The document summarizes an analysis of inventory using a 9-box framework to segment inventory based on volume and volatility. Key findings include:
- "A" items which are high volume and low volatility account for over 80% of business and have the highest returns on inventory.
- Margins and returns decrease for lower volume and higher volatility items.
- Opportunities exist to improve margins for smaller customers which currently have much lower margins per line than large customers.
- About 75% of line activity drives less than 10% of variable margin, indicating an opportunity to optimize processes for different segments.
2. 9 Box Summary
• These 9 boxes profile inventory in
segments based on volume and
volatility
• ABC Volume Segmentation is
calculated based on cost of
materials sold (COMS)
– A Items – First 80% of COMS
– B Items – Next 15% of COMS
– C Items – Final 5% of COMS
• Volatility Segmentation incorporates
the standard deviation of weekly
shipments
• Low Volatility – Ratio of StDev of weekly demand to
average weekly demand < 0.5
• Medium – Ratio is from 0.5 to < 1.0
• High – Ratio is 1.0 and above
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The ProAction Group
Low High
Volatility
Volume
HighLow
• We profile each segment in terms of:
– Total Sales
– Number of transactions
– Number of SKU’s
– Variable Margin
– Inventory Investment ($)
– Return on Inventory (Turn and Earn)
– Days on Hand
3. 9 Box – Differentiated Inventory Strategy
Development
Make little and often
Block scheduling
Calculated safety stock
Visual / demand triggers
L M H
A
B
C
Usage
Demand Volatility
Make / buy bigger batches
Automate replenishment
triggers
Customer policy
Protection
Change the Channel…
Block scheduling for
base demand
Minimize response
time to demand
triggers
Additional safety stock
Customer policy
protection
SKU Rationalization
Product substitution
Pricing / terms
Inventory disposition
options
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4. 9 Box Summary Notes
• Analysis is based on 2014 sales history and associated inventory values
at the end of 2014.
• Labor and Overhead costs by product is not available today. We based
this analysis on a variable margin, i.e., on sales less the cost of materials.
• Average demand and volatility are calculated excluding weeks in which
there is no demand (0 demand weeks are not included in the calculation).
• “Lines” summarizes the number of lines on which the part was included
during the year.
• “Turn and Earn” is a measure of return on the investment in inventory.
The formula used is:
– Inventory turns (based on COGS) * Variable Margin %
– A turn and earn ratio of 120 (based on Gross Margin) is generally
considered a minimum level for distributors.
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The ProAction Group
5. 9-Box. Volume vs. Volatility – All Facilities
• Costing data shows Variable Margin (no
labor or overhead costs are included – only
materials)
• Good
– High return on Inventory for “A” items
– 10 days of Inventory for “A” items
– 84.3% of our business is High Volume
and Low Volatility
– Overall, we turn our FG inventory
every 15 days.
• Opportunities
– Margins go down for higher volatility
items
– Margins go down for lower volume
sku’s
– Raw material inventory brings total
days of inventory to about 58 days.
6. 9-Box: Volume vs. Customer – All Facilities
• Costing data shows Variable Margin (no
labor or overhead costs are included –
only materials)
• Good
– Solid margins with large customers
• Opportunities
– Margins go down for smaller
customers compared to large
customers
– 75% of lines shipped produce a net
$5 million in Variable Margin (less
than 10% of the total)
– Variable Margin per line shipped
exceeds $1,900 for A customers,
and is less than $70 for C
customers
7. Target Inventory Calculation – All Facilities
• $2,073,703 is
needed to run
the current
business
• Reaching that
level will not
require changes
in customer
behavior.
• Reaching that
level will require
components of
an effective
S&OP process
8. 9-Box Conclusions
• Pricing, inventory and approach for “A” customers and “A” sku’s show
that leadership understands where money is made. We got the
important stuff right!
• Pricing strategy seems focused on managing “A” customers well. B
and C customers get preferential pricing today.
– Increasing external customer VM to meet “A” Customer VM would
increase B & C customer revenues and net income by $575,000. Driving
B & C pricing to 4 points above A customer would drive $1.2 million in net
income.
• B & C customer orders drive $390 & $115 in Variable Margin
per line respectively. This may not cover labor, overhead, order
management, pick & pack and handling costs.
• About 75% of our line activity drives less than 10% of our variable
margin.
– Adapt our processes to manage each segment of our business
• Raw material inventory drops Turn and Earn from 1,452 to 458.
8
9. 9-Box. Volume vs. Volatility – CA
• Costing data shows Variable Margin (no
labor or overhead costs are included – only
materials)
• Good
– High return on Inventory for “A” items
– 12 days of Inventory for “A” items
– 81% of our business is High Volume
and Low Volatility
• Opportunities
– Margins go down for higher volatility
items
– Margins go down for lower volume
sku’s
– Inventory for “B” and “C” items pull
down our return on assets
– $291k in inventory relates to one time
sales or zero sales SKU’s
– Raw material brings inventory to about
47 days of sales.
10. 9-Box: Volume vs. Customer – CA
• Costing data shows Variable Margin
(no labor or overhead costs are
included – only materials)
• Good
– Solid margins with large customers
• Opportunities
– Margins go down for smaller
customers compared to large
customers
– 62% of lines shipped produce a net
$2.1 million in Variable Margin
(less than 14% of the total)
– Variable Margin per line shipped
exceeds $2,700 for A customers,
and is less than $110 for C
customers
11. 9-Box. Volume vs. Volatility – IL
• Costing data shows Variable Margin (no
labor or overhead costs are included – only
materials)
• Good
– High return on Inventory for “A” items
– 11 days of Inventory for “A” items
– 86% of our business is High Volume
and Low Volatility
• Opportunities
– Margins go down for higher volatility
items
– Margins go down for lower volume
sku’s
– Inventory / Pricing Strategy for “B” and
“C” items pull down our return on
assets
– Raw materials bring total inventory to
about 72 days
12. 9-Box: Volume vs. Customer – IL
• Costing data shows Variable Margin
(no labor or overhead costs are
included – only materials)
• Good
– Solid margins with large
customers
• Opportunities
– Margins go down for smaller
customers compared to large
customers
– 82% of lines shipped produce a
net $400k in Variable Margin (less
than 5% of the total)
– Variable Margin per line shipped
exceeds $1,700 for A customers,
and is less than $90 for C
customers