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GOING TO EXTREMES
Populist Anger & The Rebellion Against The Elite
A GR AVESIA N - SPIR A L D YN A MIC S PER SPEC TIVE
Center for Integrative Psychology
November 4, 2016
Said E. Dawlabani
The MEMEnomics Group
• Effect of Anxiety on the Brain.
• Fear and the Search for Autonomy.
• Catastrophic Events That Drive Protectionism;
Europe and Forced Migration.
• The Aftermath of Financial Crisis.
GOING TO EXTREMES
Pushed to the Breaking Point by Fear and Anxiety
REDEFINING POLITICS IN THE AGE OF
CHAOS
1. Value systems emerge as a product of interactions between External Conditions of
Existence (Life Conditions, LCs), and internal Complex Adaptive Systems
(Adaptive Intelligence, AI)
2. Emergence alternates between Individualistic Self-Expressive “I”,
and Communal Self-Sacrificial “We” systems. The 2 types of
systems begin to integrate as emergence reaches the 7th level.
3. Each value system has a healthy and unhealthy expression.
It can exist in an Open, Arrested or, Closed state.
4. A person may not be equipped to move to more
complex systems, even if LCs demand it. He/she may
stabilize at one or more systems if LCs are stable, or
downshift to previous systems if LCs are under threat.
5. A person or a culture cannot skip a developmental stage. The
ones who do, run the risk of oversimplifying the importance
of this stage/s to the overall health of the individual or entity.
6. People, groups and cultures exhibit more than one values
system, but will have a main center of gravity (COG)in one or two
systems, placing all other systems at the service of their own COG.
7. Once a person/culture transcends a lower value system, he/
she /it must include it in their new value systems profile. Those who
don’t will develop unhealthy views of the lower systems causing
interpersonal and cultural conflicts.
8
7
6
5
TRIBAL ORDER: Kinship, Family Bonds, Seek Safety & harmony in a
Daunting World. Individual subsumed into Group
POWERFUL SELF: Heroic, Impulsive, Exploitive, Egocentric, Guilt-
free. Break free, be strong. Dominate & Control others.
ABSOLUTE ORDER: Conformist, The One True Way. Law and Order,
Rigid Ideology, Discipline, Righteous Living. Guilt-based Obedience. Find
Meaning & Purpose
GLOBAL ORDER: Holistic & intuitive. Meshing of Mind & Spirit.
Global Brain & Global Commons. Interconnected, & inter-dependent.
Thriveable ecosystems on planet with finite resources
ENTERPRISING SELF: Strategic, competitive, driven, scientific, self-
reliant, manipulative, risk-taking. Uncover the secrets of the Universe through
Science, research and analysis.
INTEGRATED SELF: Big Picture perspective of living complex
systems. Chaotic, deals with multiple realities. Lean, functional &
evolutionary flows. Flexibility & spontaneity. Integrate and Align.
EGALITARIAN ORDER: The Human Bond. Seeks Peace and Consensus.
Humanitarian, Egalitarian, Harmonious and Communitarian. Love, equality,
mutual growth,
THE EIGHT VALUE SYSTEMS
Executive Summary
SURVIVAL SENSE: Automatic-instinctive. Reproduce, stay alive,
sharpen innate senses.
WHAT HE SAYS
1. Build a wall to keep Mexicans out.
2. Ban all Muslims from entering the US
3. Indiscretions (dodging taxes, & bilking contractors) are a source of pride
4. Refusal to accepts results of the election if he looses.
5. Everything is a contract that will be renegotiated
6. Pressure NATO and Japan to change the architecture of the Post
WWII World Order.
7. Renegotiate trade agreements
8. Bring back manufacturing from China
WHO HEARS HIM THE MOST?
GOING TO EXTREMES
Trumpism and the Vow to Dismantle Every Norm in Place
L I F E C O N D I T I O N S
V A L U E - S Y S T E M S
C O D E S
M I N D S E T S AN D
W O R L D V I E W S
SYSTEMS
&
STR U C TU R ES
ACTIONS
&
BEHAVIOR
S
GOING TO EXTREMES
From Bi-Partisan Gridlock to Trans-Partisan Solutions
 No deep change. Perpetuates Status Quo
 Understanding external factors that
promote or arrest emergence.
 Understanding how people think
and why they think that way.
 What is their vMEME
Center of Gravity and what
causes it to become Open,
Arrested or Closed.
 Listening with 2nd Tier
Empathy to each group’s
Problems & Challenges
TOWARDSAMOREPERFECTDESIGN
GOING TO EXTREMES
How Financial Crisis Contribute to Prolonged Political Gridlock
Change following every financial crisis: Political radicalization,
declining government majority, and rise in street protests
• Supporters of Far-Right negatively effected by financial instability.
• Voting for Far-Right parties increased strongly (30% av. increase in Europe).
• As support for traditional governing parties shrinks and the power of fringe
parties increase the political system suffers from prolonged gridlock.
• Fractionalization results in fringe populist candidates rising to power by
offering naïve solutions the current system cannot produce.
source: www.cesifo.org
POST FINANCIAL CRISIS AND THE FAR RIGHT IN THE US:
• The Rise and Fall of the Tea Party (2010-2015)
• The Rise (and eventual Fall) of the Alt-Right/Trump Movement
SOLUTION: Central Bankers and politicians have a tremendous responsibility in avoiding
future occurrences of financial crisis that lead to political instability.
U . S . M E M E N O M I C C Y C L E S
How Financial Crisis Trigger the Decline of Big Wave Economic Cycles
LEVELOFvMEMEACTIVATION
1600s 1800s 1860s 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010’s 2020’s
T I M E O F A P P E A R A N C E O F L I F E C O N D I T I O N S
CURRENTECONOMICMEMESTACK
WE ARE
HERE
ANATOMY OF A FINACIAL CRISIS
Entering the Decline Phase of the 3rd Memenomic Cycle
THE PERFECT VALUE SYSTEMS STORM LATE 1990s -EARLY 2000s
1. RISE OF WESTERN UNHEALTHY ORANGE
The World becomes flat. Emerging Economies flood US with liquidity looking for
safe investments other than US treasuries giving rise to Wall Street securitization
2. DISAPPEARANCE OF BLUE FROM BANKING REGULATION
A: November 1999 Congress repeals Depression-Era Glass Stiegel Act
allowing Commercial Banks to enter field of SECURITIZATION.
B: In 2000 Congress fails to regulate financial derivatives and exempts
Credit Default Swaps from State gaming regulations. Risky securities
become insurable & appearance of risk is muted.
3. POST 9/11 ECONOMIC POLICIES OF THE BUSH ADMIN.
A: Need inexpensive ways to finance wars in Afghanistan & Iraq.
B: Call to Arms: “BUY BUY BUY or the terrorists win.”
C: Fed drops Prime rate to 40- year lows.
THE GREAT CONTRACTION
Living Through the Entropy Phase of 3rd MEMEnomic Cycle
WHEN TOOLS FROM WITHIN THE SYSTEM NO LONGER SOLVE THE PROBLEM
 Decoupling of Wall St From Main Street, a Sustained Reality.
 Record Poverty & High STRUCTURAL Unemployment Vs. Record Dow.
 Real Economic Growth Around 2% Since 2008.
 Fed & Treasury out of tools, adding Toxicity to the System
 Impotent BLUE. Dodd-Frank still Allows For Too Big To Fail.
 False Housing Recovery…Investors buy while Millennials and working class rent.
Stocks End Higher; Dow Sets Record!
Better-Than-Expected Data, Fed Hopes Lift Sentiment!
!
By Alexandra Scaggs !
Updated Nov. 6, 2013 4:35 p.m. ET!
Stocks rose Wednesday, with the Dow industrials setting another record, on growing investor
hopes for continued easy-money policies from the Federal Reserve.!
The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 128.66 points, or 0.8%, to close at a new record
of 15746.88. The blue-chip stock average has hit 33 all-time highs so far this year. !
The S&P 500 climbed 7.52 points, or 0.4%, to 1770.49. It is up 24% this year to date. The
daq NDAQ +2.31% Composite Index slipped 7.92 points, or 0.2%, to 3931.95, as declines
eighed on the index.!
ope helped support markets in early trading. But
the day's advance, sparking
rkets
1600’s 1800’s 1860’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1950’s 1960’s 1970’s 1980’s 1990’s 2000’s 2010’s 2020’s
The Fifth MEMEnomic Cycle
Sustainability Thru Functional Capitalism
Aligning the Healthy values of the
“Subsistent Ethic” onto a Second
Tier trajectory towards Global
Sustainability
LEVELOFvMEMEACTIVATION
T I M E O F A P P E A R A N C E O F L I F E C O N D I T I O N S
The MEMEnomics Platform for
Functional Capitalism
1. Defining Governance of the
Seventh Level System.
2. Moving the Digital Economy
to “Big Picture” values.
3. SOCIETAL CAPITAL and the Future
of Money.
4. The Distributed Intelligence Model
of the Info-dustrial Evolution
5. Redefining Corporate Sustainability.
Defining Capital For The Integral Age
Harper Reed
Technology Director
for President Obama’s
2 election campaigns
Elizabeth Warren
US Senator, Massachusetts
Outspoken critic of the
Banking industry
Paul Volcker
Past Fed Chairman
Head of President Obama’s
Chicago Group
David Stockman
Reagan’s Director of OMB
Outspoken critic of
Wall Street after being
an insider
The Winter of Our (political) Discontent
How to move Government from an arrested stage to a Functional state
(Governance)
Functionalizing the Bits & Bytes
of the Digital Economy
(information)
SIXTH LEVEL GREEN
(First Tier)
SEVENTH LEVEL YELLOW
(Second Tier)
Democratization of Information
& Resources
Functionalization of Knowledge
& Means of Production
Big Data (raw and unstructured) Big-Picture Structured
Analytics
Digital-Virtual-App based
Digital-Mechanical-
Macroeconomic based
Proprietary to Information
Economy
Pervasive & Disruptive to all
economic sectors in accordance
with Big-Picture values
T
O :
F
R
O
M
:
Defining a Seventh Level Financial
System. Making Money Functional
(finance)
 CENTRAL BANKING
 From Centralized Fifth level values to Decentralized,
Industry-specific Seventh level values
 CURRENCY
 2008 Financial crisis proves money must remain a
representative of the Fourth level of values.
 Local & Global; The two different purposes of money.
 Index for Human Productive Output.
 CAPITAL MARKETS
 The Fallacy of Finance leading Productive Output: The Tail
wagging the Dog
 Regulation & Taxation.
Manufacturing Sector Designed
from the Seventh Level
(manufacturing)
Only Sector in the West Ready for Structural Change
 Contributions of a SMART Government (this isn’t your dad’s OSHA)
 From Democratization to Functionalization of means of Production.
 Copying the Silicon Valley Model (Ecosystems & Research Clusters).
 Empowering the Info-dustrial Evolution.
 Creating Infrastructure for additive manufacturing/3-D printing.
Defining the Sustainable
Corporation
From Stockholders
to Stakeholders
(Corp.)
 The Founder-CEO ethic and Seventh Level Leadership.
Beyond the Quarterly Report
 Google’s Systemic Disruption. Setting the standard for the
digital economy.
 Whole Foods Market. Conscious Capitalism’s Whole Systems
approach. (Green teams in Yellow work environment creating
a Yellow eco-system.
WISDOM
INSIGHTS
KNOWLEDGE
INFORMATION
“Where is the Life
we have lost in
living? Where is the
wisdom we have lost
in knowledge?
Where is the
knowledge we have
lost in information?”
-- T. S. Eliot
0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 o o 1 1 1 o 1 1 o 1 o 1 o 1 o 1 1
1 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0
0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0
1 0
W E A R E H E R E
DATA
Functionalizing the Bits & Bytes
of the Digital Economy
(information)

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Rise of right cip final

  • 1. GOING TO EXTREMES Populist Anger & The Rebellion Against The Elite A GR AVESIA N - SPIR A L D YN A MIC S PER SPEC TIVE Center for Integrative Psychology November 4, 2016 Said E. Dawlabani The MEMEnomics Group
  • 2. • Effect of Anxiety on the Brain. • Fear and the Search for Autonomy. • Catastrophic Events That Drive Protectionism; Europe and Forced Migration. • The Aftermath of Financial Crisis. GOING TO EXTREMES Pushed to the Breaking Point by Fear and Anxiety
  • 3. REDEFINING POLITICS IN THE AGE OF CHAOS 1. Value systems emerge as a product of interactions between External Conditions of Existence (Life Conditions, LCs), and internal Complex Adaptive Systems (Adaptive Intelligence, AI) 2. Emergence alternates between Individualistic Self-Expressive “I”, and Communal Self-Sacrificial “We” systems. The 2 types of systems begin to integrate as emergence reaches the 7th level. 3. Each value system has a healthy and unhealthy expression. It can exist in an Open, Arrested or, Closed state. 4. A person may not be equipped to move to more complex systems, even if LCs demand it. He/she may stabilize at one or more systems if LCs are stable, or downshift to previous systems if LCs are under threat. 5. A person or a culture cannot skip a developmental stage. The ones who do, run the risk of oversimplifying the importance of this stage/s to the overall health of the individual or entity. 6. People, groups and cultures exhibit more than one values system, but will have a main center of gravity (COG)in one or two systems, placing all other systems at the service of their own COG. 7. Once a person/culture transcends a lower value system, he/ she /it must include it in their new value systems profile. Those who don’t will develop unhealthy views of the lower systems causing interpersonal and cultural conflicts.
  • 4. 8 7 6 5 TRIBAL ORDER: Kinship, Family Bonds, Seek Safety & harmony in a Daunting World. Individual subsumed into Group POWERFUL SELF: Heroic, Impulsive, Exploitive, Egocentric, Guilt- free. Break free, be strong. Dominate & Control others. ABSOLUTE ORDER: Conformist, The One True Way. Law and Order, Rigid Ideology, Discipline, Righteous Living. Guilt-based Obedience. Find Meaning & Purpose GLOBAL ORDER: Holistic & intuitive. Meshing of Mind & Spirit. Global Brain & Global Commons. Interconnected, & inter-dependent. Thriveable ecosystems on planet with finite resources ENTERPRISING SELF: Strategic, competitive, driven, scientific, self- reliant, manipulative, risk-taking. Uncover the secrets of the Universe through Science, research and analysis. INTEGRATED SELF: Big Picture perspective of living complex systems. Chaotic, deals with multiple realities. Lean, functional & evolutionary flows. Flexibility & spontaneity. Integrate and Align. EGALITARIAN ORDER: The Human Bond. Seeks Peace and Consensus. Humanitarian, Egalitarian, Harmonious and Communitarian. Love, equality, mutual growth, THE EIGHT VALUE SYSTEMS Executive Summary SURVIVAL SENSE: Automatic-instinctive. Reproduce, stay alive, sharpen innate senses.
  • 5. WHAT HE SAYS 1. Build a wall to keep Mexicans out. 2. Ban all Muslims from entering the US 3. Indiscretions (dodging taxes, & bilking contractors) are a source of pride 4. Refusal to accepts results of the election if he looses. 5. Everything is a contract that will be renegotiated 6. Pressure NATO and Japan to change the architecture of the Post WWII World Order. 7. Renegotiate trade agreements 8. Bring back manufacturing from China WHO HEARS HIM THE MOST? GOING TO EXTREMES Trumpism and the Vow to Dismantle Every Norm in Place
  • 6. L I F E C O N D I T I O N S V A L U E - S Y S T E M S C O D E S M I N D S E T S AN D W O R L D V I E W S SYSTEMS & STR U C TU R ES ACTIONS & BEHAVIOR S GOING TO EXTREMES From Bi-Partisan Gridlock to Trans-Partisan Solutions  No deep change. Perpetuates Status Quo  Understanding external factors that promote or arrest emergence.  Understanding how people think and why they think that way.  What is their vMEME Center of Gravity and what causes it to become Open, Arrested or Closed.  Listening with 2nd Tier Empathy to each group’s Problems & Challenges TOWARDSAMOREPERFECTDESIGN
  • 7. GOING TO EXTREMES How Financial Crisis Contribute to Prolonged Political Gridlock Change following every financial crisis: Political radicalization, declining government majority, and rise in street protests • Supporters of Far-Right negatively effected by financial instability. • Voting for Far-Right parties increased strongly (30% av. increase in Europe). • As support for traditional governing parties shrinks and the power of fringe parties increase the political system suffers from prolonged gridlock. • Fractionalization results in fringe populist candidates rising to power by offering naïve solutions the current system cannot produce. source: www.cesifo.org POST FINANCIAL CRISIS AND THE FAR RIGHT IN THE US: • The Rise and Fall of the Tea Party (2010-2015) • The Rise (and eventual Fall) of the Alt-Right/Trump Movement SOLUTION: Central Bankers and politicians have a tremendous responsibility in avoiding future occurrences of financial crisis that lead to political instability.
  • 8. U . S . M E M E N O M I C C Y C L E S How Financial Crisis Trigger the Decline of Big Wave Economic Cycles LEVELOFvMEMEACTIVATION 1600s 1800s 1860s 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010’s 2020’s T I M E O F A P P E A R A N C E O F L I F E C O N D I T I O N S CURRENTECONOMICMEMESTACK WE ARE HERE
  • 9. ANATOMY OF A FINACIAL CRISIS Entering the Decline Phase of the 3rd Memenomic Cycle THE PERFECT VALUE SYSTEMS STORM LATE 1990s -EARLY 2000s 1. RISE OF WESTERN UNHEALTHY ORANGE The World becomes flat. Emerging Economies flood US with liquidity looking for safe investments other than US treasuries giving rise to Wall Street securitization 2. DISAPPEARANCE OF BLUE FROM BANKING REGULATION A: November 1999 Congress repeals Depression-Era Glass Stiegel Act allowing Commercial Banks to enter field of SECURITIZATION. B: In 2000 Congress fails to regulate financial derivatives and exempts Credit Default Swaps from State gaming regulations. Risky securities become insurable & appearance of risk is muted. 3. POST 9/11 ECONOMIC POLICIES OF THE BUSH ADMIN. A: Need inexpensive ways to finance wars in Afghanistan & Iraq. B: Call to Arms: “BUY BUY BUY or the terrorists win.” C: Fed drops Prime rate to 40- year lows.
  • 10. THE GREAT CONTRACTION Living Through the Entropy Phase of 3rd MEMEnomic Cycle WHEN TOOLS FROM WITHIN THE SYSTEM NO LONGER SOLVE THE PROBLEM  Decoupling of Wall St From Main Street, a Sustained Reality.  Record Poverty & High STRUCTURAL Unemployment Vs. Record Dow.  Real Economic Growth Around 2% Since 2008.  Fed & Treasury out of tools, adding Toxicity to the System  Impotent BLUE. Dodd-Frank still Allows For Too Big To Fail.  False Housing Recovery…Investors buy while Millennials and working class rent. Stocks End Higher; Dow Sets Record! Better-Than-Expected Data, Fed Hopes Lift Sentiment! ! By Alexandra Scaggs ! Updated Nov. 6, 2013 4:35 p.m. ET! Stocks rose Wednesday, with the Dow industrials setting another record, on growing investor hopes for continued easy-money policies from the Federal Reserve.! The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 128.66 points, or 0.8%, to close at a new record of 15746.88. The blue-chip stock average has hit 33 all-time highs so far this year. ! The S&P 500 climbed 7.52 points, or 0.4%, to 1770.49. It is up 24% this year to date. The daq NDAQ +2.31% Composite Index slipped 7.92 points, or 0.2%, to 3931.95, as declines eighed on the index.! ope helped support markets in early trading. But the day's advance, sparking rkets
  • 11. 1600’s 1800’s 1860’s 1920’s 1930’s 1940’s 1950’s 1960’s 1970’s 1980’s 1990’s 2000’s 2010’s 2020’s The Fifth MEMEnomic Cycle Sustainability Thru Functional Capitalism Aligning the Healthy values of the “Subsistent Ethic” onto a Second Tier trajectory towards Global Sustainability LEVELOFvMEMEACTIVATION T I M E O F A P P E A R A N C E O F L I F E C O N D I T I O N S
  • 12. The MEMEnomics Platform for Functional Capitalism 1. Defining Governance of the Seventh Level System. 2. Moving the Digital Economy to “Big Picture” values. 3. SOCIETAL CAPITAL and the Future of Money. 4. The Distributed Intelligence Model of the Info-dustrial Evolution 5. Redefining Corporate Sustainability. Defining Capital For The Integral Age
  • 13. Harper Reed Technology Director for President Obama’s 2 election campaigns Elizabeth Warren US Senator, Massachusetts Outspoken critic of the Banking industry Paul Volcker Past Fed Chairman Head of President Obama’s Chicago Group David Stockman Reagan’s Director of OMB Outspoken critic of Wall Street after being an insider The Winter of Our (political) Discontent How to move Government from an arrested stage to a Functional state (Governance)
  • 14. Functionalizing the Bits & Bytes of the Digital Economy (information) SIXTH LEVEL GREEN (First Tier) SEVENTH LEVEL YELLOW (Second Tier) Democratization of Information & Resources Functionalization of Knowledge & Means of Production Big Data (raw and unstructured) Big-Picture Structured Analytics Digital-Virtual-App based Digital-Mechanical- Macroeconomic based Proprietary to Information Economy Pervasive & Disruptive to all economic sectors in accordance with Big-Picture values T O : F R O M :
  • 15. Defining a Seventh Level Financial System. Making Money Functional (finance)  CENTRAL BANKING  From Centralized Fifth level values to Decentralized, Industry-specific Seventh level values  CURRENCY  2008 Financial crisis proves money must remain a representative of the Fourth level of values.  Local & Global; The two different purposes of money.  Index for Human Productive Output.  CAPITAL MARKETS  The Fallacy of Finance leading Productive Output: The Tail wagging the Dog  Regulation & Taxation.
  • 16. Manufacturing Sector Designed from the Seventh Level (manufacturing) Only Sector in the West Ready for Structural Change  Contributions of a SMART Government (this isn’t your dad’s OSHA)  From Democratization to Functionalization of means of Production.  Copying the Silicon Valley Model (Ecosystems & Research Clusters).  Empowering the Info-dustrial Evolution.  Creating Infrastructure for additive manufacturing/3-D printing.
  • 17. Defining the Sustainable Corporation From Stockholders to Stakeholders (Corp.)  The Founder-CEO ethic and Seventh Level Leadership. Beyond the Quarterly Report  Google’s Systemic Disruption. Setting the standard for the digital economy.  Whole Foods Market. Conscious Capitalism’s Whole Systems approach. (Green teams in Yellow work environment creating a Yellow eco-system.
  • 18. WISDOM INSIGHTS KNOWLEDGE INFORMATION “Where is the Life we have lost in living? Where is the wisdom we have lost in knowledge? Where is the knowledge we have lost in information?” -- T. S. Eliot 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 o o 1 1 1 o 1 1 o 1 o 1 o 1 o 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 0 W E A R E H E R E DATA Functionalizing the Bits & Bytes of the Digital Economy (information)