America’s competition with China is heating up in developing countries. Using a new survey on the global balance of power, Bruce Stokes, Director of Global Economic Attitudes at the Pew Research Center, and Richard Wike, Associate Director of the Pew Research Global Attitudes Project, presented detailed findings on the image of the U.S. and China in Africa, Asia and Latin America to staff at the U.S. Agency for International Development.
2. Spring 2013 Pew Global Attitudes Survey
The Economic Context
2
3. Crisis Soured Economic Views
Median based only on those countries surveyed in both 2007 and 2013.
44
48 49
24
46
25
Advanced Emerging Developing
2007 2013
% Say economy is good
3
4. State of the Economy in Latin
America
% Who think that…
Economy is
good
Economy will
improve in next
12 months
Kids will be better
off than parents
% % %
Argentina 39 29 44
Bolivia 54 37 51
Brazil 59 79 79
Chile 58 42 76
El Salvador 33 44 40
Mexico 38 56 44
Venezuela 44 64 66
MEDIAN 44 44 51
4
5. State of the Economy in the
Middle East
% Who think that…
Economy is good
Economy will
improve in next
12 months
Kids will be
better off than
parents
% % %
Turkey 53 39 39
Egypt 23 29 22
Jordan 27 28 31
Lebanon 10 19 26
Palest. ter. 22 27 23
Tunisia 11 50 49
Israel 43 27 41
MEDIAN 23 28 31
5
6. State of the Economy in Africa
% Who think that…
Economy is good
Economy will
improve in next
12 months
Kids will be
better off than
parents
% % %
Ghana 37 60 65
Kenya 52 59 55
Nigeria 32 66 65
Senegal 48 69 51
S. Africa 53 48 39
Uganda 44 42 39
MEDIAN 46 60 53
6
7. State of the Economy in Asia
% Who think that…
Economy is
good
Economy will
improve in next
12 months
Kids will be
better off than
parents
% % %
China 88 80 82
Indonesia 37 37 58
Malaysia 85 64 72
Pakistan 17 26 40
Philippines 68 55 63
MEDIAN 68 55 63
7
8. Chile Deprivation Falling
Could not afford
food
Could not afford
health care
Could not afford
clothes
2007 2013 Change 2007 2013 Change 2007 2013 Change
% % % % % %
Mexico 42 53 +11 47 51 +4 45 54 +9
Chile 31 26 -5 42 30 -12 38 30 -8
Argentina 25 22 -3 29 23 -6 33 25 -8
El Salvador -- 61 -- -- 60 -- -- 56 --
Bolivia -- 61 -- -- 58 -- -- 56 --
Venezuela -- 45 -- -- 44 -- -- 45 --
Brazil -- 24 -- -- 31 -- -- 30 --
8
9. Pakistan Deprivation Up
Could not afford
food
Could not afford health
care
Could not afford
clothes
2007 2013 Change 2007 2013 Change 2007 2013 Change
% % % % % %
Pakistan 34 48 +14 37 53 +16 33 47 +14
Malaysia 9 15 +6 9 17 +8 8 16 +8
China 9 8 -1 33 30 -3 17 14 -3
Indonesia 35 25 -10 48 37 -11 40 31 -9
Philippines -- 48 -- -- 49 -- -- 42 --
9
10. Ghana Deprivation Worsening
Could not afford
food
Could not afford
health care
Could not afford
clothes
2007 2013 Change 2007 2013 Change 2007 2013 Change
% % % % % %
Ghana 43 56 +13 54 59 +5 45 57 +12
Uganda 66 70 +4 76 77 +1 71 70 -1
Kenya 57 55 -2 62 57 -5 58 56 -2
Nigeria -- 67 -- -- 62 -- -- 66 --
S. Africa -- 54 -- -- 51 -- -- 54 --
Senegal -- 50 -- -- 59 -- -- 55 --
10
11. Egypt, Jordan Deprivation Rising
Could not afford
food
Could not afford
health care
Could not afford
clothes
2007 2013 Change 2007 2013 Change 2007 2013 Change
% % % % % %
Egypt 8 36 +28 44 48 +4 31 57 +26
Jordan 5 22 +17 16 36 +20 17 31 +14
Turkey 48 39 -9 47 36 -11 50 41 -9
Lebanon 12 1 -11 22 13 -9 20 15 -5
Palest. ter. 43 27 -16 47 37 -10 50 37 -13
Tunisia -- 31 -- -- 39 -- -- 36 --
11
12. Many Low Income Go Hungry
% Could not
afford food
Low
income
Middle
income
High
income
High-low
gap
% % %
Jordan 52 9 5 -47
Tunisia 45 26 11 -34
Turkey 51 41 22 -29
Palest. ter. 38 13 13 -25
Israel 17 6 0 -17
Egypt 40 37 30 -10
12
13. Worry Over Jobs and Inflation
% Saying __ should be top government priority
Rising
prices
Lack of job
opportunities
Gap between
rich & poor Public debt
% % % %
Ghana 23 58 6 4
Kenya 30 48 10 2
Nigeria 17 60 4 1
Senegal 38 43 4 3
S. Africa 30 46 4 2
Uganda 33 45 9 8
MEDIAN 30 47 5 3
13
14. Jobs a Priority in Latin America
% Saying __ should be top government priority
Rising
prices
Lack of job
opportunities
Gap between
rich & poor
Public
debt
% % % %
Argentina 33 37 12 2
Bolivia 25 50 10 4
Brazil 24 46 17 9
Chile 36 33 21 3
El Salvador 11 68 5 6
Mexico 29 51 5 4
Venezuela 37 29 3 5
MEDIAN 27 48 11 4
14
15. Worry Over Jobs and Inflation
% Saying __ should be top government priority
Rising
prices
Lack of job
opportunities
Gap between
rich & poor
Public
debt
% % % %
Turkey 21 43 11 8
Egypt 36 31 11 10
Jordan 44 20 9 11
Lebanon 24 21 10 13
Palest. ter. 18 40 3 9
Tunisia 48 27 4 5
MEDIAN 30 29 10 10
15
16. Worry Over Inflation
% Saying __ should be top government priority
Rising
prices
Lack of job
opportunities
Gap between
rich & poor
Public
debt
% % % %
China 53 11 26 1
Indonesia 42 27 4 5
Malaysia 38 14 6 13
Pakistan 68 17 4 5
Philippines 41 46 3 10
MEDIAN 42 17 4 5
16
17. Inequality in the Middle East
70
68
63
% Saying …
Rich-poor gap is
a very big
problem
Rich-poor gap
has increased
Economic system
favors wealthy
% % %
Turkey 68 70 66
Egypt 49 53 63
Jordan 44 54 66
Lebanon 86 87 72
Palest. ter. 60 73 70
Tunisia 82 71 70
Israel 51 81 76
MEDIAN 60 71 70
17
18. Inequality in Africa
70
68
63
% Saying …
Rich-poor gap is
a very big
problem
Rich-poor gap
has increased
Economic system
favors wealthy
% % %
Ghana 81 69 94
Kenya 73 80 82
Nigeria 78 80 81
Senegal 78 69 75
S. Africa 70 66 64
Uganda 74 75 67
MEDIAN 76 72 78
18
19. Inequality in Latin America
% Saying …
Rich-poor gap is a
very big problem
Rich-poor gap
has increased
Economic system
favors wealthy
% % %
Argentina 70 57 66
Bolivia 58 32 44
Brazil 75 50 80
Chile 79 51 86
El Salvador 68 38 70
Mexico 67 59 74
Venezuela 61 40 32
MEDIAN 68 50 70
19
20. Spring 2013 Pew Global Attitudes Survey
Views of the U.S. and China
20
21. America Rated More Favorably
% Favorable
U.S. China
% %
Europe 58 43
Middle East 21 45
Asia/Pacific 64 58
Latin America 66 58
Africa 77 72
GLOBAL MEDIAN 63 50
Regional medians. Asia/Pacific median excludes China. Global median excludes U.S./China.
21
24. Young More Positive about U.S.
% Favorable
18-29 30-49 50+ Oldest-youngest gap
% % %
Turkey 38 16 8 -30
China 50 41 27 -23
Malaysia 64 55 43 -21
Poland 81 65 61 -20
Czech Rep. 70 59 53 -17
Russia 61 53 44 -17
Lebanon 57 43 40 -17
Argentina 49 42 32 -17
Bolivia 63 53 47 -16
Venezuela 61 51 46 -15
Italy 84 79 70 -14
Brazil 79 72 66 -13
Germany 64 50 51 -13
Senegal 85 81 73 -12
Britain 69 56 57 -12
Mexico 73 64 63 -10
24
25. U.S. Seen as Partner
% Saying __ is a partner
U.S. China
% %
Europe 57 25
Middle East 19 28
Asia/Pacific 69 36
Latin America 59 52
Africa 73 71
GLOBAL MEDIAN 59 39
Regional medians. Asia/Pacific median excludes China. Global median excludes U.S./China.
26
26. U.S., China Seen as Unilateralist
% Saying __ considers survey country’s interests
a great deal/fair amount
U.S. China
% %
Europe 34 17
Middle East 19 25
Asia/Pacific 38 52
Latin America 51 40
Africa 66 65
GLOBAL MEDIAN 37 27
Regional medians. Asia/Pacific median excludes China on question about China. Global
median excludes U.S./China.
27
27. U.S. Gets High Marks for Rights
% Saying __ government respects personal
freedoms of its people
U.S. China
% %
Europe 76 14
Middle East 64 48
Asia/Pacific 74 51
Latin America 55 34
Africa 70 50
GLOBAL MEDIAN 70 36
Regional medians. Chinese respondents not asked about personal freedoms in China.
28
28. Link Between U.S. Favorability
and Personal Freedoms
CORRELATION: 0.68
Pakistan
Lebanon
Palest. ter.
China
PhilippinesGhana
Russia
Egypt
Mexico
El Salvador
S. Korea
Japan
Argentina
Greece
Israel
Germany
Italy
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
%FavorableofU.S.
% U.S. respects the personal freedoms of its people
29
29. Link Between China Favorability
and Personal Freedoms
CORRELATION: 0.73
Lebanon
Pakistan
Venezuela
Philippines
Kenya
Russia
Brazil
Greece
Turkey
Australia
BritainSpain
GermanyItaly
Japan
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
%FavorableofChina
% China respects the personal freedoms of its people
30
30. American vs. Chinese Soft Power
Median % positive view of…
Latin America Africa
American Chinese American Chinese
% % % %
Scientific & tech. advances 74 72 83 75
Music, movies and television 63 25 58 34
Ways of doing business 50 40 73 59
Ideas about democracy 43 -- 73 --
Ideas and customs
spreading 32 30 56 46
31
31. American Soft Power in Lat. Am.
% Positive
U.S.
science
& tech.
advances
U.S.
music,
movies,
TV
U.S. ways
of doing
business
U.S. ideas
about
democracy
U.S. ideas
& customs
spreading MEDIAN
% % % % %
El Salvador 84 53 66 70 58 66
Brazil 81 71 58 61 53 61
Chile 75 73 52 43 31 52
Mexico 65 60 50 47 41 50
Bolivia 74 55 44 38 31 44
Venezuela 69 63 42 41 32 42
Argentina 61 66 35 38 31 38
MEDIAN 74 63 50 43 32
32
32. American Soft Power in Africa
% Positive
U.S.
science &
tech.
advances
U.S.
music,
movies,
TV
U.S. ways
of doing
business
U.S. ideas
about
democracy
U.S. ideas
& customs
spreading MEDIAN
% % % % % %
Kenya 85 56 81 82 60 81
Senegal 84 60 75 77 70 75
Ghana 82 55 75 73 37 73
Nigeria 85 60 70 72 54 70
S. Africa 75 71 69 63 57 69
Uganda 78 47 65 73 44 65
MEDIAN 83 58 73 73 56
33
33. U.S. Aid Seen Positively in
Africa, Not Egypt, Pakistan
Impact of U.S. economic aid
Mostly
positive
Mostly
negative No impact DK
% % % %
Kenya 78 12 7 3
Ghana 64 17 10 9
Uganda 63 14 11 13
S. Africa 59 18 14 9
Nigeria 52 16 16 16
Senegal 51 6 23 21
Egypt 24 55 18 3
Pakistan 8 43 13 36
34
34. Americans Want to Cut Aid
Would you __ spending for aid to the world’s needy
Increase Keep same Decrease
% % %
Total 21 28 48
Male 18 26 54
Female 23 30 42
18-49 26 28 44
50+ 13 30 52
Republican 7 21 70
Independent 19 27 52
Democrat 33 37 25
February 2013 Pew Research Center survey.
35
35. Who Is World’s Leading
Economic Power?
Medians based on only the 20 countries surveyed in both 2008 and 2013.
20
34
47
41
2008 2013
China U.S.
36
36. Will China Replace U.S. as
World’s Leading Superpower?
Will
eventually
replace U.S.
Has already
replaced
U.S.
Total has or
will replace
U.S.
Will never
replace
U.S.
% % % %
Canada 52 15 67 26
U.S. 36 11 47 47
Europe 40 16 57 31
Latin America 32 14 50 31
Asia/Pacific 36 9 45 39
Middle East 28 17 44 42
Africa 25 13 39 36
Regional medians. Total column shows medians, not the summation of median responses.
37
37. All Pew Global Attitudes Project reports and data
are available online at www.pewglobal.org