Bruce Stokes, director of global economic attitudes, presented Pew Research Center findings on European attitudes toward the European Union (EU) in Brussels, Paris, Warsaw, Berlin and London.
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Post-Brexit, Europeans More Positive About the EU, But Want Own Referendum on Membership
1. Post-Brexit, Europeans More
Positive About the EU, But Want
Own Referendum on Membership
Bruce Stokes
Director, Global Economic Attitudes July 2017
2. July 14, 2017 2
Pew Research Center
• Established 1996
• Funded by the Pew Charitable Trusts, Foundations
• Non-profit, non-partisan fact tank in Washington
• Research topics:
U.S. politics
Media and the news
Social trends
Religion
Internet and technology
Science
Hispanics
Global public opinion and migration
• www.pewresearch.org
3. July 14, 2017 3
Methodology
• Results of public survey by phone and in person of 9,935 respondents
conducted March 2 to April 17, 2017 in 10 European Union countries
• These 10 European Union member states account for roughly 80% of the EU
population and 84% of the EU economy.
• The margin of error ranges from 3.7% to 5.2%
5. July 14, 2017 5
European Views of Current Economy Diverge Broadly
The current economic situation in our country is …
38%
40
12
13
15
31
45
56
71
78
83
98
51
49
58%
58
87
86
84
64
51
42
28
21
15
2
47
46
Canada
U.S.
Netherlands
Germany
Sweden
Poland
UK
Hungary
Spain
France
Italy
Greece
MEDIAN
Russia
GoodBadNorth America
Europe
6. July 14, 2017 6
Increase in Favorability of EU in Many Countries Since Last Year
Favorable view of EU
7. July 14, 2017 7
More Positive View of the EU Among People Who Are Happy
With Their Country’s Economy
Favorable view of EU among those who say the current economic situation in their country is …
Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey.
8. Little Support for Leaving EU, but Many Want Their Own
Referendum on Membership
July 14, 2017 8
36%
34
22
22
18
13
13
11
11
58%
57
61
53
42
44
65
50
51
Greece
Italy
France
Sweden
Netherlands
Hungary
Spain
Germany
Poland
Our country should leave the EU Support holding a national referendum on our country's EU membership
9. July 14, 2017
9
Southern Europeans Strongly Believe Germany Has Too
Much Influence Over EU Decisions
89%
68
68
54
49
46
42
21
20
49
10
5%
24
14
28
36
42
52
72
72
36
60
5%
4
10
6
8
3
5
4
2
5
26
Greece
Spain
Italy
Poland
Hungary
UK
France
Netherlands
Sweden
MEDIAN
Germany
Too much About the right amount Too little
Germany has __ influence when it comes to decision-making in the EU
12. July 14, 2017 12
Note: Statistically significant differences in bold.
18-29 30-49 50+
Youngest-oldest
gap
% % %
UK 76 58 43 +33
Netherlands 77 73 54 +23
France 73 53 51 +22
Hungary 81 67 63 +18
Italy 67 61 52 +15
Greece 45 35 30 +15
Germany 75 70 65 +10
Sweden 69 62 65 +4
Spain 64 62 61 +3
Poland 73 79 71 +2
Younger Adults More Likely Than Older Ones to Favor EU
Favorable view of EU
13. July 14, 2017 13
Left Generally More Positive Toward the EU Than the Right
Note: Statistically significant differences in bold.
Favorable view of EU
14. July 14, 2017 14
Europeans Divided on EU’s Handling of Economic Issues
85%
66
63
52
46
38
36
28
25
46
12%
23
35
38
42
54
47
61
58
42
Greece
Italy
France
Spain
Sweden
Netherlands
Hungary
Germany
Poland
MEDIAN
ApproveDisapprove
Do you __ of the way the European Union is dealing with European economic issues?
15. July 14, 2017 15
Many Europeans Disapprove of Brussels’ Management of
the Refugee Issue
90%
80
78
65
66
67
65
59
52
66
8%
12
18
23
25
29
32
33
43
25
Greece
Italy
Sweden
Poland
Hungary
Spain
France
Germany
Netherlands
MEDIAN
ApproveDisapprove
Do you __ of the way the European Union is dealing with the refugee issue?
17. July 14, 2017 17
Most Say Brexit Will Be Bad for EU
59%
51
71
74
78
80
67
68
66
86
70
36%
26
18
16
14
14
12
11
8
7
14
France
Italy
UK
Germany
Spain
Netherlands
Hungary
Greece
Poland
Sweden
MEDIAN
Good thingBad thing
The UK leaving the EU will be a __ for the EU
18. July 14, 2017 18
Many Europeans Think Brexit Will Be Bad for UK
31%
48
41
62
41
43
68
73
70
80
55
46%
44
36
34
30
27
25
23
22
14
29
Greece
UK
Italy
France
Hungary
Poland
Sweden
Netherlands
Spain
Germany
MEDIAN
Good thingBad thing
The UK leaving the EU will be a __ for the UK
19. July 14, 2017 19
Few in Continental Europe Favor Their Country Leaving EU
11%
13
11
18
13
22
22
36
34
18
88%
84
82
80
77
76
74
58
56
77
Germany
Spain
Poland
Netherlands
Hungary
France
Sweden
Greece
Italy
MEDIAN
Stay in the EULeave the EU
Our country should …
20. July 14, 2017 20
Many Europeans Support Holding a Referendum on Their
Country’s EU Status
28%
37
37
34
43
37
43
45
54
37
65%
61
58
57
53
51
50
44
42
53
Spain
France
Greece
Italy
Sweden
Poland
Germany
Hungary
Netherlands
MEDIAN
SupportOppose
Would __ holding a national referendum on our country’s European Union membership
21. July 14, 2017 21
Many EU Publics Want Their Governments to Decide on
Future Trade Agreements
Note: Volunteered categories “Both” and “Neither” not shown.
Do you think our government should make decisions about international trade agreements for our
country or should the EU make decisions about this issue?
The EU Our government
22. July 14, 2017 22
www.pewresearch.org
On Migration of EU Citizens, Most EU Publics Want
Decisions Made by Their National Governments
Note: Volunteered categories “Both” and “Neither” not shown.
Do you think our government should make decisions about the migration of EU citizens into our
country or should the EU make decisions about this issue?
The EU Our government
23. July 14, 2017 23
On Migration of Non-EU Citizens, Most EU Publics Want
Decisions Made by Their National Governments
Note: Volunteered categories “Both” and “Neither” not shown.
Do you think our government should make decisions about migration of people who are not EU
citizens into our country or should the EU make decisions about this issue?
The EU Our government
24. July 14, 2017 24
UK: Generation Gap, Partisan Divide on EU Issues
Favorable view of EU
Leaving the EU will be
good for the UK
Germany has too much
influence when it comes to
decision-making in the EU
% % %
TOTAL 54 44 46
Male 53 48 48
Female 55 40 44
Conservatives 51 57 53
Labour 74 28 33
Liberal Democrats 75 29 36
UKIP 31 74 57
18-29 76 25 34
30-49 58 39 41
50+ 43 54 55
Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. Q12f, Q48b, Q49.
25. July 14, 2017 25
In France: Young Favor EU, Those Who Favor the National
Front Back a Referendum on EU Membership
Favorable view of EU
Would support holding a
referendum on our
country’s EU membership
Our govt. should make
decisions about migration of
non-EU citizens into our country
% % %
TOTAL 56 61 75
Male 58 57 73
Female 53 65 77
En Marche 72 57 71
Republican 69 59 75
Socialist 83 54 69
Left 68 55 65
National Front 40 84 83
18-29 73 54 70
30-49 53 66 72
50+ 51 60 79
26. July 14, 2017 26
In Germany: Young Favor EU, Older Germans Want More
Power for Berlin
Favorable view of EU
Would support holding a
referendum on our
country’s EU membership
Our govt. should make decisions
about migration of non-EU
citizens into our country
% % %
TOTAL 68 50 75
Male 65 49 72
Female 72 52 77
AfD 40 69 77
SPD 77 48 74
CDU 82 47 74
The Left 74 51 72
18-29 75 52 64
30-49 70 46 76
50+ 65 51 78
27. July 14, 2017 27
Older Germans, Those Who Favor AfD Most Likely to Want
Berlin, Not Brussels to Do Trade Deals
German government
%
TOTAL 35
Male 37
Female 34
AfD 54
CDU 35
SPD 32
The Left 34
18-29 24
30-49 32
50+ 41
Source: Spring 2017 Global Attitudes Survey. Q47a.
60% 35 %
Our GovernmentThe EU
Should the EU or Germany make
decisions on international trade
agreements?
28. July 14, 2017 28
All Pew Research Center reports and data are
available online at www.pewresearch.org
Bruce Stokes
Director, Global Economic Attitudes
bstokes@pewresearch.org