The technology to create sustainable futures for all the inhabitants of planet earth are almost all to hand, but the actual future is wholly dependent upon man’s ability to make the right decisions and enact solutions on the right timescale. Unfortunately, the human brain and society is fundamentally limited and insufficiently equipped to engineer a successful outcome in the long term. To achieve than we have to symbiotically partner with our machines to embrace the 100s and 1000s of parameters driving the connected world. A single parameter ($$$) economic system is far too crude an instrument to engineer anything more than one crisis after another!
1. Sustainability
ITs ABOUT TIME
ITs ABOUT TIME
ITs ABOUT TIME
Peter Cochrane
ITs ABOUT TIME
ITs ABOUT TIME
cochrane.org.uk
ca-global.org
COCHRANE
a s s o c i a t e s
Tuesday, 15 October 13
ITs ABOUT TIME
2. the Speed of change
In this digital world
Seems to be getting
away from Us
Tuesday, 15 October 13
3. the Speed of change
In this digital world
Seems to be getting
og
y
away from Us
celerat ing
Ac
Tuesday, 15 October 13
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te
ol
n
4. the Speed of change
In this digital world
Seems to be getting
og
y
away from Us
celerat ing
Ac
Societal
response
Tuesday, 15 October 13
ch
te
ol
n
5. the Speed of change
In this digital world
Seems to be getting
og
y
away from Us
celerat ing
Ac
Societal
response
Planetary ecology ?
Tuesday, 15 October 13
ch
te
ol
n
6. the Speed of change
In this digital world
Seems to be getting
og
y
away from Us
We are confounded by
the complexities of our
world....
...natural and made made
Tuesday, 15 October 13
celerat ing
Ac
Societal
response
Planetary ecology ?
ch
te
ol
n
7. The number of variables
we can cope/deal with at
once is very low ~ 3 - 7
Tuesday, 15 October 13
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uunnddeerrssttaanndd tthheemm!!
Tuesday, 15 October 13
10. In contrast our machines can cope/deal
with 1000s variables and loops at
once...
Tuesday, 15 October 13
11. Whilst people don’t get upset when the have to use
a spanner...
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12. They do get upset by very
clever machines...especially
when they outsmart us!
Tuesday, 15 October 13
13. From beating a grand master to exceeding any
human at general knowledge in just14 years...
1997
Tuesday, 15 October 13
2011
14. And then to be better at diagnosis than any
human doctor in just one year...
2012
Tuesday, 15 October 13
15. The bottom line...might just be... the machines
might have to save the planet before our inabilities
destroy it...
Tuesday, 15 October 13
16. Our simple minded view
of economics sees us
playing Russian Roulette
with the ecology and
future of the planet !
Tuesday, 15 October 13
17. Tuesday, 15 October 13
Managing by $$$ alone is far to crude...we
must inclu de far more (impo r tant)
param eters to achie ve a susta inable
economy
18. Computer Modeling and
Monte Carlo simulation
is now a necessity to be
augmented by...
Tuesday, 15 October 13