Poland is a major textile and clothing producer, currently undergoing a process of industry restructuringand downsizing. BMI ranks it as number 18 in the world in terms of textile and clothing manufacturingvalue added. In nominal terms we estimate that to have been worth US$17.2bn in 2008. Although a newgeneration of more dynamic and competitive textile and garment companies has emerged, many in theindustry remain underinvested and slow in their ability to respond to changing market conditions. Giventhe unfolding European recession that seems to be arriving in Poland a little later than elsewhere, BMIexpects the downsizing process to gather pace once more in 2009 and 2010.TextilesThe textile sector covers a range of activities including spinning, weaving and dyeing. Because of itcomparatively high labour cost and low share of the value added chain, it is particularly exposed tocompetition from the larger Asian producers. We are predicting that textile value added will slump by5.5% in 2009 and by a further 3.5% in 2010, with smaller drops after that. We also expect textile valueadded to gradually fall from 44% of total textile and clothing value added in 2008 to 40% 10 years later in2018. BMI sees textile exports falling by 8% in 2009 to US$1.94bn. We expect imports to fall by roughly10% to US$4.25bn.ClothingWhile both textiles and clothing are under pressure, BMI believes that the Polish clothing subsector willbe more resilient and more capable of recovering from the current bleak market conditions. We arepredicting that garment value added will take a hit, falling by 4.5% this year and by 2.5% in 2010. BMIsees clothing exports falling by 6% in 2009 to US$2.35bn. We expect imports to fall 10% to US$1.93bn.Overall Polish textile and clothing value added will fall by 4.9% in 2009, and again by 2.9% in 2010,reflecting very difficult international economic conditions. We believe that in subsequent years combinedvalue added will continue contracting, but it will do so at a slower pace, and concealed behind thatheadline figure will be a small cluster of more efficient companies, mostly in clothing, that will prosper.The industry's trade performance will be poor over the next two years, with exports dropping by 6.9% in2009, reflecting the recession in most, if not all, of Poland's target markets.
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Poland Textiles and Clothing Report Q2 2009
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Poland Textiles and Clothing Report Q2 2009
Published on April 2009
Report Summary
Poland is a major textile and clothing producer, currently undergoing a process of industry restructuring
and downsizing. BMI ranks it as number 18 in the world in terms of textile and clothing manufacturing
value added. In nominal terms we estimate that to have been worth US$17.2bn in 2008. Although a new
generation of more dynamic and competitive textile and garment companies has emerged, many in the
industry remain underinvested and slow in their ability to respond to changing market conditions. Given
the unfolding European recession that seems to be arriving in Poland a little later than elsewhere, BMI
expects the downsizing process to gather pace once more in 2009 and 2010.
Textiles
The textile sector covers a range of activities including spinning, weaving and dyeing. Because of it
comparatively high labour cost and low share of the value added chain, it is particularly exposed to
competition from the larger Asian producers. We are predicting that textile value added will slump by
5.5% in 2009 and by a further 3.5% in 2010, with smaller drops after that. We also expect textile value
added to gradually fall from 44% of total textile and clothing value added in 2008 to 40% 10 years later in
2018. BMI sees textile exports falling by 8% in 2009 to US$1.94bn. We expect imports to fall by roughly
10% to US$4.25bn.
Clothing
While both textiles and clothing are under pressure, BMI believes that the Polish clothing subsector will
be more resilient and more capable of recovering from the current bleak market conditions. We are
predicting that garment value added will take a hit, falling by 4.5% this year and by 2.5% in 2010. BMI
sees clothing exports falling by 6% in 2009 to US$2.35bn. We expect imports to fall 10% to US$1.93bn.
Overall Polish textile and clothing value added will fall by 4.9% in 2009, and again by 2.9% in 2010,
reflecting very difficult international economic conditions. We believe that in subsequent years combined
value added will continue contracting, but it will do so at a slower pace, and concealed behind that
headline figure will be a small cluster of more efficient companies, mostly in clothing, that will prosper.
The industry's trade performance will be poor over the next two years, with exports dropping by 6.9% in
2009, reflecting the recession in most, if not all, of Poland's target markets.
Table of Content
Executive Summary ......6
SWOT Analysis....7
Poland Textile SWOT........ 7
Poland Apparel SWOT...... 7
Poland Political SWOT..... 8
Poland Economic SWOT... 8
Poland Business Environment SWOT ... 9
Market Overview10
Poland Trends And Developments.11
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General ....... 11
Poland Industry Forecast Scenario13
Textile And Clothing Market Outlook . 13
Textiles........ 13
Clothing ...... 13
Table: Textiles And Clothing Production And International Trade, 2006-2013 ........ 14
Long-Term Outlook ........ 15
Table: Textiles And Clothing Production And International Trade, Long-Term Forecasts . 15
Macroeconomic Outlook. 16
Table: Poland - Economic Activity, 2005-2013..... 18
Global Textiles And Clothing Market Overview 19
Background: International Trade In Textiles 20
Output And Key Trends... 21
Global Fibres Market Outlook .........24
Cotton ......... 24
Wool . 26
Table: Fibre Prices, 2007 And 2008... 27
Synthetic Fibres .... 27
Company Profiles........29
Inditex......... 29
Fast Retailing Co.. 30
The Gap, Inc ......... 31
LPP... 32
Country Snapshot: Poland Demographic Data.33
Section 1: Population...... 33
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030. 33
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030 34
Section 2: Education And Healthcare. 34
Table: Education, 2002-2005 ... 34
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030....... 34
Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power ..... 35
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006... 35
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$) ... 35
Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012... 36
Global Assumptions ...37
Table: Global Assumptions, 2007-2013........ 37
Table: Developed States GDP Growth, 2008-2010 39
Table: Emerging Markets GDP Growth, 2008-2010 ........ 40
Methodology......41
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