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Infrastructure Investment in India
Strategies in the 12th Five Year Plan
Infrastructure Deficit
Power
        11.1% peaking deficit and 8.5% energy shortage (April 2011-March
        2012); 23.97 % T&D losses (2010-11) and; absence of competition;
        and inadequate private investment
Highways
        75,430 Km of NH (1.83% of network, 40% of traffic): only 24%
        Four-lane; 50% Two-lane; and 26% Single-lane and Intermediate
        standard; State highways also suffer from prolonged neglect
Ports
        Inadequate berths, rail / road connectivity and draft are constraints
Airports
        Inadequate capacity: Runways, aircraft handling capacity, parking
        space & terminal buildings
Railways
        Old technology; saturated routes: slow average speeds (freight: 22
        kmph; passengers: 50 kmph); low payload to Tare ratio (2.6)             2
Inadequate investment in Infrastructure
Investment in infrastructure was only 5% of GDP in 2002-07; mainly
in the public sector; only 22% came from private capital

Economic liberalisation of the 1990s led to GDP growth of 7-9%;
not accompanied by similar rise in infrastructure spending

Infrastructure deficit increased during 10th Plan (2002-07) owing to
rapid growth of economy

East Asian economies and China typically invested 9-10% of GDP
in infrastructure

Investment increased by 2.1 times in 11th Plan (2007-12); 7.2% of
GDP; share of private investment rose to 38% .
                                                                3
Investment in Infrastructure: 11th Plan
              135

              125

                                            XI Plan (2007-12):
              115
                                            Anticipated: US$ 484 bn
              105                                                                         X Plan
                                            (Rs. 19,35,058 cr.)                           Actual
               95
US$ Billion




               85

               75                                                                         XI Plan
                                                                                          Anticipated
                      X Plan (2002-07):
               65
                      Actual: US $ 229 bn
               55     (Rs. 9,16,176 cr.)

               45

               35




                                                                                              4
                                                                  (US$ 1 = Rs. 40 at 2006-07 Prices)
Investment in Infrastructure as % of GDP
                                   (10th and 11th Five Year Plans)
           9.00
                                                                                   8.41
                  Private
           8.00
                  Public                                         7.32
                                                                        6.81                  6.94
           7.00
                  Total                                   6.26
           6.00                                    5.61
                                            5.10
           5.00   4.77      4.76     4.69
% of GDP




           4.00

           3.00

           2.00

           1.00

           0.00




                                                                                               5
                                                                        Provisional Figures for 2010-12
Growth of Private Investment
                           (10th and 11th Five Year Plans)

            2,50,000



            2,00,000



            1,50,000
Rs. crore




            1,00,000



             50,000



                  -




                                                                                    6
                                                             Provisional Figures for 2010-12
Relative Share of Private Investment
                              (10th and 11th Five Year Plans)

                 90
                                                                              Public
                 80
                                                                              Private
                 70

                 60
Per cent Share




                 50

                 40

                 30

                 20

                 10

                  0




                                                                                        7
                                                                Provisional Figures for 2010-12
Share of Private Investment in different Sectors
                                        (11th Five Year Plan)

                 90
                       81       80
                 80

                 70
                                              64
                 60
Per cent Share




                                                           49
                 50

                 40

                 30
                                                                           20
                 20

                 10
                                                                                          5

                  0
                      Ports   Telecom       Airports   Electricity   Roads & Bridges   Railways
                                                       (incl. NCE)

                                                                                                  8
Projected Investment in Infrastructure: 12th
            18,00,000
                                                                         Plan
                                                                                              XII Plan:
                                                                                              Projected: 55,74,692cr.

            14,00,000

                                  XI Plan:
                                  Anticipated : Rs. 24,24,277 cr.
            10,00,000
Rs. crore




             6,00,000
                                                                                                          XI Plan Anticipated


             2,00,000                                                                                     XII Plan Projected
                        2007-08




                                                    2009-10



                                                               2010-11



                                                                          2011-12



                                                                                    2012-13



                                                                                                2013-14



                                                                                                           2014-15



                                                                                                                        2015-16



                                                                                                                                  2016-17
                                         2008-09




            -2,00,000



                                                                                                                                  9
Sector-wise Investment in Infrastructure:
                                     12th Plan
                                                                            Share
                 Sectors                   Rs. crore       US $ Billion
                                                                             (%)
Electricity (incl. NCE)                     1,820,292         350.1         32.7
Roads & Bridges                                  914,536      175.9         16.4
Telecommunications                               943,899      181.5         16.9
Railways (incl. MRTS)                            643,379      123.7         11.5
Irrigation (incl. Watershed)                     504,371      97.0           9.0
Water Supply & Sanitation                        255,319      49.1           4.6
Ports (including inland waterways)               197,781      38.0           3.5
Airports                                          87,714      16.9           1.6
Storage                                          148,933      28.6           2.7
Oil & Gas Pipelines                               58,441      11.2           1.0
Grand Total                                 5,574,663        1072.1         100.0


                                                                                  10
                                                   US$ 1 = Rs. 52 at nominal Prices
Investment by Centre, States & Private Sector
                        (Billion US$ at nominal prices, 1 US$ = Rs. 52)
                                         (per cent share in brackets)
          10th Plan    11th Plan                    12th Plan
          (Actual)    (Anticipated)                (Projected)
          3,52,504     8,56,717                     16,01,061
Centre    $ 68 bn      $ 165 bn                     $ 308 bn
            (42)         (35)                          (29)
          2,98,633     6,80,056                     12,89,762
States    $ 57 bn      $ 131 bn                     $ 248 bn
            (36)         (28)                          (23)
          1,86,023     8,87,504                     26,83,840
Private   $ 36 bn      $ 171 bn                     $ 516 bn
            (22)         (37)                          (48)
          8,37,159     24,24,277                   55,74,663
Total     $ 161 bn     $ 466 bn                    $ 1,072 bn
                                                                          11
Thank You




            12

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Infrastracture Investment - 12th Plan (2012 - 2017)

  • 1. Infrastructure Investment in India Strategies in the 12th Five Year Plan
  • 2. Infrastructure Deficit Power 11.1% peaking deficit and 8.5% energy shortage (April 2011-March 2012); 23.97 % T&D losses (2010-11) and; absence of competition; and inadequate private investment Highways 75,430 Km of NH (1.83% of network, 40% of traffic): only 24% Four-lane; 50% Two-lane; and 26% Single-lane and Intermediate standard; State highways also suffer from prolonged neglect Ports Inadequate berths, rail / road connectivity and draft are constraints Airports Inadequate capacity: Runways, aircraft handling capacity, parking space & terminal buildings Railways Old technology; saturated routes: slow average speeds (freight: 22 kmph; passengers: 50 kmph); low payload to Tare ratio (2.6) 2
  • 3. Inadequate investment in Infrastructure Investment in infrastructure was only 5% of GDP in 2002-07; mainly in the public sector; only 22% came from private capital Economic liberalisation of the 1990s led to GDP growth of 7-9%; not accompanied by similar rise in infrastructure spending Infrastructure deficit increased during 10th Plan (2002-07) owing to rapid growth of economy East Asian economies and China typically invested 9-10% of GDP in infrastructure Investment increased by 2.1 times in 11th Plan (2007-12); 7.2% of GDP; share of private investment rose to 38% . 3
  • 4. Investment in Infrastructure: 11th Plan 135 125 XI Plan (2007-12): 115 Anticipated: US$ 484 bn 105 X Plan (Rs. 19,35,058 cr.) Actual 95 US$ Billion 85 75 XI Plan Anticipated X Plan (2002-07): 65 Actual: US $ 229 bn 55 (Rs. 9,16,176 cr.) 45 35 4 (US$ 1 = Rs. 40 at 2006-07 Prices)
  • 5. Investment in Infrastructure as % of GDP (10th and 11th Five Year Plans) 9.00 8.41 Private 8.00 Public 7.32 6.81 6.94 7.00 Total 6.26 6.00 5.61 5.10 5.00 4.77 4.76 4.69 % of GDP 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 5 Provisional Figures for 2010-12
  • 6. Growth of Private Investment (10th and 11th Five Year Plans) 2,50,000 2,00,000 1,50,000 Rs. crore 1,00,000 50,000 - 6 Provisional Figures for 2010-12
  • 7. Relative Share of Private Investment (10th and 11th Five Year Plans) 90 Public 80 Private 70 60 Per cent Share 50 40 30 20 10 0 7 Provisional Figures for 2010-12
  • 8. Share of Private Investment in different Sectors (11th Five Year Plan) 90 81 80 80 70 64 60 Per cent Share 49 50 40 30 20 20 10 5 0 Ports Telecom Airports Electricity Roads & Bridges Railways (incl. NCE) 8
  • 9. Projected Investment in Infrastructure: 12th 18,00,000 Plan XII Plan: Projected: 55,74,692cr. 14,00,000 XI Plan: Anticipated : Rs. 24,24,277 cr. 10,00,000 Rs. crore 6,00,000 XI Plan Anticipated 2,00,000 XII Plan Projected 2007-08 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2008-09 -2,00,000 9
  • 10. Sector-wise Investment in Infrastructure: 12th Plan Share Sectors Rs. crore US $ Billion (%) Electricity (incl. NCE) 1,820,292 350.1 32.7 Roads & Bridges 914,536 175.9 16.4 Telecommunications 943,899 181.5 16.9 Railways (incl. MRTS) 643,379 123.7 11.5 Irrigation (incl. Watershed) 504,371 97.0 9.0 Water Supply & Sanitation 255,319 49.1 4.6 Ports (including inland waterways) 197,781 38.0 3.5 Airports 87,714 16.9 1.6 Storage 148,933 28.6 2.7 Oil & Gas Pipelines 58,441 11.2 1.0 Grand Total 5,574,663 1072.1 100.0 10 US$ 1 = Rs. 52 at nominal Prices
  • 11. Investment by Centre, States & Private Sector (Billion US$ at nominal prices, 1 US$ = Rs. 52) (per cent share in brackets) 10th Plan 11th Plan 12th Plan (Actual) (Anticipated) (Projected) 3,52,504 8,56,717 16,01,061 Centre $ 68 bn $ 165 bn $ 308 bn (42) (35) (29) 2,98,633 6,80,056 12,89,762 States $ 57 bn $ 131 bn $ 248 bn (36) (28) (23) 1,86,023 8,87,504 26,83,840 Private $ 36 bn $ 171 bn $ 516 bn (22) (37) (48) 8,37,159 24,24,277 55,74,663 Total $ 161 bn $ 466 bn $ 1,072 bn 11
  • 12. Thank You 12