Renewable Energy Trade Imbalance - Will WTO Scanner Revive the Situation'

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Renewable Energy Trade Imbalance - Will WTO Scanner Revive the
Situation'
Published on January 2011

Report Summary

Renewable Energy Trade Imbalance - Will WTO Scanner Revive the Situation'

Summary

'Renewable Energy Trade Imbalance - Will WTO Scanner Revive the Situation'' is the latest issue report from GlobalData, the industry
analysis specialists that offer comprehensive information on the global renewable energy policies violating the WO agreements.

The research gives detailed Global analysis and gives local content policies and export-import restrictions imposed by major countries
around the globe. This research also gives detailed analysis of the impact of these policies of the markets in key countries namely the
US, China, Ontario (Canada), India, the EU and Brazil. The study provides expected market growth up to 2015 for the countries.
Moreover, the report covers the WTO agreements which are being violated by the renewable policies. Information on the WTO
allegations on these policies favoring the domestic market of the renewable the industry has also been dealt with in detail.

The report is built using data and information sourced from proprietary databases, primary and secondary research and in-house
analysis by GlobalData's Team of industry experts.

Scope

- The report details the WTO agreements being violated by the renewable energy policies globally.
- The report details the local content policies of China, Ontario (Canada), India and the US.
- The report details about the US and Japan WTO allegations against China's and Ontario's local content policies, respectively.
- The report also covers the major impact of the local content policies on China's wind energy market, Ontario's wind and solar PV
market, India's solar power market and Canada's exports to the US.
- The research provides detailed export-import restrictions imposed by China, the US, Brazil and the EU.
- It covers details about Brazil and Indonesia WTO allegations expected to be raised against the US and the EU, respectively.
- It also covers the detailed analysis on the impact of export-import restrictions on the international bioethanol and biodiesel trade.

Reasons to buy

- Identify key growth and investment opportunities in the global and regional renewable energy market.
- Position yourself to take advantage of the industry's growth potential
- Identify key strengths and weaknesses of major market participants by understanding and respond to company's business structure,
strategy and prospects
- Facilitate decision-making based on strong historic and forecast data
- To understand the potential & projections for growth rate & capacity addition in global and key countries
- Gain the most up to date and in-depth information on the WTO allegations against renewable energy policies globally
- Develop strategies based on the latest operational and regulatory events

Renewable Energy Trade Imbalance - Will WTO Scanner Revive the Situation' (From Slideshare) Page 1/8


Table of Content

1 Table of contents 2
1.1 List of Tables 3
1.2 List of Figures 4
2 Introduction 6
2.1 Growth in Renewable Energy 6
2.2 Direct Subsidies and Stimulus Announcements 9
2.3 Key Trade and Investment Agreements under WTO 10
2.3.1 Subsidies and Countervailing Measures 10
2.3.2 General Agreements on Trade and Tariffs 10
2.3.3 Trade Related Investment Measures (TRIM) 11
2.3.4 Government Procurement Agreement 11
2.3.5 People's Republic of China ' Protocol of Accession to the WTO 11
2.4 Report Guidance 12
3 Local Content Requirement Issue 13
3.1 China Local Content Requirement Issue 13
3.1.1 China Local Content Requirement Issue - Local Content Requirement Policies 13
3.1.2 China Local Content Requirement Issue ' Allegations under the WTO 15
3.1.3 China's Local Content Requirement ' Impact on Renewable Market 17
3.2 Ontario's (Canada) Local Content Requirement Issue 25
3.2.1 Ontario's (Canada) Local Content Requirement - Local Content Requirement Policy 25
3.2.2 Ontario (Canada) Local Content Requirement Issue ' Allegations under the WTO 28
3.2.3 Ontario's (Canada) Local Content Requirement Issue '' Impact on Renewable Market 29
3.3 India's Local Content Requirement Issue 48
3.3.1 India's Local Content Requirement Issue - Local Content Requirement Policy 48
3.3.2 India Local Content Requirement ' Impact on Renewable Market 49
3.4 The US Local Content Requirement Issue 58
3.4.1 The US Local Content Requirement Issue ' The US Local Content Requirement Policy 58
3.4.2 The US Local Content Requirement Issue ' Expected Impact on the Canada Market 59
4 Export ' Import Restriction Issue 60
4.1 Export ' Import Restrictions Imposed by China 60
4.1.1 China's Export ' Import Restrictions: Policies 60
4.1.2 China's Export Import Restrictions- Allegations under WTO 60
4.1.3 China Export Import Restriction ' Impact on the Rare Earth Metals Market 61
4.1.4 China Export-Import Restriction ' Supply - Demand Scenario of Rare Earth Metals 66
4.2 The US and Brazil Conflict 71
4.2.1 The US Export ' Import Restrictions ' Biodiesel Policy 71
4.2.2 Brazil's Export ' Import Restrictions ' Biodiesel Policy 71
4.2.3 Expected Allegations on the US Government under the WTO Agreements 71
4.2.4 The US and Brazil Conflict ' Impact on the Bioethanol Market 71
4.3 The European Union Conflict Related to Biodiesel Trade with the US and Tropical Countries 78
4.3.1 The US Policy Affecting the EU Domestic Market 78
4.3.2 European Union's Anti-Dumping and Anti-Subsidy Policies 78
4.3.3 WTO Allegations Expected Against the US Government 78
4.3.4 The EU's Renewable Energy Directive 80



4.3.5 WTO Allegations Expected Against the EU 80
4.3.6 The EU Conflicts ' Impact on the Biodiesel Market 81
5 Appendix 86
5.1 Abbreviations 86
5.2 WTO Agreements 87
5.2.1 Subsidies and Countervailing Measures (SCM) 87
5.2.2 General Agreements on Trade and Tariffs 88
5.2.3 Trade Related Investment Measures 89
5.2.4 Government Procurement Agreement 89
5.2.5 People's Republic of China ' Protocol of Accession to the WTO 90
5.3 GlobalData's Methodology 91
5.4 Coverage 91
5.5 Secondary Research 91
5.6 Primary Research 92
5.7 Expert Panel Validation 92
5.8 Contact Us 92
5.9 Disclaimer 92

1.1 List of Tables
Table 1: Renewable Power Market, Global, Installed Capacity (MW), 2000 ' 2020 7
Table 2: Renewable Energy Market, Global, Green Stimulus Packages By Major Countries, Amount ($bn) and total % Share Of Total
Stimulus, 2009 10
Table 3: Renewable Energy Market, China and the US, Annual Wind Power Installations ( MW ),
2001 ' 2010 18
Table 4: Renewable Energy Market, China, Sector-wise Clean-Energy Investments ($bn), 2005 - 2009 19
Table 5: Renewable Energy Market, China, Share of Major Domestic and Foreign WTG Players in Annual Wind Installed Capacity
(%), 2003 ' 2009 20
Table 6: Renewable Energy Market, China, Share of Key Domestic and Foreign WTG players in Annual Wind Installed Capacity (%),
2007'2009 21
Table 7: Renewable Energy Market, Ontario, Local Content Requirement Based on Project Capacity (%), 2010-2011 25
Table 8: Renewable Energy Market, Ontario, Domestic Content Requirement and Milestone Year for Commercial Start up Under FIT
Program, 2010 26
Table 9: Renewable Energy Market, Ontario, Minimum Local Content Requirement under micro FIT Program, 2010 27
Table 10: Renewable Energy Market, Ontario, Feed in Tariff Contracts Awarded (MW), as of
April 8, 2010 30
Table 11: Renewable Energy Market, Ontario, FIT and microFIT Programs, Sum of Applications (MW), as of November 22, 2010 31
Table 12: Renewable Energy Market, Canada, Cumulative Wind Installed Capacity, Share of Key Provinces (%), as of October, 2010
32
Table 13: Renewable Energy Market, Ontario, Wind Energy Deals, Deal Value ($m) and Number of Deals, 2009 ' 2010 33
Table 14: Wind Energy Market, Ontario, Deal Types, Deal Value ($m), 2009 - 2010 34
Table 15: Wind Energy Market, Ontario, FIT and microFIT Programs, Sum of Applications for Wind Plants (MW), as of 22nd
November, 2010 35
Table 16: Solar Energy Market, Ontario, Solar PV Deals, Value ($m) and Number of Deals, 2009 - 2010 37
Table 17: Solar Energy Market, Ontario, Solar PV Deal Types, Deal Value ($m), 2009 - 2010 38
Table 18: Solar Energy Market, Ontario, Solar PV Expected Market Scenario (MW), 2010 - 2015 40
Table 19: Solar Energy Market, Ontario, FIT and microFIT Programs, Sum of Applications for Solar PV Parks (MW), as of November
22, 2010 41
Table 20: Solar Energy Market, Module Manufacturers, Ontario, Recently Announced Production Plans (MW), 2010 42



Table 21: Solar Energy Market, Ontario, Inverter Manufacturers, Recently Announced Production Plans (MW), 2010 42
Table 22: Renewable Energy Market, Ontario, Asset Finance Investments ($m), 2010 43
Table 23: Solar PV Industry, Ontario, Employment Generated, Number of Persons, 2010 - 2015 44
Table 24: National Solar Mission, India, Phase Wise Targets, 2010 48
Table 25: Solar PV Market, Deals, Deal Value ($m) and Number of Deals, 2008-2010 51
Table 26: Solar PV Market, India, Deal Types, Deal Value ($m), 2009 ' 2010 52
Table 27: CSP Market, India, Annual Installations (MW), 2009 ' 2015 53
Table 28: Solar PV Market, India, Annual Installations (MW), 2009 ' 2015 54
Table 29: Solar PV Market, India, Major Solar Cell Manufacturers, Announced Capacity Additions (MW), 2010 and 2012 55
Table 30: Solar PV Market, India, Major Solar Module Manufacturers, Announced Capacity Additions (MW), 2010 and 2012 56
Table 31: Solar Market, India, Asset Finance Investments ($m), 2008 ' 2010 57
Table 32: Rare Earth Metals, Global Reserves and Production by Country (%), 2009 62
Table 33: Rare Earth Metals, The US, Imports, 2005-2008 63
Table 34: Domestic and Foreign Rare Earth Metals Market, China, Annual Production (Metric Tons), 2009-2010 64
Table 35: Rare Earth Metals, China, Prices ($/kg), 2009 ' 2010 65
Table 36: E10 Retail Comparison, The US, April 2010 72
Table 37: Bioethanol Market, The US, Production (Million Liters), 2002 ' 2009 73
Table 38: Bioethanol Market, The US, Global and Brazilian Imports (Million Liters), 2005 ' 2010 74
Table 39: Bioethanol Market, Brazil, Production (Million Liters), 2002 ' 2009 75
Table 40: Bioethanol Market, The US, Exports to Brazil (Million Liters), 2005'2009 76
Table 41: Bioethanol Market, The US, Exports to Brazil (Million Liters), 2009'2010 77
Table 42: Biodiesel Market, The European Union, Exports from the US, Singapore and Canada
(Million Liters), 2006 ' 2009 79
Table 43: Biodiesel Market, The European Union, Consumption and Production (Million Liters), 2002 ' 2009 81
Table 44: Biodiesel Market, The European Union, Imports, Exports and the Balance of Trade
(Million Liters), 2002'2009 82
Table 45: Biodiesel Market, European Union, Production and US Imports (Million Liters), 2002 ' 2009 83
Table 46: Biodiesel Market, European Union, Imports from Tropical Countries and Production
Table 47: Biodiesel Market, European Union, Imports from Tropical Countries (Million Liters), 2009 85
Table 48: Abbreviations 86

1.2 List of Figures
Figure 1: Renewable Power Market, Global, Installed Capacity (MW), 2000 ' 2020 6
Figure 2: Renewable Power Market, Global, Installed Capacity in MW Spilt by Technology (%), 2009 7
Figure 3: Renewable Energy Market, Global, Green Stimulus Packages By Major Countries, Amount ($bn) and total % Share Of Total
Stimulus, 2009 9
Figure 4: Renewable Energy Market, China and the US, Annual Wind Power Installations (MW ),
2001 ' 2010 17
Figure 5: Renewable Energy Market, China, Sector-wise Clean-Energy Investments ($bn), 2005 ' 2009 19
Figure 6: Renewable Energy Market, China, Share of Major Domestic and Foreign WTG Players in Annual Wind Installed Capacity
(%), 2003 ' 2009 20
Figure 7: Renewable Energy Market, China, Share of Key Domestic and Foreign WTG players in Annual Wind Installed Capacity (%),
2007'2009 21
Figure 8: Renewable Energy Market, China, Business Models for Foreign Wind Firms, 2010 22
Figure 9: Renewable Energy Market, Ontario, Feed in Tariff Contracts Awarded (MW), as of
April 8, 2010 29
Figure 10: Renewable Energy Market, Ontario, FIT and microFIT Programs, Sum of Applications (MW), as of November 22, 2010 31



Figure 11: Renewable Energy Market, Canada, Cumulative Wind Installed Capacity, Share of Key Provinces (%), as of October, 2010
32
Figure 12: Renewable Energy Sector, Ontario, Wind Energy Deals, Deal Value ($m) and Number of Deals, 2009 ' 2010 33
Figure 13: Wind Energy Market, Ontario, Deal Types, Deal Value ($m), 2009 - 2010 34
Figure 14: Wind Energy Market, Ontario, FIT and microFIT Programs, Sum of Applications for Wind Plants (MW), as of 22nd
November, 2010 35
Figure 15: Solar Energy Market, Ontario, Solar PV Deals, Value ($m) and Number of Deals, 2009 - 2010 37
Figure 16: Solar Energy Market, Ontario, Solar PV Deal Types, Deal Value ($m), 2009 - 2010 38
Figure 17: Solar Energy Market, Ontario, PV Module Supply and Demand, Expected Scenario (MW), 2010 - 2015 39
Figure 18: Solar Energy Market, Ontario, Solar PV Expected Market Scenario (MW), 2010 - 2015 40
Figure 19: Solar Energy Market, Ontario, FIT and microFIT Programs, Sum of Applications for Solar PV Parks (MW), as of November
22, 2010 41
Figure 20: Renewable Energy Market, Ontario, Asset Finance Investments ($m), 2010 43
Figure 21: Solar PV Market, Ontario, Employment Generated, Number of Persons, 2010 - 2015 44
Figure 22: Renewable Energy Market, Ontario, Transmission Expansion Lines, 2010 45
Figure 23: Solar PV Market, India, Deals, Deal Value ($m) and Number of Deals, 2008-2010 50
Figure 24: Solar PV Market, India, Deal Types, Deal Value ($m), 2009 ' 2010 51
Figure 25: CSP Market, India, Annual Installations (MW), 2009 ' 2015 53
Figure 26: Solar PV Market, India, Annual Installations (MW), 2009 ' 2015 54
Figure 27: Solar PV Market, India, Major Solar Cell Manufacturers, Announced Capacity Additions (MW), 2010 and 2012 55
Figure 28: Solar PV Market, India, Major Solar Module Manufacturers, Announced Capacity Additions (MW), 2010 and 2012 56
Figure 29: Solar Market, India, Asset Finance Investments ($m), 2008 ' 2010 57
Figure 30: Rare Earth Metals, Global Reserves and Production by Country (%), 2009 62
Figure 31: Rare Earth Metals ,The US, Imports by Country (%), 2005 ' 2008 63
Figure 32: Rare Earth Metals Market, Domestic and Foreign, China, Annual Production (Metric Tons), 2009-2010 64
Figure 33: Rare Earth Metals, China, Prices ($/kg), 2009 ' 2010 65
Figure 35: Rare Earth Metals, Yttrium, Supply Scenario 66
Figure 36: Rare Earth Metals, Neodymium, Supply Scenario 67
Figure 37: Rare Earth Metals, Europium, Supply Scenario 68
Figure 38: Rare Earth Metals, Terbium, Supply Scenario 69
Figure 39: Rare Earth Metals, Dysprosium, Supply Scenario 70
Figure 34: Bioethanol Market, The US, Production (Million Liters), 2002 ' 2009 73
Figure 35: Bioethanol Market, The US, Global and Brazilian Imports (Million Liters), 2005 ' 2010 74
Figure 36: Bioethanol Market, Brazil, Production (Million Liters), 2002 ' 2009 75
Figure 37: Bioethanol Market, The US, Exports to Brazil (Million Liters), 2005'2009 76
Figure 38: Bioethanol Market, The US, Exports to Brazil (Million Liters), 2009'2010 77
Figure 39: Biodiesel Market, The European Union, Exports from the US, Singapore and Canada
Figure 40: Biodiesel Market, The European Union, Consumption and Production (Million Liters),
2002 ' 2009 81
Figure 41: Biodiesel Market, The European Union, Imports, Exports and the Balance of Trade
(Million Liters), 2002'2009 82
Figure 42: Biodiesel Market, European Union, Production and US Imports (Million Liters), 2002 ' 2009 83
Figure 43: Biodiesel Market, European Union, Imports from Tropical Countries and Production
Figure 44: Biodiesel Market, European Union, Imports from Tropical Countries (Million Liters), 2009 85

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