
  are	
  boosting	
  their	
  
revenues,	
  cutting	
  costs	
  and	
  improving	
  their	
  customer	
  experiences	
  by	
  using	
  Digital	
  and	
  Big	
  
Data	
  analytics.	
  	
  
The	
  current	
  era	
  of	
  Digital	
  and	
  Big	
  Data	
  is	
  changing	
  the	
  game	
  in	
  financial	
  services	
  driven	
  
largely	
  by	
  customer	
  expectations.	
  We	
  see	
  four	
  broad	
  areas	
  of	
  focus:	
  
Area	
  of	
  Focus Description	
   Examples	
  	
  
Small	
  business	
  Credit	
  Decisioning	
  using	
  
Big	
  Data
Leveraging	
  Data	
  to	
  determine	
  credit-­‐
worthiness	
  and	
  income	
  potential	
  over	
  
traditional	
  backward	
  looking	
  credit	
  history	
  
schemes	
  and	
  creating	
  near-­‐real	
  time	
  Digital	
  
loan	
  origination	
  applications	
  
OnDeck.com,	
  Kabbage.com	
  and	
  
several	
  others	
  
BBVA	
  Compass	
  Bank	
  in	
  partnership	
  
and	
  several	
  other	
  banks	
  
Software	
  based	
  Wealth	
  management	
  
and	
  advise	
  -­‐	
  RoboAdvisor
The	
  traditionally	
  high-­‐touch	
  advice	
  business	
  
is	
  getting	
  disrupted	
  with	
  Digital	
  
“Roboadvisors”	
  that	
  are	
  better,	
  high	
  quality,	
  
more	
  economical	
  and	
  with	
  lower	
  account	
  
minimums.	
  	
  
Wealthfront.com,	
  
Personalcapital.com,	
  betterment.com	
  
and	
  several	
  others	
  
Vanguard	
  and	
  other	
  wealth	
  
managers	
  
Mobile	
  Payments	
  and	
  Value-­‐added	
  
services
Smartphone	
  based	
  payments	
  for	
  goods	
  and	
  
services	
  and	
  value-­‐added	
  services	
  like	
  
loyalty,	
  special	
  offers,	
  specialized	
  payments	
  
like	
  health	
  care	
  payments.	
  
Paypal,	
  Square,	
  Sage	
  and	
  several	
  
others	
  
US	
  Bank	
  (Peri),	
  Wells	
  Fargo	
  and	
  
several	
  others	
  
Customer	
  and	
  Market	
  intelligence	
  and	
  
Digital	
  Marketing
Traditional	
  inside-­‐out	
  sales	
  and	
  marketing	
  
techniques	
  are	
  being	
  replaced	
  by	
  outside-­‐in	
  
techniques	
  where	
  the	
  decision	
  journey	
  and	
  
experience	
  of	
  the	
  customer	
  is	
  personalized	
  
with	
  the	
  channel	
  experience	
  of	
  choice.	
  	
  Big	
  
Data	
  analytics	
  and	
  Digital	
  are	
  not	
  only	
  used	
  
Data	
  providers	
  like	
  Acxiom,	
  IXI,	
  
Experian,	
  MasterCard	
  Advisors.	
  
Social	
  Media	
  companies	
  like	
  
Facebook,	
  Google	
  and	
  Big	
  Data	
  
platform	
  providers	
  like	
  Teradata.	
  
Digital	
  and	
  Big	
  Data	
  led	
  innovation	
  in	
  Financial	
  Services	
  
	
   	
  
D i g i t a l C o n f l u e n c e L L C , P a r t n e r s i n D i g i t a l a n d D a t a T r a n s f o r m a t i o n
	
  
for	
  finer	
  targeting	
  and	
  optimizing	
  campaigns	
  
but	
  also	
  used	
  to	
  provide	
  a	
  seamless	
  
experience	
  in	
  customer’s	
  purchase	
  journey	
  
by	
  understanding	
  their	
  motivation,	
  activities,	
  
and	
  barriers.	
  
JP	
  Morgan	
  Intelligent	
  Solutions	
  –	
  
exclusive	
  group	
  inspired	
  by	
  the	
  data	
  
economy	
  and	
  the	
  opportunity	
  to	
  
create	
  information	
  based	
  products	
  
that	
  reinvent	
  business,	
  change	
  lives,	
  
and	
  create	
  new	
  commercial	
  value	
  for	
  
the	
  firm.	
  
Barclays	
  Information	
  Business	
  
and	
  Wells	
  Fargo	
  Data	
  have	
  similar	
  
focus	
  
	
  
In	
  this	
  paper	
  we	
  review	
  the	
  first	
  two	
  categories	
  of	
  how	
  non-­‐bank	
  innovators	
  and	
  leading	
  
edge	
  banks	
  are	
  leveraging	
  Mobile,	
  Big	
  Data,	
  Social	
  Media	
  and	
  Cloud	
  to	
  disrupt	
  traditional	
  
financials	
  service	
  and	
  review	
  the	
  economic	
  value	
  potential	
  of	
  the	
  disruption.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
Big	
  Data	
  based	
  Credit	
  Decisioning	
  for	
  Small	
  Businesses	
  makes	
  Credit	
  more	
  available	
  	
  
Non-­‐bank	
  lenders	
  such	
  as	
  OnDeck,	
  Kabbage	
  have	
  created	
  a	
  platform	
  that	
  can	
  determine	
  
the	
  credit-­‐worthiness	
  and	
  future	
  income	
  potential	
  by	
  looking	
  at	
  wide	
  variety	
  of	
  data	
  
points	
  about	
  the	
  prospective	
  small	
  business	
  borrower	
  and	
  process	
  a	
  loan	
  in	
  real-­‐time	
  
online.	
  	
  Lenders	
  cross-­‐analyze	
  business	
  performance	
  data	
  (such	
  as	
  cash	
  flow,	
  customer	
  
growth,	
  depth	
  of	
  transaction	
  volume,	
  shipping	
  data),	
  social	
  media	
  sentiment	
  about	
  the	
  
business	
  and	
  other	
  open-­‐data	
  and	
  are	
  able	
  to	
  create	
  forward	
  looking	
  view	
  of	
  
creditworthiness	
  that	
  is	
  more	
  effective	
  to	
  traditional	
  (FICO	
  scores)	
  backward	
  looking	
  
credit	
  history.	
  This	
  type	
  of	
  lending	
  is	
  transforming	
  the	
  small	
  business	
  lending	
  space.	
  
Borrowers	
  not	
  only	
  prefer	
  this	
  form	
  of	
  lending	
  due	
  to	
  the	
  sheer	
  convenience	
  when	
  
compared	
  to	
  the	
  traditional	
  process	
  of	
  submitting	
  tax	
  records,	
  business	
  plans	
  etc	
  with	
  
Banks	
  but	
  this	
  mechanism	
  brings	
  into	
  the	
  credit	
  pool	
  a	
  lot	
  of	
  borrowers	
  who	
  otherwise	
  
would	
  not	
  be	
  eligible	
  for	
  credit.	
  The	
  same	
  data	
  based	
  techniques	
  also	
  yield	
  insights	
  to	
  
when	
  and	
  which	
  small	
  business	
  need	
  credit	
  that	
  can	
  be	
  used	
  for	
  effective	
  targeting	
  and	
  
acquisition.	
  
Key	
  Enablers:	
  
• Big	
  Data	
  or	
  the	
  ability	
  to	
  learn,	
  infer	
  and	
  analyze	
  multiple	
  forms	
  of	
  data	
  and	
  predict	
  
outcomes	
  with	
  greater	
  accuracy	
  then	
  before	
  and	
  	
  
• Digital	
  technologies	
  that	
  extend	
  the	
  reach	
  and	
  the	
  make	
  the	
  process	
  of	
  getting	
  a	
  
loan	
  the	
  same	
  as	
  a	
  buying	
  a	
  book	
  on	
  Amazon.	
  	
  
Market	
  Size	
  and	
  Growth	
  
Total	
  loans	
  are	
  about	
  $3B	
  and	
  are	
  growing	
  at	
  CAGR	
  of	
  100%	
  to	
  150%.	
  	
  
	
  
Shifting	
  models	
  in	
  Wealth	
  Management	
  –	
  The	
  advent	
  of	
  the	
  Software	
  based	
  Advisors	
  
caters	
  to	
  the	
  new	
  generation	
  of	
  wealth	
  customers	
  	
  
With	
   the	
   ongoing	
   demographic	
   shift	
   of	
   wealth	
   from	
   Baby-­‐boomers	
   to	
   Millennial,	
  
(Millennials	
   are	
   estimated	
   to	
   have	
   $7T	
   by	
   2018	
   compared	
   to	
   $2T	
   in	
   2013)	
   traditional	
  
Digital	
  and	
  Big	
  Data	
  led	
  innovation	
  in	
  Financial	
  Services	
  
	
   	
  
D i g i t a l C o n f l u e n c e L L C , P a r t n e r s i n D i g i t a l a n d D a t a T r a n s f o r m a t i o n
	
  
wealth	
   management	
   models	
   are	
   changing.	
   As	
   information	
   proliferates,	
   technology	
   and	
  
decision	
   sciences	
   expand,	
   new	
   models	
   for	
   obtaining	
   advice	
   and	
   managing	
   wealth	
   are	
  
emerging.	
  The	
  change	
  is	
  much	
  broader	
  than	
  just	
  new	
  toolsets	
  but	
  represent	
  a	
  fundamental	
  
shift	
  in	
  the	
  business	
  model.	
  
We	
  see	
  data	
  and	
  analytics	
  coupled	
  with	
  enhanced	
  visualization	
  substituting	
  the	
  traditional	
  
high-­‐touch	
   advisor/client	
   interactions.	
   A	
   software-­‐based	
   model	
   can	
   learn	
   the	
   goals	
   and	
  
preferences	
  of	
  a	
  customer	
  and	
  design	
  a	
  portfolio	
  with	
  limited	
  or	
  no	
  involvement	
  of	
  human	
  
being.	
  Innovative	
  software	
  firms	
  have	
  developed	
  multiple	
  variations	
  of	
  these	
  Roboadvisors	
  
with	
  varying	
  focus.	
  Betterment	
  provides	
  multiple	
  goals	
  setting	
  support,	
  whereas	
  one	
  of	
  
the	
  largest	
  firms	
  Wealthfront	
  has	
  built	
  tax	
  harvesting	
  algorithms	
  to	
  optimize	
  portfolios.	
  
Jemstep	
  can	
  provide	
  advice	
  across	
  the	
  entire	
  portfolio	
  held	
  or	
  managed	
  across	
  multiple	
  
firms.	
  Most	
  of	
  the	
  innovation	
  is	
  occurring	
  in	
  venture	
  capital	
  financed	
  software	
  firms	
  and	
  
the	
   traditional	
   wealth	
   management	
   firms	
   are	
   responding	
   to	
   the	
   competition	
   with	
   their	
  
own	
  services.	
  	
  For	
  example,	
  Vanguard’s	
  new	
  Vanguard	
  Personal	
  Advisor	
  Services	
  (VPAS)	
  
offers	
   both	
   a	
   virtual	
   advisor	
   (like	
   Wealthfront	
   and	
   Betterment)	
   along	
   with	
   a	
   certified	
  
human	
  advisor	
  at	
  a	
  comparable	
  price.	
  
Key	
  Enablers:	
  
• Digital	
   technologies,	
   and	
   API	
   Management	
   technologies	
   that	
   automate	
   the	
   entire	
  
lifecycle	
  of	
  wealth	
  management	
  	
  
• Data	
   aggregation	
   and	
   analysis	
   technologies	
   such	
   as	
   Big	
   Data	
   and	
   Advanced	
  
visualization	
  
	
  
Market	
  Size	
  and	
  Growth	
  
About	
  $2-­‐3B	
  assets	
  in	
  management	
  and	
  growing	
  at	
  around	
  100%	
  CAGR.	
  
Conclusion	
  
Digital	
  and	
  Big	
  Data	
  are	
  changing	
  the	
  face	
  of	
  financials	
  services	
  with	
  leading-­‐edge	
  banks	
  
and	
  non-­‐banks	
  leading	
  the	
  disruptions.	
  Banks	
  should	
  carefully	
  examine	
  their	
  Digital	
  and	
  
Data	
  roadmaps	
  and	
  identify	
  their	
  sweet-­‐spot.	
  For	
  some	
  banks	
  it	
  would	
  be	
  growth	
  with	
  
better	
  Customer	
  engagement	
  and	
  for	
  others	
  it	
  could	
  be	
  increasing	
  operational	
  excellence	
  
and	
  reducing	
  risk	
  and	
  for	
  some	
  it	
  could	
  be	
  new	
  revenue	
  through	
  product	
  innovation.	
  
	
  
	
  

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Digital and Big data disruption in financial services

  • 1. Digital  Confluence  –  Digital  and  Big  Data  driven  Innovation  in  Financial  Services           Digital  and  Big  Data  Driven  Innovation  in  Financial  Services     The  arrival  of  new  business  models  in  Payments,  Credit  Decisioning  and  Wealth  Management  and  Customer  experience   demands  is  creating  new  challenges  for  Banks.  This  paper  discusses  the  imperative  for  the  Banks  in  light  of  these   disruptions.     Paddy  Ramanathan  –  Managing  Partner  at  Digital  Confluence  LLC  –  September  -­‐  2014   http://www.digital-­‐confluence.com  :  paddy.ramanathan@digital-­‐confluence.com   Disruptive  innovations  in  Financial  Services   Banks  and  Credit  Unions  are  facing  competition  on  all  fronts  especially  from  non-­‐bank   challengers  and  cutting-­‐edge  Banks  that  are  putting  Digital  and  Big  Data  technologies  to   work.  Non-­‐Bank  challengers  in  small  business  lending  (and  to  some  extent  consumer   lending),  wealth  management,  and  payments,  are  attacking  traditionally  safe  revenue   sources  of  Banks  and  delighting  the  customers  by  making  experiences  as  easy  as  Digital   natives  like  Amazon,  Google  and  Facebook.  Cutting-­‐edge  banks  are  boosting  their   revenues,  cutting  costs  and  improving  their  customer  experiences  by  using  Digital  and  Big   Data  analytics.     The  current  era  of  Digital  and  Big  Data  is  changing  the  game  in  financial  services  driven   largely  by  customer  expectations.  We  see  four  broad  areas  of  focus:   Area  of  Focus Description   Examples     Small  business  Credit  Decisioning  using   Big  Data Leveraging  Data  to  determine  credit-­‐ worthiness  and  income  potential  over   traditional  backward  looking  credit  history   schemes  and  creating  near-­‐real  time  Digital   loan  origination  applications   OnDeck.com,  Kabbage.com  and   several  others   BBVA  Compass  Bank  in  partnership   and  several  other  banks   Software  based  Wealth  management   and  advise  -­‐  RoboAdvisor The  traditionally  high-­‐touch  advice  business   is  getting  disrupted  with  Digital   “Roboadvisors”  that  are  better,  high  quality,   more  economical  and  with  lower  account   minimums.     Wealthfront.com,   Personalcapital.com,  betterment.com   and  several  others   Vanguard  and  other  wealth   managers   Mobile  Payments  and  Value-­‐added   services Smartphone  based  payments  for  goods  and   services  and  value-­‐added  services  like   loyalty,  special  offers,  specialized  payments   like  health  care  payments.   Paypal,  Square,  Sage  and  several   others   US  Bank  (Peri),  Wells  Fargo  and   several  others   Customer  and  Market  intelligence  and   Digital  Marketing Traditional  inside-­‐out  sales  and  marketing   techniques  are  being  replaced  by  outside-­‐in   techniques  where  the  decision  journey  and   experience  of  the  customer  is  personalized   with  the  channel  experience  of  choice.    Big   Data  analytics  and  Digital  are  not  only  used   Data  providers  like  Acxiom,  IXI,   Experian,  MasterCard  Advisors.   Social  Media  companies  like   Facebook,  Google  and  Big  Data   platform  providers  like  Teradata.  
  • 2. Digital  and  Big  Data  led  innovation  in  Financial  Services       D i g i t a l C o n f l u e n c e L L C , P a r t n e r s i n D i g i t a l a n d D a t a T r a n s f o r m a t i o n   for  finer  targeting  and  optimizing  campaigns   but  also  used  to  provide  a  seamless   experience  in  customer’s  purchase  journey   by  understanding  their  motivation,  activities,   and  barriers.   JP  Morgan  Intelligent  Solutions  –   exclusive  group  inspired  by  the  data   economy  and  the  opportunity  to   create  information  based  products   that  reinvent  business,  change  lives,   and  create  new  commercial  value  for   the  firm.   Barclays  Information  Business   and  Wells  Fargo  Data  have  similar   focus     In  this  paper  we  review  the  first  two  categories  of  how  non-­‐bank  innovators  and  leading   edge  banks  are  leveraging  Mobile,  Big  Data,  Social  Media  and  Cloud  to  disrupt  traditional   financials  service  and  review  the  economic  value  potential  of  the  disruption.         Big  Data  based  Credit  Decisioning  for  Small  Businesses  makes  Credit  more  available     Non-­‐bank  lenders  such  as  OnDeck,  Kabbage  have  created  a  platform  that  can  determine   the  credit-­‐worthiness  and  future  income  potential  by  looking  at  wide  variety  of  data   points  about  the  prospective  small  business  borrower  and  process  a  loan  in  real-­‐time   online.    Lenders  cross-­‐analyze  business  performance  data  (such  as  cash  flow,  customer   growth,  depth  of  transaction  volume,  shipping  data),  social  media  sentiment  about  the   business  and  other  open-­‐data  and  are  able  to  create  forward  looking  view  of   creditworthiness  that  is  more  effective  to  traditional  (FICO  scores)  backward  looking   credit  history.  This  type  of  lending  is  transforming  the  small  business  lending  space.   Borrowers  not  only  prefer  this  form  of  lending  due  to  the  sheer  convenience  when   compared  to  the  traditional  process  of  submitting  tax  records,  business  plans  etc  with   Banks  but  this  mechanism  brings  into  the  credit  pool  a  lot  of  borrowers  who  otherwise   would  not  be  eligible  for  credit.  The  same  data  based  techniques  also  yield  insights  to   when  and  which  small  business  need  credit  that  can  be  used  for  effective  targeting  and   acquisition.   Key  Enablers:   • Big  Data  or  the  ability  to  learn,  infer  and  analyze  multiple  forms  of  data  and  predict   outcomes  with  greater  accuracy  then  before  and     • Digital  technologies  that  extend  the  reach  and  the  make  the  process  of  getting  a   loan  the  same  as  a  buying  a  book  on  Amazon.     Market  Size  and  Growth   Total  loans  are  about  $3B  and  are  growing  at  CAGR  of  100%  to  150%.       Shifting  models  in  Wealth  Management  –  The  advent  of  the  Software  based  Advisors   caters  to  the  new  generation  of  wealth  customers     With   the   ongoing   demographic   shift   of   wealth   from   Baby-­‐boomers   to   Millennial,   (Millennials   are   estimated   to   have   $7T   by   2018   compared   to   $2T   in   2013)   traditional  
  • 3. Digital  and  Big  Data  led  innovation  in  Financial  Services       D i g i t a l C o n f l u e n c e L L C , P a r t n e r s i n D i g i t a l a n d D a t a T r a n s f o r m a t i o n   wealth   management   models   are   changing.   As   information   proliferates,   technology   and   decision   sciences   expand,   new   models   for   obtaining   advice   and   managing   wealth   are   emerging.  The  change  is  much  broader  than  just  new  toolsets  but  represent  a  fundamental   shift  in  the  business  model.   We  see  data  and  analytics  coupled  with  enhanced  visualization  substituting  the  traditional   high-­‐touch   advisor/client   interactions.   A   software-­‐based   model   can   learn   the   goals   and   preferences  of  a  customer  and  design  a  portfolio  with  limited  or  no  involvement  of  human   being.  Innovative  software  firms  have  developed  multiple  variations  of  these  Roboadvisors   with  varying  focus.  Betterment  provides  multiple  goals  setting  support,  whereas  one  of   the  largest  firms  Wealthfront  has  built  tax  harvesting  algorithms  to  optimize  portfolios.   Jemstep  can  provide  advice  across  the  entire  portfolio  held  or  managed  across  multiple   firms.  Most  of  the  innovation  is  occurring  in  venture  capital  financed  software  firms  and   the   traditional   wealth   management   firms   are   responding   to   the   competition   with   their   own  services.    For  example,  Vanguard’s  new  Vanguard  Personal  Advisor  Services  (VPAS)   offers   both   a   virtual   advisor   (like   Wealthfront   and   Betterment)   along   with   a   certified   human  advisor  at  a  comparable  price.   Key  Enablers:   • Digital   technologies,   and   API   Management   technologies   that   automate   the   entire   lifecycle  of  wealth  management     • Data   aggregation   and   analysis   technologies   such   as   Big   Data   and   Advanced   visualization     Market  Size  and  Growth   About  $2-­‐3B  assets  in  management  and  growing  at  around  100%  CAGR.   Conclusion   Digital  and  Big  Data  are  changing  the  face  of  financials  services  with  leading-­‐edge  banks   and  non-­‐banks  leading  the  disruptions.  Banks  should  carefully  examine  their  Digital  and   Data  roadmaps  and  identify  their  sweet-­‐spot.  For  some  banks  it  would  be  growth  with   better  Customer  engagement  and  for  others  it  could  be  increasing  operational  excellence   and  reducing  risk  and  for  some  it  could  be  new  revenue  through  product  innovation.