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The Agile dilemma
How Disruption May Come to the
Ultimate Disruptive Influence
Agilepalooza, December 2013
© 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC

www.davisbase.com @davisbase
PresenteR
•

Russ Fletcher
Vice President
Federal Agile Practice Manager
Davisbase Consulting

•

20+ years of IT management experience

•

Agile coach and trainer of 1000’s of students over the
past four years

•

Practice leader for Agile adoption in US federal government

•

BS, MIT; MBA, Brigham Young University

© 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC

www.davisbase.com @davisbase
agile evangelism

(…this is my
kitchen!)

© 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC

www.davisbase.com @davisbase
Topics for today
•

Concept of successful business disruption

•

How Agile provided a disruption

•

Why that should be a concern for the Agile community

•

Where do we go from here?

© 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC

www.davisbase.com @davisbase
dr. clayton Christensen
•

Professor, Harvard Business School

•

Five-time recipient of the McKinsey Award, given each year
to the two best articles in the Harvard Business Review

•

Rated top “thinker” in the world in 2013 and 2011,
according to Thinkers50, a global ranking of management
thinkers published every two years

© 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC

www.davisbase.com @davisbase
the innovator’s dilemma
•

Global Business Book award as best business book on
1997

•

In 2011 voted by The Economist as one of the six most
important business books ever written

•

Introduced the concept of “disruptive technology”

© 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC

www.davisbase.com @davisbase
disruptive technology
“Disruptive innovation describes a process by which a product
or service takes root initially in simple applications at the
bottom of a market and then relentlessly moves up market,
eventually displacing established competitors.”
www.claytonchristensen.com

© 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC

www.davisbase.com @davisbase
Performance Measure

effects of disruption
Existing Market
Leader
Actual Needs
of Market

Disruptive Market
Entrant

Time

© 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC

www.davisbase.com @davisbase
example

Functionality

Point-and-Shoot
Cameras
Digital
Photography

Cameras on
Cell Phones

Time

© 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC

www.davisbase.com @davisbase
repeated pattern
•

Large steel mills disrupted by “mini mills”

•

Steam-and-pulley front loaders disrupted by hydraulics

•

Enterprise software vendors disrupted by open source

•

The repeated and ongoing disruption in computer storage
•

Hard drives to floppy disks to thumb drives to cloud
to ...?

•

“...the fruit flies of the business world...”

© 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC

www.davisbase.com @davisbase
CHRISTENSEN’S CONCLUSION
Companies and technologies that
do not pay attention to
disruptive influences
are bound to be damaged or
replaced by those influences.

© 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC

www.davisbase.com @davisbase
So what’s the big deal?

© 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC

www.davisbase.com @davisbase
Problem #1: Market definition

•

Why did no railroad companies become airline companies?
•

•

They defined themselves as railroad companies, instead
of transportation companies

What market does Agile serve?

© 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC

www.davisbase.com @davisbase
problem #2: purists
•

Why do people rigidly adhere to methodologies even
when they know that there are better options?

•

“You’re not Agile if you don’t ___________.”
•

Scrum purists: no “Scrum-but...”

•

Lean purists

•

XP purists

© 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC

www.davisbase.com @davisbase
agile disruption
???

Performance Measure

CMMI
RUP
ITIL
EVM
SAFe

Waterfall

Lean SW Dev.
XP
Scrum
Lean principles

Kanban?

Time

© 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC

www.davisbase.com @davisbase
AGILE VS. PROJECT MANAGEMENT
???

Performance Measure

PMBOK v.5
PMBOK v.4
PMBOK v.3
PMBOK v.2
???

PMBOK v.1
ICAgile
PMI-ACP
CSM
Scrum

Time

© 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC

www.davisbase.com @davisbase
what’s next for agile?
•

Distributed open source teams?

•

Expand beyond software development?
•

Radical Management, by Stephen Denning

•

The self-organizing corporation? The flash-mob business?

•

Rewrite/adapt/extend the Manifesto?

© 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC

www.davisbase.com @davisbase
spiritual agile manifesto
We are uncovering better ways of becoming spiritual
by living that way and helpings other to live that way too.
Through our work we have come to value...

People and families over programs and sermons
Actual service over good intentions
Caring for the poor over charitable donations
Adapting our doctrine over blind faith
While there is value to the items on the right,
we value the items on the left more.

© 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC

www.davisbase.com @davisbase
Your Call To Action
‣

Don’t get trapped as a purist

‣

Expand your knowledge horizon
beyond your particular flavor of
Agile

‣

Broaden the market definition

‣

Inspect and adapt always. In other
words...
Evolve or die by disruption!

© 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC

www.davisbase.com @davisbase
THANK YOU!
STAY CONNECTED!

•www.davisbase.com

:: 877-DAVIS-10

•

@davisbase

•

Davisbase Consulting

•#BecomingAgile

- Blog
- Webinar Series
- Newsletter
•Presenter

Name
russ.fletcher@davisbase.com

© 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC

Now is the time for questions!
Now is the time for questions!
Remember, any unanswered questions will be
captured and responses provided online.
www.davisbase.com @davisbase

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The Agile Dilemma: applying Christensen's work to the Agile movement

  • 1. The Agile dilemma How Disruption May Come to the Ultimate Disruptive Influence Agilepalooza, December 2013 © 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC www.davisbase.com @davisbase
  • 2. PresenteR • Russ Fletcher Vice President Federal Agile Practice Manager Davisbase Consulting • 20+ years of IT management experience • Agile coach and trainer of 1000’s of students over the past four years • Practice leader for Agile adoption in US federal government • BS, MIT; MBA, Brigham Young University © 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC www.davisbase.com @davisbase
  • 3. agile evangelism (…this is my kitchen!) © 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC www.davisbase.com @davisbase
  • 4. Topics for today • Concept of successful business disruption • How Agile provided a disruption • Why that should be a concern for the Agile community • Where do we go from here? © 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC www.davisbase.com @davisbase
  • 5. dr. clayton Christensen • Professor, Harvard Business School • Five-time recipient of the McKinsey Award, given each year to the two best articles in the Harvard Business Review • Rated top “thinker” in the world in 2013 and 2011, according to Thinkers50, a global ranking of management thinkers published every two years © 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC www.davisbase.com @davisbase
  • 6. the innovator’s dilemma • Global Business Book award as best business book on 1997 • In 2011 voted by The Economist as one of the six most important business books ever written • Introduced the concept of “disruptive technology” © 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC www.davisbase.com @davisbase
  • 7. disruptive technology “Disruptive innovation describes a process by which a product or service takes root initially in simple applications at the bottom of a market and then relentlessly moves up market, eventually displacing established competitors.” www.claytonchristensen.com © 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC www.davisbase.com @davisbase
  • 8. Performance Measure effects of disruption Existing Market Leader Actual Needs of Market Disruptive Market Entrant Time © 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC www.davisbase.com @davisbase
  • 10. repeated pattern • Large steel mills disrupted by “mini mills” • Steam-and-pulley front loaders disrupted by hydraulics • Enterprise software vendors disrupted by open source • The repeated and ongoing disruption in computer storage • Hard drives to floppy disks to thumb drives to cloud to ...? • “...the fruit flies of the business world...” © 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC www.davisbase.com @davisbase
  • 11. CHRISTENSEN’S CONCLUSION Companies and technologies that do not pay attention to disruptive influences are bound to be damaged or replaced by those influences. © 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC www.davisbase.com @davisbase
  • 12. So what’s the big deal? © 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC www.davisbase.com @davisbase
  • 13. Problem #1: Market definition • Why did no railroad companies become airline companies? • • They defined themselves as railroad companies, instead of transportation companies What market does Agile serve? © 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC www.davisbase.com @davisbase
  • 14. problem #2: purists • Why do people rigidly adhere to methodologies even when they know that there are better options? • “You’re not Agile if you don’t ___________.” • Scrum purists: no “Scrum-but...” • Lean purists • XP purists © 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC www.davisbase.com @davisbase
  • 15. agile disruption ??? Performance Measure CMMI RUP ITIL EVM SAFe Waterfall Lean SW Dev. XP Scrum Lean principles Kanban? Time © 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC www.davisbase.com @davisbase
  • 16. AGILE VS. PROJECT MANAGEMENT ??? Performance Measure PMBOK v.5 PMBOK v.4 PMBOK v.3 PMBOK v.2 ??? PMBOK v.1 ICAgile PMI-ACP CSM Scrum Time © 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC www.davisbase.com @davisbase
  • 17. what’s next for agile? • Distributed open source teams? • Expand beyond software development? • Radical Management, by Stephen Denning • The self-organizing corporation? The flash-mob business? • Rewrite/adapt/extend the Manifesto? © 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC www.davisbase.com @davisbase
  • 18. spiritual agile manifesto We are uncovering better ways of becoming spiritual by living that way and helpings other to live that way too. Through our work we have come to value... People and families over programs and sermons Actual service over good intentions Caring for the poor over charitable donations Adapting our doctrine over blind faith While there is value to the items on the right, we value the items on the left more. © 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC www.davisbase.com @davisbase
  • 19. Your Call To Action ‣ Don’t get trapped as a purist ‣ Expand your knowledge horizon beyond your particular flavor of Agile ‣ Broaden the market definition ‣ Inspect and adapt always. In other words... Evolve or die by disruption! © 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC www.davisbase.com @davisbase
  • 20. THANK YOU! STAY CONNECTED! •www.davisbase.com :: 877-DAVIS-10 • @davisbase • Davisbase Consulting •#BecomingAgile - Blog - Webinar Series - Newsletter •Presenter Name russ.fletcher@davisbase.com © 2013 Davisbase Consulting, LLC Now is the time for questions! Now is the time for questions! Remember, any unanswered questions will be captured and responses provided online. www.davisbase.com @davisbase

Notes de l'éditeur

  1. Talk about eclectic background Extensive experience with Waterfall and other methodologies
  2. Doesn’t this just mean “Inspect and Adapt”? And isn’t that already an Agile principle?