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Presentation by Ram Prasad
                 01/08/2007
ramprasad2020@yahoo.com




                              1
Indian Metals Market- Overview
 Key sector – vital to Indian Economy meets wide range of
 industries- Engineering, Infrastructure, Electrical and
 Automobile …
 Metal Industry can be classified under- Ferrous/ Non-
 Ferrous Metals.
 Ferrous Metals – mainly consists of – Iron/ Steel – Indian
 Steel Industry Story is much of the global headlines- eg:
 Mittal’s acquisition of Arecelor, France….
 Steel Industry accounts for close to 2% Indian GDP and
 brings in excess of 10% of revenues through- Excise Duty
 and employs more than 1 million directly and indirectly.
                                                              2
Indian Metals Market- Overview
  Non- Ferrous Metals- Copper/Aluminium / Zinc/
 Lead/ Tin/ used for making alloys, castings, forgings
 & extrusions …
 Non Ferrous Metals – used widely in agriculture/
 infrastructure/ power plants/ railways/
 telecommunications/ core sector…
 Industry is highly fragmented- organized/
 unorganized across ferrous and non- ferrous groups.



                                                         3
Industry Dynamics
 Indian Ferrous industry- comprises of- Miners &
 Producers- engaged in mining & extracting activities
 Indian iron ore mines are seen across- Jharkhand/ Orissa/
 West Bengal/ Karnataka/Chattisgarh
 Producers – are classified - Integrated Steel Producers (
 ISS)and Secondary Producers. Integrated Steel Producers-
 Tata Steel/ SAIL/
 ISS occupies close to two thirds of Indian Crude Steel
 Producing…
 Secondary Producers- forms the other one- third of the
 steel production, but they are under both organized and
 un organized segments.
 Greater fragmentation, greater the competition.
                                                             4
Drivers & Trends
 Steel Sector
 Significance- India’s steel industry is significant, even
 by global standards. With an installed capacity of 36.12
 million tones, India is the eighth largest steel producer
 in the world.
 The industry has presence across all sectors – ore
 miners, integrated producers and other producers




                                                             5
Drivers & Trends
  Ore Miners- Mining companies are engaged in mining
 iron ore , key players – NMDC/ KIOSL/ Sesa Goa
 Main Producers- can be classified based on – Production
 Process/ Types of Products manufactured by the
 producers.
 Production Process- producers use three types of processes
 for converting iron ore into steel to coke oven- BF/ BOF
 route/ electric arc furnace ( EAF rout.e) or corex process
 Product based Manufacturing- Products-Long Products /
 Flat Products
 Long Products- bars, structural products, wire rods, angles,
 rounds – Mainly used in Construction/ Infrastructure
 industry.

                                                                6
Drivers & Trends
 Flat Products- includes the famous- HRC Coils ( Hot
 Rolled Coil Sheets)/ CRC- Cold Rolled Coil Sheets…
 Long Products Players- RINL SAIL/ Tata Steel/
 Flat Products- Ispat/ Jindal / Bhushan Steel- widely
 used in white goods/ automobile sector/ fabrications/
 ducts / roofing/




                                                         7
Drivers & Trends Drivers & Trends-
Metals- Aluminium
 Aluminium – India accounts for nearly 10 per cent of the
 world’s bauxite reserves.
  Domestic Demand is expected to grow annually – CAGR 8-
 10 per cent in 2005- 06 and by 2020, India is expected to
 have an installed aluminium capacity of 1.7 to 2 million
 tones per annum.
 The primary market for aluminium in India is the power
 sector,
  which consumes about 35 per cent of the domestic
 production.
 Key Drivers- The ongoing reforms in the power sector and
 focus on improving power infrastructure, is expected to
 further boost the aluminium sector in India.

                                                             8
Drivers & Trends- Metals- Copper
 Copper- One of the key sector impacting the Indian
 economy.
 Utilities- Telecom/ Power/ Construction/
 Engineering/ Consumer Durables.
 According to Ministry of Steels, GOI, the installed
 capacity in 2003-4 is 477,500 vs. domestic demand
 about 290,000 tones. Nearly 40% of copper is
 exported.
  Potential for Huge Demand- across ASEAN regions/
 South Asia/ SL etc
                                                       9
Drivers & Trends- Metals- Copper
 Major Players- Sterlite/ Hindustan Copper Limited/
 Hindalco/
 Three major players control more than 85% of market
 share, while the rest is controlled by small scale industries
 who are primarily converting scrap into ingots.
 Products- Copper bars/ rods/ wires…
 Correlation Effect- Highly dependent on- Telecom/ Power
 sector
 Growth- CAGR of 5-6% is growth witnessed for last 20
 years, with Indian economy peaking around 7-8% GDP for
 most of 2004-7, the outlook for copper is positive.

                                                                 10
Drivers & Trends- Metals- Zinc
 Key Players- Hindustan Zinc Ltd, part of Sterlite
 Group.
 Domestic Demand- 400,000 tones per annum, annual
 CAGR of 5-6% on Y- Y basis.
 Domestic Markets- Zinc is predominantly used in
 Steel Industry for galvanizing, die-casting, guard rails
 used in railways
 Key Driver- Continuing demands from Construction
 industry- creates multiplier effects for steel& zinc
 products…
                                                            11
Drivers & Trends- Exports
  India – net exporter of steel around $3.3 billion, in 2006-07.
  Major areas of export-
    China- 24%
     US- 8%
    UAE- 5%
     Thailand- 5%
     Italy – 4%
     Iran – 4%
Indian exports consists mainly carbon steel which accounts
  for 95% of steel exports, rest being the pig iron.
                                                                   12
Drivers & Trends- Imports
 Major steel import destinations are- BRICS /
 Germany/ Korea/
 In non-ferrous metals, India is net exporter of
 copper and net importer of zinc
 Opportunity- Given the surplus production of metals
 and requirements in other markets gives greater
 opportunity for growth in exports for Indian metals




                                                       13
Business Confidence – Metal
Sector
 FDI continued to get attracted in metallurgical sector
 since, 1991.
 During the phase of 1991-2005 phase- FDI in
 metallurgical sector accounted to - $4.5bn




                                                          14
Competitive Index
          • India’s cheaper labor
       India’s cheaper workforce
          market backed with skilled
          workforce are advantages
        and skilled low cost
          for setting up- workforce is
          production domestic bases
                                                              • Liberal policy regime
                                                              • Foreign equity is allowed
                                                                100% in FDI under
                                                                automatic conditions
      advantageous to create low-
          for local and international
 Indian competitive index is illustrated by Michael
       cost production bases for
          markets.

       both local & international
 Porter’s Competitive Analysis:
                    markets
                    strategy/
                              Factor
                                       Firm
                                                 Conditions
                                    structure



                                     Related &
                                                  Demand
                                    Supporting
                                                 Conditions
                                    Industries
          • Matured industry                                  • Users- constructions/
                                                                automobile/ engineering/
                                                              • Highly demanding
                                                                consumers
                                                              • Demand and industry
                                                                growth high correlation




                                                                                            15
Michael PorterCompetitive Index
India growth oriented market
Favorable conditions for production
Support from allied industries
Government- Policy enabling climate for Metal
industry.




                                                16
Key Players
 Hindustan Copper Ltd- PSU- Exploration – Mining-
 Smelting- Plants at- Rajasthan/ Jharkhand
 Ispat Industries- sponge iron- HCR- Plants at-
 Kalmeshwar
 SAIL- manufactures steel for domestic consumption,
 Plants- Salem/ Badravathi/ Rourkela




                                                      17
Future Perfect
 Future outlook - Metals sector in India is shining bright
 Indian Economy poised to grow at 8-10%GDP for next 20
 years, the demand is very clearly defined- increased
 infrastructure- construction- engineering – automobile
 sector headed for bullish phase- young demographics-
 higher potential to spend and consumption
 Greater shortages in worldwide copper supplies are
 expected to continue due to production cuts by leading
 producers in Mexico and Chile.
 Opportunity Management- Utilizing the demand and
 production cuts in Mexico/ Chile, augurs well for Indian
 Metal industry in the near and long term.

                                                             18
Thank You
  Ram Prasad
F 21 Meenakshi Residency
Arekere, Baneerghata Road
Bangalore 560076
ramprasad2020@yahoo.com




                            19

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Indian metal sector-_futuristic_perspective

  • 1. Presentation by Ram Prasad 01/08/2007 ramprasad2020@yahoo.com 1
  • 2. Indian Metals Market- Overview Key sector – vital to Indian Economy meets wide range of industries- Engineering, Infrastructure, Electrical and Automobile … Metal Industry can be classified under- Ferrous/ Non- Ferrous Metals. Ferrous Metals – mainly consists of – Iron/ Steel – Indian Steel Industry Story is much of the global headlines- eg: Mittal’s acquisition of Arecelor, France…. Steel Industry accounts for close to 2% Indian GDP and brings in excess of 10% of revenues through- Excise Duty and employs more than 1 million directly and indirectly. 2
  • 3. Indian Metals Market- Overview Non- Ferrous Metals- Copper/Aluminium / Zinc/ Lead/ Tin/ used for making alloys, castings, forgings & extrusions … Non Ferrous Metals – used widely in agriculture/ infrastructure/ power plants/ railways/ telecommunications/ core sector… Industry is highly fragmented- organized/ unorganized across ferrous and non- ferrous groups. 3
  • 4. Industry Dynamics Indian Ferrous industry- comprises of- Miners & Producers- engaged in mining & extracting activities Indian iron ore mines are seen across- Jharkhand/ Orissa/ West Bengal/ Karnataka/Chattisgarh Producers – are classified - Integrated Steel Producers ( ISS)and Secondary Producers. Integrated Steel Producers- Tata Steel/ SAIL/ ISS occupies close to two thirds of Indian Crude Steel Producing… Secondary Producers- forms the other one- third of the steel production, but they are under both organized and un organized segments. Greater fragmentation, greater the competition. 4
  • 5. Drivers & Trends Steel Sector Significance- India’s steel industry is significant, even by global standards. With an installed capacity of 36.12 million tones, India is the eighth largest steel producer in the world. The industry has presence across all sectors – ore miners, integrated producers and other producers 5
  • 6. Drivers & Trends Ore Miners- Mining companies are engaged in mining iron ore , key players – NMDC/ KIOSL/ Sesa Goa Main Producers- can be classified based on – Production Process/ Types of Products manufactured by the producers. Production Process- producers use three types of processes for converting iron ore into steel to coke oven- BF/ BOF route/ electric arc furnace ( EAF rout.e) or corex process Product based Manufacturing- Products-Long Products / Flat Products Long Products- bars, structural products, wire rods, angles, rounds – Mainly used in Construction/ Infrastructure industry. 6
  • 7. Drivers & Trends Flat Products- includes the famous- HRC Coils ( Hot Rolled Coil Sheets)/ CRC- Cold Rolled Coil Sheets… Long Products Players- RINL SAIL/ Tata Steel/ Flat Products- Ispat/ Jindal / Bhushan Steel- widely used in white goods/ automobile sector/ fabrications/ ducts / roofing/ 7
  • 8. Drivers & Trends Drivers & Trends- Metals- Aluminium Aluminium – India accounts for nearly 10 per cent of the world’s bauxite reserves. Domestic Demand is expected to grow annually – CAGR 8- 10 per cent in 2005- 06 and by 2020, India is expected to have an installed aluminium capacity of 1.7 to 2 million tones per annum. The primary market for aluminium in India is the power sector, which consumes about 35 per cent of the domestic production. Key Drivers- The ongoing reforms in the power sector and focus on improving power infrastructure, is expected to further boost the aluminium sector in India. 8
  • 9. Drivers & Trends- Metals- Copper Copper- One of the key sector impacting the Indian economy. Utilities- Telecom/ Power/ Construction/ Engineering/ Consumer Durables. According to Ministry of Steels, GOI, the installed capacity in 2003-4 is 477,500 vs. domestic demand about 290,000 tones. Nearly 40% of copper is exported. Potential for Huge Demand- across ASEAN regions/ South Asia/ SL etc 9
  • 10. Drivers & Trends- Metals- Copper Major Players- Sterlite/ Hindustan Copper Limited/ Hindalco/ Three major players control more than 85% of market share, while the rest is controlled by small scale industries who are primarily converting scrap into ingots. Products- Copper bars/ rods/ wires… Correlation Effect- Highly dependent on- Telecom/ Power sector Growth- CAGR of 5-6% is growth witnessed for last 20 years, with Indian economy peaking around 7-8% GDP for most of 2004-7, the outlook for copper is positive. 10
  • 11. Drivers & Trends- Metals- Zinc Key Players- Hindustan Zinc Ltd, part of Sterlite Group. Domestic Demand- 400,000 tones per annum, annual CAGR of 5-6% on Y- Y basis. Domestic Markets- Zinc is predominantly used in Steel Industry for galvanizing, die-casting, guard rails used in railways Key Driver- Continuing demands from Construction industry- creates multiplier effects for steel& zinc products… 11
  • 12. Drivers & Trends- Exports India – net exporter of steel around $3.3 billion, in 2006-07. Major areas of export- China- 24% US- 8% UAE- 5% Thailand- 5% Italy – 4% Iran – 4% Indian exports consists mainly carbon steel which accounts for 95% of steel exports, rest being the pig iron. 12
  • 13. Drivers & Trends- Imports Major steel import destinations are- BRICS / Germany/ Korea/ In non-ferrous metals, India is net exporter of copper and net importer of zinc Opportunity- Given the surplus production of metals and requirements in other markets gives greater opportunity for growth in exports for Indian metals 13
  • 14. Business Confidence – Metal Sector FDI continued to get attracted in metallurgical sector since, 1991. During the phase of 1991-2005 phase- FDI in metallurgical sector accounted to - $4.5bn 14
  • 15. Competitive Index • India’s cheaper labor India’s cheaper workforce market backed with skilled workforce are advantages and skilled low cost for setting up- workforce is production domestic bases • Liberal policy regime • Foreign equity is allowed 100% in FDI under automatic conditions advantageous to create low- for local and international Indian competitive index is illustrated by Michael cost production bases for markets. both local & international Porter’s Competitive Analysis: markets strategy/ Factor Firm Conditions structure Related & Demand Supporting Conditions Industries • Matured industry • Users- constructions/ automobile/ engineering/ • Highly demanding consumers • Demand and industry growth high correlation 15
  • 16. Michael PorterCompetitive Index India growth oriented market Favorable conditions for production Support from allied industries Government- Policy enabling climate for Metal industry. 16
  • 17. Key Players Hindustan Copper Ltd- PSU- Exploration – Mining- Smelting- Plants at- Rajasthan/ Jharkhand Ispat Industries- sponge iron- HCR- Plants at- Kalmeshwar SAIL- manufactures steel for domestic consumption, Plants- Salem/ Badravathi/ Rourkela 17
  • 18. Future Perfect Future outlook - Metals sector in India is shining bright Indian Economy poised to grow at 8-10%GDP for next 20 years, the demand is very clearly defined- increased infrastructure- construction- engineering – automobile sector headed for bullish phase- young demographics- higher potential to spend and consumption Greater shortages in worldwide copper supplies are expected to continue due to production cuts by leading producers in Mexico and Chile. Opportunity Management- Utilizing the demand and production cuts in Mexico/ Chile, augurs well for Indian Metal industry in the near and long term. 18
  • 19. Thank You Ram Prasad F 21 Meenakshi Residency Arekere, Baneerghata Road Bangalore 560076 ramprasad2020@yahoo.com 19