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Don’t give up on cancer

       January 2012

      Richard M. Stein
Highlights – 5 points to remember
1.   Cancer remains a major problem in the United States.
       The problem is worse in the African American community.

2.   Many cancers can be prevented or treated.
       Knowing the facts—education—is important.
       Eliminating high risk behavior matters.
       Early access for screening, detection and treatment matters.

3.   Right now, not enough is being done.
        Budget reductions are cutting money for research, screening
        programs and more…

4.   This year, the President’s Cancer Panel addressed racial disparities
     for the first time.
         The Annual Report is a call to act, now.

5.   Greater Philadelphia is a great place to start.
        The region is rich in appropriate resources to make a difference.
        NOW is the time to begin. Philadelphia should lead the way.    2
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                                     3
Summary
Cancer remains a major problem in the United States.
  It is a health tragedy and a financial nightmare.
MORE needs to be done to improve outcomes & survival.
  More money for research and cancer control programs.
  More outreach and greater education efforts to prevent some
  cancers while detecting and treating others sooner.
  More comprehensive cancer screening programs for at risk
  communities and populations.
Surprisingly, right now, LESS is being done.
   Budget reductions are cutting money for research, screening
   programs, insurance coverage and more…
   These “savings” today will raise public and personal costs in the
   future…

NOW is the time to act. NOW is the time to get involved.
  Inaction will make things worse.
  Doing nothing will result in more cancer cases, more deaths,
  and economic hardship for families, communities & the public.    4
In August 2009, I produced a report for the Economist Intelligence Unit on
the global burden of cancer, with co-authors from the Harvard School of
Public Health.

•   The project was sponsored by LIVESTRONG (The Lance Armstrong
    Foundation).
      • It was released at LIVESTRONG’s first Global Cancer Summit, in Dublin,
        Ireland.

•   The project estimated:
      • The number of new cancer cases (incidence) in 2009 and 2020.
      • The costs (medical, non-medical and lost productivity) associated with those
        new cases—the global economic burden of cancer—for 2009.

•   It included important “firsts”:
      • Estimates of the cost of applying the most “effective” cancer treatments on a
        worldwide scale—a global treatment expenditure standard.
      • Estimates of the spending “gap” between present day spending and what it
        would cost to achieve the global treatment expenditure standard.




    http://www.livestrong.org/What-We-Do/Our-Actions/Programs-Partnerships/LIVESTRONG-Summit
    http://www.eiu.com/LAF                                                                     5
The project represented a major contribution to the global public health
community…




                              LIVESTRONG Global Cancer Summit;
                              Press conference; August 24, 2009.
                              http://www.livestrong.com/lance-armstrong/blog/summit-press-
                              briefing/


…raising awareness and focusing attention on the rapidly growing tidal
  wave of cancers and their impact in the developing world…
                                                                                             6
The global burden of cancer—some facts:
Cancer is the second leading cause of death and
disability in the world.
More people die from cancer every year around the world,
than from AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria, combined.
Cancer deaths occur with 6 time the frequency of traffic
fatalities and 42 times the frequency of deaths from war.
More than 50% of new cancer cases and two-thirds of
cancer deaths occur in the developing world.
The overall risk of developing cancer during your
lifetime is rising—from 1:3 to 1:2.
Cancer is not just a health tragedy. It is a financial and
economic nightmare for individuals and communities…
                                                             7
Big Numbers—cancer costs real money
Total costs* of new cancer cases worldwide, 2009



                                                     Europe
                                                    Europe
                                                    US$ 83bn
                                                  US$ 8,742m                      Asia
                                                                             Asia US$1,928m
                                                                                US$44bn
        Americas
       Americas
        US$154bn
      US$17,221m                               Africa US$76m
                                                    Africa                          Oceania
                                                  US$849m                           US$461m
                                                                                     Oceania
                                                                                      US$4bn




           Global economic burden of cancer in 2009= US$286bn
*Includes medical costs, non-medical costs and lost income (productivity).                     8
The project attracted a lot of attention and helped focus resources for
tackling cancer in the most impoverished countries around the world…

                                  “…5% of global resources for cancer are
                                  spent in the developing world…” (p.9)
                                   •   160,000+ search results (Google).

                                  “Breakaway: The global burden of cancer”
                                   •   906,000+ search results (Google).

                                  Cited in formation of Global Task Force on
                                  Expanded Access to Cancer Care and
                                  Control in Developing Countries (GTF.CCC)
                                   •   Expansion of cancer care and control in
                                       countries of low and middle income: a call to
                                       action (Lancet; August 2010;
                                       http://www.lancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736%2810%2961152-X/fulltext?version=printerFriendly   ).
                                   •   GTF.CCC (                  http://isites.harvard.edu/icb/icb.do?keyword=k69586&pageid=icb.page334798   )




                                                                                                                                                          9
That got me thinking…

What’s happening on the cancer front at home?...




...So I started to investigate…


                                                   10
What I discovered came as a surprise…




                                        11
Sadly, changes—and action—abroad do not equate to
 change at home
                                                                          Change in US Death Rates*, 1991 to 2006
 Cancer…
          Remains the second leading cause of
          death in the United States.
          Accounts for nearly one-fourth of US
          deaths annually.
          Deaths increase each year, as the
          population ages.
          Number of US Cancer Deaths, 1930-2006                400                     Rate Per 100,000
300,000
                                         Men                           313.0
                                                               300
250,000

                                                       Women
200,000                                                                                                                          215.1
                                                                               200.2
                                                               200                                                                       180.7
150,000
                                                                               Down
                                                                                                    Down
                                                                               36%                                       Down
100,000                                                        100                                  31%                                  Down
                                                                                            63.3
                                                                                                                         49%
                                                                                                                                         16%
                                                                                                     43.6        34.8
 50,000                                                                                                                   17.8
                                                                 0
     0                                                                Heart diseases     Cerebrovascular         Influenza &       Cancer
      1930   1940   1950   1960   1970   1980   1990    2000                                diseases             pneumonia

                                                                     *Age adjusted to 2000 US standard population.

  Sources: US Mortality Data, National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2009.                       12
The war on cancer began forty years ago, when President
     Richard Nixon signed into law the National Cancer Act…
                                                                                                                                                      President Nixon signing
     After adjusting for the size and age of the                                                                                                      the National Cancer Act,
                                                                                                                                                      December 23, 1971.
     population, deaths from heart disease and
     stroke*, have dropped significantly since
     the 1950s…                                                                          …while cancer death rates
                                                                                         remain singularly stubborn.

                                                                                         US Cancer Death Rates* by Sex,
                                                                                         1975-2005
                                                                              300           Rate Per 100,000                      Men

                                                                              250
                                                                                                                                Both Sexes
                                                                              200


                                                                              150                                               Women


                                                                              100


                                                                               50


                                                                                 0
                                                                                  1975      1978      1981     1984      1987      1990     1993   1996   1999      2002         2005

13                          *Age adjusted to 2000 US standard population.
                            Sources: US Mortality Data, National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2009.
Since the National Cancer Act became law (1971), the
 federal government has spent over $105bn on the effort…
But…
 Cancer remains the second leading cause of death in the United States.

 Cancer causes as many deaths each year as the next five causes of death
 combined:
                                                                               US Mortality, 2007
       Rank   Cause of Death               No. of Deaths                       % of all deaths
        1.    Heart Diseases                616,067                                25.4
       2.     Cancer             562,875                                23.2
       3.     Cerebrovascular diseases 135,952                                        5.6
       4.     Chronic lower respiratory
                              diseases 127,924                                        5.3
       5.     Accidents/unintentional injuries      123,706                                     5.1   533,596   22.0%
       6.     Alzheimer disease              74,632                                   3.1
       7.     Diabetes mellitus              71,382                                   2.9

                            Source: US Mortality Data, National Center for Health Statistics,
                            Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2010.



 As it is around the world, cancer in the US is a financial and economic nightmare
 as well as a health tragedy:
              $143bn = cost* of new cancer cases in the United States, 2009

                       *Includes medical costs, non-medical costs and lost income (productivity).                       14
And it’s not getting better quickly…




                                       15
It’s worse for some groups than for others…
US Cancer Death Rates* by Race and Ethnicity, 2002-2006




                                                          16
…It’s particularly bad for African American men…
   US Cancer Death Rates* by Sex and Race, 1975-2006




        Cancer death rates are much higher for African American men than for white men.

        Death rates for African American women are worse than for white women.




                                                                                          17
Cancer Sites in Men for Which African American Death Rates*
Exceed White Death Rates*, 2002-2006




                                                              18
Cancer Sites in Women for Which African American Death Rates*
Exceed White Death Rates*, 2002-2006




                                                                19
New cancer rates (incidence) are also worse for African Americans—
especially men—than for other groups…
    US Cancer Incidence Rates* by Race and Ethnicity, 2001-2006
        Rate Per 100,000




                                                                     20
The outlook for new cancer cases (incidence) is not particularly
good—especially in African American men…
   US Cancer Incidence Rates* by Sex and Race, 1975-2006
         Rate Per 100,000




      According to the President’s Cancer Panel 2009-2010 Annual Report:

      Between 2010 and 2030, cancer incidence among minorities is expected to nearly double.

      By comparison, cancer incidence in non-Hispanic whites is expected to grow by 31 percent.




                                                                                                  21
If you are African American and contract cancer, that’s a problem…
                Cancer Survival*(%) by Race, 1999-2005




                                                                     22
A serious problem…
                             Cancer: 5-Year Relative Survival by Year of Diagnosis,
                                       Race and Sex (All Sites, All Ages)
                                African American men and women fare worse than white
                                men and women, even after diagnosis, year after year.


                                                                                          African American men
              Percent




                                                                                          African American women




                        30




                                                                         White men

Cancer sites include invasive cases only.                                African American men
5-year survival estimates calculated using monthly intervals.
Survival source: National Cancer Institute, Surveillance                 White women
Epidemiology and End Results (SEER).

                                                                         African American women
                                                                                                                 23
The bad news is that you have a large chance of developing cancer if you’re a man…
         Lifetime Probability of Developing Cancer (Men), 2004-2006*




                                                                       For men and women,
                                                                       the overall risk of
                                                                       developing cancer
                                                                       during one’s lifetime
                                                                       is increasing.




24
…or a woman…
     Lifetime Probability of Developing Cancer (Women), 2004-2006*




                                                        For men and women,
                                                        the overall risk of
                                                        developing cancer
                                                        during one’s lifetime
                                                        is increasing.




25
As bad as it seems, there is a
lot that can be done to fight
cancer…

Community and individual actions
matter…


                                   26
3 important cancer control actions:
 1. Prevention
    1. Detection
       1. Treatment


Half of the annual cancer deaths in the
United States are preventable (American
Cancer Society).

Several activities that you control, matter:
    Don’t smoke—tobacco control
    Eat right, lose weight and get active
    Follow cancer screening guidelines
                                               27
Each year, smoking causes about 443,000 premature deaths, including…
      …171,000 cancer deaths…
      … 49,000 deaths among nonsmokers (from secondhand smoke exposure)

                    Tobacco Use in the United States, 1900-2006




28
Tobacco use remains the single
largest preventable cause of
disease and premature death in
the United States…


                                 29
Tobacco use increases the risk of cancers of the:
 lung
  mouth
   nasal cavities
    larynx
      pharynx
       esophagus
        stomach
         colorectum
          liver
            pancreas
             kidney
              bladder
                cervix
                 ovary
                  myeloid leukemia…
                 …

                                                    30
Each year, smoking causes about 171,000 cancer deaths…

    Annual Number of US Cancer Deaths Attributable to Smoking, 2000-2004



             Male                                   Female




                                                                           31
…171,000 cancer deaths from smoking nationwide…

  Cigarette Smoking Among Adults (18+) in Southeastern Pennsylvania
                     (Percentage of adults by county who smoke every day or some days)




                                                                             17.1%

                                                               14.5%


                                                                                  27.3%
                                      15.7%
                                                          19.2%


           About 20,000 Pennsylvanians die each year, as a result of smoking.

           In Pennsylvania, smoking related health costs were estimated at $5.19bn in 2004.


   Source: 2008 Southeastern Pennsylvania Household Health Survey, Community Health Data Base, Public Health
   Management Corporation; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.                                         32
If you don’t smoke, you don’t have to quit…
                        Smokers and Quitters, 1985-2009


                                   AFRICAN
                                   AMERICAN




     In Philadelphia, among high school students who smoked cigarettes, 38% did not try to quit during
     the prior twelve months.

     Funding for tobacco prevention and cessation in Pennsylvania declined from $50.5 million (‘02-’03)
     to $14.7 million (‘10-’11)—nearly 71%.



    Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; 2009 Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System Survey Data;
    Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.
                                                                                                                    33
Each year, poor nutrition, obesity and physical inactivity cause
about 188,000 cancer deaths…
…Obesity is worse for African Americans than for other groups

    Obesity in US Adolescents (12-19 years), by Gender, Race/Ethnicityt 1976-2008




                                                                                    34
…188,000 cancer deaths from poor nutrition, obesity and physical inactivity
nationwide…

Philadelphia: Children (6-17 years) who are Overweight* or Obese* (%), 2008




         Citywide average (6-17 years) = 46.9%




     *BMI>=85th percentile for age and gender.
     Source: 2008 Southeastern Pennsylvania Household Health Survey, Community Health Data Base, Public Health Management
     Corporation; Giridhar Mallya, MD, MSHP; Philadelphia Department of Public Health.
                                                                                                                            35
Each year, poor nutrition, obesity and physical inactivity cause
about 188,000 cancer deaths…
…It’s no better for African Americans adults…

     Obesity* in US Adults (20-74 years), by Gender, Race/Ethnicityt, 1976-2008




                                                                                  36
Poor nutrition is also about access…

Food deserts are areas that lack access to affordable…foods that
make up the full range of a healthy diet.*

                                                  Philadelphia has the second lowest number of
                                                  supermarkets in the United States, per capita.

                                                  In this map of Philadelphia, blue areas represent
                                                  areas of greatest need, with low supermarket
                                                  sales, low income, and high rates of death due to
                                                  diet-related diseases.

                                                  Orange dots represent stores that have been
                                                  opened under the Pennsylvania Fresh Food
                                                  Financing Initiative (PFFFI).

                                                  Yellow dots represent stores financed by the
                                                  PFFFI program and under construction at the time
                                                  of mapping.


                                                Source: Access to Affordable and Nutritious Food—Measuring and
                                                Understanding Food Deserts and Their Consequences: Report to Congress;
                                                US Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service; June 2009
                                                (http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/ap/ap036/)
                                                Figure provided courtesy of Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and The Food
                                                Trust (http://www.rwjf.org/files/newsroom/profiles/foodtrust/)




  *Centers for Disease Control and Prevention                                                                       37
Food deserts are not only short on the right resources…
                      …They are often full of the wrong resources…
                 Too few supermarkets (healthy choices) = poor food selection = overweight and obesity


                                                                                               Philadelphia: Children (6-17 years) who are
                   Philadelphia’s food desert
                                                                                               Overweight* or Obese* (%), 2008

                                                                                                         Citywide average – 46.9%

                                                                           Blue areas
                                                                           represent
                                                                           areas of
                                                                           greatest
                                                                           need, with
                                                                           low
                                                                           supermarket
                                                                           sales, low
                                                                           income, and
                                                                           high rates of
                                                                           death due to
                                                                           diet-related
                                                                           diseases.




 Source: Access to Affordable and Nutritious Food—Measuring and
 Understanding Food Deserts and Their Consequences: Report to Congress;                    *BMI>=85th percentile for age and gender.
 US Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service; June 2009                        Source: 2008 Southeastern Pennsylvania Household Health Survey, Community Health Data
 (http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/ap/ap036/)                                          Base, Public Health Management Corporation; Giridhar Mallya, MD, MSHP; Philadelphia
 Figure provided courtesy of Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and The Food                   Department of Public Health; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2009 Youth Risk
 Trust (http://www.rwjf.org/files/newsroom/profiles/foodtrust/)                            Behavior Surveillance System Survey Data.
                                                                                                                                                                                     38
…And the wrong resources lead to poor choices…

                                                                                              …and poor outcomes…
Since 2000, 24,000 Philadelphians have died of diseases caused by poor diet and physical inactivity.

Nearly 25% of children and 30% of adults get one
or fewer servings of fruits and vegetables per day.
                                                                                                  Philadelphia: Children (6-17 years) who
                                                                                                  are Overweight* or Obese* (%), 2008
Over 80% of high school students report getting less
than 100% of the recommended daily servings of
fruit and vegetables.

Nearly 25% of adults consume fast food/take-out
at least 3 times per week.

30% of African American adults consume fast food/
take-out at least 3 times per week.

1 in 3 high school students drink soda daily.

School children buy, on average, 360 nutrient-poor
calories from corner stores for just over $1 per visit:
    —Chips, candy and sugar sweetened beverages.                                          Citywide average – 46.9%




                 *BMI>=85th percentile for age and gender.
                 Source: 2008 Southeastern Pennsylvania Household Health Survey, Community Health Data Base, Public Health Management Corporation;
                 Giridhar Mallya, MD, MSHP; Philadelphia Department of Public Health;
                 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2009 Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System Survey Data.
                                                                                                                                                     39
Poor choices…poor outcomes…188,000 cancer deaths in the United
States from poor nutrition, obesity and physical inactivity every year…

 In Philadelphia, one-fourth of children do not get 30 minutes of
 sustained physical activity even once a week.

 Nearly half of the adults report exercising less than 3 times per
 week.

 Over half of Philadelphians report that they never use City parks
 or recreation facilities.

 Over half of the high school students report watching television 3
 or more hours per day.

 Over one-third of high school students report playing video games
 or using computers for other than school work at least 3 hours per
 day.

 Source: 2008 Southeastern Pennsylvania Household Health Survey, Community Health Data Base, Public Health Management
 Corporation; Giridhar Mallya, MD, MSHP; Philadelphia Department of Public Health;
 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2009 Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System Survey Data.
                                                                                                                        40
A lot can be done to fight cancer…
    …What you do matters…
         Don’t smoke—tobacco control
    …Where you live matters, too…
                                          =
         School children buy, on average, 360 nutrient-poor calories from corner stores
         for just over $1 per visit: chips, candy and sugar sweetened beverages.

         Detection
            Follow cancer screening guidelines
         Treatment

…Detection and treatment are both easier with health
  insurance coverage…                                                                     41
…where you live matters, too…
                Percentage of Adults (18-64) Without Health Insurance,
                           Southeastern Pennsylvania

In Philadelphia, 16% of adults are without
public or private health insurance.

In Bucks and Delaware Counties, more
than 7% of adults are without health
insurance.

In Chester County, 6% of adults
have no health insurance.

In Montgomery County,
about 5% of adults have
no health insurance.




    Source: 2008 Southeastern Pennsylvania Household Health Survey, Community Health Data Base, Public Health
    Management Corporation                                                                                      42
…where you live matters, too…
            Percentage of Adults (18-64) Without Health Insurance
In Philadelphia, 16% of adults are without
public or private health insurance.




                                                                                         In Upper North Philadelphia, more
                                                                                         than one quarter (26%) of adults have
                                                                                         no health insurance.
                                                                                         In South Philadelphia, 21% of adults
                                                                                         have no health insurance.




  Source: 2008 Southeastern Pennsylvania Household Health Survey, Community Health Data Base, Public Health Management
  Corporation                                                                                                              43
…where you live matters, too…

Breast cancer: In Pennsylvania, the rate of mammography and/or
clinical breast exam is nearly 50% lower among women 40 and older
with no usual source of medical care and/or no health insurance.
Nationwide, it is also 50% lower.


Cervical cancer: In Pennsylvania, the rate of Pap test is nearly one-
third lower among women 40 and older with no usual source of
medical care and/or no health insurance. Nationwide, it is nearly one-
quarter lower than in Pennsylvania.


Colorectal cancer: In Pennsylvania, the rate of endoscopy is nearly
50% lower among adults 50 and older with no usual source of medical
care and/or no health insurance. Nationwide, it is nearly 75% lower
than in Pennsylvania.

 Source: Cancer Prevention & Early Detection Facts & Figures 2010; American Cancer Society.

                                                                                              44
Conclusion: Key Takeaways
Cancer is a worldwide problem.
  The growing tidal wave of new cancer cases (and their
  impact) has attracted attention from the global public
  health community.
Cancer remains a big problem in the United States.
  It is worse for the African American community than
  almost every other ethnic group.
Individuals Individuals can do a lot to prevent
cancer and reduce cancer risk...BUT…
   …there remains a large need for public—
   government and community group—intervention:
         —$$$
         —Policy / law
         —Education
                         NOW is the time to act!!!      45
These people have declared war on
    cancer around the world…
Paul Farmer, MD; Founding Director, Partners in Health; Harvard Medical School
Julio Frenk, MD; Dean, Harvard School of Public Health
Felicia M. Knaul, PhD; Director, Harvard Global Equity Initiative
Lawrence N. Schulman, MD; Chief Medical Officer and Senior Vice President, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute
Sir George Alleyne, MD; Director Emeritus, Pan American Health Organization
Lance Armstrong; 7-time champion, Tour de France; Founder and Chairman, LIVESTRONG / Lance Armstrong Foundation
Prof. Rifat Atun; Director, Strategy, Performance & Evaluation, Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria
Douglas Blayney, MD; Medical Director, Stanford Cancer Center; Immediate Past President, American Society of Clinical
Oncology
Lincoln Chen, MD; President, China Medical Board
Prof. Sir Richard Feachem; Executive Director, UCSF Global Health Sciences; Professor of Global Health, University of
California, San Francisco and University of California, Berkeley
Mary Gospodarowicz, MD; Professor, University of Toronto, Princess Margaret Hospital; President-elect, Union for
International Cancer Control (UICC)
Julie Gralow, MD; Seattle Cancer Care Alliance; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, University of Washington
Sanjay Gupta, MD; Chief Medical Correspondent, CNN
Ana Langer, MD; Coordinator of the Dean’s Special Initiative in Women and Health, Harvard School of Public Health
Julian Lob-levyt, MD; Chief Executive Officer, Global Alliance for Vaccine and Immunization (GAVI)
Claire Neale, MPH; Senior Director for Mission, LIVESTRONG / Lance Armstrong Foundation
Anthony Mbewu, MD; former Executive Director, Global Forum for Health Research; past President, Medical Research
Council of South Africa
HRH Princess Dina Mired; Director General, King Hussein Cancer Foundation; Honorary Co-President, Harvard Global Task
Force for Expanded Access to Cancer Control and Care in the Developing World
Peter Piot, MD; Director, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine; founding Executive Director, UNAIDS
K. Srinath Reddy, MD; President, Public Health Foundation of India
Prof. Jeffrey Sachs, PhD; Director, Earth Institute, Columbia University
Mahmoud Sarhan, MD; Chief Executive Officer and Director General, King Hussein Cancer Center                            46
John R. Seffrin, PhD; Chief Executive Officer, American Cancer Society
…Focus on tackling cancer in the most impoverished countries
around the world…              “…5% of global resources for cancer are spent in the developing
                                            world…” (p.9)
                                             •    160,000+ search results (Google).


                                            “Breakaway: The global burden of cancer”
                                             •    906,000+ search results (Google).


                                            Global Task Force on Expanded Access to Cancer Care and
                                            Control in Developing Countries (GTF.CCC)
                                             •    Expansion of cancer care and control in countries of low and middle
                                                  income: a call to action (Lancet; August 2010).
                                             •    GTF.CCC



                                                 …While at home…
                                            The American Lung Association gave
                                             Pennsylvania an “F” for tobacco prevention
                                             control and for cessation efforts in 2010.

                                            The Pennsylvania Auditor General reports that $1.34 billion was
                                             diverted from uses originally intended by the Tobacco
                                             Settlement Act of 2001.
                                             •    More than 41,000 residents lost state-subsidized health insurance
                                                  coverage, as a result.


                                            “racial disparities in cancer outcomes”
                                             •    220,000 search results (Google).

                                       47
What are we going to
do about it at home?
Don’t give up on cancer
      Richard M. Stein
up on cancer
Don’t give



                       n
         chard M. Stei
    Ri




                            50

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Don’t Give Up On Cancer-Jan 2012 A

  • 1. Don’t give up on cancer January 2012 Richard M. Stein
  • 2. Highlights – 5 points to remember 1. Cancer remains a major problem in the United States. The problem is worse in the African American community. 2. Many cancers can be prevented or treated. Knowing the facts—education—is important. Eliminating high risk behavior matters. Early access for screening, detection and treatment matters. 3. Right now, not enough is being done. Budget reductions are cutting money for research, screening programs and more… 4. This year, the President’s Cancer Panel addressed racial disparities for the first time. The Annual Report is a call to act, now. 5. Greater Philadelphia is a great place to start. The region is rich in appropriate resources to make a difference. NOW is the time to begin. Philadelphia should lead the way. 2
  • 3. t o r y ab out me. This is a s A nd m e. Us. It need s you. ed to do Togeth er, we ne s w ers . find an some thing to 3
  • 4. Summary Cancer remains a major problem in the United States. It is a health tragedy and a financial nightmare. MORE needs to be done to improve outcomes & survival. More money for research and cancer control programs. More outreach and greater education efforts to prevent some cancers while detecting and treating others sooner. More comprehensive cancer screening programs for at risk communities and populations. Surprisingly, right now, LESS is being done. Budget reductions are cutting money for research, screening programs, insurance coverage and more… These “savings” today will raise public and personal costs in the future… NOW is the time to act. NOW is the time to get involved. Inaction will make things worse. Doing nothing will result in more cancer cases, more deaths, and economic hardship for families, communities & the public. 4
  • 5. In August 2009, I produced a report for the Economist Intelligence Unit on the global burden of cancer, with co-authors from the Harvard School of Public Health. • The project was sponsored by LIVESTRONG (The Lance Armstrong Foundation). • It was released at LIVESTRONG’s first Global Cancer Summit, in Dublin, Ireland. • The project estimated: • The number of new cancer cases (incidence) in 2009 and 2020. • The costs (medical, non-medical and lost productivity) associated with those new cases—the global economic burden of cancer—for 2009. • It included important “firsts”: • Estimates of the cost of applying the most “effective” cancer treatments on a worldwide scale—a global treatment expenditure standard. • Estimates of the spending “gap” between present day spending and what it would cost to achieve the global treatment expenditure standard. http://www.livestrong.org/What-We-Do/Our-Actions/Programs-Partnerships/LIVESTRONG-Summit http://www.eiu.com/LAF 5
  • 6. The project represented a major contribution to the global public health community… LIVESTRONG Global Cancer Summit; Press conference; August 24, 2009. http://www.livestrong.com/lance-armstrong/blog/summit-press- briefing/ …raising awareness and focusing attention on the rapidly growing tidal wave of cancers and their impact in the developing world… 6
  • 7. The global burden of cancer—some facts: Cancer is the second leading cause of death and disability in the world. More people die from cancer every year around the world, than from AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria, combined. Cancer deaths occur with 6 time the frequency of traffic fatalities and 42 times the frequency of deaths from war. More than 50% of new cancer cases and two-thirds of cancer deaths occur in the developing world. The overall risk of developing cancer during your lifetime is rising—from 1:3 to 1:2. Cancer is not just a health tragedy. It is a financial and economic nightmare for individuals and communities… 7
  • 8. Big Numbers—cancer costs real money Total costs* of new cancer cases worldwide, 2009 Europe Europe US$ 83bn US$ 8,742m Asia Asia US$1,928m US$44bn Americas Americas US$154bn US$17,221m Africa US$76m Africa Oceania US$849m US$461m Oceania US$4bn Global economic burden of cancer in 2009= US$286bn *Includes medical costs, non-medical costs and lost income (productivity). 8
  • 9. The project attracted a lot of attention and helped focus resources for tackling cancer in the most impoverished countries around the world… “…5% of global resources for cancer are spent in the developing world…” (p.9) • 160,000+ search results (Google). “Breakaway: The global burden of cancer” • 906,000+ search results (Google). Cited in formation of Global Task Force on Expanded Access to Cancer Care and Control in Developing Countries (GTF.CCC) • Expansion of cancer care and control in countries of low and middle income: a call to action (Lancet; August 2010; http://www.lancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736%2810%2961152-X/fulltext?version=printerFriendly ). • GTF.CCC ( http://isites.harvard.edu/icb/icb.do?keyword=k69586&pageid=icb.page334798 ) 9
  • 10. That got me thinking… What’s happening on the cancer front at home?... ...So I started to investigate… 10
  • 11. What I discovered came as a surprise… 11
  • 12. Sadly, changes—and action—abroad do not equate to change at home Change in US Death Rates*, 1991 to 2006 Cancer… Remains the second leading cause of death in the United States. Accounts for nearly one-fourth of US deaths annually. Deaths increase each year, as the population ages. Number of US Cancer Deaths, 1930-2006 400 Rate Per 100,000 300,000 Men 313.0 300 250,000 Women 200,000 215.1 200.2 200 180.7 150,000 Down Down 36% Down 100,000 100 31% Down 63.3 49% 16% 43.6 34.8 50,000 17.8 0 0 Heart diseases Cerebrovascular Influenza & Cancer 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 diseases pneumonia *Age adjusted to 2000 US standard population. Sources: US Mortality Data, National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2009. 12
  • 13. The war on cancer began forty years ago, when President Richard Nixon signed into law the National Cancer Act… President Nixon signing After adjusting for the size and age of the the National Cancer Act, December 23, 1971. population, deaths from heart disease and stroke*, have dropped significantly since the 1950s… …while cancer death rates remain singularly stubborn. US Cancer Death Rates* by Sex, 1975-2005 300 Rate Per 100,000 Men 250 Both Sexes 200 150 Women 100 50 0 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 13 *Age adjusted to 2000 US standard population. Sources: US Mortality Data, National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2009.
  • 14. Since the National Cancer Act became law (1971), the federal government has spent over $105bn on the effort… But… Cancer remains the second leading cause of death in the United States. Cancer causes as many deaths each year as the next five causes of death combined: US Mortality, 2007 Rank Cause of Death No. of Deaths % of all deaths 1. Heart Diseases 616,067 25.4 2. Cancer 562,875 23.2 3. Cerebrovascular diseases 135,952 5.6 4. Chronic lower respiratory diseases 127,924 5.3 5. Accidents/unintentional injuries 123,706 5.1 533,596 22.0% 6. Alzheimer disease 74,632 3.1 7. Diabetes mellitus 71,382 2.9 Source: US Mortality Data, National Center for Health Statistics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 2010. As it is around the world, cancer in the US is a financial and economic nightmare as well as a health tragedy: $143bn = cost* of new cancer cases in the United States, 2009 *Includes medical costs, non-medical costs and lost income (productivity). 14
  • 15. And it’s not getting better quickly… 15
  • 16. It’s worse for some groups than for others… US Cancer Death Rates* by Race and Ethnicity, 2002-2006 16
  • 17. …It’s particularly bad for African American men… US Cancer Death Rates* by Sex and Race, 1975-2006 Cancer death rates are much higher for African American men than for white men. Death rates for African American women are worse than for white women. 17
  • 18. Cancer Sites in Men for Which African American Death Rates* Exceed White Death Rates*, 2002-2006 18
  • 19. Cancer Sites in Women for Which African American Death Rates* Exceed White Death Rates*, 2002-2006 19
  • 20. New cancer rates (incidence) are also worse for African Americans— especially men—than for other groups… US Cancer Incidence Rates* by Race and Ethnicity, 2001-2006 Rate Per 100,000 20
  • 21. The outlook for new cancer cases (incidence) is not particularly good—especially in African American men… US Cancer Incidence Rates* by Sex and Race, 1975-2006 Rate Per 100,000 According to the President’s Cancer Panel 2009-2010 Annual Report: Between 2010 and 2030, cancer incidence among minorities is expected to nearly double. By comparison, cancer incidence in non-Hispanic whites is expected to grow by 31 percent. 21
  • 22. If you are African American and contract cancer, that’s a problem… Cancer Survival*(%) by Race, 1999-2005 22
  • 23. A serious problem… Cancer: 5-Year Relative Survival by Year of Diagnosis, Race and Sex (All Sites, All Ages) African American men and women fare worse than white men and women, even after diagnosis, year after year. African American men Percent African American women 30 White men Cancer sites include invasive cases only. African American men 5-year survival estimates calculated using monthly intervals. Survival source: National Cancer Institute, Surveillance White women Epidemiology and End Results (SEER). African American women 23
  • 24. The bad news is that you have a large chance of developing cancer if you’re a man… Lifetime Probability of Developing Cancer (Men), 2004-2006* For men and women, the overall risk of developing cancer during one’s lifetime is increasing. 24
  • 25. …or a woman… Lifetime Probability of Developing Cancer (Women), 2004-2006* For men and women, the overall risk of developing cancer during one’s lifetime is increasing. 25
  • 26. As bad as it seems, there is a lot that can be done to fight cancer… Community and individual actions matter… 26
  • 27. 3 important cancer control actions: 1. Prevention 1. Detection 1. Treatment Half of the annual cancer deaths in the United States are preventable (American Cancer Society). Several activities that you control, matter: Don’t smoke—tobacco control Eat right, lose weight and get active Follow cancer screening guidelines 27
  • 28. Each year, smoking causes about 443,000 premature deaths, including… …171,000 cancer deaths… … 49,000 deaths among nonsmokers (from secondhand smoke exposure) Tobacco Use in the United States, 1900-2006 28
  • 29. Tobacco use remains the single largest preventable cause of disease and premature death in the United States… 29
  • 30. Tobacco use increases the risk of cancers of the: lung mouth nasal cavities larynx pharynx esophagus stomach colorectum liver pancreas kidney bladder cervix ovary myeloid leukemia… … 30
  • 31. Each year, smoking causes about 171,000 cancer deaths… Annual Number of US Cancer Deaths Attributable to Smoking, 2000-2004 Male Female 31
  • 32. …171,000 cancer deaths from smoking nationwide… Cigarette Smoking Among Adults (18+) in Southeastern Pennsylvania (Percentage of adults by county who smoke every day or some days) 17.1% 14.5% 27.3% 15.7% 19.2% About 20,000 Pennsylvanians die each year, as a result of smoking. In Pennsylvania, smoking related health costs were estimated at $5.19bn in 2004. Source: 2008 Southeastern Pennsylvania Household Health Survey, Community Health Data Base, Public Health Management Corporation; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 32
  • 33. If you don’t smoke, you don’t have to quit… Smokers and Quitters, 1985-2009 AFRICAN AMERICAN In Philadelphia, among high school students who smoked cigarettes, 38% did not try to quit during the prior twelve months. Funding for tobacco prevention and cessation in Pennsylvania declined from $50.5 million (‘02-’03) to $14.7 million (‘10-’11)—nearly 71%. Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; 2009 Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System Survey Data; Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. 33
  • 34. Each year, poor nutrition, obesity and physical inactivity cause about 188,000 cancer deaths… …Obesity is worse for African Americans than for other groups Obesity in US Adolescents (12-19 years), by Gender, Race/Ethnicityt 1976-2008 34
  • 35. …188,000 cancer deaths from poor nutrition, obesity and physical inactivity nationwide… Philadelphia: Children (6-17 years) who are Overweight* or Obese* (%), 2008 Citywide average (6-17 years) = 46.9% *BMI>=85th percentile for age and gender. Source: 2008 Southeastern Pennsylvania Household Health Survey, Community Health Data Base, Public Health Management Corporation; Giridhar Mallya, MD, MSHP; Philadelphia Department of Public Health. 35
  • 36. Each year, poor nutrition, obesity and physical inactivity cause about 188,000 cancer deaths… …It’s no better for African Americans adults… Obesity* in US Adults (20-74 years), by Gender, Race/Ethnicityt, 1976-2008 36
  • 37. Poor nutrition is also about access… Food deserts are areas that lack access to affordable…foods that make up the full range of a healthy diet.* Philadelphia has the second lowest number of supermarkets in the United States, per capita. In this map of Philadelphia, blue areas represent areas of greatest need, with low supermarket sales, low income, and high rates of death due to diet-related diseases. Orange dots represent stores that have been opened under the Pennsylvania Fresh Food Financing Initiative (PFFFI). Yellow dots represent stores financed by the PFFFI program and under construction at the time of mapping. Source: Access to Affordable and Nutritious Food—Measuring and Understanding Food Deserts and Their Consequences: Report to Congress; US Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service; June 2009 (http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/ap/ap036/) Figure provided courtesy of Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and The Food Trust (http://www.rwjf.org/files/newsroom/profiles/foodtrust/) *Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 37
  • 38. Food deserts are not only short on the right resources… …They are often full of the wrong resources… Too few supermarkets (healthy choices) = poor food selection = overweight and obesity Philadelphia: Children (6-17 years) who are Philadelphia’s food desert Overweight* or Obese* (%), 2008 Citywide average – 46.9% Blue areas represent areas of greatest need, with low supermarket sales, low income, and high rates of death due to diet-related diseases. Source: Access to Affordable and Nutritious Food—Measuring and Understanding Food Deserts and Their Consequences: Report to Congress; *BMI>=85th percentile for age and gender. US Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service; June 2009 Source: 2008 Southeastern Pennsylvania Household Health Survey, Community Health Data (http://www.ers.usda.gov/publications/ap/ap036/) Base, Public Health Management Corporation; Giridhar Mallya, MD, MSHP; Philadelphia Figure provided courtesy of Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and The Food Department of Public Health; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2009 Youth Risk Trust (http://www.rwjf.org/files/newsroom/profiles/foodtrust/) Behavior Surveillance System Survey Data. 38
  • 39. …And the wrong resources lead to poor choices… …and poor outcomes… Since 2000, 24,000 Philadelphians have died of diseases caused by poor diet and physical inactivity. Nearly 25% of children and 30% of adults get one or fewer servings of fruits and vegetables per day. Philadelphia: Children (6-17 years) who are Overweight* or Obese* (%), 2008 Over 80% of high school students report getting less than 100% of the recommended daily servings of fruit and vegetables. Nearly 25% of adults consume fast food/take-out at least 3 times per week. 30% of African American adults consume fast food/ take-out at least 3 times per week. 1 in 3 high school students drink soda daily. School children buy, on average, 360 nutrient-poor calories from corner stores for just over $1 per visit: —Chips, candy and sugar sweetened beverages. Citywide average – 46.9% *BMI>=85th percentile for age and gender. Source: 2008 Southeastern Pennsylvania Household Health Survey, Community Health Data Base, Public Health Management Corporation; Giridhar Mallya, MD, MSHP; Philadelphia Department of Public Health; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2009 Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System Survey Data. 39
  • 40. Poor choices…poor outcomes…188,000 cancer deaths in the United States from poor nutrition, obesity and physical inactivity every year… In Philadelphia, one-fourth of children do not get 30 minutes of sustained physical activity even once a week. Nearly half of the adults report exercising less than 3 times per week. Over half of Philadelphians report that they never use City parks or recreation facilities. Over half of the high school students report watching television 3 or more hours per day. Over one-third of high school students report playing video games or using computers for other than school work at least 3 hours per day. Source: 2008 Southeastern Pennsylvania Household Health Survey, Community Health Data Base, Public Health Management Corporation; Giridhar Mallya, MD, MSHP; Philadelphia Department of Public Health; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2009 Youth Risk Behavior Surveillance System Survey Data. 40
  • 41. A lot can be done to fight cancer… …What you do matters… Don’t smoke—tobacco control …Where you live matters, too… = School children buy, on average, 360 nutrient-poor calories from corner stores for just over $1 per visit: chips, candy and sugar sweetened beverages. Detection Follow cancer screening guidelines Treatment …Detection and treatment are both easier with health insurance coverage… 41
  • 42. …where you live matters, too… Percentage of Adults (18-64) Without Health Insurance, Southeastern Pennsylvania In Philadelphia, 16% of adults are without public or private health insurance. In Bucks and Delaware Counties, more than 7% of adults are without health insurance. In Chester County, 6% of adults have no health insurance. In Montgomery County, about 5% of adults have no health insurance. Source: 2008 Southeastern Pennsylvania Household Health Survey, Community Health Data Base, Public Health Management Corporation 42
  • 43. …where you live matters, too… Percentage of Adults (18-64) Without Health Insurance In Philadelphia, 16% of adults are without public or private health insurance. In Upper North Philadelphia, more than one quarter (26%) of adults have no health insurance. In South Philadelphia, 21% of adults have no health insurance. Source: 2008 Southeastern Pennsylvania Household Health Survey, Community Health Data Base, Public Health Management Corporation 43
  • 44. …where you live matters, too… Breast cancer: In Pennsylvania, the rate of mammography and/or clinical breast exam is nearly 50% lower among women 40 and older with no usual source of medical care and/or no health insurance. Nationwide, it is also 50% lower. Cervical cancer: In Pennsylvania, the rate of Pap test is nearly one- third lower among women 40 and older with no usual source of medical care and/or no health insurance. Nationwide, it is nearly one- quarter lower than in Pennsylvania. Colorectal cancer: In Pennsylvania, the rate of endoscopy is nearly 50% lower among adults 50 and older with no usual source of medical care and/or no health insurance. Nationwide, it is nearly 75% lower than in Pennsylvania. Source: Cancer Prevention & Early Detection Facts & Figures 2010; American Cancer Society. 44
  • 45. Conclusion: Key Takeaways Cancer is a worldwide problem. The growing tidal wave of new cancer cases (and their impact) has attracted attention from the global public health community. Cancer remains a big problem in the United States. It is worse for the African American community than almost every other ethnic group. Individuals Individuals can do a lot to prevent cancer and reduce cancer risk...BUT… …there remains a large need for public— government and community group—intervention: —$$$ —Policy / law —Education NOW is the time to act!!! 45
  • 46. These people have declared war on cancer around the world… Paul Farmer, MD; Founding Director, Partners in Health; Harvard Medical School Julio Frenk, MD; Dean, Harvard School of Public Health Felicia M. Knaul, PhD; Director, Harvard Global Equity Initiative Lawrence N. Schulman, MD; Chief Medical Officer and Senior Vice President, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute Sir George Alleyne, MD; Director Emeritus, Pan American Health Organization Lance Armstrong; 7-time champion, Tour de France; Founder and Chairman, LIVESTRONG / Lance Armstrong Foundation Prof. Rifat Atun; Director, Strategy, Performance & Evaluation, Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria Douglas Blayney, MD; Medical Director, Stanford Cancer Center; Immediate Past President, American Society of Clinical Oncology Lincoln Chen, MD; President, China Medical Board Prof. Sir Richard Feachem; Executive Director, UCSF Global Health Sciences; Professor of Global Health, University of California, San Francisco and University of California, Berkeley Mary Gospodarowicz, MD; Professor, University of Toronto, Princess Margaret Hospital; President-elect, Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) Julie Gralow, MD; Seattle Cancer Care Alliance; Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, University of Washington Sanjay Gupta, MD; Chief Medical Correspondent, CNN Ana Langer, MD; Coordinator of the Dean’s Special Initiative in Women and Health, Harvard School of Public Health Julian Lob-levyt, MD; Chief Executive Officer, Global Alliance for Vaccine and Immunization (GAVI) Claire Neale, MPH; Senior Director for Mission, LIVESTRONG / Lance Armstrong Foundation Anthony Mbewu, MD; former Executive Director, Global Forum for Health Research; past President, Medical Research Council of South Africa HRH Princess Dina Mired; Director General, King Hussein Cancer Foundation; Honorary Co-President, Harvard Global Task Force for Expanded Access to Cancer Control and Care in the Developing World Peter Piot, MD; Director, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine; founding Executive Director, UNAIDS K. Srinath Reddy, MD; President, Public Health Foundation of India Prof. Jeffrey Sachs, PhD; Director, Earth Institute, Columbia University Mahmoud Sarhan, MD; Chief Executive Officer and Director General, King Hussein Cancer Center 46 John R. Seffrin, PhD; Chief Executive Officer, American Cancer Society
  • 47. …Focus on tackling cancer in the most impoverished countries around the world… “…5% of global resources for cancer are spent in the developing world…” (p.9) • 160,000+ search results (Google). “Breakaway: The global burden of cancer” • 906,000+ search results (Google). Global Task Force on Expanded Access to Cancer Care and Control in Developing Countries (GTF.CCC) • Expansion of cancer care and control in countries of low and middle income: a call to action (Lancet; August 2010). • GTF.CCC …While at home… The American Lung Association gave Pennsylvania an “F” for tobacco prevention control and for cessation efforts in 2010. The Pennsylvania Auditor General reports that $1.34 billion was diverted from uses originally intended by the Tobacco Settlement Act of 2001. • More than 41,000 residents lost state-subsidized health insurance coverage, as a result. “racial disparities in cancer outcomes” • 220,000 search results (Google). 47
  • 48. What are we going to do about it at home?
  • 49. Don’t give up on cancer Richard M. Stein
  • 50. up on cancer Don’t give n chard M. Stei Ri 50