Pew Internet Director Lee Rainie was honored to give the Joe Pagano Memorial Web Analytics Lecture for the federal government’s Webmanager University. He discussed the latest Pew Internet data about the triple revolution in technology – in broadband, in mobile, and in social networking – and how these changes affect e-government and e-health activities by citizens. He also explored how these changes impact the broader environment of civic life and some of the changes that are likely on the horizon.
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Future of the Internet: Role of the Web and New Media in the Public Sector
1. Future of the Internet: Role of the Web
and New Media in the Public Sector
Webmanager University – Joseph Pagano Memorial Lecture
December 13, 2011
Lee Rainie: Director, Pew Internet Project
Email: Lrainie@pewinternet.org
Twitter: @Lrainie
PewInternet.org
2.
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4. we need a tshirt, "I survived the
keynote disaster of 09"
“Tweckle (twek’ul) vt. To
abuse a speakerdon'tTwitter
it's awesome in the "I to want to
turn away from the accident because I
followers ain the audience
might see severed head" way
while he/she is speaking.”
too bad they took my utensils away w/
my plate. I could have jammed the
butter knife into my temple.
4
7. Networked creators among internet users
• 65% are social networking site users
• 55% share photos
• 37% contribute rankings and ratings
• 33% create content tags
• 30% share personal creations
• 26% post comments on sites and blogs
• 15% have personal website
• 15% are content remixers
• 14% are bloggers
• 13% use Twitter
• 6% location services – 9% allow location
awareness from social media
9. Mean size of Facebook friends network
350.0
300.0
250.0
200.0
318.5
150.0
100.0 197.6
155.7
50.0
85.1 78.4
42.0
0.0
Millennials Gen X Younger Older Boomers Silent G.I.
(18-34) (35-46) Boomers (57-65) Generation Generation
(47-56) (66-74) (75+)
Source: Pew Research Center's Internet & American Life Project, October 20-November 28, 2010 Social Networking survey.
10. Digital Revolution 3
Mobile – 84%
Total U.S. 327.6
million
population:
315.5 million
2011
11. Smartphone ownership - 35% of adults
60%
50%
40%
30%
51%
20% 39%
10%
24% 21%
12%
8%
0%
Millennials Gen X Younger Older Boomers Silent G.I. Generation
(18-34) (35-46) Boomers (57-65) Generation (75+)
(47-56) (66-74)
Source: Pew Research Center's Internet & American Life Project, April 26-May 22, 2011 Tracking Survey. N=2,277 adults 18 and older, including 755 reached via cell phone.
12. 56% of adults own laptops –
up from 30% in 2006
52% of adults own DVRs –
up from 3% in 2002
44% of adults own MP3 players –
up from 11% in 2005
42% of adults own game consoles
12% of adults own e-book readers - Kindle
11% of adults own tablet computer - iPad
13. New Reality 1) The world is full of networked
individuals using networked information
Image attribution: Flickrverse, Expanding Ever with New Galaxies Forming Cobalt123
http://www.flickr.com/photos/cobalt/34248855/sizes/z/in/photostream/
14. New Reality 2) Giant changes in civic culture and
mediasphere have created new contours of public life
In America
Abroad
15. New Reality 3) There are new ways to interact
with government
16. New places for transactions
% of internet users who did following in last 12 months:
Look for info about a public policy or issue 48%
Look up what services a government agency provides 46%
Download government forms 41%
Research official documents or statistics 35%
Renew a driver’s license or auto registration 33%
Get recreational or tourist info 30%
Get advice/info about a health or safety issue 25%
Apply for government benefits 23%
Apply for a government job 19%
Pay a fine 15%
Apply for a recreational license 11%
17. Other avenues for gov. info and
interaction
31% of internet users did at least one of the following activities in the
preceding 12 months:
• 15% of internet users watched a video on a government website
• 15% of email users signed up to receive email alerts from a
government agency or official
• 13% of internet users read the blog of a government agency or
official
• 5% of internet users followed or become a fan of a government
agency or official on a social networking site
• 4% of texters signed up to receive text messages from a government
agency or official
• 2% of internet users followed a government agency or official on
Twitter
Trends in Online Government 2/3/2011 17
18. Mixed views on social media outreach
Trends in Online Government 2/3/2011 18
19. Nearly one-quarter of internet users
are “government participators”
Trends in Online Government 2/3/2011 19
20. 40% of internet users go online for
data about government operations
Trends in Online Government 2/3/2011 20
21. New Reality 4) Influence is migrating from
organizations to networks and new “experts”
Traditional experts with
new platforms, esp. blogs
Amateur experts who are
avid contributors –
sometimes with tribes
New algorithmic authorities
22. New Reality 4) Corollaries
Social networks are more influential and are
differently segmented and layered
Sentries
23. New Reality 4) Corollaries
Social networks are more influential and are
differently segmented and layered
Evaluators
24. New Reality 4) Corollaries
Social networks are more influential and are
differently segmented and layered
Audience
25. New Reality 5) The exchange of health information
has become a peer-to-peer proposition
26. Health care now is….
• Social networking experience
– 34% have read someone else’s commentary or experience on an online
news group, website, or blog
– 25% have watched an online health video
– 24% have consulted online reviews of particular drugs/ treatments
– 18% have gone online to find others who have similar health issues
– 11% of SNS users posted comments/queries
– 9% have joined health-related group on SNS
• Participatory
– 13% more broadly posted comments/reviews
– 16% have consulted online rankings of doctors
– 15% have consulted online rankings of medical facilities.
• Mobile
– 17% of cell owners have used their phone to look up health info
– 9% of cell owners have health “apps”
27.
28. New Reality 6) The flow of news has changed –
and so have people’s attention zones
• Continuous partial
attention to media
streams
• Immersion in deep
dives
• Info-snacking in free
moments
29. New Reality 7) All organizations are under more
scrutiny and transparency is a new marker of trust
Surveillance – powerful
watch the ordinary
Sousveillance – ordinary
watch powerful
Coveillance – peers stalk
peers
30. New Reality 8) The age of big data is upon us –
and will give new power to analytics
“Visualizing Big Data.”Wired Magazine. June 23, 2008.
http://www.wired.com/science/discoveries/magazine/16-07/pb_visualizing
31. New Reality 9) Still ruled by uncertainty
Your map is wrong!
32. New Reality 9) Corollaries
The architecture itself
Information policies
Social norms and attitudes
This is the way Pew Internet measures content creation….
Part of broad social, political, economic trend in social arrangements away from tight-knit groups and hierarchies towards loose-knit networksTechnology gives people more capacity to do things on their ownMore connected via technologyMore capable of creating and sharing information via technologySocial networks are instruments of learning, community building, and influenceInstitutions can become “nodes” in people’s social networks
http://cspcs.sanford.duke.edu/sites/default/files/DisruptingPhil_online_FINAL.pdfHuge cultural debate over role of public and private institutions – philanthropists have always filled those gapsTroubles in news media have left key civic arenas uncovered or undercoveredMore people and organizations can act to confront problems
PervasivePortablePersonalizedParticipatorySocial Filtered by old media and newEncountered and evaluated in social networksTwo step-flow is now feedback loopNew intermediaries and experts in the process--------Be ready for your closeupBe findableExpect serendipityNew metrics
Metrics and DIY analyticsObservation, conversation, feedback are hallmarks of social media ageCorrelations and meaningBrute numbers vs. representativenesshttp://www.wired.com/science/discoveries/magazine/16-07/pb_visualizing
The New York Times held a Seven-Word Wisdom contest . Here are my favorite entries:Eat pie. Very good pie. Not often.Call Mom. Let her talk. Don’t argue.Make promises. Don’t break them. Find loopholes.