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Poland Textiles and Clothing Report Q2 2009
Published on April 2009

                                                                                                              Report Summary

Poland is a major textile and clothing producer, currently undergoing a process of industry restructuring
and downsizing. BMI ranks it as number 18 in the world in terms of textile and clothing manufacturing
value added. In nominal terms we estimate that to have been worth US$17.2bn in 2008. Although a new
generation of more dynamic and competitive textile and garment companies has emerged, many in the
industry remain underinvested and slow in their ability to respond to changing market conditions. Given
the unfolding European recession that seems to be arriving in Poland a little later than elsewhere, BMI
expects the downsizing process to gather pace once more in 2009 and 2010.
Textiles
The textile sector covers a range of activities including spinning, weaving and dyeing. Because of it
comparatively high labour cost and low share of the value added chain, it is particularly exposed to
competition from the larger Asian producers. We are predicting that textile value added will slump by
5.5% in 2009 and by a further 3.5% in 2010, with smaller drops after that. We also expect textile value
added to gradually fall from 44% of total textile and clothing value added in 2008 to 40% 10 years later in
2018. BMI sees textile exports falling by 8% in 2009 to US$1.94bn. We expect imports to fall by roughly
10% to US$4.25bn.
Clothing
While both textiles and clothing are under pressure, BMI believes that the Polish clothing subsector will
be more resilient and more capable of recovering from the current bleak market conditions. We are
predicting that garment value added will take a hit, falling by 4.5% this year and by 2.5% in 2010. BMI
sees clothing exports falling by 6% in 2009 to US$2.35bn. We expect imports to fall 10% to US$1.93bn.
Overall Polish textile and clothing value added will fall by 4.9% in 2009, and again by 2.9% in 2010,
reflecting very difficult international economic conditions. We believe that in subsequent years combined
value added will continue contracting, but it will do so at a slower pace, and concealed behind that
headline figure will be a small cluster of more efficient companies, mostly in clothing, that will prosper.
The industry's trade performance will be poor over the next two years, with exports dropping by 6.9% in
2009, reflecting the recession in most, if not all, of Poland's target markets.




                                                                                                              Table of Content

Executive Summary ......6
SWOT Analysis....7
Poland Textile SWOT........ 7
Poland Apparel SWOT...... 7
Poland Political SWOT..... 8
Poland Economic SWOT... 8
Poland Business Environment SWOT ... 9
Market Overview10
Poland Trends And Developments.11



Poland Textiles and Clothing Report Q2 2009                                                                              Page 1/4
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General ....... 11
Poland Industry Forecast Scenario13
Textile And Clothing Market Outlook . 13
Textiles........ 13
Clothing ...... 13
Table: Textiles And Clothing Production And International Trade, 2006-2013 ........ 14
Long-Term Outlook ........ 15
Table: Textiles And Clothing Production And International Trade, Long-Term Forecasts . 15
Macroeconomic Outlook. 16
Table: Poland - Economic Activity, 2005-2013..... 18
Global Textiles And Clothing Market Overview 19
Background: International Trade In Textiles 20
Output And Key Trends... 21
Global Fibres Market Outlook .........24
Cotton ......... 24
Wool . 26
Table: Fibre Prices, 2007 And 2008... 27
Synthetic Fibres .... 27
Company Profiles........29
Inditex......... 29
Fast Retailing Co.. 30
The Gap, Inc ......... 31
LPP... 32
Country Snapshot: Poland Demographic Data.33
Section 1: Population...... 33
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030. 33
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 34
Section 2: Education And Healthcare. 34
Table: Education, 2002-2005 ... 34
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030....... 34
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power ..... 35
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006... 35
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) ... 35
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012... 36
Global Assumptions ...37
Table: Global Assumptions, 2007-2013........ 37
Table: Developed States GDP Growth, 2008-2010 39
Table: Emerging Markets GDP Growth, 2008-2010 ........ 40
Methodology......41




Poland Textiles and Clothing Report Q2 2009                                                                 Page 2/4
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Poland Textiles and Clothing Report Q2 2009

  • 1. Find Industry reports, Company profiles ReportLinker and Market Statistics >> Get this Report Now by email! Poland Textiles and Clothing Report Q2 2009 Published on April 2009 Report Summary Poland is a major textile and clothing producer, currently undergoing a process of industry restructuring and downsizing. BMI ranks it as number 18 in the world in terms of textile and clothing manufacturing value added. In nominal terms we estimate that to have been worth US$17.2bn in 2008. Although a new generation of more dynamic and competitive textile and garment companies has emerged, many in the industry remain underinvested and slow in their ability to respond to changing market conditions. Given the unfolding European recession that seems to be arriving in Poland a little later than elsewhere, BMI expects the downsizing process to gather pace once more in 2009 and 2010. Textiles The textile sector covers a range of activities including spinning, weaving and dyeing. Because of it comparatively high labour cost and low share of the value added chain, it is particularly exposed to competition from the larger Asian producers. We are predicting that textile value added will slump by 5.5% in 2009 and by a further 3.5% in 2010, with smaller drops after that. We also expect textile value added to gradually fall from 44% of total textile and clothing value added in 2008 to 40% 10 years later in 2018. BMI sees textile exports falling by 8% in 2009 to US$1.94bn. We expect imports to fall by roughly 10% to US$4.25bn. Clothing While both textiles and clothing are under pressure, BMI believes that the Polish clothing subsector will be more resilient and more capable of recovering from the current bleak market conditions. We are predicting that garment value added will take a hit, falling by 4.5% this year and by 2.5% in 2010. BMI sees clothing exports falling by 6% in 2009 to US$2.35bn. We expect imports to fall 10% to US$1.93bn. Overall Polish textile and clothing value added will fall by 4.9% in 2009, and again by 2.9% in 2010, reflecting very difficult international economic conditions. We believe that in subsequent years combined value added will continue contracting, but it will do so at a slower pace, and concealed behind that headline figure will be a small cluster of more efficient companies, mostly in clothing, that will prosper. The industry's trade performance will be poor over the next two years, with exports dropping by 6.9% in 2009, reflecting the recession in most, if not all, of Poland's target markets. Table of Content Executive Summary ......6 SWOT Analysis....7 Poland Textile SWOT........ 7 Poland Apparel SWOT...... 7 Poland Political SWOT..... 8 Poland Economic SWOT... 8 Poland Business Environment SWOT ... 9 Market Overview10 Poland Trends And Developments.11 Poland Textiles and Clothing Report Q2 2009 Page 1/4
  • 2. Find Industry reports, Company profiles ReportLinker and Market Statistics General ....... 11 Poland Industry Forecast Scenario13 Textile And Clothing Market Outlook . 13 Textiles........ 13 Clothing ...... 13 Table: Textiles And Clothing Production And International Trade, 2006-2013 ........ 14 Long-Term Outlook ........ 15 Table: Textiles And Clothing Production And International Trade, Long-Term Forecasts . 15 Macroeconomic Outlook. 16 Table: Poland - Economic Activity, 2005-2013..... 18 Global Textiles And Clothing Market Overview 19 Background: International Trade In Textiles 20 Output And Key Trends... 21 Global Fibres Market Outlook .........24 Cotton ......... 24 Wool . 26 Table: Fibre Prices, 2007 And 2008... 27 Synthetic Fibres .... 27 Company Profiles........29 Inditex......... 29 Fast Retailing Co.. 30 The Gap, Inc ......... 31 LPP... 32 Country Snapshot: Poland Demographic Data.33 Section 1: Population...... 33 Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030. 33 Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 34 Section 2: Education And Healthcare. 34 Table: Education, 2002-2005 ... 34 Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030....... 34 Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power ..... 35 Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006... 35 Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) ... 35 Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012... 36 Global Assumptions ...37 Table: Global Assumptions, 2007-2013........ 37 Table: Developed States GDP Growth, 2008-2010 39 Table: Emerging Markets GDP Growth, 2008-2010 ........ 40 Methodology......41 Poland Textiles and Clothing Report Q2 2009 Page 2/4
  • 3. Find Industry reports, Company profiles ReportLinker and Market Statistics Fax Order Form To place an order via fax simply print this form, fill in the information below and fax the completed form to: Europe, Middle East and Africa : + 33 4 37 37 15 56 Asia, Oceania and America : + 1 (805) 617 17 93 If you have any questions please visit http://www.reportlinker.com/notify/contact Order Information Please verify that the product information is correct and select the format(s) you require. Poland Textiles and Clothing Report Q2 2009 Product Formats Please select the product formats and the quantity you require. Digital Copy--USD 530.00 Quantity: _____ Contact Information Please enter all the information below in BLOCK CAPITALS Title: Mr Mrs Dr Miss Ms Prof First Name: _____________________________ Last Name: __________________________________ Email Address: __________________________________________________________________________ Job Title: __________________________________________________________________________ Organization: __________________________________________________________________________ Address: __________________________________________________________________________ City: __________________________________________________________________________ Postal / Zip Code: __________________________________________________________________________ Country: __________________________________________________________________________ Phone Number: __________________________________________________________________________ Fax Number: __________________________________________________________________________ Poland Textiles and Clothing Report Q2 2009 Page 3/4
  • 4. Find Industry reports, Company profiles ReportLinker and Market Statistics Payment Information Please indicate the payment method, you would like to use by selecting the appropriate box. Payment by credit card Card Number: ______________________________________________ Expiry Date __________ / _________ CVV Number _____________________ Card Type (ex: Visa, Amex…) _________________________________ Payment by wire transfer Crédit Mutuel RIB : 10278 07314 00020257701 89 BIC : CMCIFR2A IBAN : FR76 1027 8073 1400 0202 5770 189 Payment by check UBIQUICK SAS 16 rue Grenette – 69002 LYON, FRANCE Customer signature:   Please note that by ordering from Reportlinker you are agreeing to our Terms and Conditions at http://www.reportlinker.com/index/terms Please fax this form to: Europe, Middle East and Africa : + 33 4 37 37 15 56 Asia, Oceania and America : + 1 (805) 617 17 93 Poland Textiles and Clothing Report Q2 2009 Page 4/4